Basketbullets: DJ's Versatility, Irvin At The Rim, Walton The Specialist Comment Count

Ace

DJ Versatile, Part One


Illinois couldn't keep DJ Wilson off the glass. [Marc-Gregor Campredon]

In Michigan's seven conference games, DJ Wilson is second on the team in scoring, first in rebounding, third in assists, and first in blocks. The efficiency numbers look even better than the counting stats: Wilson leads the Big Ten in O-Rating, ranks third in 2P%, 3P%, and eFG%, has the second-lowest turnover rate, and is top-25 in offensive rebound and block rates. Over the course of the season, he's gone from being most notable for his short shorts to being the most important—and perhaps outright best—player on the Wolverines.

Wilson bounced back from a scoreless foul-out against Wisconsin with a complete, dominant outing against Illinois: 19 points (6/8 2P, 1/2 3P, 4/6 FT), six rebounds (five offensive), five assists, no turnovers, a block, and two fouls in 39 minutes. Illini coach John Groce was duly impressed:

“I thought they beat us up on the glass, and obviously DJ Wilson spearheaded that. I thought he was absolutely terrific today. To be honest with you, he was pretty good in game one, too, when you look at his stat line. Today, he hurt us on the glass. Assuming that none of his five assists contributed to threes, he basically produced 29 points minimum for their team with his assists and his scoring.* That’s right at probably half of their production. That’s his energy level on the backboard, his willingness to make the extra pass, make his team better. I just thought he was absolutely terrific in the game. Thought he was a real, real difference.”

Let's start with Wilson's work on the boards. He grabbed six offensive rebounds for the second time this season (Iowa); excluding those two games, however, he hadn't surpassed two since the second game of the season. After the game, John Beilein mentioned he's been hammering home a specific coaching point with Wilson:

He can really shoot, but he’s got to understand, if we’re going to win, if he wants to play at another level, he’s got to mix it up inside. And he’s very receptive to that coaching, but the habit is to drift out. And getting in there, that’s where he gets stuff.

Wilson played with more aggression against Illinois and reaped the rewards. Incidentally, the threat of his outside shot is part of what makes him such a dangerous offensive rebounder. Take his first-half tip-slam, for example. Wilson is parked in the near-side corner while Zak Irvin and Moe Wagner run a high pick-and-roll. With Irvin a legitimate threat to drive and Wilson a legitimate threat on a catch-and-shoot, Wilson's defender, Leron Black—who's Illinois' best rebounder—ends up stuck in no-man's land. Black keeps his eyes on Irvin while shuffling back towards Wilson, except Wilson recognizes the opportunity and sneaks down the baseline:

That wasn't the only time Illinois had trouble picking up Wilson when he crashed from the perimeter:

If you feel like you've seen this before, Glenn Robinson III's putbacks came in similar fashion. Wilson is much bigger; he's also a better outside shooter. After this performance, he should be the second man hitting the boards much more often.

*Two of Wilson's assists did, in fact, contribute to three-pointers, so you can increment that up to 31 points produced.

[Hit THE JUMP for more DJ, a surprising Zak Irvin stat, and more.]

DJ Versatile, Part Two

Hello:

That is a play that elicits lofty comparisons. Brian, in this week's podcast, let "MJ" slip, and I instantly knew the play in question; MLive's Brendan Quinn likened it to a Dr. J move when we both guested on Mike Spath's WTKA show Tuesday morning. That's not to say Wilson is either of those basketball gods, of course. I'm still quite interested in seeing him work off the dribble more.

DJ Versatile, Part Three


Wilson can up his assist total with more drive-and-kicks. [Campredon]

More Beilein on Wilson:

And to have a kid like that, look at his assist-to-turnover ratio right now as a stretch ‘4’, it’s a really high number for him, so we can do more things through him, play him at both sides of the court, do a lot of things in the future.

Wilson admitted after the game that he was a little fortunate to get five assists; a couple came on dribble handoffs, another on a swing-around-the-arc pass to Walton that I'd file under generous home-court statkeeping. His other two, however, were worth a closer look.

The first shows one of the benefits of having five outside shooting threats on the floor. Michigan essentially goes five out—Wagner is a step inside the arc, in position to set a high screen—and when MAAR slips his man, there's nobody in the paint to prevent a layup:

There's nothing Illinois can do about that play once MAAR's defender is beaten; Walton's man could slide down from the corner to help but then he's giving up a wide open corner three to a deadeye shooter—he's better off conceding the layup and not risking an and-one.

The other assist of note came when Michigan utilized Wilson as a zone-beater. The Wolverines have had trouble cracking zone defenses at times this season, but when Illinois played a 2-3 zone, Wilson did a textbook job of breaking it down. He found the soft spot in the middle, made himself an easy target, and knew exactly where to look—and how quickly to act—when the defense collapsed on him:

Wilson, at his best, is even more of a matchup problem than Wagner. He's showing his best more often these days; I expect to see a lot more of it going forward.

Stat of the Week: Irvin at the Rim

I was looking over Michigan's hoop-math page and damn near keeled over when I noticed this: Zak Irvin has made 39 of his 45 attempts at the rim this season; only nine of those were assisted; only nine (out of 11 attempts) have come in transition. Yes, Zak Irvin—that Zak Irvin—is consistently finishing at the rim in halfcourt sets.

No Michigan non-center has broken 80% at the rim over a full season since GRIII hit 83.3% in 2013-14, and 60.0% of GRIII's makes at the rim that season were assisted. Caris LeVert is the only recent Wolverine to approach that level of efficiency while creating so many of his at-the-rim shots on his own. To say the least, this is a significant development from where Irvin began his career, and even compared to last season:

  % shots at rim FG% at rim % assisted at rim
2013-14 5.1% 100% 60.0%
2014-15 17.0% 56.5% 28.2%
2015-16 18.1% 71.4% 36.0%
2016-17 17.9% 86.7% 23.1%

Irvin's recent three-point struggles have masked some real improvement in his game. At this point, the offense goes through him more than it does Walton. Here's a two-game sample of what he's been able to create in the last two games:

There are some ugly turnovers in there, sure, but those are more excusable when Irvin is taking on so much of the shot creation and late-clock offense. The turnover complaints ring a bit hollow when they regard the highest-usage player on one of the most turnover-averse teams in the country. He's not an above-the-rim player—I don't recall the last time he dunked in a halfcourt set—but he's learned how to use his strength to clear space at the rim, and that pet midrange pull-up of his has become a reliable-enough weapon that opponents are having a tough time preventing it without giving up a lane to the hoop.

A Very Particular Set of Skills


Gunning; lurking. [Campredon]

While Derrick Walton is still shooting a hair below 40% inside the arc, he's playing the most efficient basketball of his career by focusing on his strengths. Walton has more free-throw attempts (68) than two-point attempts (63) this season. His ability to draw contact and his superlative shooting from the charity stripe make up for his iffy finishing at the basket.

With Irvin (and Wagner/Wilson) shouldering a greater shot-creation load, Walton has been able to focus on what he does best: spotting up and firing away. Per UMHoops, he's been the best catch-and-shoot player in the conference with at least 70 attempts:

On the other end of the floor, Walton is proving that his surprisingly high defensive rebounding numbers from the last two years were no fluke. He pulled down 11 boards against Illinois and provided a moment of levity postgame when asked how he was able to grab that many:

“Credit to Coach Sanderson. I think I’ve got a nice little vertical.”

Walton's deadpan game is top-notch. After finishing 14th in the Big Ten in defensive rebound rate last year, he's 12th this season at an even 20.0%. He's not a traditional point guard. With other players helping to fill that role, however, he's found other ways to make a big contribution to the team.

#FreeTeske Update


In the wild. [Campredon]

The blown boxouts against Wisconsin weren't enough to drop Mark Donnal behind Jon Teske; Donnal was the first Wolverine off the bench against Illinois, coming in when Wagner picked up an early foul at the 16:50 mark. Once again, however, he failed to have a positive impact. Donnal's lone shot attempt was the layup provided to him by Wilson. He picked up four fouls in nine minutes. Illini backup big man Mike Thorne went 2-for-2 from the floor with Donnal in the game and 1-for-4 otherwise; one of those makes was a brutal and-one:

I kinda feel bad posting that, to be honest, but it's such a bad play for a senior to make. Donnal bites on the pump fake, commits an obvious foul, and instead of ensuring that Thorne can't get a clean shot off he does everything in his power to avoid contact even though he's already been whistled for the foul. I mean...

...I've never seen anything quite like that. That play was especially galling given what Beilein told the team in his pregame pep talk. I transcribed this from the latest Inside Michigan Basketball episode—it's the opening segment and worth a watch if you've got the time:

“You’ve got to play physically without careless fouling. It’s okay to foul if it’s something that’s not careless. Putting your hand on their back when you’re fronting them is stupid. Reaching in away from the ball when you don’t have a chance at getting it is careless. That’s what I’m talking about. But we’ve got to have boxouts—I don’t care about a boxout foul, if it’s like this [shoving motion] that’s careless, if you knock them down [aggressive boxout motion] that’s a good foul. We’ve got to get that done. We’ve got to be physical without the stupid fouls.”

Beilein practically screamed the "it's okay to foul" bit. Donnal's play was worst-case: he committed an unnecessary foul and compounded the error by not playing physical enough to prevent a made basket anyway. Given the boxout example was almost assuredly a result of Donnal's errors against Wisconsin, one has to wonder how much patience Beilein has left for his backup big man.

Donnal's foul trouble allowed Teske to see the floor for a one-minute cameo. In that one minute, he forced a turnover on Malcolm Hill by being large and in the right place:

Teske still looks a little lost on the offensive end, but with Donnal not providing much on that end of the floor either, it's becoming difficult to justify the current pecking order.

That doesn't mean Beilein hasn't made an adjustment, however: after hanging right around the 50% mark in non-conference play, Wagner is logging 71% of the available minutes against Big Ten teams. He's managed to stay out of serious foul trouble save for the game at Wisconsin—which comes with a "Kohl Center whistle" caveat—and if that continues, he should keep getting the lion's share of the minutes. The question, at this point, is who should spot Wagner when he needs the occasional breather; I think I've pummeled this deceased horse enough for you to know my preference.

Bracket Update: Bouncing Back

As of last night, Michigan was among the first four teams out of the field on the Bracket Matrix, and they've improved their standing from last week. After appearing on only 20 of the 76 brackets in last week's update, the Wolverines were included in 32 as of yesterday evening, including 9/18 that were updated yesterday.

Last night's action—namely, Michigan State losing at home to Purdue and Marquette knocking off #1 Villanova—will help Michigan move up further. CBS's Jerry Palm put Michigan as a nine-seed in today's bracketology update and didn't include MSU, which is currently a nine-seed on the Bracket Matrix. A win against Indiana on Thursday should get M back in most of the projected fields.

Audio #Content

As mentioned above, I joined Mike Spath's Inside The Huddle show on WTKA yesterday for the media roundtable along with MLive's Brendan Quinn. Mike and I talked football for the first segment while awaiting Quinn's arrival; you can hear our thoughts on which players from each side of the ball will be toughest to replace here. That discussion leaks into the second segment, then hoops talk starts at the 3:55 mark; we discuss the recent defensive surge, Beilein's unusual handling of the freshmen in body-bag games, the high workload for the starters, DJ Wilson as the team's best player, and the path to a tourney bid:

Comments

Michifornia

January 25th, 2017 at 12:10 PM ^

I thought for sure it was going to be a discussion on why he can barely touch the rim.  Kidding aside, I much prefer him driving to the basket than shooting jumpshots!

SanDiegoBlue

January 25th, 2017 at 1:13 PM ^

It does seem that Irvin has never regained his explosiveness.  I seem to remember him having a few emphatic dunks, before back problems/surgery.  Now, I remember a few blown dunks early on, and more recently lay-ups/weaker dunks when open...  I wonder if that is just something that never really healed.  Too bad, as I think it adds to what seems to be a class of Jr/Sr. who have not really progressed much in their time here.

TrueBlue2003

January 26th, 2017 at 12:00 AM ^

about remembering some really emphatic dunks his freshman and sophomore years and getting excited about his length and athleticism.  But those parts of his game seem to have plateau'd or even trailed off, and you make a great point.  Injuries may have something to do with it.

theytookourjobs

January 25th, 2017 at 12:27 PM ^

If you're reading this, you have 12 guaranteed games left to make an impact and possibly not be remembered as the softest/weakest player in the history of Michigan basketball.  Please wake up, nut up, be a man and finish your career here with a purpose.

hailtothevictors08

January 25th, 2017 at 2:09 PM ^

Classy 

Sure, I wouldn't mind if Beilein gave Teske more run, but from all reports I have heard around campus, Donnal is a really good kid. Sometimes in sports, things don't always work out. That doesn't mean you should disparage the kid as weak. What does be a man mean anyway? I cannot see how you aren't using it in a horridly sexist manner. 

This place becomes more like MLIVE/RCMB every day. 

 

theytookourjobs

January 25th, 2017 at 9:23 PM ^

And get off your high horse.  I never said anything about the type of kid he is.  He has played incredibly weak basketball during his career.  Also, the phrase "be a man" means exactly that.  I can tell however by your ridiculously melodramatic response that you wouldn't understand.  Now go polish all your participant trophies.

 

hailtothevictors08

January 26th, 2017 at 11:27 AM ^

I knew exactly what you meant. You are implying that to be a "real man," you must show this innate dominating quality, while also implying at the same time that women do not have this characteristic.

 
As far as participation trophies, I am not a fan. I think it is ok to teach kids about winning and losing. My basic argument is Donnal has already won by being a student athlete at this university, that he owes you nothing, and that women can be tough as nails as well.

theytookourjobs

January 26th, 2017 at 12:42 PM ^

Players don't owe fans anything.  They do however, owe it to themselves and their teammates to give everything they have when they are competing.  If you watch someone's entire collegiate career and know anything about athletics, you get a pretty good sense of whether a certain player has done that or has not.  Also, get over the "be a man" thing.  It's a figure of speech for Christ's sake.  You seem intelligent enough not to take a figure of speech so literally.

Bertello NC

January 26th, 2017 at 2:40 PM ^

Well.. I think the result is not to a lot of fans liking. I think a lot of fans believe his play should be better after being in the program for so long. IMO, Donnal probably will not get much better. He probably, most likely, will not get more physical or tenacious than he is right now. He is who he is and he's maxed out. Donnal, coming in, has always had a lower ceiling.



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theytookourjobs

January 26th, 2017 at 2:43 PM ^

I don't believe he gives max effort because he is weak and needs to be challenged/motivated.  If you put your feelings aside momentarily and consider that possibility, I think you'd realize it's not that uncommon in young men.  Unfortunately, I don't think our head coach is much good at challenging/motivating anymore.  It is certainly an opinion, and not one that you have to agree with.  I would not consider my original comment to be unclassy, but that is also an opinion we seem to disagree upon

Mgostats

January 25th, 2017 at 12:49 PM ^

Had to register and put in a word on behalf of the basketball stat crew (of which I'm a member).  I can assure you that we do not have a reputation of being "generous" with doling out assists (or any other individual stat, for that matter).  All of Wilson's assists were legit per the NCAA Statisticians' Manual.  Of greater significance in the Illinois game is that there were only 8 assists on 23 made baskets (the opposite extreme was the game against Maryland-Eastern Shore when there were 28 assists on 34 made baskets). 

DowntownLJB

January 25th, 2017 at 1:40 PM ^

It's nice to see Irvin scoring so effectively at the rim (occasional ugly turnovers from out-of-control dribbles notwithstanding), which makes me wonder how much of last season's rim struggles were because of the back issues.

 

That Teske play where he got a turnover by being large and in the right place?  Great on-the-floor coaching from DJ in that clip, or JT wouldn't have been in the right place.

 

ETA: I enjoyed this article - thank you.

I Bleed Maize N Blue

January 25th, 2017 at 2:47 PM ^

If Donnal as a senior is going in and making mistakes, I'd rather live with Teske making freshman mistakes - he can learn from those, and at 7' he can alter shots & grab rebounds much better than Donnal.

TrueBlue2003

January 26th, 2017 at 12:43 AM ^

Everyone needs to stop with the whole "get him in the game so he can learn" thing. Just because WE don't see Teske play, doesn't mean he's not practicing with the team 3-4 hours PER DAY or whoever much time they put in.

He'll make mistakes there and learn plenty.  Giving him 10 minutes in a game for an additional 20 minutes of playing time won't move the needle on the learning curve compared to the 1000+ minutes they're practicing every week.

And it's not like football in which practices rarely run at full speed and it's hard to simulate game speed.  Large chunks of basketball practices run at game speed.  When he's ready in practice to be more effective than Donnal, then put him in.  But if he's not, the cost of playing him far outweighs any benefits of the tiny "learning" factor.

EDIT: If we weren't fighting for a tourney bid and were rebuilding like Iowa with no chance at the tourney, then yes, put him in.  But there are stakes.

Bertello NC

January 26th, 2017 at 7:12 AM ^

YES. YES. YES.
Nothing anyone brings to the table will change how I feel about the Donnal vs Teske argument. Idgaf about moving needles and practice time. The fact of the matter is to be perfectly honest, Teske does a better job while he's in the game than Donnal does. And what happens if someone were to get injured? A 7 footer shelved away down on the bench because you wanted him to make mistakes in practice and not get important on the job training. End of story.



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TrueBlue2003

January 27th, 2017 at 1:39 AM ^

So in his 9 (!!!) minutes of Big Ten play, six of which were in mop up time in blowouts against walk-ons, you think he's been better than Donnal?  His 1-6 FG shooting on the season (!!!) is impressing you so much that he should be pushing for playing time?

What happens if someone gets injured?  Same thing that always happens in sports!  He moves up a spot and has to step it up.  That's never a reason to play your inferior player over a perfectly healthy superior player.  Should Michigan have played O'Korn at QB in close, important conference games over a healthy Speight, just to get him experience in case Speight gets hurt?  Absolutely not!  You don't know much about sports, man.

The fact you're claiming to know better than the coaches who they should be playing perfectly sums up your ignorance here, and no point in arguing with the irrational anymore.

 

I Bleed Maize N Blue

January 26th, 2017 at 3:14 PM ^

Practice at game speed is still against your own team and is not the same as playing a different team in an actual game.

The way Donnal was physically on the court but not mentally in the game is benchworthy (and defending against some players in the post, it seems like he's not even physically there). And he's been worse this season compared to last. It's time or even past time to give Teske more minutes. Maybe Teske fucks up in different ways, but it seems on the whole not much different than Donnal fucking up, and Teske has more upside.

TrueBlue2003

January 27th, 2017 at 1:44 AM ^

benchings.  Absolutely, when you don't play hard like those box outs, you need to get yanked.  That goes for anyone at any position.  The fact that Beilein had to say recently that he needs to consider sitting veterans down for poor effort or focus shocked me.  That needed to be done already.

My argument is against giving Teske the regular #2 center minutes as was suggested. He shouldn't play over Donnal until he's actually better than Donnal (which he is not).  The coaches know who to play to give the team the best chance of winning and that's what we need to do this year.  We don't need to watch freshmen play through freshmen mistakes and give our team a worse chance of losing.

champswest

January 25th, 2017 at 2:59 PM ^

you can make a valid case for Wilson as MVP. Prior to the start of the season when we were discussing his move to the 4, many were questioning if he would be good enough there to give us meaningful minutes. He has certainly answered that quetion.

Fishbulb

January 25th, 2017 at 3:23 PM ^

Irvin isn't an above-the-rim player. He's not even an at-the-rim player. He's below the rim and his old-man game can be effective if properly utilized. Good Irvin will avoid driving into multiple defenders, leverage you to the basket, and finish an old school layup. Good Irvin will take a hard dribble towards the basket off a high screen and end up shooting a 15-footer. Good Irvin will hit Mo off of that screen for an easy layup. Bad Irvin will drive into multiple defenders. Bad Irvin will take that high screen away from the basket and shoot a long contested 2. Bad Irvin won't see Mo or the pass will be late. More Good Irvin, please.



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still-one

January 25th, 2017 at 3:28 PM ^

I have no idea where they come up with Irvin's numbers regarding finishing at the rim.  I guess they don't count it if you are driving to the rim in crunch time and you lose control or throw the ball away on a stupid pass.  The man should not have the ball in his hands when it counts but should be ready to receive a pass to take those short jumpers from near the foul line where he is very good. I I truly believe we would have won at least two more games this year if someone else was controling the ball in the last two minutes.  

Bertello NC

January 25th, 2017 at 5:02 PM ^

I try not to look ahead too much but..I'll do it anyway. Next year we should have an infusion of athletic ability. We will probably lack a little experience at PG(let's hope to God Simpson makes some serious strides) but everywhere else we should be looking better all around. With Matthews and Livers I think our "at the rim", or "above the rim" ability gets better. But I do agree Irvin just seems like he never regained the explosiveness after the back injury. Still a solid player. Just needs to do a little better job of decision making in certain situations. Also needs to know when to push it and when he's doing too much.



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Jonesy

January 25th, 2017 at 5:45 PM ^

Irvin has been fantastic at those looping below the rim layups that somehow never get blocked and very good at those curling elbow jumpers.  Next year without Walton and Irvin we will have nobody who has proven they can run the offense and will have to hope tiny Xavier Simpson learns how or one of the freshman instantly can.  MAAR can get to the rim pretty well but he has 0 ability to create for anyone else while doing so.

snarling wolverine

January 25th, 2017 at 5:27 PM ^

Why do we say "kick it out" when a guy drives and passes it back out to the perimeter?  I played basketball growing up and said it all the time, but never really thought about it.  Why "kick"?

AlwaysBlue

January 25th, 2017 at 5:58 PM ^

the write up. Including some Beilein behind the scenes is nice...the man takes so many cheap shots from people I don't think ever watch a practice or press conference. Wilson is proof that he can develop guys, Wagner too if you consider this is only his second season in US basketball. Walton and Irvin are guys who may never have reached projections but they are also guys with enormous pride who have worked their asses off. A developing frontcourt with their experience makes me believe the team can continue to rise this season.