November 26th, 2022 at 9:21 AM ^
JJ returns to non conference form and leads us to victory. UM 23-21
November 26th, 2022 at 9:22 AM ^
If Corum is 90% or better than I think we can win by pounding them on the ground.
If Corum is limited in his abilities, I think we lose by two scores.
Outside of Corum, the rest of the offense just doesn’t have it I’m afraid.
November 26th, 2022 at 9:22 AM ^
Has everyone forgotten about the ability of the Wolverine coaching staff to call plays? OSU's defense makes up for being soft by gambling with safeties and linebackers. I look for this game to be similar to 2017 with Michigan being tougher and smarter.
Edwards might throw another touchdown pass.
November 26th, 2022 at 9:52 AM ^
It’s not about the coaches’ ability to call plays, it’s about our offense’s ability to execute them. And both Corum and Edwards won’t be 100% today. The other running backs couldn’t get through Illinois’ line, so I don’t have any hope for them against OSU in Columbus. On top of that, the WRs have been dropping passes and running inconsistent routes all season which is negatively affecting JJ’s ability to throw the ball.
Our ability to execute will determine the outcome more so, I believe, than the coaches’ ability to call plays.
November 26th, 2022 at 10:27 AM ^
Illinois’s line is better than OSU’s.
They’re not some unstoppable death robot, especially on defense. Northwestern ran all over them, as did (We Own) Penn State.
I’m not saying Michigan should be favored, but this idea that Michigan has no chance is the remnants of BPONE.
If you’re conceding the game before it’s even started, you might want to ask yourself what value you’re getting out of being a fan in the first place.
November 26th, 2022 at 10:33 AM ^
I never conceded the game. I pointed out that play calling isn’t going to be the issue, our offensive execution is.
November 26th, 2022 at 9:27 AM ^
Michigan is going to win this football game
November 26th, 2022 at 9:27 AM ^
Corum is going to have to be healthier than I think he is for us to have a chance. We have to stuff the run so we get them in 3rd and long. Our offense looked so rough last week. If I'm picking with my head I would say OSU 34 - Michigan 24. That being said, I never thought we could beat them until we did last year and honestly they were lucky it was as close as it was. I think Harbaugh has a few tricks up his sleeve. Either way, I'm going to enjoy it and be glad I don't feel like I did in 2020.
November 26th, 2022 at 9:29 AM ^
34-24 OSU. Just too many nagging injuries and uncertainty with UM on offense to keep up. Defense will play well but the lack of a consistent pass rush will hurt. McCarthy will need to play out of his mind to win and I'm not sure he will. Would love to have McNamara around to help throw some wrinkles.
I do think we'll see some early deep throws to see how that part of the game is working. If they hit then UM might be able to hang with OSU a bit longer.
November 26th, 2022 at 9:35 AM ^
JJ doesn’t need to have a perfect game, he just needs the WRs to actually catch some balls and actually run consistent routes. I’m sure it would be a huge boost for his confidence too.
November 26th, 2022 at 11:13 AM ^
I say this not to denigrate McCarthy too much but I swear people need to stop acting like his receivers are dropping every pass thrown their ways. Yes, Anthony dropped a nice throw against Illinois, but McCarthy also threw two really bad passes to two open guys in that 4th quarter that could have cost them the game. He's eclipsed 60% completion once in a month. He's had a worse in-conference passing performance than Cade did last year. He's got potential and I think the expectations were too high after the first three games but he's struggled and if anything I think his inconsistency has hurt the receivers.
November 26th, 2022 at 11:34 AM ^
But the drops are literally a factor in that completion percentage. Sure he’s been off target too, but Devin G. has called out that the WRs have been running inconsistent routes all season long. They’ll run a route one way, and the next time run it differently. This forces JJ to keep having to adjust how he throws the ball which inhibits his ability to get into a rhythm.
JJ could literally throw a perfect ball every time but the receivers still have to make the catch…if they don’t, then it counts against his completion percentage.
Now if our WRs were consistently going up and grabbing the ball out of the air, snagging catches, and making plays and yet JJ was still constantly throwing off target then I’d agree with you. But we almost never see these WRs go out and make plays this season. They aren’t catching the balls he DOES throw well. If they were, we’d have won by two touchdowns at least last week instead of a last second field goal. So I say start there. Start making the catches he IS diming and THEN we can talk about the off throws. Especially considering this is JJ’s first year starting.
November 26th, 2022 at 11:14 AM ^
I say this not to denigrate McCarthy too much but I swear people need to stop acting like his receivers are dropping every pass thrown their ways. Yes, Anthony dropped a nice throw against Illinois, but McCarthy also threw two really bad passes to two open guys in that 4th quarter that could have cost them the game. He's eclipsed 60% completion once in a month. He's had a worse in-conference passing performance than Cade did last year. He's got potential and I think the expectations were too high after the first three games but he's struggled and if anything I think his inconsistency has hurt the receivers.
November 26th, 2022 at 10:29 AM ^
There may be an Orji today!
November 26th, 2022 at 9:30 AM ^
UM 59 - OSU 2
November 26th, 2022 at 9:30 AM ^
Home field is worth 3 points.
Michigan is about 3 points better on defense than they were last year, and similar on offense with both RBs available.
42-3 to 27+3-3 = 39-27, good guys.
#Logic
November 26th, 2022 at 9:31 AM ^
I am really afraid about the lack of pass rush. Don Brown' man to man got scorched when we had that problem in 2018. I think Minter is better suited for it but you can only do so much if no one touches Stroud
If we can get OSU off their rhythm, we could win 35-31
If Stroud isn't getting touched, it could get ugly. 55-31 OSU
November 26th, 2022 at 9:38 AM ^
I actually feel fine about our defense. Pass rush is a little worse than last year but the defense has played fantastic ball all season. It’s only ever been the offense that’s failed to deliver.
This game will be won by the offense that can execute the best and score touchdowns in the red zone.
November 26th, 2022 at 9:33 AM ^
52-24 THE Ohio St
CJ balls out wins the Heisman and order is restored.
November 26th, 2022 at 9:34 AM ^
I do not have a prediction for the final score; however, we are going to win this game.
November 26th, 2022 at 9:34 AM ^
So, nobody likes to look stupid. And for years, we all believed, and it made us look stupid. We predicted wins and we got close losses. Then we got a couple years of blowout losses and it felt hopeless.
Somewhere in there, OSU convinced itself it cared more about this game than we did, so we also had to deal with that.
All that emotional baggage, all the pain and suffering of the last two decades, every post-Carr disaster, it's all there, it lives in our head rent free.
Vegas thinks what it thinks, that line is a lot. Maybe they think we're seriously injured, if we don't have many of our best players this becomes a big ask.
But, if we're relatively healthy, and I think that we are, this team is built fundamentally the same as the one last year, and it's not built to win a national championship, it's built to beat OSU in November. Everything that worked last year will work here, every strength of last year's team is a strength of this team, we lose a little organic passing rush, but that's about it.
Meanwhile, OSU's much vaunted 3 safety defense is not built to beat Michigan, it is frankly the wrong scheme to beat Michigan, and OSU would have been better served by its old 1 high safety scheme. Is the OSU defense bad? No, it's pretty good. But again, one team is built to win this game, one team is not.
JJ has to be competent. He doesn't have to be amazing, but you can't just let them put 8 guys in the box because they trust you to fail to complete passes to open receivers. Last week was a scare, but I think he's good enough.
This is last year's game. There's been much talk of change from the OSU side, but you know what they fundamentally believe: it was a fluke, it was the flu, it was a 1/10 bet that only works in light snow. You've heard them fake respect and pretend they fear Michigan, pretend they reckoned with how we beat them and made changes and fundamentally altered their approach. They did not.
42-27 Michigan.
November 26th, 2022 at 9:37 AM ^
34-27 Michigan.
I think it’s going to be more back and forth than what we want, but defense holds in Quarter 4.
November 26th, 2022 at 9:39 AM ^
Let’s hope for good referee crew today- call a clean game.
Make Ohio work on every drive- 12-15 play drives rather than the big plays.
no turnovers, no bad penalties.
31-27 Michigan
Go Blue!!
November 26th, 2022 at 9:40 AM ^
Just back from walking the Little Dude and did some reflecting. Last year was all about beating them for the first time in forever, which we did and now don't have to prove that we can do it.
This year's game is only about this year, not about the pressure it will put on them if we beat them again or what it would mean about us as a program if we don't.
Rationally speaking it's all about Corum's relative health and effectiveness; if he's able to do what he did all year then we've got a better than 50-50% chance of winning. If he plays but isn't able to get his ~4-5+ yards a carry and convert 3rd/4th and short/red zone situations then we're in big trouble.
I calmly and optimistically predict that Corum is effective--as much due to guts and being all in as anything else--and that JJ plays a big supporting role by hitting short and medium passes and keeping a few reads himself to beat those guys.
Plus Moody.
M 33 OSU 32
Go Blue Forever!
November 26th, 2022 at 9:46 AM ^
Not making a score prediction. My outlooks vary from moment to moment.
If Corum/Edwards are 90%+ and the offense stays on schedule, then this will be a Ballgame deep into the fourth quarter, with Michigan having a great chance to win if that OL can just wear OSU down.
If they’re not and can’t do the things that make them special, then short of JJ having a Herculean career game, this could be over by midway through the third quarter.
November 26th, 2022 at 9:48 AM ^
42-41 Michigan wins
November 26th, 2022 at 9:55 AM ^
I got up this morning and took the biggest dump of my life. I am light on my feet, I feel great, and that is a sign.
Michigan 42-26
November 26th, 2022 at 10:02 AM ^
We must be poo brothers, cus I was about to make the same post!
November 26th, 2022 at 11:31 AM ^
Poo brother,
I went back and took a second poo, so I am feel really good. I am also feeling even better about the game!
November 26th, 2022 at 9:56 AM ^
47-14, Michigan wins.
November 26th, 2022 at 9:57 AM ^
First half breaks either way but doesn’t really matter because it’s all about 2H adjustments and how both lines respond.
Michigan: 30
OSU: 27
November 26th, 2022 at 10:00 AM ^
Michigan 31 OSU 26 Corum/Edwards and McCarthy lead the way in a balanced atrack!
November 26th, 2022 at 10:03 AM ^
I am nervous about this game but going with 28-21 Michigan.
November 26th, 2022 at 10:07 AM ^
Keeping the buckeyes from scoring 30 or less points is the key. This will give Michigan a better chance of winning.
Two big questions for the Michigan offense: How healthy will Corum, Edwards and Schoonmaker be? Can JJ make some keys throws including a few deep pass connections?
I have faith in the Michigan defense to minimize the buckeye scoring offense and we'll need to see their best effort.
This is a winnable game for the Maize and Blue!
November 26th, 2022 at 10:09 AM ^
I predict an excellent defensive day and lots of drinking in my house
November 26th, 2022 at 10:13 AM ^
42-27 Michigan
November 26th, 2022 at 10:17 AM ^
48-23 OSU. It will be close until the 3rd quarter. Then they get some garbage scores late in the 4th.
November 26th, 2022 at 10:23 AM ^
All year I have said we are the better team and would win this game. Since probably Wednesday I have felt less and less confident. I picked last year to be a 34-31 win for us, but I am at this moment 90 minutes before kick thinking I would give OSU a 80-85% chance of winning.
34-19 bad guys. We kick FGs in the red zone and they score TDs is the difference
November 26th, 2022 at 10:24 AM ^
No score prediction but I’m expecting an OSU win so I’ll be emotionally prepared just like every year.
November 26th, 2022 at 10:41 AM ^
Today's the day we get to see all the secrets Michigan's been saving for OSU 🖖
November 26th, 2022 at 10:50 AM ^
I sure hope we win! I see it being very close at the beginning of the 4th QTR 28-31 M but I think OSU gets a couple of big plays at home and wins 42-31. I will be a sad panda for the rest of the day but overall win or lose it was a great season for Michigan. Even with a loss we still could get in to the playoffs, if USC, TCU, and LSU all lose one more time.
November 26th, 2022 at 10:53 AM ^
Most of the reasoning behind the predictions of a Michigan victory seem to boil down to "Well, so-and-so team did this..." That kind of reasoning is the same b.s. I've read on Twitter from OSU fans who compare final scores between common opponents. Doesn't mean that prior performance is completely irrelevant, I just think it mostly is when considering what worked for another team "that one time."
This is called The Game because both teams come dialed in. But we haven't won at God's Toilet Bowl since the early days of the Roman Empire, and I don't think our strengths match up well against their weaknesses. Add the X factor of officiating home cookin' that happens every time Michigan plays down there, and I think OSU wins convincingly.
November 26th, 2022 at 11:40 AM ^
Michigan will punch them in the face, punch them in the face again, then again.
the will fold and UM will roll. This isn't going to be close.
November 26th, 2022 at 10:57 AM ^
My head is telling me we will lose by 9 to 12 points. This game has the feel of a 7 point Michigan deficit late into the fourth quarter and the Michigan offense just can't sustain that last drive into the end zone. Then OSU makes it a two score game with a FG and it's too late for Michigan to do anything else. Our D plays a lot better than most people think we will against Stroud but it's the OSU running game that is the unlikely killer.
So here is my final score prediction:
Michigan 31
OSU 27
PSYCHE!!!!
November 26th, 2022 at 11:07 AM ^
OSU puts it all together today. UM passing attack still broken.
OSU 41. UM 29
November 26th, 2022 at 11:19 AM ^
Analysis in another thread, so TL;DR here.
If Corum / Edwards / TEs are close to 100% -- Michigan 34, OSU 31
If RBs / TEs are clearly limited -- OSU 31, Michigan 23.
It all depends on health on offense to me.
November 26th, 2022 at 11:21 AM ^
30-28 Michigan on a late FG by Mooooody. We win by controlling the los and the clock. OSU will be limited to passing only and will have some success, but with limited possessions we pull it off.
November 26th, 2022 at 11:23 AM ^
GameDay has the signs going for sure. OSU fans have a healthy mix of “Harbaugh sucks ball” with “Jesus saves all!”
November 26th, 2022 at 11:44 AM ^
Lot a candy ass skim milk drinkers out there (grabs oat milk from the fridge).
Michigan will win 33-23. Rod Moore gets an int. Freshman RB gets lost on a blitz pick up. Let’s Go!
November 26th, 2022 at 11:57 AM ^
Defensive pessimism at work here.
Corum sounds too gimpy to be playing like we need him to play. He runs a couple plays sore and short yards, and then is done. Donovan can run... but his injury affects his catches making him unremarkable. Red zone fails as Ohio just focuses on pass D making Moody our only point generator.
Our canines are pulled. Our defense gets gassed by second half. Bottom of bucket falls out.
The 42
Mich 12
I am Autonegging this post but feel free to pile on. I loathe it. But that's what I'm seeing.
And all-white uniforms? Really? They'll be ruined damned near forever after this.
Rose bowl.