so happy together [Marc-Gregor Campredon]

What Are You Gonna Do, Stab Me? Comment Count

Brian November 15th, 2018 at 12:24 PM

11/14/2018 – Michigan 73, Villanova 46 – 3-0

During the consumption-of-entrails portion of the game someone tweeted a question at me.

Sort of but also no. "Death from above" is a particular genre of Beilein win where Nik Stauskas sticks contested threes in your face and no amount of scoring you manage is ever enough to climb up the Sisyphean treadmill that Michigan's offense presents you. Halfway through the first half your official twitter account issues a shruggie. The danger comes from the high-arcing artillery shells Michigan fires with unerring accuracy, and then a Lithuanian-Canadian dude dunks on your face.

That's Death From Above. This was different, except for the Lithuanian-Canadian dude. This was a shiv in the dark.

Michigan was most dangerous in the low places, where Zavier Simpson's fingers are stickiest and Ignas Brazdeikis's defense most implausible. The closest thing to a consistent perimeter threat Michigan presented came from Charles Matthews jumpers that started just outside the restricted circle and ended just inside the three-point line. The very, very burly Eric Paschall is going to hit 65% from two in conference play; he was just 3 of 13 against against a true freshman wing giving up 40 pounds.

At the same time Michigan was turning an All Big East C into a pumpkin they limited Villanova (VILLANOVA!) to 3 of 15 from behind the arc, on shots that were about 95% contested. Six different guys had steals. Zavier Simpson had five himself. Villanova had three turnovers for every assist.

At some point Gus Johnson said that Michigan was known for ferocious defense and a near-total lack of turnovers. I thought about tweeting out something in the "lol that's half-right" genre, and then stopped. Stopped like a wildebeest trying to drive the lane against Michigan. Maybe it's true. Or, at least, it's is going to be true.

And like, I don't know, fine? Let's go? I don't have the fingers to deal with this.

Never in the history of humanity has a program undergone such a dramatic 180 in how they get things done without losing its fundamental personality. And make no mistake: Zavier Simpson is as good of a Beilein-at-Michigan avatar as anyone despite the fact he'll hit 30% of his threes this year if he's lucky. He is not without precedent. He is the continuation of a theme. Seven years ago Darius Morris told Michigan State to "get the fuck off my court." Nik Stauskas terrified Kentucky fans despite Kentucky having 16 seven-foot jumping jacks. Charles Matthews?

25730438977_e957c9a448_k (1)

[Marc-Gregor Campredon]

Charles Matthews spent the entire first half doing this to various Villanova Wildcats. Everyone wanted to punch him and someone almost did.

These guys have always been assassins. Just not this kind. They've been guys who line your head up in a targeting reticle from two miles away. Now they knock on the front door and ask if anyone wants to play with all these knives they brought. You can say no all you want. The question is rhetorical.

stabme

Yes. Michigan is going to stab you until a palpably depressed Gus Johnson can no longer inject any life into the game. And then they're going to stab you one last time, because maybe you deserved it.

[After THE JUMP: some bullets and react from elsewhere]

BULLETS

Not too much now. Got some other stuff on the plate. But:

Scrimmage EMU weekly. Michigan's worst offensive possessions of the game were a couple when Villanova threw out a 2-3 zone. Michigan flailed, resorted to bad threes from iffy shooters, and Jay Wright put it away for reasons that cannot be good. This follows on from two terrifically ugly games against lower-tier opponents that chucked a ton of junk zones at Michigan and forced them into shooting over the top. The results are shocking:

Okay yes Michigan has three of the top 11 defensive performances of the season and one of them is against Villanova. But also the very good offensive performance is against Villanova; the dismal ones are the two teams starting Fievel at C who just throw out whatever on each defensive possession.

It's no coincidence that after Simpson was 0/2 in the first two games of the season from two that he was 4/8 here, with six assists and two TOs. Wright might have gotten blindsided here; future opponents will throw zones at Michigan until Michigan proves they can beat them. Except the ones who are too stubborn to do so. (IE: Izzo.)

The Matthews balance. There are guys who can take a three after passing up a rhythm three; Charles Matthews isn't one of them. He had a great game largely within his wheelhouse; when he got outside of it things got ugly. Jordan Poole's rough start to the season continued and contributed; we have not reached the Matthews nirvana where he's at 20% usage. In this game, 24%. Still real good! But also 0/4 from three, in part because he turned two open rhythm threes into hesitation-and-then-shoot events. Just shoot.

Small-ball activated. Villanova started with a true C on the floor, and that didn't work. Then they went to a five-out look, and that didn't work. Michigan threw Isaiah Livers on the floor to combat it; by the end of the first half Livers was +21. It is a tremendous luxury to be able to match up against both traditional back-to-the-basket 5s and stretch guys.

ELSEWHERE

Rob Dauster before

There’s a saying in basketball circles: You don’t develop pros, you recruit pros.

For the majority of the college basketball landscape, that sentiment holds true, but there are few that buck the trend. Virginia’s one. Wichita State is another. None have been more consistent or more successful at turning players that weren’t considered pro prospects entering school into NBA players by the time they leave than the Wolverines and Wildcats.

“I go to both of those places,” a Western Conference executive told NBC Sports this month. “I like what you get out of a Michigan guy, and I like what you get out of a Villanova guy.”

“John Beilein and Jay Wright are two of the most fundamental coaches that exist in college basketball,” he added. “The beauty is that they know who they are, what they do and what works for them. They don’t try to fit square pegs into round holes.”

and after:

VILLANOVA, Pa. — It was the toughest ticket in town.

$3,000 to sit courtside. A month or two worth of cable and phone bills just to get in the door. A student section that didn’t look safe to inhabit.

It’s about what you’d expect for a team that’s coming off their second national title in three years and unveiling the $25 million renovation to their on-campus facility while playing a rematch of their most recent national title game in a building that typically plays host to Villanova’s buy games and the dregs of the Big East.

Finneran Pavilion was electric.

And No. 8 Villanova never led.

Both of those are very worth your time. Quinn on Iggy:

“I’ve worked for this my entire life, honest to God, but I’ve always felt that if you don’t perform in the moment, then you don’t got nothing,” Brazdeikis said later. “You can work as hard as you want, for as long as you want. But when performance time comes, that’s showtime. I am ready and I am so confident in myself. I feel like no one can guard me and that I guard every single one of them. To me, it’s like playing any other team. I’m just ready to go kill.”

Jalen Wilson and Cole Bajema both signed LOIs yesterday. 24/7 has a free article with takes on what Michigan's getting. On Wilson:

247Sports' Basketball Recruiting Analyst, Brian Snow: Jalen is a highly-skilled wing, he's got good length and he can get to the basket. He's really good at finishing through contact. Right now he's not a great athlete, I think the hope is that he gets into a college strength and conditioning program and he becomes a great athlete but he's not there yet. He's a good shooter, not a great shooter, really creative on the offensive end. Defensively he should be able to guard multiple positions. In that respect, he can guard the three and the four in Beilein's offense and in Beilein's system and also handle himself defensively. It seems like a good fit to me.

Comments

ijohnb

November 15th, 2018 at 1:56 PM ^

I feel like Poole is going to be something special once he figures himself out.  You can see all of these really shiny tools in his toolbox and he wants to use them all at once but is not quite sure what all of them do yet.  He may have some growing pains but when he does figure them out there are some "may seem ridiculous" comparables that may not actually be that ridiculous.  He can jab step somebody out of the gym right now and he is still really raw.  Once he figures out what tool to bring out after that jab step he is going to be a really, really tough cover.

echoWhiskey

November 15th, 2018 at 2:18 PM ^

That was my favorite part of this win: one of our predicted best players looks, frankly, lost out there right now.  I agree he's going to figure it out and when he does, watch out.  Everyone isn't going to play great every night, but having him advance gives us more bullets in the chamber. 

Reggie Dunlop

November 15th, 2018 at 2:43 PM ^

I agree. Livers was anchored to the corner on every offensive possession last year. Defense and rebounding only, with the occasional 3 launch. Not that he couldn't do more, but he got to play 5th fiddle and watch how it all plays out. This year, he looks so sure of himself. He's not going to take over any games - not yet anyway - but he knows his role and will drill his shot when it presents itself.

Poole still has to go through that process. Just a matter of time.

FatGuyTouchdown

November 15th, 2018 at 2:47 PM ^

I agree. I think something we were all guilty of, myself included, is forgetting just how raw Poole is at times. Has potential through the roof, but only averaged 12 mpg last year, and only 52 total minutes in the NCAA tourney, which is also the equivalent to the amount of time I've spent watching his shot against Houston on replay since last week. He's averaging 28 mpg so far which is a major jump in usage. It'll take some time for him to develop a complete flow of the game with a high usage and how to pick and choose his spots. It'll be interesting to see him play against UNC, since they gave him fits last year. 

TrueBlue2003

November 15th, 2018 at 6:36 PM ^

I think the addition of Iggy is really throwing Poole off this year.  We all thought Poole might be in line to take over the alpha role but Iggy has emphatically taken on that role. And Matthews has continued his late season efficiency as a lead guy too.

Poole was more of a creator/alpha last year with the second team. When he came in for MAAR, often Teske was also in for Wagner and it was mostly Poole's show (his 25.8% of shots taken was second only to Wagner last year). 

Now that he's running with the 1s as the third banana he definitely is struggling to figure out how to play that role.  Will be interesting to see how he grows into it.  With the way Iggy, Matthews and Z are attacking the rim, Poole probably just needs to be a corner gunner this year and not press too much.  I think that's his biggest problem.  He wants to do something with his (more) limited opportunities and he's pressing too much.  But the touches we expected probably aren't going to be there for him this year with Ignas being the guy.

It's early but it looks like Ignas is a one-and-done so if he leaves and with Matthews gone, Poole likely won't step into the alpha dog role until next year.

ijohnb

November 15th, 2018 at 7:10 PM ^

Dude, you are a good poster but I don’t think anything you just said is true.  Matthews is the alpha of this team, I think Poole will be the go-to scorer by the end of they year, and I really, really don’t think Iggy is a “one and done” guy.  I think you may have a misread on this team right now.

TrueBlue2003

November 16th, 2018 at 1:05 AM ^

Ignas has thus far absolutely taken on the role of a guy that wants the ball in his hands, and creates when it is in his hands - a role I expected Poole to have so far and which hasn't happened.  Ignas is using 27.4% of offensive possessions when he's on the floor, which is the highest usage on the team.

To start the second half against Holy Cross, when Michigan was down 6, Ignas scored on 7 of Michigan's first 10 possessions to put Michigan up 6.  He completely took over the game.

Poole is third or even fourth fiddle right now in terms of offensive options at just 15.9% of possessions used.  That's very low. And it's not by accident.

I did say that Matthews is also a lead guy this year. Matthews is using slightly fewer possessions at 26.4%.  They're 1a and 1b right now.

So the thing about Poole is his role would have to dramatically shift for him to become the go-to scorer because they aren't even asking much of him right now.  And the good thing is, with the way Matthews and Ignas are playing, they don't need Poole to be the go-to guy, they might only need him to be a corner gunner/zone buster is what I'm saying.

I don't disagree with anything you said about Poole. I think he has tremendous talent and will be something special.  I thought he would have a Stauskas like breakout.  It hasn't happened (obviously very early) but what I'm saying is that I don't think he's been a disappointment so much as I just think there's become an even better option so his role isn't what anyone expected and he's pressing partially because of that.

I may be just mentally preparing myself for Iggy to be a one-and-done so as not to be disappointed if he leaves, but yesterday he basically owned a projected second rounder on both ends of the floor.  Scouts noticed that. He creates shots for himself, he finishes, he gets fouled and he makes his FTs.  The NBA loves guys that create, get fouled and make FTs.  And he's a better defender than I imagined he would be. If he keeps this up, he'll be a projected first rounder.  I hope he comes back, but I also want him to keep this up!

MGoBlue-querque

November 15th, 2018 at 2:01 PM ^

My favorite part of the game was Simpson just abusing Gillespie off of the dribble in the first half.  Seemed like Z could get by him whenever he wanted, and Z is so good and creative at finishing at the rim.

kehnonymous

November 15th, 2018 at 2:15 PM ^

Curious to see if the anonymous Western Conference team executive was with the Lakers, whose many recent low-draft steals include both Nova's Josh Hart and our own Herr Wagner

remdog

November 15th, 2018 at 2:22 PM ^

Poole seems to have lost the confidence or swagger he had last year.  He just doesn't seem to want to take a shot and then when he does, it seems forced.  I wonder why.  Maybe he's trying to rein his game to play within the offense - at the urging of the coaches?  I really hope he gets his swag back - he should be our best perimeter threat and one of best three offensive weapons if he does. 

yossarians tree

November 15th, 2018 at 2:41 PM ^

I think Poole is a bit lost in the offense because the entire offense is a bit lost. They are winning on sheer aggressiveness and will at this point, but the article above is right in that a good team that plays excellent zone will be a bad matchup. But Beilein is a mad scientist at making offenses click and I'm confident he will get them playing together.

BlueRibbon

November 15th, 2018 at 2:22 PM ^

Usually I'm mildly irritated when hitting The Jump on the new site takes me back to the top of the post. But this time I be like, yeah okay, I probably should read that again. Great write-up, Seth.

RedRum

November 15th, 2018 at 3:02 PM ^

So... I'm not smart.  Can someone explain the splotter graph? What does that mean? It looks like the start of a monte-carlo valuation... can someone help me out?

Reggie Dunlop

November 15th, 2018 at 3:15 PM ^

Left to right is offense. If your dot is on the right side, that's good offense.

Top to bottom is defense. If your dot is on the top, that's good defense.

Each dot is a single game performance from all D-1 teams or whatever. Michigan's three yellow dots are all at the very top. They've had three of the best 11 defensive efficiency games in the country.

The Villanova game is the dot on the right side (I assume since the first two were offensive clunkers). Really good O, paired with really good D.

Yostal

November 15th, 2018 at 5:08 PM ^

I like this notion of "old man game".  There were moments last night where he was using the backboard on shots in clever and creative ways, like testing out angles to see if they would fall and what we could do with them going forward.  It was pretty great to see that he's plotting and scheming even when well ahead.

Alumnus93

November 15th, 2018 at 4:05 PM ^

Iggy is gonna be a STAR....  geez, this kid is good, in the right kind of way.. Tough as nails, ambidextrous... sorry Mo, but I may have a competing favorite...

ChiCityWolverine

November 15th, 2018 at 4:59 PM ^

Michigan is 14/62 from 3 through it's first 3 games, a cool 22.6%. And yet they have two comfortable wins at home and a statement victory on the road. What a world we're living in.

Beilein keeps finding the easiest players to root for. Watching Simpson calmly strip Nova guards all game was a delight.

cazzie33

November 15th, 2018 at 5:06 PM ^

As astounding as that game must’ve looked on TV, inside the arena — uh, “pavilion” — it was another level of holy-crap-is-this-happening. About 30 of us who passed on the $3,000 courtside seats formed a decent Michigan section up in the rafters (literally), including relatives of Zavier. (My Stauskas-era maize-and-blue Canadian flag t-shirt was repurposed for the Iggy Era. Time for another printing.)

There’s not a bad seat there, really, especially to witness such frothing aggression. As in-your-shirt as the perimeter defense was, the interior shot blocking/altering/rushing was more impressive.

The house (sorry, pavilion!) was really rocking at the start, and it was with great schadenfreude that we listened to the noise steadily fade. By the end, nothing but dark muttering. Oh, and a chorus of The Victors from the rafters. On the way out, a nice gentleman acknowledged us, gave the visitors props, then added, “But man, that was an ugly game.” We just smiled. It was beautiful.

 

XiX

November 15th, 2018 at 5:19 PM ^

Best part of this article

"The only intrigue the second half held was whether or not Zavier Simpson would leave the Philly suburbs with Colin Gillespie’s soul or just his pride."

Literally laughed out loud.

MGlobules

November 15th, 2018 at 5:24 PM ^

Like the scout says: Belein takes lemons and makes lemonade--yes. But he also takes oranges and makes great orange juice, apples and make apple juice that's damn good. At some point he must have shrugged and said to himself: Hey, I'm at Michigan; this place can afford coaches. Why don't we have a good defense, too? 

On both the football and basketball sides, Michigan seems to be entering a Golden Age.

ppToilet

November 15th, 2018 at 7:32 PM ^

On this last quote:

In that respect, he can guard the three and the four in Beilein's offense and in Beilein's system...

What exactly is Beilein's system?  When he first came, it was the 1-3-1, right? It's changed almost every year, right?  To me, it seems that his "system" is whatever is suited to the players on his team. He's one hell of a coach.