ESPN college gameday

Submitted by Tylerduke1963 on November 1st, 2019 at 5:59 AM

Mgo bloggers probably already knew this but gameday is going to Memphis for the SMU vs Memphis game. Guest pickers are speculated to be Timberlake, Hardaway among the list

ijohnb

November 1st, 2019 at 7:04 AM ^

My bigger issue is the terrible scheduling this year.  This is like the third weekend where the college football Saturday schedule is atrocious.  Product of the extra bye week I’m sure, but damn, tomorrow’s night schedule may be the worst I have ever seen.

MichiganTeacher

November 1st, 2019 at 8:40 AM ^

Definitely a product of the bye week. The problem is also exacerbated, in my opinion, by the increasing concentration of talent in the elite programs. Doesn't leave as much talent to go around when 5-stars are signing up three deep at Alabama just so they can get paid - and then the rest of the games suffer for quality. 

Hopefully the NIL changes will move toward a more even talent distribution.

ijohnb

November 1st, 2019 at 9:04 AM ^

But teams are still ranked 1-25.  I am typically not watching close enough to non-BIG games to notice any particular drop in quality, I am just talking about from a ranked v. ranked perspective.  The second best game this week is Oregon v. unranked shitty USC.

JPC

November 1st, 2019 at 9:47 AM ^

In 2010 15 teams landed a 5 star recruit

In 2012 20 teams landed a 5 star recruit

In 2014 17 teams landed a 5 star recruit

In 2016 18 teams landed a 5 star recruit

In 2018 10 teams landed a 5 star recruit

As a teacher, who I assume was educated at Michigan, I'd like to think that you would realize that 2018 is an outlier and once excluded, that there's no statistically significant difference between the distribution of five stars over time. However, as a person who went to school... I have my suspicions

Red is Blue

November 1st, 2019 at 9:56 AM ^

I'm not a statistician, but from the data presented, I don't think you can definitively say

2018 is an outlier and once excluded, that there's no statistically significant difference between the distribution of five stars over time.

Assuming around 30 5 stars a year, consider these two scenarios with 17 or 18 teams getting 5 stars:

  • 13 teams get 2 and 4 teams get 1
  • 4 teams get 4 and 14 teams get 1.

If the distribution patterns used to be like scenario one and now are more like scenario two, then I'd argue there is a meaningful shift in the distribution of 5 stars, even if the number of teams getting 5 stars each year hasn't changed.

Also the cumulative matters as well.  Even if it is always 13 teams getting 2 and 4 teams getting 1, if a few teams get 2 every year and the rest are spread broadly over a set of teams that changes every year, then after 4 years, a few teams would have 8 5 stars, and a bunch of other teams would have 1 or 2.  

 

Markley Mojo

November 1st, 2019 at 10:55 AM ^

Agreed, there's no universal definition for outlier. It looks like in 2019, 18 schools got at least one 5-star.

  • 6 teams got 3 (or more): Georgia (4), Alabama, Auburn, Oklahoma, LSU, OSU.
  • 5 teams got 2: Michigan, Mississippi, Texas, Texas A&M, Tennessee.
  • 7 teams got 1.

Ten schools may be an outlier two years ago, or maybe 18 schools this year is the actual outlier for a regression that shows a slight downward trend.

With NIL rights coming, my guess is the trend will start heading the other way.

Sources: https://247sports.com/Article/5-star-recruiting-domination-by-college-football-elite-indicates-less-parity-than-ever-in-2018-115036610/

https://bleacherreport.com/articles/2818549-national-signing-day-2019-ranking-every-5-star-recruit-in-the-class

MichiganTeacher

November 1st, 2019 at 5:22 PM ^

No. The data you listed says nothing conclusive about whether or not there is a long-term trend toward increased concentration of talent at the elite end of college football. Just one example: "10 teams landed a 5-star recruit" could mean that 3 teams had 6 five-stars each and 7 teams had 1 five-star each - which would not be a very even distribution - or that 10 teams had 3 five-stars each, which would be a much more even distribution.

Someone else linked the "5-star Domination by elite indicates less parity than ever" article from 247. It's possible that 247 is wrong about this, but the data that you offered doesn't prove it.

WolverineHistorian

November 1st, 2019 at 9:27 AM ^

Sheesh...it feels like it's been more than three weekends.  Almost every week, outside of the Michigan game, there seems to be no appetizing games to watch.  And you can feel that on the media side of things with them desperately trying to talk up games that everyone already knows won't be close.   

Like when they tried to hype Alabama's game against Texas A&M as possibly being a game of the century a couple weeks ago.  Nice try.  

bringthewood

November 1st, 2019 at 9:54 AM ^

Last night's games were good. App State goes down after a valiant comeback attempt. Michigan flavored WVA almost scores a winner against favored unbeaten Baylor. Ruben Jones, Keith Washington and George Campbell sightings included in that game. Campbell has an 83 yard reception last night. He only has 6 catches on the year but is averaging 31 yards per catch.

Bodogblog

November 1st, 2019 at 10:44 AM ^

I thought those were great games.  I kept meaning to change over to the NFL game as part of the rotation, but both of those kept my interest. 

App State vs. Michigan in the NY6 has been a growing lol on reddit CFB, nice to see that put to bed.  I wouldn't have particularly minded that a group of 5 representative would have been App State, but I'd like to see Michigan play someone else if that all falls into place.  If it was App State and Michigan got one of those games, no doubt they would have paired them. 

Eli

November 1st, 2019 at 6:16 AM ^

The intro, Maria Taylor and the picks are the only thing worth watching. Corso is gone, Herbstreit is a fuckin pud and the SEC circle jerk is pathetic. Sports talk shows are dying fast. People would rather stare at their phones.  

UgLi Eric

November 1st, 2019 at 6:21 AM ^

Yeah. What the hell happened to Herbstreit? He was never anyone's favorite anything, but it's like he's lowering the bar intentionally so Fowler looks better and Corso looks far less senile (said with nothing but respect for Corso, who I still love watching for his picks and antics). 

 

OSUtopia

November 1st, 2019 at 10:44 AM ^

I think you would find that many OSU fans believe Herbstreit has traditionally gone out of his way to not talk up OSU. I personally believe he's been largely unbiased. My only negative review of Herbie is that he goes overboard on the cliches too much. "Pin his ears back", "Getting chippy out there", etc etc.

UgLi Eric

November 1st, 2019 at 6:18 AM ^

They selected this game to show the rebirth of a team once dealt a deathblow for doing what is mostly acceptable today. Paying players.  Old pictures, scandals, and then "how times have changed with NIL rights now condoned by the NCAA."  That's a cool story. 

There would be no possible story of cash payouts, nor any historical lesson of significance at the alternative, a neutral site game in Jacksonville.  

lilpenny1316

November 1st, 2019 at 8:34 AM ^

I would think they would want to be there for #1 vs #2. 

I didn't realize it until today, but both of those games are in the afternoon.  I'm surprised because there's not a single appealing game on Saturday night, unless you really think NC State can hang with Clemson.  I wonder if this means that even the SEC doesn't see the value of night games in November.  IIRC Bama-LSU was a fixture at 8PM for about a decade.