Michigan v. OSU - comparing outcomes
Comparing how each school's opponents fared against them and against the rest of their schedule:
OSU 77, Oregon State 31. (1pt) Worst outcome of the year for the Beavers.
OSU 52, Rutger 3. (1pt) Worst outcome of the year for Rutger, but lolRutger. They also lost by 41 to Kansas, by 29 to Buffalo, by 21 to Illinois and by 27 to Maryland.
OSU 40, TCU 28. (3pts) Lost to Texas by 15 and Oklahoma by 25. Also lost to Kansas.
OSU 49, Tulane 6. (1pt) Worst outcome of the year for Tulane.
(but after B1G play began...)
OSU 27, PSU 26. (3pts) We know what to think of this now. Paved by M, also lost to MSU by 4.
OSU 49, Indiana 26. (2pts) Indiana lost by 26 to Iowa the next week.
OSU 30, Minnesota 14. (5pts) Minnesota lost by 25 to Nebraska, by 29 to Maryland, by 17 to Iowa and by 24 to Illinois.
OSU 20, Purdue 49. (8pts) Purdue's only game better than this was beating Illinois 46-7.
OSU 36, Nebraska 31. (4pts) Prior to this game Nebraska was 2-6, with one of those wins coming against Bethune-Cookman. Nebraska only has three finishes better than this, as they also lost by exactly 5 to Troy and Colorado.
Score (lowest is best): 28 points. tOSU is between their opponents' 3rd and 4th toughest game of the year based on outcomes, and worse in the B1G. The only B1G team who had their worst performance (pending this coming Saturday) against tOSU is Rutger.
Compare to Michigan:
17-24 loss to ND. (3pts) ND only beat Vandy by 5 and Pitt by 5.
49-3 over WMU. (1pt) Before losing their QB for the season they were 6-2 with their other loss by 13 against Syracuse. Their next worst loss is still 59-14 this past week.
42-20 over SMU. (3pts)
56-10 over NEB. (1pt) Their next worst game was losing 41-24 to WIS.
20-17 over NW. (4pt) Very similar to what ND did to them without the tack-on TD.
42-21 over MD. (2pt) Maryland lost 23-0 to Iowa and by 21 in each other loss, wierdly enough - but has 5 wins.
38-13 over WIS. (1pt) Their next worst game was losing 31-17 to NW.
21-7 over MSU. (1pt) Their next worst game was losing 29-19 to NW.
42-7 over PSU. (1pt) Their next worst game was losing 21-17 to MSU.
Score (lowest is best): 17 points. M is between their opponents' 1st and 2nd toughest game of the year based on outcomes, and better in the B1G. Five opponents, 4 in the B1G, had their worst outing of the year against M.
COMMON OPPONENTS (psu, nebraska) tOSU WON 63-57, M WON 98-17.
In sum: this is the year, see you in Indy, Hold this L, #RevengeTour, Go Blue!
November 6th, 2018 at 4:44 PM ^
Yes, but Rutger.
November 6th, 2018 at 4:39 PM ^
OSU will be up for the game and it will come down to one score just like it did when they were great and we were terrible (sometimes).
I am far less confident than the rest of you. One game at a time. Beat Rutger.
November 7th, 2018 at 12:45 PM ^
Agree 100%.....OSU is still GREAT if not elite. Just because they got smoked by Purdue does not mean they dont hate us and will just roll over for the game
November 8th, 2018 at 1:02 AM ^
They still have wicked athletes that will be actually motivated for a game.
November 6th, 2018 at 4:59 PM ^
Wow. OSU has played a shitty schedule. TCU might not make a bowl and PSUcks
November 6th, 2018 at 5:01 PM ^
The level of analysis by the OP is astounding. Deep.
November 6th, 2018 at 5:26 PM ^
My feeling on Ohio State, especially post-Bosa, is that there must be some cultural issues in that locker room on top of their incompleteness as a team overall. Like a few others have said, they seem to have settled into an overarching game plan that is predictable and, even if they win, more teams that I would have thought in August are hanging with them for longer than they should. I think they miss Barrett, Bosa and a few others and it shows.
November 6th, 2018 at 7:38 PM ^
I agree that something seems off with OSU, but I wont believe we can win until we actually do. We need to remember they are still 8-1, it's not like the year when Hoke won and OSU wasn't very good.
November 6th, 2018 at 5:44 PM ^
Only one outcome that matters.
November 6th, 2018 at 7:57 PM ^
You can throw this all out the window when they kick off the game. OSU will be at their best and we will need to play a very good game in Columbus to win