Unverified Voracity Cut Half The Team! Comment Count

Brian

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yes, i am available to give your Blue Ribbon Committee a sheen of respectability

I mean it wasn't going to be any different. The NCAA's Look We Hired Condi Rice Again commission has delivered their deliverable, a 52-page report about "putting the 'college' back in college basketball." As with all these things it's more of a CYA activity than a genuine attempt to address the problems inherent in a system that prohibits compensation for people who other folks would really like to compensate. Some major takeaways include "end one and done"—which the NCAA has no control over—and "enforce rules better"—good luck.

But! Even in this document there are some grudging concessions:

Rice expressed tacit approval for providing athletes with a cut of the commercial use of their names, images and likenesses, which is currently before courts.

“Most commissioners believe that the rules on name, image and likeness should be taken up as soon as the legal framework is established,” she said. “It is hard for the public, and frankly for me, to understand what can be allowed with the college model — for the life of me I don’t understand the difference between Olympic payments and participation in ‘Dancing With the Stars’ — and what can’t be allowed without opening the door to professionalizing college basketball.”

Unfortunately, the "professionalizing college basketball" has already happened in every meaningful way. TV now dictates game times. Revenue is ruthlessly maximized. Players get more or less cut annually. The only way in which college basketball has not professionalized is in the literal paying of their workers, so we get all the downsides of it without even the compensation of thinking "well, at least it's sort of fair now."

The NCAA will not meaningfully change in the near future unless Jeffrey Kessler's lawsuit is an end-of-Cretaceous event.

"These are great, and no one is holding a gun to my head." The National Association of Basketball Coaches has issued walking orders for the rank and file:

Under the heading “A Message to NCAA Men’s Basketball Coaches," the document signed by NABC executive director Jim Haney and deputy director Reggie Minton declares, “In short, it is imperative that the Commission’s recommendations be met with unequivocal support from each of us.”

The NABC even listed a series of “Key Talking Points” for members to follow.

— “Change was necessary, and we knew that change was coming. As coaches on the front lines, we are uniquely positioned to offer valuable insight as the Commission’s recommendations progress through the legislative process.”
— “As coaches, we are committed to working with the NCAA in evaluating the recommendations and will provide appropriate input as legislation is drafted.”
— “We are appreciative of the Commission’s efforts to address necessary change, and for welcoming the input of the NABC.

The commission doesn't actually advocate any meaningful change. Coaches are currently the main beneficiaries of amateurism and must support a document that waves hands at everyone around the sport without actually affecting their bottom lines. But they have to make it look like they are supporting Change, Which Is Good.

The stick and ball games are doing fairly well. Softball is currently on a 14-game winning streak, which isn't that unusual. Freshman pitcher Meghan Beaubien is crushing the competition:

Beaubien, who leads the nation in wins, improved to 27-2 and lowered her ERA to 0.74, which is sixth in the NCAA. She threw a one-hitter against Maryland on Friday, striking out seven in seven innings in a 6-0 win.

One thing that is unusual: there's a Big Ten team within shouting distance. Softball takes on Indiana in a critical three game series this weekend; the Hoosiers are just a half-game back.

Another thing that's unusual: that's not the longest winning streak on south campus in late April. Baseball is up to 20 straight, largely because Eric Bakich pulled off an unprecedented recruiting class:

ANN ARBOR -- The 2017 recruiting class for Michigan's baseball team was the highest ranked ever for a Big Ten team.

Its 10th overall ranking by Baseball America and Collegiate Baseball Newspaper created high expectations for the 13 incoming freshmen and two junior college transfers.

With the Wolverines coming off a 42-win season, their first 40-win season since 2008, many of the newcomers would be counted on to fill key roles after the team lost 15 players from last season, including a program-record 11 MLB Draft picks.

Although some of them struggled to start the season when the team lost 11 of its first 15 games, the freshmen, most notably pitchers Ben Dragani, Jeff Criswell and Angelo Smith, along with first baseman Jesse Franklin and outfielder Jordan Nwogu, have been key contributors during the Wolverines' 20-game win streak, the program's longest since 1987.

The pressure is still on because of that rough start. Baseball bracketologists usually have Michigan in the field but as one of the last four teams.

Another transfer pass. Sophomore SG Austin Reaves is leaving Wichita State and has mentioned Michigan amongst 22 schools in contact, leading to the usual "!?!??" articles and message board threads about the possibility of adding him. Folks, Reaves is Just A Shooter who must sit a year before playing two.

Does Michigan need a 6'5" JAS shooting guard? Not really. Would he be better than Adrien Nunez? Maybe, maybe not. Would Reaves occupy a 2019 scholarship in a class that's looking like 2 or 3 tops? Yes.

This one is better than the sit-one-play-two guy with a 102 ORTG in the NEC, at least. Reaves is still not a fit unless Michigan wants to stop swinging at the top 50 guys in the 2019 class they seem to have a lot of traction with.

Quite a disconnect. Most Michigan fans high fived themselves when they saw next year's single plays

MICHIGAN
Home: Nebraska, Ohio State, Purdue
Away: Illinois, Iowa, Rutgers
Home/Away: Indiana, Maryland, Michigan State, Minnesota, Northwestern, Penn State, Wisconsin

…and so did the MGoSlack. Skipping road games against two of the four tourney teams from last year and one of the two NIT teams seems pretty good. But not so much, says Bart Torvik:

Best guess at the discrepancy: Michigan misses three of the easiest games in league play. From a tourney resume perspective that's good; from a league title perspective not so much. At least this year the 20 game schedule means the schedule gap is significantly smaller than it was a year ago, when MSU was handed a dubious banner.

Again, small hockey schools can pound sand. Niagara fired its hockey coach and replaced him. His first act? Cutting eight guys. Eight! Niagara says they'll honor scholarship commitments, largely because they have to say that, but chances are these guys are headed elsewhere. It's one thing to have to squeeze out another year of junior for a player because of college hockey's crazy recruiting environment. Cutting eight guys is entirely another. This only happens in college hockey because you can import a bunch of 21-year-old freshman-type substances, another small-school innovation.

This is not an isolated incident. When UMass-Amherst cut ~nine guys last year. When you hear people complaining about Michigan flipping recruits, tell 'em to get stuffed! Get stuffed, I say!

Etc.: Don't click here. Intact coaching staff? Wagner scouted. Economist makes the case that the sports EMU is cutting are actually profitable for the school because it is not full on students. Maybe it's okay the USMNT didn't make the World Cup! /sits weeping in corner

Comments

yossarians tree

April 25th, 2018 at 4:09 PM ^

Aprapos of nothing but since you mentioned soccer (no expert here, admittedly), thought I'd mention I saw a German league game the other day and holy shit, Christian Pulisic was not just holding his own, he is a star. And holy holy shit that's the first I've ever heard or seen of Jadon Sancho. Eighteen year old English national born to parents from Trinidad. The kid is amazing! He was dominant, and there were some major players out there like Reus and Gotze. English fans must be ecstatic. They have their new superstar it appears.

TrueBlue2003

April 25th, 2018 at 6:56 PM ^

I assume the premise there is that because players aren't being paid, the coaches salaries get inflated and I have to disagree with that.  Elite coaches and their ability to win fills seats and makes a lot of money for universities.  That would still be the case if players were being paid.  The marginal value of a great coach compared to a good coach would still be in the millions.  The market for coaches is essentially a free and fair one and I don't think college coaches are paid meaningfully more than their market values.

The main beneficiaries of the current model have to be the tens of thousands of other scholarship athletes that play non-revenue sports or for small schools but are compensated with scholarships (plus the massive amounts of money spent on those facilities, travel, etc).  Revenue sports and hence revenue athletes subsidize non-revenue athletes.  It's pretty much as simple as that, right?

Non-revenue athletes would be the only people materially affected if college athletes were allowed to be paid what the market bears because capital would simply shift towards compensating revenue athletes and other sports would be eliminated.

I don't think that's an argument against (even though the NCAA makes it) paying atheletes.  I think they should get paid. In fact, I don't know why anyone would fight so hard to limit the pay of revenue athletes for the sake of providing charity to wrestlers and softball players, but that's what the system does.

(and for the record, I realize that wrestlers and softball players work really hard and spend of lot of time on their sports but if the market isn't willing pay you for doing it - which it isn't - it's just a hobby. Spending a lot of time doing something does not justify being compensated for it.)

Farnn

April 25th, 2018 at 9:03 PM ^

It's a commonly held belief that the majority of the revenue from football/basketball goes to cover other sports and it's just not true. 

There are about 1000 scholarship athletes at Michigan, and many of them aren't on full scholarship but for the sake of making it easy let's assume they are.  The university pays full cost of attendance which is currently listed as $62k for out of state.  I believe an additional stipend was just allowed so lets say they spend $70k per student.  That comes out to only $70 million of the $170 million the athletic department brought in last year.

There is easily money available at a school like Michigan to pay players who bring in the majority of that $170 million, but to make it look like there isn't, athletic departments are spending it as fast as they can.  New facilities, higher salaries, more coaches, more support staff, anything they can think of to prevent a huge surplus from showing up in their books.

When coaches like Jim McElwain, Butch Jones, and Bielema are recieving a combined $20 million in severance, there is money to pay the players.

TrueBlue2003

April 26th, 2018 at 1:13 AM ^

of the scholarships, which is a fraction of the operating expenses of the athletic dept.  The cost of supporting the operations, coaches, staff, trainers, travel, facilities, etc of 20+ non-revenue sports is another huge, HUGE chunk of that $170 million dollars.  How much do you think it costs to fly 1,000 atheletes around to competitions all year? How about the pools and gymnasiums and ground crews and the rest of what gets spent on non-revenue sports? Not to mention the staff, facilities, operating expenses of the Big House and Crisler to support the making of that $170 million.

And the money spent on coaches for the revenue sports is not significantly inflated.  It's a massive competitive advantage to have good coaching and the market would bear the kind of salaries they make whether players are being paid or not.  A single win in college football is worth an estimated $3 million (link) to a big AD. If a coach is good enough (and the best ones are) to win just two more games compared to a donkey, he's worth $6 million.

Think about it.  If college coaches were paid significantly more than they were worth, no one would coach in the NFL, they'd all coach in college and collect the premium.  But there is no college coaching premium and coaches move back and forth between college and NFL the way one would expect if both market are paying essentially fair salaries. In fact, Jim Harbaugh is giving his his alma mater a hometown discount.

Is there some money to pay the athletes marginally more?  Absolutely.  But if they actually paid players what they were worth, it would necessarily mean, they couldn't spend much if anything on non-revenue sports (and again, I'm totally fine with that) and the coaches salaries certainly wouldn't come down.  It's an absolute arms race for coaches that can produce another win or two (and hence prove another $3-6 million marginal value). 

 

echoWhiskey

April 25th, 2018 at 4:25 PM ^

Surprised you didn't comment on the draft and agent recommendations in the report. They seem to be significant improvements: 1) If you don't get drafted you can retain your college eligibility. Of course this needs to be better defined, but that's a better situation for the player. 2) Contact with agents no longer has to be under the table. Again, needs to be defined, but that is one of the major sources of corruption currently. They passed the buck on the payment issue, but understandable given the current status of that in court.

AZBlue

April 25th, 2018 at 5:54 PM ^

with those draft rules. With the average MBB player signing so early you could have lots of situations where a team would have to “cut” a player. I.e. Matthews declares next year - doesn’t get drafted but Beilein has filled his spot.

I suppose you could work a deal where

#1 - you can only return to school one time after failing to be drafted (I think a similar restriction exists currently on the “enter for consideration without an agent” from what I read regarding Mo this year.) and

#2. Allowing a waiver of some sort to go over the limit by 1 (same number of eligible to play players) for one year in the case of a return from the draft with some sort of limit on how often the waiver could be used. Would have to be planned and written carefully as coaches will figure how to exploit it.

Bigger picture I think Brian’s concept of the Hockey/Baseball-style model would be better allowing players to be drafted and “stashed” in college until they are ready but this would require a lot more cooperation between the NCAA and NBA (and G league).

echoWhiskey

April 26th, 2018 at 12:17 PM ^

I agree that it would take some thought to deal with the "dead" time between declaring and the draft. But in general I'm less concerned with the school in this situation than the player. Right now - though it's better than it was - you see players making decisions based on bad advice and then they're SOL when it doesn't work. Why punish a player for getting bad advice? If they're truly student-athletes and we're concerned with their futures more than their ability to help/hurt their team (we should be), let them continue to further their education. And really we're only talking about extending the current deadline by about a month, so it's not much different than what schools already deal with. I also agree that a draft and follow concept sounds better in theory, but as you mention, it requires a lot more coordination and cooperation with the pro leagues.

mgobaran

April 26th, 2018 at 8:45 AM ^

The amount of #5 Jerseys worn with and without Peppers name on it, and a total of $0 went to him. Why can't EA pay student athletes for their likeness? Why can't Mo Hurst do a commerical for Varsity Ford? Why can't players get paid for NCAA sanctioned autograph events? 

Even if you don't want the NCAA to pay students their fair cut of the millions of dollars generated from Football and Basketball, at least allow a guy/girl to profit from their likeness in a free market. 

 

mgobaran

April 26th, 2018 at 12:33 PM ^

The argument is "well a booster can pay or promise to pay $50,000 for a jersey to push a kid to his school", in which case I will say the kid is getting the $50,000 now, but the booster doesn't even get jersey out of the deal and the US government isn't getting the taxes on the deal.

Feat of Clay

April 26th, 2018 at 11:48 AM ^

As a squirrel has now pointed out, Economist guy sourced his tuition numbers from some third-party site which wasn't up to date 100%

EMU eliminated nonresident tuition differentials in 2016.  He may tweak his numbers going forward.