[Bryan Fuller]

Unverified Voracity Wishes The Bench Wasn't That Hot Comment Count

Brian February 22nd, 2023 at 4:33 PM

Why can't you just be in one place? Well, offseason coaching attrition may not be done yet:

Not-yet-mothballed SB Nation blog Bleeding Green Nation has an overview of the Eagles DC search, which is currently up to six candidates. Math indicates Minter is likely to remain Michigan's DC, but the interview indicates we shouldn't get too comfortable with him in the role. If Minter goes you have to figure Jim Leonhard gets a phone call, right?

Photo choice: not inspired. So when you draft an offensive lineman the perfect thing to demonstrate his prowess is to show a picture of him getting his ass beat by Mike Morris:

Probably the best one they could find from that game.

[After THE JUMP: nobody's buying it anymore.]

The NCAA's in court again, and it is Not Going Well. A follow-up to that court case trying to establish that college athletes are indeed employees:

Arguing for the NCAA, attorney Steven Katz encountered a “hot bench,” in that the judges quickly launched into challenging questions and didn’t hesitate to interrupt him. Katz warned that if the players win, it would “create a minefield of unforeseen consequences” that might prove detrimental to women athletes and raise thorny legal questions under two other laws, Title VII and Title IX.

Judge McKee wasn’t persuaded, referencing glaring weight room discrepancies for men’s and women’s basketball players at the NCAA basketball tournaments as reason to believe there are already inequities under the NCAA’s watch.

Katz also faced scrutiny when he argued that college athletes are not professional athletes, because they play without an expectation of compensation. That argument has worked with other courts studying this issue. It didn’t seem to persuade this three-judge bench, who suggested college athletes don’t expect pay because they know the NCAA and colleges have agreed college athletes can’t be paid.

Do not expect quick movement here; this hearing is just a hearing about a hearing about a hearing.

The technical question before the panel is whether Judge John Padova of Pennsylvania’s federal district court applied the correct standard when denying the NCAA’s motion to dismiss two years ago. If the answer is “yes” then the case returns to Padova for pretrial discovery, where the NCAA and member schools would be required to answer questions under oath and share sensitive documents.

So it's been two years since this motion to dismiss was denied and they're just getting around to resolving that small piece of a vastly complex puzzle. Settle in for the billable hours.

Eyeroll. College games are too long because there are more commercial breaks in one quarter of football than an entire hockey game, so it's once again time to try to cut down on the length of games because people need more money. CFB is exploring various changes to clock rules:

The non-controversial proposals include (1) prohibiting consecutive timeouts (ie, icing kickers) and (2) no longer extending a first or third quarter for an untimed down if the quarter ends on a defensive penalty (the down would be clocked starting the next quarter). …

In a third proposal that is garnering wide support, the clock will continue to run after an offense gains a first down except inside of two minutes in a half. In a more controversial fourth proposal, the clock will continue to run after an incomplete pass once the ball is spotted for play.

I enjoy getting rid of timeouts so hooray to 1. 2 is almost irrelevant. The other two are just ways to cut down on plays so that we can see more goddamned Buick commercials. Boo. There's even an estimate of how many:

A running clock after a first down would eliminate about seven to nine plays per game. A running clock after an incomplete pass could eliminate more than twice that number.

If both proposals pass they're cutting out 15% of a football game. FFS. Ross Dellenger slips this bald-faced lie in at the end of his article:

Television commercials don’t impact game time significantly. From 2018-2020, games not televised finished only about two minutes sooner than those televised.

This has to be the all-time greatest water-carrying moment in the history of journalism. I'm just going to pop into one of the games I have on my computer to see how long it is once you cut out the commercials and halftime. Aaaaand Michigan-Rutgers checks in at…

image

…Michigan-Michigan State?

image

GTFO out of here with "television commercials don't impact game time significantly." There's a literal hour of them in every game!

Transfer trends. Bill Connelly looks at the transfer market from last year and finds, oddly, that the most plug-and-play spots on the field are…

Offensive linemen remained the most likely to find the success they were looking for. The average score for offensive linemen was second to only that of linebackers, and no position unit saw a higher percentage increase. Interestingly, this was the case no matter what type of move this player was making, up or down the FBS ladder. Two transfer linemen, Michigan's Olusegun Oluwatimi (from Virginia) and Florida's O'Cyrus Torrence (from Louisiana), were named consensus All-Americans.

In all, it was good to be a transfer O-lineman, and it was even better to be a linebacker. Four of every nine linebacker transfers (44%, the highest average for any position) ended up with a score of 4 or higher, and that number skyrocketed to 68% for players moving up a level (either from FCS to FBS or from a Group of 5 school to the P5).

…offensive line and linebacker? I have done a lot of charting over the years and those would have been the very last spots I would have guessed were relatively easy to pick up after a transfer. Good news for Michigan, though, which just restocked their OL with more players than they actually lost to the NFL and picked up a highly touted LB in Ernest Haussman.

Hughes draws notice. Not that Hughes. TJ ranks in Corey Pronman's list of undrafted NHL prospects. He slots in at 26, which is in the "Longshots to play in the NHL" tier, so I don't think an early departure is in the cards just yet:

26. T. J. Hughes, C, Michigan-Ben Ten: Hughes has been quite good for Michigan as a freshman. He’s a very skilled and intelligent center who has shown he can create a lot of offense at the college level and help a power play. His skating is just OK for me and that will be the big thing preventing him from making the NHL level. I suspect he likely goes back for another season, but if he decides to come out I think there would be interest given his scoring record in college and junior and not being undersized.

Pronman also mentions that Portillo is not expected to sign with Buffalo and that "I expect him to either be a free agent by June 1 or have his right traded to a team he will sign with," which implies he's leaving after the season despite having another year of eligibility left. NHL teams retain draft rights to players until "30 days after the player has left college," per NHL.com. I was under the impression that Portillo would not be a FA until after next year. Michigan does not have a goalie coming in so if Portillo leaves they'd likely have to scramble for a transfer.

Etc.: Ludacris's character arc. Alabama basketball shooting story is wild. Mental health practice time for hockey. Mazi Smith (#54) is the only Michigan player in the Athletic's top 100 for the upcoming NFL Draft. Advice about ferns. The origins of Michigan's colors and traditions.

Comments

The Deer Hunter

February 22nd, 2023 at 8:23 PM ^

The NCAA execs sitting around a giant solid oak table scratching there heads and asses for ideas until one of them pipes up:

"Oh Oh , I know let's remove the white stripes off the football like NFL, that damn white paint makes the ball heavier when carried and slows down the ball while in the air, we'd shave a significant amount of game time if we did that". Everyone else claps and says "Brilliant"!

This is basically the NCAA. 

bronxblue

February 22nd, 2023 at 11:10 PM ^

Yeah, I was listening to some podcast where they discussed those rule changes and they just blithely accepted that games with more commercials ended about the same as games with fewer commercials, a comically insane statement to make.

I guess I get the running clock other than the last 2 minutes of a half; that's what they do in the NFL.  But not clocking it after incompletions fundamentally changes games and doesn't seem for the better.  For example, one of the big coaching "gambles" guys had to make late in close games if they were leading was throwing for a first down versus running the ball and draining more clock.  But if you get a run off either way teams will just run around with the ball and then throw it into the dirt to run clock.  And on the other side, guys rushing up to the line won't get time to regroup except after first downs, which will undoubtedly lead to more chaos.

In general there are too many commercials in sports and I'd rather the NCAA focus on in-game sponsors, patches, etc. instead of trying to wring 6 more minutes of shitty ad time out of a game.

BornInAA

February 22nd, 2023 at 11:19 PM ^

I don't know why the Big Ten (that has it's own network) just doesn't charge $20 per pay per view on demand game. Then run the game with no commercials. Then also offer a $5 option with commercials. The game would not be paused at the stadium, commercials are added after.

This is what other streamers do. I would pay $20 a game for no commercials and on-demand.

Didn't get grill started on time? Avoid media and start the noon game at 1pm. No commercials, done watching in 2 hours.

matty blue

February 23rd, 2023 at 6:11 AM ^

yah, dellenger spoke at length (ha!) about the game-length discussions on the podcast he does with pat forde and dan wetzel, and most of it was about the marginal crap of first downs before the five-minute mark in a half, icing the kicker, blah blah blah, and only barely mentioning the freaking commercial breaks that have gotten both more frequent and (seemingly) way longer. i felt like i was taking crazy pills.

that podcast is usually pretty good, too - irreverent and smart - but dellenger does tend to be something of an establishment honk, and it was disappointing to not hear wetzel and forde guffawing at the water-carrying.

MgofanNC

February 23rd, 2023 at 10:45 AM ^

I also love that pod and am generally a big fan of Wetzel and Forde (can take or leave Ross). I think they did (briefly) mention commercial breaks and recognized that it was a sacred cow and there really wasn't much else to say there. I mean what else is there really to say... commercial breaks absolutely suck; having less football to get in more ads sucks even more; no one in a position to prevent that is EVER going to suggest fewer ads when there is money to be made. 

One of the running subpoints of that pod is that the fans and their experience/enjoyment of watching the sport is often the last consideration/completely unconsidered by the folks running the sport (see some of their discussion of conference realignment). That they hit that so often and so clearly is one of my favorite parts about the pod. 

I think it was Wetzel who mentioned that DII games are shorter and someone (I think Forde) mentioned HS games aren't anywhere close to as long as the 3:21 of FBS games, so it was brought up but not drilled on. 

Durham Blue

February 23rd, 2023 at 8:50 AM ^

Don't mess with the current college football rules.  They are FINE.  Agreed with everything Brian said.  I DVR games and let them run for about 45 minutes before I hit play just so I can get into the third quarter without having to suffer through the first half commercials and halftime.  It partially saves my sanity.

PeteM

February 23rd, 2023 at 9:57 AM ^

I haven't read the filings, but from a practical standpoint I really wonder if treating athletes as employees will benefit most athletes.  Assume the wrestling team budget is $750k/year (no idea if that's realistic) and the team has about 20 athletes who will now received 15k each in compensation.  Will the colleges simply increase the team's budget by $300k, or will they reduce the number of scholarships and size of coaching staffs (or just cut the sport entirely)? My suspicion is that at many schools it will be the latter.

willirwin1778

February 23rd, 2023 at 10:23 AM ^

Regarding the Philly Job and Minter.  It sounds like Leonhard took his name out of the running because he needs to recover from a leg surgery this season.  

If Harbaugh really thought he was a good fit, it seems like this would be a rare scenario in which you could reach out to Leonhard now and put him on a retainer/consultancy contract for one season (during recovery) with hopes that in the off chance you had openings after 2023 he would be a top list candidate familiar with the Michigan defense. 

Long story short, generally speaking it might be wise to get creative in our preparation for coaching turnover in an effort to make it as seamless as possible.  

  

Nickel

February 23rd, 2023 at 11:00 AM ^

The increasing game lengths due to commercials is really getting intolerable. I've even found myself watching more games from home rather than joining the local alumni club because by the time I drive there, watch the game and drive back it can be a 6 hour endeavour.

That said, how do you get organizations (NCAA, the conferences, the individual schools, etc.) to willingly accept less money which would be the case if they cut down on the number of commercials? I just don't see when the situation gets resolved in favor of the fan experience, particularly for those of you who go to the games in person.

Packer487

February 23rd, 2023 at 12:57 PM ^

I can't find the article right now, but one of the NHL sites like CapFriendly had a breakdown of Portillo. He played an extra year of juniors, so he is able to become a free agent after this year. It was weird though because it was something along the lines of:
June 1 2023 - Aug 30 2023: Free Agent

Sept 1 2023 - July 31: Sabres have his rights again

Aug 1 2024 forward: UFA

I wonder if the "after he leaves school" comes into play there. Like he could leave school after our season and become a free agent 30 days later, but then if he returns to school he's back as a Sabres prospect. 

Nar had a comment during the at PSU series Portillo missed to the effect of "He won't be here next year [so it's good to get to play West]" so I assume the plan for some time has been that he won't return.

That said it'll be interesting to see if 6'6 and talented outweighs "He can no longer catch the puck, loses his stick 3-4 times a game, and frequently looks in the wrong direction" for NHL teams. I suspect he'll still have several contract offers because he was excellent last year and has been at times this year. Some weiiiird stuff in his game right now though.