Sam Webb crystal balls QB Nate Johnson to Michigan

Submitted by Gentleman Squirrels on April 23rd, 2021 at 11:19 PM

He's been playing well in California's spring season so far. Also a super fast kid (10.8 in 100m and mid 4.4 in the 40 yard dash).

NeverPunt

April 24th, 2021 at 1:03 AM ^

Watching some highlights he kind of reminds me of a Dylan McCaffrey type - good intermediate and short passing accuracy, not a crazy strong arm that will blow you away but can also make the 30-40 yard pass if he has to. May need to get stronger or maybe a mechanics thing. Good wheels but not the slippery elusive and lightning fast Denard type - just good at pulling the ball and getting upfield quickly. Can house it if you give him a seam but may be best at a quick pull and run up the middle for ten yards kind of qb. For a class after a kid ranked like JJ, he seems like a good pick up and a guy who could brew into a good college qb if given a couple years. 

MadGatter

April 24th, 2021 at 1:33 AM ^

I'm pretty happy with this. Jj is the future. Michigan didn't need an elite guy that would step on jj's toes. Let the kid develop, and then give him some wild card Denard packages and see what he can do. 

Rickett88

April 24th, 2021 at 7:16 AM ^

I get where you are coming from, but you don’t have a winning football team if you are worried about stepping on people’s toes. We need top talent year after year, and let the best rise to the top. What we don’t need is to take an inferior player because we are worried about the psyche of our star if they have to compete for a spot. If that is our mind set, then we are fucked. 

Gentleman Squirrels

April 24th, 2021 at 7:43 AM ^

I think the point is that you can take more of a project qb with someone like McCarthy in the previous class. If you look far into the future, the state of Michigan also has some really good QBs coming up in Dante Moore (5*), Isaiah Marshall, and CJ Carr. They’re obviously not locks to Michigan but Michigan are favorites due to childhood affinity. Johnson would ideally be a QB with really good athletic traits that you can mold into something even better

Aspyr

April 24th, 2021 at 3:25 PM ^

I agree - we need to be taking a 4-5 star QB every year until we get the QB room stocked and then maybe look at specialists or projects (Not suggesting that Nate is). While we all hope that J.J. McCarthy is the answer there is no guarantee that he is and even if he is he could be injured - something that seems to be happening to all our QBs lately.

MaizeBlueA2

April 24th, 2021 at 4:14 PM ^

Comments like this make no sense.

Outside of Villari, literally EVERY QB Harbaugh has brought in since he started at Michigan has been a 4 or 5 star. Even Malzone was a 4*.

You don't need an elite QB every year, you need one every OTHER year and you need to develop guys.

Johnson is fine as long as McCarthy is developed and then you go get the kid in the '22 class that everyone wants (name slips my mind).

Aspyr

April 24th, 2021 at 5:29 PM ^

I could have said elite QBs but since you really don't know if they will be elite that doesn't make sense either. How about this "Needs to bring in highly ranked quarterbacks every year that have the skills to start day one and fit into the system that they will run"

But what you are saying is to do exactly what we have been doing.

We are starting from a deficit in QB talent - we have to stockpile more talent because either Jim can't develop the talent he recruits or doesn't have a good eye for talent. 

BroadneckBlue21

April 24th, 2021 at 9:38 AM ^

Can we not anoint JJ before he’s done anything on a college football field? Gambling all in on one player has never been a good strategy. Elite teams get elite backups that are more likely to step in and be elite. This is a game where one play, one move in practice, can find you having lost JJ for a year due to a ligament tear.

Alabama, Clemson, OSU: each has continued dominance by having the next guy come in and be better than the last. 

I am glad we have Cade, a 4-star who has flashed great ability, and JJ. But the room is thin behind them. I am not saying picking up Johnson is bad. All talent is good. But I hope they take two QBs in the class rather than just hope one guy can turn into a serviceable QB when needed.

JJ shouldn’t be an anomaly of a get, he has to be the precedent of level for UM to get back to elite. Year in and year out, UM should be signing a Top 10 QB if they want to compete with OSU.

BoMo

April 24th, 2021 at 11:49 AM ^

I think you're right about the elite teams.  Problem is, we're not elite yet whereas Bama, OSU established themselves as elite before this current transfer climate really took off.  If we can get to elite, we can do the same but until then, I don't think elite QB's will be willing to sit behind another elite QB at Michigan.

evenyoubrutus

April 24th, 2021 at 5:41 AM ^

I have a feeling recruiting will look really weird the next couple of years. How accurate can the recruiting rankings possibly be right now with COVID screwing up high school sports and shutting down most of the camps?

JonnyHintz

April 24th, 2021 at 9:49 AM ^

Recruiting rankings are already an inaccurate mess to begin with. Based too heavily on camps, with the various sites giving boosts to guys who go to “their” camps. 
 

Sure they get it right sometimes and it’s a fun thing for fans to follow along with. But they get things wrong far too often for the term “accurate” to be thrown around.

They’re typically really good at grading the top 100-150ish guys that you can correlate a high team ranking to future success. If you get enough of those guys, your necessary hit rate becomes lower. More bullets in the chamber and whatnot.  If one top 150 guy is a bust, it’s okay because you have two more at the same spot and odds are one or both will work out.

But when it comes to grading and evaluating individual players it’s not an exact science. 

Aspyr

April 24th, 2021 at 9:44 AM ^

How was his accuracy in High School? Asking for the MgoBoard. Also, seems like any recruit from CA transfers within two years anyways so nice to have a fast QB but...

slblue

April 24th, 2021 at 10:37 AM ^

Mr. Johnson - from a fan:  the University of Michigan is a world class university that will provide wonderful opportunities to you both as an athlete and student.  Come join the Maize and Blue!