OT: Should Leonard Fournette Sit Out in 2016?

Submitted by BornSinner on

What does he have to gain? Even if LSU revokes his scholarship, he can just take out a loan and pay instate tuition while marketing himself without any punishment to the rest of the LSU football squad. He would essentially be a regular student, or he could just not go to college for a year. 

 

Secondly, what's the point of age/year restrictions in the NFL and NBA anyway? If kids are good enough, (obviously 99% aren't) then why stop em? 

 

Edit: Before people keep bringing up insurance policy, read this. 

http://www.nytimes.com/2015/05/09/sports/ncaafootball/insurance-doesnt-…

The NCAA is shady as fuck about it and many players can't even afford the premiums (Which schools can now pay for as well if a poster below is correct?). Some can't even collect due to stupid stipulations. 

mGrowOld

September 30th, 2015 at 11:18 AM ^

Ok I'll be the contrarian in this discussion.  He has nothing to gain and everything to lose by playing next year due to the ridiculous rules that prevent an employee from going to work for an employer who wants to hire him.  

Ask Marcus Lattimore (who was projected to go about as high as Fournette before he shattered his leg and effectively ended his football career) how that insurance policy looks compared to a first round NFL contract.

RBs have a VERY limited shelf life and every hit he takes in college is one less he can take in the NFL.  IMO he wont adversely impact his draft stock as long as he stays in shape and does well at the combine so if he was my kid I'd tell him to sit out 2016 and not play.

BlueCube

September 30th, 2015 at 11:22 AM ^

a willing employer unless you go to Canada. The policy is whatever you want to pay for but in most cases the NFL contract isn't guaranteed in full either so if you get injured in training camp or the first game you are still screwed compared to what you would have earned.

M-Dog

September 30th, 2015 at 11:31 AM ^

The answer is to let these kids get large enough policies to cover expected earnings.  Even let them borrow against future earnings.

As I said above, Brandon Graham's mom told me that they got no help on his $2M policy.  It was not allowed.  That's stupid.  For something like this, which will keep kids in school, the NCAA should allow some from of assistance / loan that goes directly to paying for the policy.

BlueCube

September 30th, 2015 at 11:37 AM ^

One of the articles linked above says the schools can pay for it now and they should. I think the NFL should even be kicking in for some of these policies because they set up the rules preventing the players from going pro and they are benefitting from the colleges essentially being their minor leagues.

DavidP814

September 30th, 2015 at 11:27 AM ^

I agree, and your point about RBs is a good one.  The difference between Fournette and Clowney is that the very highest-level DEs (Julius Peppers, Strahan, Reggie White, etc.) play well into their 30s.  Even the good ones can have a 10-year career (James Hall).  

RBs, on the other hand, start to decline much earlier, and the difference between 2 long-term contracts and 3 is huge, considering he'll have to play out at least 3 years of his rookie deal under the rookie cap restrictions.

And btw, Lattimore was a likely 1st-rounder but nowhere near the prospect Fournette is. Fournette is almost a sure-fire Top 5 pick.

mGrowOld

September 30th, 2015 at 11:34 AM ^

The collective bargaining agreement doesnt want him hired.  Do you honestly think if it didnt contain that provision he wouldnt be eligible for the draft, selected in the top 10 for sure, and lavished with a very financially rewarding contract?

I do.  Which means an employer would want to hire him if they hadnt negotiated the rights to do so away.  A negotiation, BTW, that Fornette wasnt invited to.

MaizeAndBlueWahoo

September 30th, 2015 at 12:19 PM ^

It's not like that last sentence is a scandal or anything.  Should the autoworkers and UAW rework the contract every time someone new is hired that didn't get a chance to vote on the existing contract?

And the CBA isn't imposed from above, it's collectively bargained and agreed upon not just by the employer but the employees.  Since the employer agreed to it, it's safe to say "the employer doesn't want him" right now.  Whether they would do so without the CBA provision doesn't matter.

yzerman19

September 30th, 2015 at 12:16 PM ^

Not only should he do it, it will change the game just like the first time a college hoops team refuses to play for free.  if leonard was to just say "i'm declaring for the draft " and wait, hires some barwis-type to kep him in shape, lets an agent pay him a mil for that year, boom.  athletes will start getting paid.

mGrowOld

September 30th, 2015 at 11:30 AM ^

But I wouldnt describe it as articulate (at least not from my perspective).  One of the things he was upset about was Mel Kiper ranking him so highly for next year's draft when he's not eligible because that will put "bad thoughts" into his head.

Nevermind the fact that he IS highly rated and would be the #1 RB taken in the draft.  The NFL has decided that he's not old enough to play even though he's clearly talented enough to play.  And Herbie (who I usually like) seemed to be shilling for the good of college football, not the player, on virtually all of his points.  Like it was somehow selfish for Fournette to want to maximize his earnings (the HORROR) instead of just playing football like everybody else.

wayneandgarth

September 30th, 2015 at 11:20 AM ^

Just go out there and play football; Leonard appears to really enjoy his time at LSU.  Why in the world give that up just to ensure he doesn't get hurt?  He'll get his pay check and have a great life. 

As LSA Superstar infered, Gurley got hurt, still got his $ and is doing great. 

Wolverine In Exile

September 30th, 2015 at 11:34 AM ^

There's enough anecdotal evidence in the contemporary era that just "sitting out" a year stunts your development, or gives you enough opportunties to impale yourself in a non-football related manner. If you're asking how Fournette can maximize his earning potential, it's to play continously until the minimum time he's eligible for the NFL draft and then declare while not challenging the NFL bureaucracy. 

BornSinner

September 30th, 2015 at 11:37 AM ^

Okay "sitting out" a year doesn't mean he's not doing anything and is just being a couch potato... 

 

Hell if LSU releases him, he can just sign with Nike/Adidas etc and just go train in a facility for a year. 

 

What's the problem with that honestly??

Gentleman Squirrels

September 30th, 2015 at 11:21 AM ^

No. While Leonard Fournette is a fantastic running back and his last few games have been amazing, he's done that against weak defenses. He needs to show that he can have the same impact against big, strong defenses such as Bama, Ole Miss - which won't happen until the end of the season. Also, he needs to show that he can consistently repeat these performances every year and not just have a random awesome year. Also, why would he basically give up free reps? Obviously he enjoys football and he's doing that and going to school for free under his scholarship. It makes more sense for him to just play and get reps against other teams.

 

twohooks

September 30th, 2015 at 11:26 AM ^

In football rots fast. In equality, this has as much to do with former So Carolina running back Marcus Lattimore as it does Fournette. Lattimore was a tragic case and no one likes to see the bad luck ruin a career but I hope everyone who suits up for football understands the probablity for risks.

 

LSU has a Freshman and RS Freshman starting OG's should they pack it in for a year too? Where does it stop.

MichiganTeacher

September 30th, 2015 at 11:26 AM ^

I mean, this dilemma basically points out that the NCAA really is the Cartman CBAA plantation.

Either option presents considerable negatives that would not exist in a free market (this is not a free market because of the coercive use of government force through tax dollars, fines,  and other means to support the NFL and the NCAA).

Inuyesta

September 30th, 2015 at 11:57 AM ^

Huh? I agree that the markets in football are distorted and unfree, but it seems to me that the distortion results from the NCAA and NFL acting as monopolistic cartels within their realms and thereby exercising undue control over labor...i don't see how the government factors in to that distortion. Unless you're talking about the anti-trust exemption the NFL enjoys (and the NCAA too? I think they have one, but unsure), but that doesn't strike me as likely from the content of your post.

Shemmy126

September 30th, 2015 at 12:14 PM ^

Understand that this is not the free market as you reference it and the government has nothing to do with it.   The CBA (and in particular the Player's union) dictates that the player must be 21.  There is not a collectively bargained contract I'm aware of that is truly "free market", as a free market pays employee's what they are worth individually without the restrictions applied by a collectively bargained agreement.

MichiganTeacher

September 30th, 2015 at 12:50 PM ^

I think it does not make sense to say that the government has nothing to do with it when University of Michigan, for example, is a publicly funded institution. Try not paying the portion of your tax dollars that go to support UM and you'll end up in jail if you follow it far enough.

NFL teams get ridiculous tax breaks that other businesses do not get and often outright subsidies - all granted by government fiat enforced by the government's monopoly on the legal initiation of force.

So, government-enforced transactions that distort the free market. Not saying that there aren't other considerations that distort the market also.

Ok, now since we don't do politics here, I'm done - and mods, please feel free to delete.

markp

September 30th, 2015 at 11:29 AM ^

This reminds of "playing to win" vs "playing to not lose". I have a lot more respect for guys who play full-out and enjoy playing their favorite sport for their school and teammates, than someone who jogs and lifts for a year so they get a big paycheck. Fortune favors the bold.