Howard Coaching Eval

Submitted by vondonation on January 4th, 2022 at 10:55 PM

1. Elite recruiter 
2. Excellent in utilizing talent

3. High character

4. Below average talent development. 
When he followed Beilein, where talent development was his greatest strength, all four components led to stellar seasons and Final Four runs.
Conclusion: JH needs to staff his weakness.

Side note: Beilein excelled in 3/4 as well.

Gulogulo37

January 4th, 2022 at 10:59 PM ^

I'd argue we just don't know what we have yet. He probably got too much credit for last year with a team that had a lot of core Beilein guys (I'd include Franz in that). But also when you lose a ton of guys and playing a bunch of young guys, it only takes for 1 or 2 big misses (e.g., Houstan and Jones) for your team to really drop off a cliff.

havkarl

January 4th, 2022 at 11:10 PM ^

I appreciate what you're saying! Out of respectful discussion -

You still have to coach these players to play together, and college coaches are very active in game/ practice. In my opinion, I think he should absolutely get credit for what he did last year!

Lastly, do you think it might be a little harsh to say Houstan is a miss? He's so young, I would think it's unfair to compare to AA types, no matter the ranking.

 

Denarded

January 4th, 2022 at 11:35 PM ^

I think it’s completely fair to label him a miss. When you’re a consensus top 10 recruit/McDonald’s All-American considered “the best HS shooter regardless of class” from the #1 HS in the country, you can’t arrive to big boy basketball shooting 37% from 2 and 33% from 3. In addition to his poor shooting numbers, his defense is considerably worse than his offense. This team has 10 top 150 composite recruits on the roster, there is no excuse to be a .500 ballclub. 

MFun

January 5th, 2022 at 12:10 AM ^

He is def too young to label as a miss. He is 18. Nobody should be expecting Tatum. 

He could take a giant leap in his soph year so just keep that in mind when you all are trashing him. 

Defense and timidness is a concern but he is 18 years old and seemingly a bit coddled from his previous experience.

Toughness can be learned. I think that is what he is going through this year and it's a bit surprising to him. Easy guys. 

He couldn't compete in the G League next year so we have him for another year at least. Let's encourage the young man. 

1VaBlue1

January 5th, 2022 at 9:15 AM ^

I subscribe to this opinion.

At the level of which Michigan wants to play basketball - Elite Eight worthy every year - the game is similar to the NBA in that every player has raw talent.  The players that stand out are the ones that handle the mental aspect better than the others.  An 18-yr old kid feeling all the pressure in the world on him to perform better than everyone else is not a good recipe for standing out positively.  I don't think Howard can bench him without destroying him, so, at this point, he's got to play through it.  And so do several others.  They need help from Eli and Hunter - two guys have also fought through learning how to win at a high level.

Chalk this season up to a steep learning curve - for the players and the coaches.  But its WAY too early to write off Houstan, or any of the other kids on this team.  Give them a chance to find their footing and figure some things out...

Jordan2323

January 5th, 2022 at 9:08 AM ^

10 top 150 recruits and we have a real chance to finish well below .500. I think it’s very logical to have some real questions across the board. Weird roster composition at the 3 and 4, lack of basic fundamentals, lack of any emotion by most players and unwillingness to change up the lineups are all concerns I have when watching them so far.
You basically have one shooter coming in next year in Jett, so if Houstan leaves(NBA is weird on potential), you lost Eli and the long term potential shooting of Caleb and added Jett. The bigger issue is if Diabate leaves, you’ll have Reed as the lone big man on the roster. Too many 3/4 players being recruited. The other question i have is his insistence on recruiting short point guards, it’s definitely a pattern now. He has recruited Frankie, gotten Smith and Jones from portal, Dug and then Anderson in 2024 

BoCanHam15

January 5th, 2022 at 10:04 AM ^

When you were 18 you didn’t have the same physical tools to compete with men that were 21,22,23 years of age.  I can guarantee you never played any college sport ever if you think a young man who, “just” turned 18 is a miss you know absolutely nothing about college basketball.  Most of Beilein recruits actually stayed in Camp Sanderson for a year and weren’t even expected to make a contribution.  Let alone play at this level at the age of 17!!!  Check back later when he does play at the level that he most likely will reach soon.  Caleb Houstan lacks confidence at the moment but is not anywhere near a bust after less than 15 games into his career!!!

maquih

January 5th, 2022 at 1:30 PM ^

He's a miss in that he was supposed to be a one and done who was only playing a year in college because the NBA requires him to wait a year between high school and going to the draft.  Basketball is a sport where 18 year olds can be ready to compete at the pro level, and Houstan was expected to be that.  Yes, I hope he can grow into an amazing college player, but already he's a disappointment as someone rated to be already NBA ready and just needing one year in college to meet NBA regulations.

Gulogulo37

January 5th, 2022 at 2:24 AM ^

I only mean a miss for this year, in terms of what our expectations were. The guy was like top 10 and supposed to be relatively high floor for a freshman because of his shooting. He's shooting 34% from 3, which isn't terrible, but it's not like it's something opposing teams really need to fear and certainly isn't making up for his defensive mistakes. He's only 37% from the field total.

bronxblue

January 4th, 2022 at 11:11 PM ^

Yeah, I remember even during the lead-up to the year thinking this site (and others) were a bit optimistic that UM would replace a bunch of NBA-level upperclassmen with true freshmen and an up-transfer PG and not miss a beat.  

Honestly, not having Austin Davis turned out to be a big loss because he's a second-unit scorer this team lacks.  And yeah, Houstan just isn't a one-and-done player; it happens.  If he comes back I think a year in a college weight program will help his physical development and, you hope, unlock the shooting that is there.  But they have flaws and they've also had some bad luck in terms of shooting (at one point teams had shot 13/14 from 3 in the past 2 games, which isn't even a sustainable percentage if nobody was guarding a team), and throw that in with a less talented team than you expect and you get this year. 

blueheron

January 5th, 2022 at 7:36 AM ^

"... a lot of core Beilein guys ..."

Gulogulo37, I generally like your posts, but this "Beilein guys" shit is driving me crazy.

Could you or someone else explain how Beilein affected the play of these guys last year?

  • Franz Wagner (He didn't spend a minute with Beilein and is most certainly not a "Beilein guy.")
  • Hunter Dickinson
  • Chaundee Brown
  • Mike Smith

That's a huge chunk of the team. I'll give you Livers. I *may* give you Davis, but he improved under Howard after being a non-factor under Beilein.

Other "Beilein guys" Brooks and Johns are still here.

WestQuad

January 5th, 2022 at 9:12 AM ^

This right here.  Beilein was fantastic, but he had nothing to do with those four players.  Davis was sort of considered to be a wasted scholarship and/or someone to transfer out on MGoBlog comments, but blossomed under Howard and was a starter for a minute and a huge asset overall.  No one saw that coming until it happened. 

Supposedly the numbers 3 and 7 were at one time considered perfect number in Judaism/Christianity, 777 was the perfect number.  666 was an evil number because it was one off of 777.  If Houstan, Diabate and Jones were instant plug and play guys and Brandon Johns played like he did in a couple of games when Livers went out we'd be undefeated.  But we're a little off.  Time is running short, but if anyone can figure it out it's Howard.

ak47

January 5th, 2022 at 10:49 AM ^

In what way did last years team feature a core of Beilein guys? Franz literally never received a second of coaching by Beilein. Of the top 7 guys Dickinson, Franz, Brown, and Smith were literally only ever coached by Howard. Obviously Livers and Brooks were important players but get the fuck out of here giving credit to last year to Beilein.

TheCube

January 4th, 2022 at 11:00 PM ^

Pretty impressed with how high Michigan's basketball standards are all of a sudden when Crisler can't even sellout a game unless it's MSU lol. I guess the crickets in the empty seats all want Howard fired now. 

MGlobules

January 5th, 2022 at 10:29 AM ^

It is by now an established pathology, a kind of mental illness. Anonymous noodles like this Franz Wagner type, beginning to do the exact same thing to Juwan Howard--a few games into this third season--that they did to Harbaugh.

In that case they were--with zero self-awareness--talking about a Michigan football hero, Heisman runner-up, NFL star, former over-achieving coach at two unis, who reached the Super Bowl twice and has averaged nine wins here. 

Sense of proportion, anyone? Tiniest bit of humlity or simple respect? 

In the same way--in cringe-worthy fashion--they now see fit to express ANGAR at the guy who was the centerpiece of the Fab V, played his way to an NC in college, and spent decades in the NBA, for a time as its highest-paid player, and just took OUR team to the Elite 8. Sit here at their keyboards in their jammies talking out of their behinds! It's all ludicrous, and carries a strong whiff of Covid-induced panic/exhaustion. 

Earth to mgoblog sillies: Michigan basketball owes you NOTHING. Talk about entitlement! Form up your lynch mobs elsewhere, you disgrace my school. Your anonymous herd behavior is embarrassing! 

A Lot of Milk

January 4th, 2022 at 11:08 PM ^

Those teams were bereft of talent and they often suffered injuries to their best (and only good) players. This team is stuffed full of 4 and 5 star players and are completely abysmal. Juwan had a hot start his first year and then cooled off considerably as the year wore on, they were excellent all last year, and are terrible throughout this year. Whatever his true coaching acumen is, it's really hard to tell

JamieH

January 4th, 2022 at 11:09 PM ^

I'm not sure I really blame Howard for the entire mess this year.  He put together a roster that SHOULD have been good in theory, but just has not panned out.

He needed a point guard.  He went out and got a transfer who was probably the best available player, but ended up being more of a shooting guard.  Jones didn't score tonight and had 2 assists.  In 31 minutes.  When your point guard has more fouls than points and assists COMBINED you are in trouble.

Houstan was supposed to be bombing away like freshman Stauskas but just hasn't worked out yet.   He was 1-8 from 3 tonight.  I could do that.

Brandon Johns went from looking like a solid starter last year to looking like the guy at the rec building that you try not to make eye contact with because you don't want him on your team fumbling the ball away and missing layups.

So Howard is basically left with Brooks (solid starter, not a star), Dickinson (great, but needs shooters to draw the defense off of him) and Diabate (a star in the making, but still raw), and then a bunch of talented pieces like Bufkin and Collins who aren't ready yet.   You can't win with only 3 players on the floor helping you. 

When I look at this team, I'm hard pressed to figure out what Howard should do to make them better.  He can't make them shoot better.   He doesn't have a point guard (actually Collins is the best point guard and we need him to be playing more)  and they aren't great defensively overall.  Right there you are screwed, and there is no real answer.

 

Denarded

January 4th, 2022 at 11:40 PM ^

You make good points but isn’t that on Howard to recognize that Jones absolutely could not cut it at the power 5 level? At least Mike Smith had the speed and shooting ability. Jones brings nothing to the table. 

And Brandon Johns development? Playing the PF spot for 3 years in this system and all of a sudden has dove off a mental cliff. It’s very concerning that legitimately nobody has improved outside Dickinson’s decent jump shot? 

L'Carpetron Do…

January 5th, 2022 at 9:30 AM ^

Yeah but how was he supposed to know that Jones would struggle fitting into the program?  There was no way to know Mike Smith would be a success either. But both of them came from conferences with a similar level of play. And I think Jones is bigger and stronger and has a quick burst; hopefully it'll click for him soon. But, yes, I didn't expect his transition to be this rough. Transfers are a real roll of the dice.

There were a few unknowns coming into the season and all of those wild cards - can Jones replicate Mike Smith, can Houstan be a star from the beginning, can Johns be a leader and not a headcase-  have not gone Michigan's way.  I just hope it comes together soon (better late than never) and they can sneak into the tournament. 

Durham Blue

January 4th, 2022 at 11:48 PM ^

Defense is something that can be taught better, right?  It's about discipline, understanding the opposing personnel and their game plans and sheer will/working hard.  If there was one area I thought this team could improve, it would be on defense.  It's not happening and I am looking squarely at coaching as the culprit.  Many times in the game tonight there was nobody within like 6 feet or more of the shooter.  Maybe it was a clever scheming by Rutgers to get them open but it didn't appear that way.  Our guys are getting lost on switches, miscommunications, etc.  The product I see is a far piece from any sort of decent.

If I am wrong, which I have been a lot in my life, I would like to understand why.

swn

January 4th, 2022 at 11:55 PM ^

Jones seemed like a good pick up but was definitely billed to be more of a combo guard than a true PG.

Johns reverting to pre-Livers-injury-Johns is not necessarily Howard's fault but it's not an encouraging data point.

Houstan has been straight up disappointing but agreed that can't be on Howard.

All in all the roster just doesn't work and the 2020 class is not helping. We may have hoped the 2021 would have been more plug and play but it's not. These are reasonable transition costs to account for, but just how bad the team has been has been a bit shocking.

Let's see how things look after a few full recruiting cycles, but it goes to show how important it is to find the right combination of five guys rather than just five talented guys.

WorldwideTJRob

January 5th, 2022 at 8:42 AM ^

What is on Howard is the amount of minutes he plays those players! That is fully under his control. Last night was a bit of an anomaly because he had so many players out of the rotation. At this point, Jones & Houstan should be getting PT based on their game performance. If Collins/Williams/Bufkin are performing better give them more time on the floor. Hell, some of our best defensive stretches today was when Jace was out there. Maybe some time on the pine might unlock a fire underneath Caleb & Davante to help them later in the season, But trotting out 2 struggling players game after game is not helping anyone.

NJblue2

January 5th, 2022 at 12:40 AM ^

The team is really bad at passes, can never get fast breaks and has mental breakdown after mental breakdown on defense, and turnover issues. Those are all coaching things, because no matter how young or injured or lack of talent those Beileins teams may have been, they were always good passers with good ball movement. They lacked on the defensive end, but that always seemed more an athlete problem and it got better as the recruiting got better and they got better coaching on that side of the ball. 

Also it's been 3 years, the roster is more or less all Howard guys besides Eli (thank God for him), Johns and I guess Zeb, so this is what he assembled and put together. I would say it's his fault he doesn't have a PG he really likes who's not a freshman and why they have like 7 4/5s and only 4 guys who naturally a 1-3. 

He's also the guy who recruited guys who can't shoot (although I'm sure he has been shocked Houstan can't even be average for the amount of minutes he plays), so I feel like that's on him too. Basketball doesn't take as long as football for roster turnover. A dropoff because of the amount of talent loss makes sense, but these freshman have been very disappointing for the talent level.

HollywoodHokeHogan

January 5th, 2022 at 11:56 AM ^

I agree that people are way off base in worrying about Howard.  But I can’t agree that he isn’t responsible for the team sucking, simply because their defense is just really terrible.  I get that he isn’t playing the game (they defense would improve if he did), but defensive coaching is real and it’s been bad.  This team was never going to approach a team with Wagner and Brown, but they had the potential to play much better defensively than they are.  


Offensively, yeah, they are kind of stuck with a bunch of dudes who looked like they could shoot shooting like shit and Jones just can’t play point guard at this level.

HailHail47

January 4th, 2022 at 11:20 PM ^

1. On paper he’s a great recruiter. If that doesn’t translate into wins, that will dry up fast.  
 

2. I’m not sure he’s excellent in utilizing talent. This team is massively underperforming. Last year he did well with a stacked team. 
 

3. high character - yeah I agree. 
 

4. below average talent development might be an understatement right now. No one from last year’s team has improved meaningfully, and some have regressed. 

DennisFranklinDaMan

January 4th, 2022 at 11:32 PM ^

"On paper" he's a great recruiter? I mean ... we had no McDonald's All-Americans in the past 15 years or so, and we have either 2 or 3 in this class alone? That's not "on paper" -- that's fact. If you're saying they turn out not to be so great, that's a different question. Fact is, everyone wanted them, and we got them. I'd say his recruiting is flat-out stellar, so far. It's hard to imagine what results you'd want more from recruiting than he's shown.

I personally think it's waaaay too early to make any conclusions about his coaching acumen. I don't care if this team doesn't even make the NIT, one season just isn't enough. Nobody accused Calipari or Krzyzewski of not being able to develop talent when they didn't make the tournament last year. Obviously they have a much (much) longer track record, but still, any one year just isn't enough.

(Also, we only think of last year's team as "stacked" based on how they performed last year and how many of them are now in the NBA -- but surely that has something to do with how he "utilized" the talent last year. We were absolutely not expected to win the Big Ten and get within one game of the Final Four even in the absence of our best player going into last season).

Eh. I'm not suggesting everything is great. But geez, people, sometimes teams struggle. Even Duke. Even Kentucky. Give the guy a chance to bring in a legit shooter and point guard next year. 

DennisFranklinDaMan

January 5th, 2022 at 7:59 AM ^

No it's not. I'd say "not performing" is an issue of player development or coaching or whatever. So criticize Howard on that, if you want.

But surely "recruiting" has to mean "convincing highly sought-after players to come to Michigan." To say he only recruits "on paper" when he brought three McDonalds All-Americans to the school is meaningless.

Sure, "performance" this year is disappointing, and God knows "results" this year are disappointing. But blaming him for "recruiting" now is like challenging his "height." Sure, he's tall "on paper," but is it translating to wins? 

shoes

January 5th, 2022 at 8:48 AM ^

But don't skip over the second part of the good recruiter on paper statement- if success doesn't follow that will dry up. A major part of recruiting is having a story to sell: If you have a track record of winning and contending (almost) every year, that is the story. If you don't have the track record, then it's important that the recruit see a positive trend line. That is somewhat at stake this year. A last quartile finish in the Big Ten, and missing the tournament will greatly damage recruiting.

BlueMk1690

January 5th, 2022 at 9:34 AM ^

I disagree. Your job as a recruiter is not to 'convince highly sought after players to come to Michigan'. Your job is to identify the players *you* really want for the team and convince them to come to Michigan. Even though in practice that usually means going after highly sought after players, it's a notable distinction. Not every highly sought after player is the same, and every highly sought after player has question marks, has a floor and a ceiling, some guys work better in some setups than others etc.. It's your job to evaluate the players, figure out who's a fit, who's a realistic proposition etc. i.e. identify who to go after and who to pass on.

If recruiting was simply a matter of working off a list of the best players based on other people's evaluations then we could just hire a team of salesmen and pitch guys to do it, no need for any basketball knowledge.

BroadneckBlue21

January 4th, 2022 at 11:43 PM ^

Franz Wagner improved in his second year. Yes, he was always talented, but most folks were quite surprised by his rise to where is is now. The “in the moment” takes are lame—the same folks who what on JB in late fall to singing his praises by March’s thaw.  

Dickinson’s shooting has improved. Zeb’s shooting seemed to have improved in the one game he played. He’s helped Eli become a more consistent shooter. Houstan is underperforming and needs to learn how to drive level ball. He settles around the arc. We have no midrange shooters outside Hunter—at least none that want to shoot from inside the arc.

They need to have Bufkin and Collins start over Eli and and Devante. Develop the future guys.  

DMill2782

January 5th, 2022 at 10:30 AM ^

Franz didn't develop under Howard. Nope. Not at all.

Zavier didn't develop under Howard. Nope.

Austin Davis didn't get drastically better. Nope!

Teske didn't get better under Juwan. 

Eli hasn't improved at all.

Livers never improved. 

Hunter didn't continuously improve through his freshman year and add aspects to his game this year.

You guys are right, Juwan can't develop anyone. 

denardogasm

January 4th, 2022 at 11:37 PM ^

Small sample size obviously but so far the story has been: Great developer/recruiter of bigs.  Terrible developer/recruiter of PGs.  This is basically what it boils down to.  We don't have one.  There is no one to control the game and feed Dickinson/Diabate, and the shooters can't get in a rhythm because the whole offense is out of rhythm.  Meanwhile the opposing guards can do whatever they want.  The common theme for the past ten years has been amazing point guard play dating all the way back to Trey Burke.  He ain't walking out of that tunnel. Howard struck gold with Mike Smith and we assumed he would do it again with Jones, but it simply hasn't worked out that way.

HateSparty

January 5th, 2022 at 6:24 AM ^

There is no evidence he coached up Mike Smith. His stats certainly don’t say that. We all want to love Juwan but if we are all being 100% truthful, he has shown reasons to be concerned. Early? I guess. A list season on the epically bad level this year is projecting to be will impact the next two classes. In basketball that is not next year’s group but the two following. This isn’t just a .500 Big Ten season, this is on pace to be like a .250 season and no tourney of any kind. That has to be pointed at the coach.