Latest ESPN Bracketology

Submitted by michgoblue on March 6th, 2019 at 11:58 AM

The most recent Bracketology from ESPN has us as a 2-seed in the West bracket.  While I would always prefer being on the 1 line, to me, this is the best possible bracket for us.  Assuming that all favorites win (never happens), Gonzaga is a weaker 1-seed than the others (UVA, UNC and the fighting Zions).  Our trip to the final 4 would be Montana, Nova, Houston and Gonzaga.  

http://www.espn.com/mens-college-basketball/bracketology

lilpenny1316

March 6th, 2019 at 12:02 PM ^

So we would potentially play three of the six teams we faced last March.  Interesting.

I'd still rather be in Duke's region.  I'm betting Zion doesn't play again.

Mike Damone

March 6th, 2019 at 1:07 PM ^

Kind of a "Catch 22" - If Zion doesn't play, Duke is not getting a #1 seed anyways, so there will be no "Zionless Duke at #1 Seed Region".  If Zion out - question is would you rather play Virginia, Gonzaga, North Carolina, or the winner of Tennessee/Kentucky in the SEC tourney? 

Out of those 5 - I would prefer Gonzaga.  After playing the Dog Shit Tacos for three months, our defense will be a shock to their system.  IF they even make it to the Elite Eight.

Squad16

March 6th, 2019 at 12:07 PM ^

Living in Southern California, I love the idea of the West regional and repeating last year's fan experience at Staples Center!

 

Especially given that, besides Gonzaga, none of those other teams would show up well in Anaheim. 

ScooterTooter

March 6th, 2019 at 12:11 PM ^

If Michigan were to win out (or even win one of the Big Ten regular season/tournament) and if Zion Williamson shut it down for the season, would Duke really get a one seed over Michigan? Let's say Duke doesn't win either the ACC regular season or ACC tournament in this scenario. 

 

Perkis-Size Me

March 6th, 2019 at 8:50 PM ^

My thoughts exactly. If he was shutting it down for the year, we’d know by now. Coach K is just resting him up for the tournament. Everyone at Duke knows that the ACC title is small potatoes for their program. Coach K is not bringing Zion back early and risking injuring him again. They’re happy to concede the ACC to UNC to make sure Zion is healthy come tournament time.

Get Zion and the rest of their team to the tournament healthy, and Duke is head and shoulders above every other team in America.

Kilgore Trout

March 6th, 2019 at 12:26 PM ^

It seems really unlikely that they would match UM and Montana up again in the first round. It's just not necessary. Same thing with having Villanova as the 7 in Michigan's pod while Louisville is the 7 in MSU's pod. Both are in Des Moines, so why wouldn't they just swap the two sevens to avoid both teams having in season rematches? 

I guess it's a reason to not take these things too seriously. 

CursedWolverine

March 6th, 2019 at 1:11 PM ^

I think that's one of the things that frustrates me most about these "mock brackets" (especially Lunardi): they don't even pretend to follow the stated rules the committee uses for seeding. So even if we ignore them being largely useless for predictive purposes, they aren't representative of an accurate picture if they picked today.  

From the NCAA website:
1. If possible, rematches of non-conference regular-season games should be avoided in the First Four and first round.

3. If  possible, rematches from the previous two tournaments should be avoided in the first round.

https://www.ncaa.com/news/basketball-men/article/2018-10-19/how-field-6…

What the hell is Lunardi doing if his only job is to rank these 68 teams and he doesn't use the committee guidelines for the rankings....?

CursedWolverine

March 7th, 2019 at 9:29 AM ^

Michigan-Montana would be a rematch of last year's ro64 matchup (rule: avoiding rematches of previous two tournaments), then Villanova would be a repeat of a non-conference matchup from this year (supposed to be avoided in the first two rounds, though the rule above says first round).  

nmwolverine

March 6th, 2019 at 12:46 PM ^

It's great to deserve a 1 seed, but being a 2 has its advantages.  The main advantage is that you play the 1 seed as an underdog and use the disrespect card.  As a 1, you could play the same team you are playing, but they are the 2 and use the disrespect card.  We need guys like Jordan Poole to be motivated.

ijohnb

March 6th, 2019 at 12:51 PM ^

I don't see this at all.  1 and 2 seeds are damn near interchangeable.  There have been quite a few years where 2 seeds were considered the front runners to win it all.  By the time you get to the Elite 8, except in the case of real Cinderella teams, most people don't even pay attention to seeds.  If Michigan were a two seed playing against Gonzaga or Tennessee or somebody, there would be no "disrespect" angle to play.  Michigan would likely be favored in the game.

Qmatic

March 6th, 2019 at 12:54 PM ^

Can’t see us being matched up with Nova in the second round. Committee would work to make sure that doesn’t happen. A healthy Duke and Virginia are the two teams I do not want in our region. The only plus to UVA is that under Bennett they have had a knack for having complete offensive duds early in the tournament but if they made it to the elite eight I would not want to see them. Give us Tennessee and I would be happy.

Mike Damone

March 6th, 2019 at 1:01 PM ^

Not sure the Committee would make sure that doesn't happen.  I can see them actually going out of their way to make Michigan v Villanova, then Michigan v Houston happen.  They love those emotional year over year rematches.  Whether the fact that we have played them twice already within a calendar year would make a difference - don't know. 

But we already got some partial revenge on Villanova earlier this year, and would prefer to leave it at that.   As Apollo Creed once mumbled:  "Don't want no rematch..."

deeare

March 6th, 2019 at 1:10 PM ^

The chance of this being the actual tournament seeding is the same as someone correctly getting their entire bracket pool correct

BoHarb

March 6th, 2019 at 1:26 PM ^

No reason we shouldn't wipe the Breslin with sparty jerseys this weekend with ther 3 personnel losses - hang the banner and play a strong b10 tourney and we would be on the cusp of #1 seed.

A Lot of Milk

March 6th, 2019 at 2:16 PM ^

Three ACC 1 seeds

Lmaoooooooooooo the bias is so real. The two teams tied for first place in the ACC barely won at 5th place Maryland (UVA) and got their teeth kicked in at Michigan (UNC). The echo chamber is so real it hurts.