Michigan favored by 36.5 over East Carolina, and a couple other first week odds
Michigan by 36.5 over East Carolina
Minnesota by 7.5 over Nebraska
Utah by 9.5 over Florida
Michigan St by 14.5 over Central
Tennessee by 26.5 over Virginia
Wisconsin by 23 over Buffalo
Iowa by 21.5 over Utah St, you mean Iowa will score points this year?
UCLA by 15 over Coastal Carolina
Ohio St by 28 over Indiana
TCU by 22 over Colorado
LSU by 1.5 over Florida St, the winner stays ahead of the CFP 8 Ball, for now
LINK: https://www.vegasinsider.com/college-football/odds/las-vegas/
Holy fuck. I believe history says to not take Michigan to cover, but damn I hope this team has a different mentality… I’ll take ECU to cover the spread.
I don’t know what kind of team ECU has next year, but I feel like they’ve been a pretty darn good G5 team over the last decade or so. Usually have some pretty good teams that have scored an upset or two.
Michigan should still be able to outclass them in every phase, but I’d say they are a step up from the non con teams Michigan played last year.
ECU is projected to go 6-6. So barely a step up from the teams last year.
Idk I agree with the other guy that they have pain in the butt potential. Google "ECU football upsets" and it's a bunch of articles about them upsetting VT, Miami (YTM), West Virginia, and nearly beating NC State and Cincinnati last year.
No I do not think they are going to upset Michigan, but they could certainly cause a lot of grumbling on this board for a bit of time and cover the spread
ECU finished 62nd in SP+ last year. Michigan's highest noncon opponent in 2022 (UConn) finished #116 in SP+ last year.
ECU is substantially better than UConn. UConn did make a bowl game last year, yes, but they defied the advanced metrics to make it happen.
That was last year. ECU has lost a lot to graduation and transfer portal. Keaton Mitchell was a large part of their success last year and now he is gone.
UConn may well be the better team this year.
Last year ECU was also preseason projected at SP+ #73 and this year they're preseason #95 so it looks like they're expected to take a big step back
Not sure how good they will be but their 50 yard line logo on their home field is awesome.
My son used to see a pediatric neurologist at ECU and we once arrived way to early for an appointment. Noticed that the gates were open at the football stadium so we walked out in the field. Small but nice stadium. That was 1999 when they went on to upset #9 Miami at NC State because of flooding from Hurricane Floyd.
Now that there isn't an active QB battle in the first few weeks of the season, I think Harbaugh is going to want to put Corum et al back on the shelf early if Michigan gets out to an insurmountable lead. Gotta finally get Corum to The Game healthy, dammit. ECU is good enough to not go full 2016 Rutgers against our 2nd/3rd string
I stay away from betting on CF the first few weeks as many of your powerhouse programs won't be going full blast against the patsies and are still trying to figure out - experiment who their starting and go-to players will be when they get into their stretch drive later in the season
I do the same thing, the first few weeks are all about sizing up teams and setting a baseline. Around week 4 is when I start betting once I get some data on teams and see how potential match ups look for the balance of the season...
FWIW ECU's preseason SP+ is #95 so it looks like they're expected to take a step back.
In the last 2 years, we've beaten
- #76 Western by 33
- #97 NIU by 53
- #116 UConn by 59
- #126 Colorado St by 44
- #128 Hawaii by 46
I certainly don't think it's unlikely to see a 52-10 paving or something like that, but who knows before we see ECU play. If I was a neutral I'd be tempted to take a Michigan team fresh off 2 CFPs and returning most of their offense to cover
Colorado's second game is also going to be FOX Big Noon:
Curious to see if he can actually coach a Div 1 team.
I have serious doubts. But may not know for 2-3 years. Vince Lombardi couldn’t win with the Buffs this season.
At the very least no one can criticize Deion for taking an easy route up the coaching ladder. Colorado was terrible last year and their schedule this year could be brutal. Bowl eligibility would be a huge success
What are the odds that the Buffs start the season 2-0? How about 0-2?
This might be the year Iowa's offense outscores the defense.
If Iowa's offense still can't outscore their defense with Cade and Erik All, Brian Ferentz should be immediately launched into the sun
oh that I had more than 1 thumb up to give to this comment
They also landed Kaleb Brown out of the portal (via osu). He’ll be dangerous at wr.
I like CMU +14.5. MSU might win the game, but I don’t see them beating anyone by more than 14.
Central beating State would send shockwaves throughout the State of Michigan. Those would be the enjoyable kind of shockwaves. I don't know if one could wipe away the stain of that from ones coaching record.
If you ask Iowa fans, Brian Ferentz should have been "launched into the sun" a few years back.
I'm heavily favored over Peacock.
That's a lot of punts and pick 6s for the Hawkeyes, the best weapons Brian Ferentz has at his disposal.
I curse these "odds".
No "the Horror Part Deux" - - Pfft Pfft !
I spit at thee.
VooDoo Jinx Broken.
Football Gods, I repent!
GO BLUE!
fire up chips. take the points. beat sparty.
Take the 🦚 and lay the points.
take the over and make enough cash to pay your Cock streaming fee
Once you reach a certain age, the cock stream is included
Is Iowa's offense that transformed this season? 21.5 seems high against a functional FCS team.
I could see Nebraska giving Minnesota problems if Rhule can fix the defense quickly.
Who knows, I might not even bother heading in to Michigan Stadium - and just enjoy the game from the tailgate. Oh, that would mean I need to subscribe to Peacock.. well, that’s not going to happen…
I'm glad Michigan has a lot of experienced players returning because first games of the season can be ugly.
Everybody expects (as do I) Colorado to be hot garbage, especially early in the season. But TCU might struggle as well, given how many new starters they will have. I'm not a betting man, but if the line shifts, I might be tempted to bet on Colorado to cover.
That's pretty close to last year's Hawaii spread. ECU is usually pretty good on offense and terrible on defense. I believe that they are replacing a decent amount.
I’m Charlie Brown, Lucy’s holding the ECU football, and I’m really gonna kick it this time.
Michigan crushes ECU 52-6. Wolverines gonna be a monster this year.
My top three from this list would be:
ECU +36.5 -- I think Michigan will win comfortably but not THAT comfortably.
Utah St. +21.5 -- Fade Iowa anytime they are favored by more than 14 until they prove they can score consistently.
FSU +1.5 -- The game is in Orlando and I like the 'Noles to win this straight up.
Iowa having to cover 21.5 points against a non Division II team does seem like a tall order. With that said, Weber St. beat them by 28 last year.
If you want to print money, take the under on total points for every Iowa game.
BetRivers had early lines on both the UM/OSU and UM/PSU games as pick'ems and UM -3 at +118, I took all 4.
and... nobody will get to watch it. super unhappy about this peacock bullshit.
Ohio State -28 feels like easy money. If I didn't still have lingering BPONE I'd say Michigan -36.5 looks tempting too
I think Colorado +22 would be tempting as well but there's too many unknowns on both teams for me to put a dollar on either side
Heck you don't need to be BPONE'd to not like Michigan -36.5 Without looking, I'd guess that's in the Top 10 point spreads that Michigan has ever been favored by. That makes sense against the dregs of I-A but East Carolina? ehhhh I'm not so sure about that one.
Normally, I'd agree that OSU -28 against Indiana (even in Bloomington) is a good bet but with a new QB and a new Offensive Coordinator (who is a first timer at that), I would be a little hesitant.
I think there is a decent chance that OSU's offense will take a noticeable step back this season. The offense will still be very good, just not Death Star level good.
Neither Devin Brown or Kyle McCord has me nervous. They looked good but not great. Ohio will take a step back on offense but be better on defense this year