Michigan c/o '25 Acceptance Rate @ Historic Low; Apps exceed 80,000

Submitted by Michigan Arrogance on September 23rd, 2021 at 7:23 AM

Was on a webinar from UM Admissions last week and saw a couple pieces of data many may find interesting:

  • Acceptance rate for current FR class: just less than 20% (lowest on record AFAIK and 1st time below 20%)
  • Over 80,000 applications received, aslo a new record AFAIK.

I believe they also mentioned they do not give merit aid any longer, which is the 1st time I've heard them officially say that. However, that is consistent with what I've seen over the past 10-15 years: there are so many acceptable candidates that DON'T get in, M essentially feels that they don't need to offer $$$ to those who DO get in and can* pay they own way.

I don't believe M Admissions has published this data publically yet, but it should come out in the next 2-3 weeks with all the other data (race, state by state, int'l breakdown, etc). Thus, no link.

Anyway, this all fits the patterns I've followed in UM admissions for 10 or so years, with no apparent breaks on either number. In fact, they've accelerated from ~24-25% A.R. and ~65-70k apps since about 2017. I'm expecting these numbers to settle in at 15% and 100k by 2024-2026, when my kids likely decide to not apply, lol.

 

* for given definition of can: e.g., I 'can' pay for 3 Porches and have an indoor pool installed upstairs but...

michgoblue

September 23rd, 2021 at 8:38 AM ^

I live in NY and Michigan is considered to be a “hot” school in my area, and is the dream school of many of the top students in our district. The reputation over the past few years, though, has been that getting accepted into Michigan is getting harder and harder. I guess that this supports that. 

gopoohgo

September 23rd, 2021 at 9:07 AM ^

As an alum who is part of the state of Michigan diaspora (live in the land of crabcakes and football), if I had a child there is no way I would steer them towards U of M unless there was a hefty scholarship attached.  

Out of state tuition is incredibly expensive, similar to Hopkins' tuition (51K v. 55K).

Double-D

September 23rd, 2021 at 9:17 AM ^

It’s always been a source of frustration that kids from Michigan who have supported the university through local tax lose out to full paying out of state kids. Maybe that’s going away now?

allezbleu

September 23rd, 2021 at 9:54 AM ^

Yeah but out-of-state tuition (which is insane) more than makes up for the local tax and in-state kids have a huge admission advantage.

However, I do agree with your general sentiment that UM should behave more like a flagship state school than an elite private university for northeast elites. There's a balance that should be struck, but I fear we've skewed too much towards the latter in recent years.

M-Dog

September 23rd, 2021 at 11:09 PM ^

I read somewhere that Michigan gets only 8% of its funding from the state Michigan. That's it.  Something in that range.  So low, that there has been occasional talk of "Should Michigan go private?"

I don't know if that has changed or not, but people are generally surprised at how low the % actually is.

So, Michigan needs that out-of-state tuition badly.  Especially with the ever increasing emphasis on admitting a wider range of students that often can't pay much. 

They can't act too much like a flagship "XYZ State University" school, even if they would like to. 

 

JacquesStrappe

September 23rd, 2021 at 12:23 PM ^

Also, a lot of the funding for Michigan comes from federal government research grants.  In fact, next to Johns Hopkins, Michigan is #2 in federal funding.  

I wouldn't fret the in-state thing as much.  Kids from Michigan have a much higher admit rate than OOS kids, despite OOS kids paying a boatload more and frankly being the reputation carriers of the university that give the school cache everywhere.

Still, I think there is a middle way where we can accommodate more aspiring Wolverines while maintaining selectivity without falling into the trap of elitism.  Last year proved out the viability of online as a substitute for in-person.  While I would not deem it as sufficient for the full 4 years, it certainly could be used for the first 1-2 years to lower cost and when most students outside of engineering don't really need physical resources and are still just exploring what they want to major in.

CTSgoblue

September 23rd, 2021 at 7:07 PM ^

Eh, only 13% of the budget comes from the state.  As a former out-of-state student, I greatly appreciated the fact that the school had students from all over and a diversity of backgrounds. And that’s how you get “brain gain”—I met a lovely girl from MI while I was there and settled down here.  I suppose you could argue whether I qualify as “brain gain,” though… :)

WestQuad

September 23rd, 2021 at 9:19 AM ^

I have 3 kids and am outside of Michigan now.  I've saved to send them to college, but $200 to $300k per kid is ridiculous.  Unless they plan to be a doctor or lawyer, I'd almost rather give them some programming books and fund their startup.  The ROI might be better.

Mike60586

September 23rd, 2021 at 9:32 AM ^

Same here, OOS as well in Wisconsin

My middle daughter is thinking of applying there for engineering, but I also am wondering about the ROI.  She has a 35 ACT, 2nd in class, lots of extracurricular activiteis, volunteering, NHS, and in a top ten high school in the state. Some of her friends with similiar stats applied last year and none of them received any merit based awards, so I think it would probably be the same for her.  

Too bad they didn't have a reciprocity agreement with our state like U-W and Minnesota does.

 

 

Blue In NC

September 23rd, 2021 at 11:21 AM ^

Mike, in case it's helpful, my daughter is an engineering student and went through the process last year. 36 ACT, perfect grades, NHS, etc.  She was admitted to UM Engin but nothing on any aid.  She did get a pretty good offer from Emory but otherwise no aid of any sort to her other acceptances.  It was a tough decision but she ended up at Cornell Engineering because financially UM OOS was almost as expensive.  UM is a great school but like most others its competing against, it's incredibly competitive and financially crazy.  But here we are.

OldSchoolWolverine

September 23rd, 2021 at 9:21 AM ^

Question to someone who knows.... my son is applying soon.... wants to study Business, but I told him that the best chance to get in is to apply to LS&A, and then change majors later, as getting into the Biz school straight up is much harder.....   is this the best move to give the best chance he gets in to Michigan ?

ak47

September 23rd, 2021 at 10:36 AM ^

Your application to Ross pre-admit doesn't impact your chance of getting in overall, its two separate decisions so its no harm. You also aren't really in Ross as a freshman pre-admit anyways, you still have to take the Econ's and get a minimum grade and overall GPA to maintain your pre-admit status and start Ross with everyone else Sophmore year, at which point it becomes almost impossible to fail because they grade the averages to a B+ like the ivies to make the grads more competitive. So there is no harm in his applying to be pre-admit to Ross.

I will say however I would generally push back against being an undergrad business student. There are some benefits, especially around recruiting, but you can get a job at a big consulting firm or similar type situation with an LS&A degree, and if he's serious about business he will have to go back for an MBA anyways which just means taking all the same classes as an undergrad business degree like accounting. So its a much more diverse educational pathway to do something else undergrad, get a job, go back to get the MBA, than to do business undergrad, job, MBA. 

Zoltanrules

September 23rd, 2021 at 7:26 PM ^

IOE (Industrial/ In and Out easy engin) undergrad and take a few business classes and later get an MBA grad is a great combination.

BBA and MBA can be pretty similar degrees at UM. Having some work real experience, maturity, or analytical engineering experience and then getting an MBA opens a lot of doors..

MarcusBrooks

September 23rd, 2021 at 9:26 AM ^

when my daughter was picking schools the very odd financial advisor that gave the presentation flat out told us YOU WON"T GET FINIANCIAL AID HERE 

the other school she was looking at was throwing money at her to attend. 

there may come a time that unless you are a minority or an athlete you don't get in. 

BlueinKyiv

September 23rd, 2021 at 2:35 PM ^

Marcus, it is already that time for a lot of institutions.  I told my son to cross Princeton off his list. Princeton's 2025 incoming class is only 14% white male (and I am told by a friend on the faculty there that you can count on one hand the number who were not either on athletic scholarship or a legacy).  

 

allezbleu

September 23rd, 2021 at 9:57 AM ^

We should not be celebrating this. I love UM dearly and I love when it's recognized for the great university it is. But this is simply a reflection of the larger broken system in this country.

JacquesStrappe

September 23rd, 2021 at 12:14 PM ^

Agreed wholeheartedly!  At some point the majority of people will not want to support public funding of institutions that distribute private benefits.  Who can blame them.  Even the private universities have this issue as none of them are truly completely privately funded when federal and state grants are taken into account along with student loan subsidies and guarantees. 

After the past year proved out the viability of online teaching, there is no reason why any university cannot support offering online undergrad degree programs.  Except that they don't want to because of their concern over harming their prestige brands.

Purposely restricting supply is a form of price-fixing that should attract anti-trust action or a review of the non-profit status of universities.  Either public universities should hew to their stated missions of accessibility or face enhanced regulatory scrutiny and accountability.

It is always the people talking the most about inclusiveness and equity that are the biggest elitists when it comes to protecting their own status.

Eleven Year Wo…

September 23rd, 2021 at 2:54 PM ^

"After the past year proved out the viability of online teaching, there is no reason why any university cannot support offering online undergrad degree programs.  Except that they don't want to because of their concern over harming their prestige brands."

As someone who teaches both online and in-person classes at a not very prestigious University, I agree the past year may have shown the viability of online teaching in that most places demonstrated that we can do it when we have to.

But the idea that universities could just flip a switch and offer all their undergraduate degrees online with the same quality at a lower cost (while still offering the same level of in person classes) is ridiculous.

 

UMgradMSUdad

September 23rd, 2021 at 10:08 AM ^

Having no merit based scholarships is in alignment with most of the elite schools: so many excellent candidates apply that there is no need, from the university's perspective.  But, for families that make too much money to qualify for needs-based scholarships but not enough to really afford the costs, it really sucks.

njvictor

September 23rd, 2021 at 10:17 AM ^

The acceptance rate is reaching Ivy League level which for a public university is definitely interesting. Good news for Sparty I guess as they can have our well qualified rejects

ak47

September 23rd, 2021 at 10:39 AM ^

Its still a pretty big drop to ivy league levels and we'd need a much higher yield rate to get there. Its also mostly driven by out of state students who aren't looking to go to MSU.

I'm just glad I applied before the common app, 50k applications was bad enough.

bronxblue

September 23rd, 2021 at 10:32 AM ^

Isn't part of the application uptick due to the Common App allowing students to apply to a ton of schools easily?  Like, when I applied to college I had to fill out separate applications and write separate letters for every one of them, which is a time and money suck for a lot of candidates.  Now it's much easier to just click a couple of buttons and send out your application to a lot of schools you may or may not consider attending.

The merit scholarship drop stinks for people who are in the middle area of paying for school, but I assume there are still a number of external scholarships that can help.  It does strike me as unsustainable how expensive it is to go to college.

bronxblue

September 23rd, 2021 at 1:17 PM ^

Absolutely.  I don't remember when UM started accepting the Common App, but it's been around for some time.  But, like, last year they had a record 65k apply despite it being a pandemic and with travel restrictions, the year before that was close to 59k.  They note they've been seeing increase in applications for the past 14 years, which would track with the university's decision to accept the Common App starting in 2010.  So I do think the ease of application, plus increased globalization of applicants, is driving a decent chunk of the uptick.

M-Dog

September 23rd, 2021 at 11:40 PM ^

It's not the common app.  That has been around for a while.

The sudden and drastic increase the number of applications (which has been the case for all of the top schools) was fueled by the dropping of SAT/ACT requirements during COVID.

In this era of grade inflation there are a lot of kids running around with low A averages, even straight A averages that aren't academically legit.  The SAT/ACT would "tell on them" in the past . . . those As aren't real.  So kids with those lower SAT/ACT scores would not bother applying to the ultra-competitive schools.  

But with that deterrent gone, a lot of high school students thought, what the heck why not apply to all of the elite schools and see what happens?  So they flooded all of the top schools with applications.

Those schools don't mind, they get the application fees and they get to brag about how selective they are.  But rejecting 80%, 90% of the kids that apply does not seem sustainable in a world where so much of the funding for universities comes from state and federal (i.e. taxpayer) dollars. 

It's an ego rush now for these schools, but there will be blowback coming.  

 

Squader

September 23rd, 2021 at 3:19 PM ^

Random contrasting anecdote: I was there for the last four years of Carr and knew of multiple people in my HS English class alone who got merit aid, and met more in Ann Arbor. (And don't get the wrong idea, this was a public high school in the Kalamazoo area. Nothing fancy.) I remember two classes of award, there may have been others:

- Regents': $1,500 "good job!" award

- Dean's: full ride tuition

The folks who got Dean's awards were not necessarily more academically "qualified" than the Regents' award folks but had the kind of wide-ranging interests and specific, elevated life goals that make folks take notice. They not only had the grades and score, they also knew why they were there and where they were planning to go next. I think the award decisions must have been primarily an outcome of the essay portions of the application process.

Amaizing Blue

September 23rd, 2021 at 10:48 AM ^

As a current HS counselor, I can tell you that the UM admissions department is the least helpful one we deal with.  "Should Sally submit her test score if it's a 1250?"  Answer:  "We look at and review everything a student submits.  It's a holistic process."  Same answer to "How important are essays?"  "Do legacy students get a boost?"  "Are you a human or a robot?"  We had a truly outstanding rep a few years ago who would sometimes tell us the truth on purpose, but he was replaced with another "Holistic process" person a couple years ago.  I graduated in '86, and have even tried to play the "Just between Wolverines" card-no dice.  

MGoBender

September 23rd, 2021 at 11:52 AM ^

"Should Sally submit her test score if it's a 1250?"  Answer:  "We look at and review everything a student submits.  It's a holistic process." 

Honest question: Why would you expect a different answer?

It seems you are operating under the assumption that it is not a holistic process where everything is considered and there are black and white cut-offs. That's not the case, as we all know. I can see in the past a particular admissions rep might have said "well, X and you're in good shape." But even in the past 8 years things have changed so much. GPA is worthless and SAT/ACT we know to be inequitable measurements that are going to be phased out.

gopoohgo

September 24th, 2021 at 12:04 PM ^

Magic beans.  

While standardized tests aren't perfect measures, they still are very strongly correlated with graduating on time, and it's the best tool we have at the moment.  

College, especially STEM, can be hard af. Even people coming from "good" high schools can struggle (our high school valedictorian dropped out from Stanford).