Should we be excited about Wilton Speight?

Submitted by The Oracle on
It seems that many here are very excited about Speight's future prospects, but I put myself more in the category of keeping an open mind. There's no way you could say he was bad in 2016, but I don't think he was much more than average. A team with Michigan's aspirations is obviously searching for something much better than average. Speight played in 12 games last season, which were split evenly between teams with winning records and those who were .500 or below (Hawaii was the only opponent which at .500). Against the lesser group, Speight's numbers were impressive: 135 ATTs, 92 COMPs, 1,416 YDs, 10.49 YPA, 68.1 completion percentage, 12 TDs, 2 INTs, and a QBR of 182.6. But against the teams with winning records, the story was much, much different: 196 ATTs, 112 COMPs, 1,122 YDs, 57.1 completion percentage, 5.72 YPA, 6 TDs, 5 INTs and a QBR of 110.2. While every game is important, any Michigan season is going to rise or fall with how they do against the best teams. I think it's clear that Speight came up short in those games last season. His play was a significant factor in all three losses. He was really bad against Iowa, committed the two huge turnovers against OSU, and, although he was under a lot of pressure against FSU, still missed a number of makeable throws. So is he really the guy they need? I believe they absolutely need someone better than 2016 Speight. Although I believe it's quite possible that 2017 Speight could be improved enough to be the one to give them what they need, I don't see it as a guarantee. But somebody needs to step up, because with such a young team, QB play is going to be even more important.

Joseph_P_Freshwater

April 1st, 2017 at 9:23 PM ^

But yes.  Speight looks more comfortable.  And faster. Like a gazelle/Tom Brady centaur #fredjackson

Chalky White

April 1st, 2017 at 11:17 PM ^

The fans of this program are amazing. You would think there was some proven QB somewhere in this roster who is being blocked by Speight taking up space. Speight works hard and will improve. He still has two years of eligibility left. That's actually a good thing. 

 

I don't think they realize Speight could duplicate his performance last season and would still project as a 1st round pick in next year's draft.

JonnyHintz

April 2nd, 2017 at 2:08 AM ^

You can be displeased all you want. Fact of the matter is, youre going to have a hard time finding another QB eligible that will be better prepared to play QB at that level. There may be a QB or two with better physical tools, but I can guarantee Speight is going to have the best mental makeup of any eligible QB. As far as making reads, pre-snap reads, running a complex offense, pocket presence, command... you won't find a better prepared QB.

charblue.

April 2nd, 2017 at 1:03 PM ^

Because looking at the retreads and the never-will-be's the Jets are considering as their primary qb next season, make Speight hardly a bad idea, although DeShaun Watson would seem a better option, I grant you.

Let's not forget that Michigan football is rife with qb controversy and who should be No. 1 in our hearts and mind, let alone starting on Saturday. But Speight's emergence after saving a win at Minnesota and then leading his team to a 10-3 season last year when there was no real serious challenger that most fans could identify with, ought to put to rest the entire question of his acceptability regardless of any physical shortcomings he possesses as the ideal prototype at qb to lead this program.

Having our coach's endorsement for the job ought to suffice. At least it does for me.

charblue.

April 2nd, 2017 at 1:03 PM ^

Because looking at the retreads and the never-will-be's the Jets are considering as their primary qb next season, make Speight hardly a bad idea, although DeShaun Watson would seem a better option, I grant you.

Let's not forget that Michigan football is rife with qb controversy and who should be No. 1 in our hearts and mind, let alone starting on Saturday. But Speight's emergence after saving a win at Minnesota and then leading his team to a 10-3 season last year when there was no real serious challenger that most fans could identify with, ought to put to rest the entire question of his acceptability regardless of any physical shortcomings he possesses as the ideal prototype at qb to lead this program.

Having our coach's endorsement for the job ought to suffice. At least it does for me.

Blue in Denver

April 2nd, 2017 at 12:49 AM ^

The OP said:

"Although I believe it's quite possible that 2017 Speight could be improved enough to be the one to give them what they need, I don't see it as a guarantee."

He explictly acknowledged Speight may improve.  He didn't trash the kid.  He listed stats that showed Speight is better against bad teams than good ones.  These are facts.

If you want to take exception, ask why the OP didn't do similar research on other QBs.  I suspect it's pretty common to have significantly better numbers against bad teams.

 

BuckNekked

April 2nd, 2017 at 10:51 AM ^

Its the way of things on the internet. If you arent outraged over someone elses harmless opinion you arent doing the internet right. The world was a much better place when we didnt know every stupid assertion and outrage of the day of the masses. (Including what I just wrote).

BuckNekked

April 2nd, 2017 at 10:51 AM ^

Its the way of things on the internet. If you arent outraged over someone elses harmless opinion you arent doing the internet right. The world was a much better place when we didnt know every stupid assertion and outrage of the day of the masses. (Including what I just wrote).

EJG

April 2nd, 2017 at 10:42 AM ^

Show me one QB that performs better against good teams than he does against poor teams?  I'm not sure these stats mean a whole lot especially when the kid played hurt against the last three good teams (half of the games against good teams).  I expect improvement especially in his ability to read defenses, check into the right plays, limit mistakes and lead.  It may not show up in the stats though due to his having less experienced players around him.  He is very solid.  I am looking forward to seeing him play.

UMoutwest

April 1st, 2017 at 9:25 PM ^

Lets see how much he develops over the offseason and how he looks against florida. After that I think would be a better time to ask this question

RoseInBlue

April 1st, 2017 at 9:31 PM ^

I think that Wilton Speight will be QB1 come September 2 and will remain as such until he graduates.  So I'm going to root for him to improve upon his 2nd in conference completion percentage and 3rd in conference QB rating as a returning quarterback in 2017 and act as a steadying force for our incredibly young team.

JonnyHintz

April 2nd, 2017 at 2:14 AM ^

I think people undervalue what Speight brings. He had a real good year (as the two stats you mentioned show) in his first year as a starter in his sophomore season. Now let's add in the fact that we are returning just 2 other starters on offense (unless you count FB as a starting position). I don't see a reason to take out a solid steadying force at QB. There isn't another QB who is going to be better at this point. And with an already incredibly young team, going even younger at the most important position isn't the greatest of ideas.

schreibee

April 2nd, 2017 at 11:04 PM ^

You'll probably never see this reply, but I was noticing your user name & avatar -

You're Western Mich & SoCal, I'm AA & Bay Area...

How are we ever supposed to agree on anything?!

Darnold is awesome, Speight is Body by Harbaugh. That's all. Speight is not the ceiling at the QB position for Michigan. I'd like to see the ceiling.

Magnum P.I.

April 1st, 2017 at 9:35 PM ^

I'm kind of with you here. Clearly the majority on MGoBlog think Speight is going to be a great quarterback (and are irrationally defensive of him, in my opinion), but I have some major reservations about his ability to be a championship-caliber QB. We'll see. I'm confident that it will get sorted out.

HAIL-YEA

April 1st, 2017 at 9:58 PM ^

Come on guy, he said championship-caliber, you can be championship-caliber without actually winning it for whatever reason. Speight is a solid qb but he is prone to some boneheaded mistakes at bad times. We were driving against MSU to push the lead to 24 in the 3rd quarter and he threw that pick that was so bad that Harbaugh turtled the rest of the game. He was terrible the whole game against Iowa and had those constly ints against OSU when we were on the verge of blowing them out. Honestly the guy reminds me of former Lions qb Scott Mitchell. This was his first year as a starter so I expect that he will get better, but that is not guaranteed. 

ST3

April 1st, 2017 at 11:46 PM ^

UFR disagrees with you that he was terrible the whole game. I seem to remember his shoulder  being checked after every drive in the 2nd half. Criticizing a guy because he played hurt is not fair.

The weird thing is that Speight started out looking much like he had in the previous three games. He missed a bomb to Darboh early, but other than that he was rolling out and finding guys downfield impressively, or actually hitting a downfield shot, or hitting open short stuff with ease. By the time Michigan scored to go up 10-0, he had one inaccurate pass and one marginal one against 9 DO/CA throws.

http://mgoblog.com/content/upon-further-review-2016-offense-vs-iowa

Magnum P.I.

April 1st, 2017 at 11:47 PM ^

This is the attitude I'm talking about. Why be so defensive? Maybe Peters will prove to be the better QB through spring and fall camp. That would be a good thing for the team, since we know Speight is aleady a passable QB. Maybe Speight will prove to be the best option this year and start the rest of his career. Maybe Speight will start this year and have simliarly mixed results, then Peters will take over as starter the following year. 

I'm just going off what I saw on the field last year, and I question whether we can't find a player with more ability to start at QB. 

AA Forever

April 2nd, 2017 at 7:49 AM ^

I'm not worried about Speight, but neither do I think he is necessarily locked in as the starter for the rest of his career.  He is capable, but his athleticism is limited.  If you can't make an impact running the ball, your passing really has to be better than Speight has shown so far to be a star.

Longballs Dong…

April 1st, 2017 at 10:41 PM ^

I think the majority of mgoblog thinks Speight showed some promise as a young qb who is finally focusing under the tutelage of Harbaugh. I'm not sure what his celling is, but I'm optimistic and I'm comfortable enough to worry about several other positions over qb. Questioning the kid now feels pointless and borderline dickish. let's just wait and see or at least wait for practice news.

Magnum P.I.

April 1st, 2017 at 11:43 PM ^

Greatest football player of all time as your comparison? Okay, I'll play along: Brady was the number six QB recruit in his class (per Tom Lemming), so his pedigree and implied upside was much higher than Speight's (rated number 22 QB, per 247 Composite).

You know who also was the number six QB recruit in his class? Brandon Peters. Ergo, he will go on to be the greatest QB in NFL history.

befuggled

April 2nd, 2017 at 8:41 AM ^

Brady struggled much of the year. Statistically, he ended up with 15 touchdowns against 12 interceptions and 7.53 yards per attempt. It doesn't mean anything, but Speight's stats last year actually ended up being better (19 TDs, 8 interceptions and 7,67 yards per attempt).

There was also that stretch in October of 1998 where Michigan eeked out 12-9, 12-6, 21-10 and 15-10 wins over 3-8 Iowa, 3-9 Northwestern, 4-7 Indiana and 5-6 Minnesota. That would have been a full month of board meltdowns.

I don't think it really clicked for Brady until the latter half of the 1999 season. Brady may be GOAT, but he only showed flashes of that in college.

Rasmus

April 2nd, 2017 at 2:07 PM ^

Yes, but those flashes were the real thing, if you were paying attention. Especially with regard to his leadership qualities. The competition with Henson only made him better. We live in the Patriots' home area, so saw all their games back in the day. I remember when Bledsoe went down, and Brady came in. I said to my wife, "The legend begins ..." We  laughed, but I also meant it -- I can't remember any player I've ever been so sure would make it, given a fair chance, in the NFL.

Maybe Montana, who showed some of the same leadership qualities at ND.