CC: One reason to keep Jim Harbaugh???

Submitted by Jeff_GoBlue on January 5th, 2021 at 4:11 PM

We have read tons of posts over the last few weeks about firing Jim Harbaugh.  Within these posts are hundreds of views on hiring Matt Campbell...  seemingly the only plausible coach available right now.  

I want to highlight a solid comparison reason to keep Jim Harbaugh that I have not seen heavily discussed, especially if Matt Campbell is our only other option.

Brian Kelly's first 7 years at Notre Dame was almost identical to Harbaugh's first 6 years at Michigan. 

  • Brian Kelly 59-31 (.656)
  • Jim Harbaugh 49-22 (.690)

Brian Kelly went 4-8 in that 7th year.  Notre Dame decided to stick with him... his record since then...  43-8 (.843).

We have been average for every bit as long as Notre Dame was prior to Kelly.  Considering our current coaching choices, Harbaugh is the right answer and I think we should stick with him.  That is if he still wants to be our coach!

Can we talk about this and any other compelling reasons to stand behind Jim Harbaugh instead of sending him packing?  

 

Robbie Moore

January 5th, 2021 at 5:28 PM ^

Fuck all this. Best I can tell is Harbaugh has had an offer on the table for a while but has let it sit on his desk. He's dragging his feet waiting for an NFL offer. So his heart is not here anymore. That's all I need to know. Warde's game is to get Harbaugh to self select out and save the athletic department millions. Reasonable enough but what happens if no NFL offers materialize and Harbaugh signs the extension? No you have some kind of longer commitment to a man who has proven he is not committed.

Clemson was shitty for years before Dabo.  Dabo likely cheated his ass off but everyone down there cheats and Dabo does it better. Not sure Harbaugh is passionately underhanded enough to pull a rabbit out of a Clemson hat.

kalamazoo

January 6th, 2021 at 12:43 AM ^

I can imagine coming up with a business analogy and not a personal analogy.

Unless you're saying that Warde and Jim are having primal relations with deep emotional conversations and "I love you's" on the daily.

Then, I'd like to hear more and will be subscribing to your blog.

trueblueintexas

January 5th, 2021 at 6:50 PM ^

Clemson has a better history than you give them credit. 

Starting in 1981 - 1991 under Danny Ford (his 3rd season) they had a very good run. 

81: 12 -0 National Champs

82: 9-1-1

83: 9-1-1

84: 7-4

85: 6-6

86: 8-2-2

87: 10-2

88: 10-2

89: 10-2

90: 10-2 (new coach Ken Hatfield)

91: 9-2-1

Then it falls into mediocrity (not terrible, just mediocre) for a good stretch: 

92 - 2008 they were a combined 120-85 with four 9 win seasons as peaks. 

2009 was Dabo's first full season. 

2010 took a step back. 

We all know what has happened from 2011 - present.

 

rob f

January 5th, 2021 at 4:17 PM ^

One reason for yet another separate thread on this subject matter?

Maybe it's time to put a limit on the quantity of CC threads per day on the MGoBoard. 

Jeff_GoBlue

January 5th, 2021 at 4:25 PM ^

Rob F, I thought about this prior to posting but decided to post because there is an obvious desire for members to discuss.  The prior posts have hundreds of comments and I have not seen one that discusses the reasons to keep Harbaugh vs firing him.  

It's hard to start a separate discussion inside of a post that has 200+ comments but feel free to remove if you feel this post does not add value.

rob f

January 5th, 2021 at 5:00 PM ^

There's been several threads over the last week alone in favor of retaining Harbaugh, just as there has been numerous ones in favor of replacing him.

All told on Monday, we had 6 threads discussing CC (plus a spoof thread suggesting Bazooka Joe); so far today yours is the third one addressing Michigan's coaching situation.

I'm leaving your thread up for lack of any prior-stated limit per day on CC threads.

-------

To the entire MGoBoard: can we please collectively show some restraint when considering posting new OPs on the general subject of coaching change?

If your take on Harbaugh can be expressed in an existing thread, please do so. EVERY NEW THREAD pushes another possibly more-deserving MGoThread off the first page. 

jdraman

January 5th, 2021 at 5:42 PM ^

Your OP breaks no new ground and is lacking in substance. The comparisons to Brian Kelly’s 2016 season at ND have been made numerous times before across many threads. 
 

The quick way to sum up the discussion is this:

Someone will argue that Brian Kelly was given a second chance after an abysmal season and after having general success over his first six seasons. They will compare Harbaugh at Michigan to Kelly at Norte Dame during their first six years and say that there is evidence for a turnaround just like Brian Kelly administered. 

Others will respond that this analysis misses a few key points. First, Kelly had coached ND to a National Championship and an undefeated season during the first seven years of his tenure. Second, of the games that ND lost, all but one game of the 2016 season they lost by one score and was therefore “competitive” in every game, whereas in Harbaughs’ “down year” Michigan was hardly competitive in most of its losses. Third, that Kelly made a commitment to change himself and his staff to achieve a turnaround; where is the evidence that Harbaugh is doing this when he won’t even commit to his current job?
 

If there are other parts of the comparison you feel need to be discussed, then please bring them to our attention. But your OP is just a re-tread of the same talking point(s) that others have been using to support retaining Harbaugh. 

Don

January 5th, 2021 at 6:45 PM ^

“I have not seen one that discusses the reasons to keep Harbaugh vs firing him.”

You cannot be serious. You can’t swing a dead cat around here without banging into several every day, and it’s been that way for weeks.

LSAClassOf2000

January 5th, 2021 at 5:13 PM ^

I cannot fathom this iteration of this site on a phone-based browser. The previous version of the site wasn't great on a phone, and I will admit that I have not tried with this version of it, but I have also been afraid to do so just based on the look alone. Can you even find the damn sidebars on a phone?

MDwolverine

January 5th, 2021 at 5:13 PM ^

Let’s be honest - it’s the formatting of the site. It’s doesn’t really lend itself well to long-term board discussions.

Don’t get me wrong - love the content, insight, podcasts, and the posters who share whatever inside info they can. But the format isn’t great Rob.

Indy Pete - Go Blue

January 5th, 2021 at 4:17 PM ^

Every Harbaugh team at Michigan has been either good or very good with the exception of this year. This year was a weird year for a lot of reasons. Having our two best players opt out because of the delay by the Big Ten was just the beginning, and then losing all of our best defensive players due to injury is a very underestimated contributor to the demise. Losing the Michigan State at home - there is no excuse. That was by far the worst loss of his coaching tenure at Michigan. However, one humiliating loss and one terrible Covid season does not undo a solid tenure for the first five years. He has had incredible success at each of his previous coaching stops. If we give him another chance for a year or two, can you imagine how hungry and motivated he will be to prove himself? I think we will get the all-in version of Harbaugh that is a great coach at the expense of his life outside of football. I am suspicious that meeting the pope and coming back to his old hometown may have made him want to be a more balanced family man. I respect that, but I wonder if that has impacted his dedication to coaching. I admit this is completely speculative.

Toby Flenderson

January 5th, 2021 at 4:27 PM ^

Jim Harbaugh was not brought here to have a solid tenure. Jim Harbaugh had the expectation to compete with Ohio State, get to Indy, and eventually the college football playoff. That did not happen. Also look at our roster and schedule for 2021. Michigan is probably a 6-6/7-5 team next year. 
 

if you don’t think that is obtainable at Michigan, that’s fine. Then wouldn’t you rather have a coach who is less high profile, actually has people skills, and can breed new life into the program. 

Indy Pete - Go Blue

January 5th, 2021 at 4:35 PM ^

That did not happen... yet

bringing him back with the chance to prove himself and beat Ohio State and make it to the Big Ten championship: I thought that was clearly implied in my post. Regurgitating all of the talking points about his failures is missing the point, and frankly annoying. (And setting up a straw man argument implying that I don’t think anything better is attainable is disingenuous, intellectually deceitful, and obnoxious). Yes, he was not hired for a solid tenure. He was hired for an excellent tenure. He has had a good performance, but not good enough. Giving him one or two more years with all of his devotion its not unreasonable - in my estimation.

Toby Flenderson

January 5th, 2021 at 4:40 PM ^

Yes, it is unreasonable because the program is trending down.

Michigan literally has one cornerback on their roster that can play big ten football, Germon Green. Michigan has 2 defensive tackles on their roster and will probably feel that roster gap soon. Harbaugh still has run off starting caliber players who have succeeded at other programs. What makes you think this will be any different?

 Jim Harbaugh has had 6 seasons to beat OSU and get to Indy. I don't see any indication of this improving. The assistants will not make a difference, we have gone through that rodeo. Jim Harbaugh still rubs people the wrong way, which does matter. If you give Jim Harbaugh 1-2 more years, I think you will see a program that looks like the 2012 Iowa team. 

Golden section

January 5th, 2021 at 6:09 PM ^

I understand the sentiment of your post. There seems to be a different Harbaugh in the last 2 years. Maybe he had his wings clipped for his eccentric behaviour, maybe there are other issues. If those get addressed maybe we're not that far off. 

While DT is certainly a problem, CB isn't nearly so concerning.

Vincent Grey stepped up his game toward the end of the year. Jalen Perry, is a 4 star sophomore with good size.  Freshmen Darion Green-Warren, Germon's brother, was a top 15 cornerback and Andre Seldon Jr. was a 4 star as well. 

So to say we don't have Big Ten talent is a bit of an overstatement.

rob f

January 5th, 2021 at 6:38 PM ^

Toby and Golden: I upvoted both of your above posts, but with a couple corrections:

•There is no "Germon" Green. Gemon Green (#22) is our starting CB and German Green #(33) is his twin brother. German has played on special team only thus far in his Michigan career.

 

•Darion Green-Warren (#28) is not related to the Green twins.

Fezzik

January 5th, 2021 at 6:01 PM ^

He had 6 years to prove himself and we are bottoming out. Why is it year 7 to you that is the ultimate year to prove himself? RR got 3, Hoke got 4, but 7 is the magic number for Harbaugh? Also if he fails after next year we are really screwed because he will already of been extended through 2026 (per contract rumors). So another chance is not one chance, but another 6 years of chances.

Realus

January 5th, 2021 at 8:04 PM ^

Nailed it!!

Harbaugh has not done what he was brought here to do.  And there seems to be no REASONABLE hope of him ever doing so.

Does ANYBODY believe Gattis runs the offense and calls the plays?  Anybody??

Basically, Gattis designed the offense ... with help from Harbaugh

Basically, Gattis calls the plays ... with help from Harbaugh

One of the reasons Harbaugh was not wanted in SF is because he was a control freak.  Even though Harbaugh has lost his fire, he hasn't lost his desire to control things (causing very good coaches and players to leave).

The only thing Harbaugh signing the extension will do is give us is two more seasons, one with probably 7 to 8 wins and one with probably 9 to 10 wins.  In addition, we will get two more losses to OSU and at least one more loss EACH to MSU, PSU, and Wisky before Harbaugh will go to the NFL or be fired.

Harbaugh should go now. 

He can't succeed at Michigan.  He will get more money in the NFL and will have more success.

Michigan will have more money and more success (at least 2 or 3 years from now).

What else is there to say?

azee2890

January 5th, 2021 at 4:54 PM ^

So what your saying is that the success and failure of a coach is not their accomplishments or winning percentage or bowl wins or championships. It's whether or not they lived up to the expectations when they were hired. 

So by that logic, Jim is a failure even though he won 9-10 games a year and stabilized (outside of this year) a defunct Michigan team because he failed to beat his rival, win a big 10 title and win a championship. 

If Matt Campbell does the same exact thing but comes in with lower (non savior expectations) then he might be considered successful with the same resume? That doesn't seem very fair to Harbaugh. He's not in control of the hype or expectations. The fans and media are. 

If you told me after the Rich Rod and Hoke years that we would hire a coach (let's say it was Matt Campbell level coach) that would have a solid tenure and average 9-10 wins a game but still struggle to break through to being elite, then i'd say that was a successful hire and we are headed in the right direction.

Instead, everyone here is acting like we are suddenly bottom feeders of the BIG 10 because of a COVID impacted year where almost everything went wrong (yes everyone had to deal with it but not every team was impacted as significantly as Michigan or Penn State for that matter). Take a step back, analyze the realities of the situation and make a educated assessment. Are we as good as OSU under Harbaugh? No (that's been the case for two decades). Are we as good as PSU, ND, or Wisconsin? Most of the time, yes. Are we as bad as we were under Hoke or Rich Rod? No.  

Toby Flenderson

January 5th, 2021 at 5:05 PM ^

Yes, Jim Harbaugh is a failure due to not being Ohio State, getting to Indy, and going 1-4 in bowl games. He is also a failure here for having major roster gaps and a 2-4 record. His failure is exacerbated by his bloated contract and blank check on administration support/money to hire elite assistants.

To act like Harbaugh is not "responsible" for the hype is not true. He decided to go on those study abroad trips, he is staring in commercials and TV shows, he is on stage with Migos, he decided to do that amazon prime show. He is creating attention for the program for being petty with the media, by not doing halftime interviews, not being direct in his press conferences, and embracing his quirkyness. If you don't think that brings more eyes to the program, i don't know what to tell you.

If Matt Campbell gets Michigan to a 10/3/11-2 type of team, who beats OSU 1/4 of the time, beats PSU and Wisc 3/5 of the time, and beats MSU 3/4, i'd be pleased. 

COVID is not an excuse, it rather exposed the downward trajectory of the program. Michigan is still without Corners and D-Tackles. Michigan still does not have a good quarterback. Michigan still cannot win hard games on the road. Better than Hoke and Rich Rod cannot be the expectation for the program. Michigan will not be in a position to compete for the division next year. They are not good at football. 

azee2890

January 5th, 2021 at 5:18 PM ^

Gotcha. Just sounds like you don't like Harbaugh. Fair. But that also means any arguments you make against him need to be taken with a grain of salt since you clearly have a bias against him and feelings not based out of fact or reason but because he disappointed your expectations. 

If this was any other team and a coach took a 4/5 win average team and turned them into a 9/10 win team, that would be looked at as an improvement. Unfortunately, you determine success by accomplishments not a single coach in the past 20 years has been able to accomplish. You are hard to impress my friend. 

Toby Flenderson

January 5th, 2021 at 5:40 PM ^

Whether I personally like the guy or not is whatever. You don't pay a guy $9 million a year, have him do all this press about his spring study abroad training trips, and have the Migos visit Ann Arbor to win 9/10 games. Harbaugh has had some awful moments while at Michigan during those 9/10 win seasons. The snap, the 2017 debacle at home against MSU, the south carolina loss, the 2018/2019 drubbings to OSU, the loss to the worst MSU team this century.

Matt Campbell may be able to take Michigan above to 11 wins and contentions, maybe he won't. However, sticking with something that is not working is not the way to go. 

FYI, Michigan was a a 7/8 average team under Hoke. I determine the success based on the program's expectations. He also had his best teams with Hoke's players, so the cupboard was not bare. The expectations haven't been met and the program is trending downwards.

Also, Michigan WAS a 9/10 win football team. What on this roster makes you think that is sustainable? 

azee2890

January 5th, 2021 at 6:07 PM ^

Did Harbaugh claim when he signed his contract that he would bring championships and wins over MSU and OSU? Might have missed that. 

Someone else posted this but here are the numbers. 

Michigan is 47-18 with Harbaugh, the previous 7 years we were 46-42. But I guess you don't see that as a successful improvement because he failed to fill your expectations (expectations that have not been filled by anyone for the past two decades). Objectively speaking, a 47-18 record is an improvement over a 46-42 record. Everyone had different expectations. He may be a failure in your eyes but he may have been fine in someone else's. But it is a fact that he improved the program significantly from where it was before. 

What makes me think this roster will be competitive next year? Well, we'll have an All American senior DE in Aiden Hutchinson. A junior 5* DT in Chris Hinton. A Junior 5* FS in Daxton Hill. Returning starters of 4* caliber players across the offensive line. Returning starters at WR. Returning starters at RB. Returning starter or 5* QB in McNamara or McCarthy. Returning starters at CB (both of which improved profoundly as the season went on). There is still a lot to be happy about on this roster. Whether or not Jim will hire the right assistants to make the most of the roster is another topic but the talent and experience is there, unlike this past year which had a new QB, new OLs, new WRs, new LBs, and new CBs. Someone referenced this in another post but there is also a reason why Northwestern went from bottom feeder to BIG 10 runner up this year. It's because they returned a bunch of starters. 

MGoBlue96

January 5th, 2021 at 6:41 PM ^

Would have to dig up the quotes but I am 99% sure Jim said his own expectations were titles when he came in. If not publicly you better believe internally those were Harbaugh from 2014's expectations of himself and the program.

https://www.mlive.com/wolverines/2019/08/jim-harbaugh-keeps-talking-bold-at-michigan.html

Edit: Yes he has said championships is the goal multiple times, including as late as last year. I'm just confused why you are arguing about what the expectations are for a Michigan coach when those are the very same expectations Harbaugh has for himself and the previous 2 head coaches who were fired were held to. Harbaugh himself if he was speaking honestly would say they haven't met expectations, that is not the debate. The debate is whether Harbaugh currently or another coach gives them the best chance to better meet them in the future.

AlbanyBlue

January 5th, 2021 at 10:41 PM ^

47-18? Cherry picked. We have a 49-22 regular season and 50-26 (0.658) overall record with Harbaugh.

General sentiment here is that the 2016 OSU game impacted him in a negative way. Since that game we are 27-19 overall (0.587).

General sentiment here is this the 2018 OSU game also affected him negatively. Since that game we are 11-9 overall (0.550). I suppose one view is that Jim, the man currently looking for an escape to the NFL, is going to have a miraculous turnaround to become 2016 Harbaugh. Buy that if you want. I'm not.

Choosing a new coach MAY very well be a failure, but maintaining the status quo IS a failure. I can't believe people are advocating for standing pat, especially with a coach clearly not committed to Michigan and who has clearly lost his fastball.

JFW

January 5th, 2021 at 4:31 PM ^

If things go sideways and he leaves for the NFL I could see him going and kicking ass somewhere. Then the people will be all bugged because 'He didn't do that here!!!'. 

The guys a good coach with a good record. Compare him to '92-96 (the rough years I was there; Moeller-Carr split. I haven't gotten around to doing more but will) and he has a worse record vs. better ranked teams.... but a better one vs. worse ranked teams and fewer losses to unranked teams. And his record is vs. a more competitive B1G with Wisconsin, PSU, OSU and until recently MSU playing very well.