Michigan is 23-0 under Jim Harbaugh when it rushes for 100+ yards, 1-6 when it doesn't
The 7 games they didn't reach 100 yards rushing are as follows:
2015
Utah: 76
MSU: 62
PSU: 87
OSU: 57
2016
Iowa: 98
OSU: 91
FSU: 89
Formula for winning seems pretty simple. Going forward does Michigan abandon insize zone and/or move Cole back to center if getting the proper line call is an issue as Brian surmises because the OL has been an abject disaster this year. And it's not just the OL, RB's and passing game has been subpar all year. Offense looks like a hodge podge of ideas with no identity.
October 2nd, 2017 at 1:45 PM ^
Popcorn gif needed, but I’m on cell
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October 2nd, 2017 at 1:48 PM ^
Michigan wins when the offense functions correctly. More at 7.
October 2nd, 2017 at 1:49 PM ^
October 2nd, 2017 at 3:07 PM ^
here, enjoy this related clip:
October 2nd, 2017 at 3:03 PM ^
in the new publication, "Collected Works of Ed Orgeron."
October 2nd, 2017 at 1:49 PM ^
We should rush for 100+ yards. Somebody tell Jim, stat.
October 2nd, 2017 at 1:58 PM ^
I agree. just run the ball till we hit 100. game over.
October 2nd, 2017 at 2:21 PM ^
Mork will capitulate by 101. Game over man, game over. :>)
October 2nd, 2017 at 1:49 PM ^
The maddening thing about these statistics, and you hear them every week, is they don't distinguish between cause and effect. If you're winning you run a lot..if you're losing you pass. Running for 100 yds doesn't necessarily cause you to win...it's at least equally likely to be the result of winning.
Not trying to be negative, just my take.
October 2nd, 2017 at 1:59 PM ^
October 2nd, 2017 at 2:58 PM ^
The 49-10 blowout was last year.
October 2nd, 2017 at 3:26 PM ^
The PSU 2015 game felt like a blowout.
October 2nd, 2017 at 2:05 PM ^
Yeah I don't agree with this at all. All those games with the exception of OSU were close and in each game the OL got its ass kicked. We all saw it no need to rewrite history.
October 2nd, 2017 at 2:51 PM ^
Not sure what's maddening about that, that's how pretty much all statistics work. Nobody said there has to be a cause and effect there, the statistics is just a statistic, and then it's up to us to ascribe deeper meaning to it, if we want.
October 2nd, 2017 at 4:53 PM ^
I'd argue there's an even more important cause and effect element than simply 'winning = run' and 'losing = pass'. The other aspect of cause and effect is that you're more likely to rush for 100 yards against teams with bad defense and less likely to rush for 100 yards against very good teams.
In essence, this may as well say: Michigan wins more against inferior opponents; loses more against better opponents.
Now, if the OP were to assess whether Michigan/Harbaugh is more or less dependent on 100-yard rushing games than other teams in similar situations, and if that showed a significant difference then we would be on to something interesting.
October 2nd, 2017 at 5:03 PM ^
Here's a fun fact to help make my point: Urban Meyer has never won a game at Ohio State when the team has rushed for less than 100 yards.
October 2nd, 2017 at 6:40 PM ^
This stat would be way more meaningful if we can see how it compares against other teams.
October 2nd, 2017 at 5:15 PM ^
October 2nd, 2017 at 1:49 PM ^
October 2nd, 2017 at 1:52 PM ^
I understand and agree with your point that 100 is arbitrary, but yes last year Iowa there was damn important 3rd & 1 or 3rd & 2 where 2 yards were very VERY important
October 2nd, 2017 at 1:58 PM ^
October 2nd, 2017 at 2:17 PM ^
. . . and the problem wasn't that Darboh dropped the pass to gain those exrta yards, it was that we didn't RUN for the those extra yards. Got it.
October 2nd, 2017 at 3:04 PM ^
October 2nd, 2017 at 5:17 PM ^
October 2nd, 2017 at 1:51 PM ^
This is not news.
October 2nd, 2017 at 1:52 PM ^
October 2nd, 2017 at 1:53 PM ^
I never said they lost to PSU, I said they failed to reach 100 yards vs with them in 2015.
Oh, I see you edited your post. Fail.
October 2nd, 2017 at 2:37 PM ^
Yeah, that was my bad. Sorry. I tried to delete it but couldn't so I edited it.
October 2nd, 2017 at 1:50 PM ^
Teams run the ball more when winning, pass more when losing
October 2nd, 2017 at 2:52 PM ^
Yes, and water is wet. Not sure what the point of these "correlation does not equal causation" comments. Everyone learns that in like middle school.
October 2nd, 2017 at 3:48 PM ^
OP thinks we need to run 100 yards to win the game. My opinion is that we'll run 100 yards by winning the game.
October 2nd, 2017 at 2:52 PM ^
Yes, and water is wet. Not sure what the point of these "correlation does not equal causation" comments. Everyone learns that in like middle school.
October 2nd, 2017 at 5:19 PM ^
October 2nd, 2017 at 8:38 PM ^
the lowest amount of running yards for 2015 OSU, and then more running yards for the 3 other games you mention? Sounds about right.
October 4th, 2017 at 2:28 PM ^
October 2nd, 2017 at 1:51 PM ^
October 2nd, 2017 at 1:57 PM ^
Actually it's not clear. Are we an inside zone team? If so why isn't outside zone run as a constraint? Our west coast style passing game seem to complement a gap blocking scheme better but we hardly do that anymore. It's year 3 and we aren't any more apt at running one scheme than we are another. Do we have too many cooks in the kitchen so to speak with Pep, Turner, Drevno, Frey, Harbaugh? Michigan is 119th in TFL allowed this year, that's some Hoke type shit.
October 2nd, 2017 at 2:23 PM ^
October 2nd, 2017 at 1:53 PM ^
Michigan is also undefeated under Harbaugh when they score more points than their opponent.
October 2nd, 2017 at 2:13 PM ^
but how do these fancy point stats affect redzone offense??
October 2nd, 2017 at 2:54 PM ^
What's maddening about this statistic is that it doesn't differentiate between cause and effect! Did we win because we scored more points, or did we score more points because we won???
October 2nd, 2017 at 2:55 PM ^
Source?
October 2nd, 2017 at 5:44 PM ^
October 2nd, 2017 at 1:56 PM ^
If cole goes to center, who plays LT? One tackle spot is already a black hole...
October 2nd, 2017 at 2:03 PM ^
I'm not sure if Cole moving back to C is the answer. Isaiah Hole on the Wolverine247 podcast made a point that the coaches made changes to the OL last year during the bye week. I think that is when we saw the pairing of Braden and Bredeson on the left side of the line.
The spot that needs the most help right now is RT. One guess is Bredeson moves to RT and Runyan slots in at LG. Another move might be Bredeson to RT and move Onwenu to LG and slot Runyan in at RG.
October 2nd, 2017 at 1:57 PM ^
I want to see more, 'Good shit Jed' type of plays.
October 2nd, 2017 at 1:57 PM ^
October 2nd, 2017 at 2:01 PM ^