Sunday's line= Michigan State -1.5
the bigger betting markets (Pinnacle, Bookmaker, LVH) will put up their line later today but I'd expect the spread to stay right around this number right up until tip-off (neither side ever getting higher than -2 IMO).
Kenpom has it at MSU -1 and 135 total (not out yet). If the total is that low I think the money will come in on the 'over' and push it up few points higher.
One thing of note- 8 of the last 9 Michigan/MSU games have went 'over' the total including both games this season. The last 9 head to head games have averaged 145 combined points despite having an average total of just 132.
I'm betting the house that we win. Not that I have any equity in it...
Seriously, after the obliteration of Iowa and Minnesota, I can not see us losing to Sparty a third time.
The two teams have shot just 29% from beyond the arc in their two meetings against each other this year but both games have went above the total.
On the other side of that coin, 8 of the 12 games played in the BTT have went 'under' the total DURING REGULATION TIME ONLY.
The officiating has been much looser in the BTT than in the regular season, so you would expect fewer points to be scored.
Spoke minutes too soon............line just came out at the bigger books with Michigan St -1 and 133.5 total which has been bet up to 134.5
NCAA Final Four berth on the line tomorrow. Winner will get #2 West seed. Winner will obliterate #1 West seed Gonzaga in the West regional final. Tomorrow's game is a de facto NCAA regional final.
Has UM/Sparty basketball matchup ever had a game with more on the line?
Why do you think Gonzaga is so bad? They have as much talent and experience as anyone.
Yeah, I don't think Gonzaga is an elite team by any means, but they beat a fully operational Duke and have an elite offense. They feel a lot like UVa in that their tourney performances may underwhelm compared to the regular season, but they are absolutely a top-5 team.
Just like everyone knows, if you're in the region with one seed Gonzaga, you're a lock to make tournament. Except of course for the off chance that an upset could happen. But an upset in the NCAA tournament? Pfft what are the odds of that ever happening /s
Tomorrow's game means whoever wins in the big ten tournament champion. If you're predicting anything beyond that, you're reaching
Dime on M.
Hard to beat a team like Michigan 3 times. I like Michigan +2. I like Michigan 69-62
“Win the game!”
That’s all that matters.
Past Beilein teams lived or died by the 3. This Beilein team lives or dies by the officiating
If the officiating is like last MSU game then were screwed again. If the officiating is like todays Minnesota game where they let them play then we'll win
If Teske gets into early foul trouble vs Ward and Tillman then were ultrafucked
I will never underestimate the propensity of the conference officials to try and screw us over.
They say winning that third in a row is the hardest game in sports...Make it really hard...GO BLUE!
Minnesota proved that today. Wait, shit.
Seems generous
March 17th, 2019 at 12:12 AM ^
I am in Vegas, I went over to the Westgate late this afternoon and bet the good guys -1.
I won a few dollars on the Iowa game, unfortunately they did not have the Minnesota game up Friday night when I left, and I could not get there this morning to place a bet. Opportunity lost.
GO BLUE!! BEAT STATE!!!