M #1 in SP+
I was a bit surprised by this, but Michigan is now #1 in the updated SP+ rankings. Strength of Schedule is considered. The defense still has the potential to be the best since '97 (or at least 2016). The offense has a LOT more weapons than either of those teams did. November will be difficult, but the potential is still there.
September 24th, 2023 at 11:39 AM ^
Nice. This team has a lot to improve, but good to see things continue to trend up. So the preseason ranking is four weeks out. So, this has lot more in-season data now.
Hope OL gels in a week or two and players come off injuries. Then, this team will be ready for November.
September 24th, 2023 at 1:48 PM ^
Ditto on the OL. It seemed to me that the run game was pretty meh yesterday while Hinton was at RT and Moore kept calling zone runs. I thought the plan far more effective when Henderson came in and we did more power/counter.
September 24th, 2023 at 11:42 AM ^
Really like reading this. Thanks for sharing. Enjoying the season so far and have a feeling it is going to get better every week. Not to thread jack but also enjoying the fact Michigan has Coach Harbaugh and OSU has Coach Day. Coach Harbaugh has been hitting real triples for a long time and was winning AFC player of the year when Coach Day was still watching Felix the Cat cartoons. Just sayin.
September 24th, 2023 at 11:46 AM ^
Defense is legit. Not without areas on which to work, but legit. Could have goosed those numbers by not soft-covering a team that can't throw downfield, but no one is doing much of anything so far this year against them. And, not one game yet where we can really say the defense was fully healthy and present.
September 24th, 2023 at 11:47 AM ^
I think the oline and second cb spot need improvement if the team is going to achieve their goal; could also use a bit more edge pressure. BUT saying that, after watching ND/OSU last night, the Buckeyes are still SOFT no matter how much Eddie Munster cries about it.
September 24th, 2023 at 1:49 PM ^
Had the same thought about OSU watching that game. Their Big 12 defense got pushed around in the second half.
September 24th, 2023 at 11:52 AM ^
5 of the top 6 in this week's ratings will be in the "Big Ten" next season.
September 24th, 2023 at 11:54 AM ^
Yeah but how tough are we in the Ryan Day index? Call out an octogenarian tough?!
September 24th, 2023 at 12:04 PM ^
To be fair, an ND octogenarian...
September 24th, 2023 at 11:56 AM ^
But #1 in our hearts .... wait ... just #1 in everything dammit
September 24th, 2023 at 11:58 AM ^
Yes but are we flashy enough? These fancy stats and wins are nice but I have feelings. I hold down triangle in Madden to run the no huddle with injuries and fatigue turned off. Isn't that exactly like real football? /s
September 24th, 2023 at 12:11 PM ^
Season is wide open for success.
September 24th, 2023 at 12:12 PM ^
People have been very critical of the offense, but they've been efficient outside of BGSu with 4 turnovers.
They've had very few possessions. Yesterday just 7 possessions including running the clock out. They're fine with letting the clock run and taking the play clock down before they snap.
We're winning games and giving our opponents very little game tape to watch.
September 24th, 2023 at 1:19 PM ^
Yeah, I haven't bothered to look at what our points per possession average is, but it's got to be pretty high - especially if you remove garbage time from the picture.
September 24th, 2023 at 12:23 PM ^
Does this still include last year's stats?
September 24th, 2023 at 12:28 PM ^
The best part is this team can get even better
September 24th, 2023 at 12:28 PM ^
but the potential is still there
I mean, of course and this team has been pretty terrific. The reason people are freaking out is just because expectations are so high this year. We've been completely fine and playing with an obvious "avoid injuries and try a bunch of stuff out" mentality for the first few games.
September 24th, 2023 at 1:50 PM ^
Great point, and username checks out.
September 24th, 2023 at 12:47 PM ^
I believe Rutgers is underrated and will hang an LL on Sparty, as well as go bowling this season.
September 24th, 2023 at 12:50 PM ^
As a Michigan fan, alumnus, third generation alumnus, blah blah blah. I've blead UM football for a long time. There was a time when I would have made a video similar to the "sparty meltdown" video. Instead of shaming that young spartan, I know both understand his emotions, and feel sorry for him. Football is a great sport and loving a team is, not anywhere near the true love one has for a child, but close in ones' visceral emotions in the success of something for which one has little impact on the outcome (clearly, a parent has more impact, but the success is out of the parent's hands. This is a metaphor and am not suggesting that watching football and parenting are anywhere near as important. But there are emotional similarities). To the spartan fan, nothing wrong with loving a team. It hurts way more than a victory feels good. This is the magic of the product.
That all said, I'm looking at SP #1 and, instead of worrying about outcomes, I smile at where the program is. We can expect to see dominate defenses, an O line that is the best in the land. In the random roll of fate's dice, we may drop a few games. We may not get off to a strong start and not have enough to come back. Some team may out scheme us. It will be painful to witness. Regardless of outcome, I'm proud of this group of men, the coaches, the university and the fan base. We have demanded excellence, and dammit, it is here. I know there are only secular celebrations for the team that wins it all in the second week in January, but I think we should nod our collective heads at the greatness this program has become. It is awesome. I will cherish every win, but in a large way, we have already won.
Go Blue!
September 24th, 2023 at 1:08 PM ^
Area of unknown: No Biff behind the scenes
Areas likely not better yet: special teams. Spoiled by Moody. Punt and kick returns need work.
OL needs to gel better.
September 24th, 2023 at 1:15 PM ^
This is Jim Harbaugh's 20th year as a head coach. (Time flies, wow...) Seventeen of those 20 seasons have been without Biff Poggi. I'm happy for Poggi that he's landed the Charlotte job, but this notion that he was our secret weapon the last two years is probably a bit overstated.
September 24th, 2023 at 1:21 PM ^
> I was a bit surprised by this
Having watched all four games in person, I was too. This probably says more about the other elite teams also being mortal than it does Michigan being exceptional. This week's game, in particular, did not feel at all comfortable until the pick-six, which could easily have worked out differently. I think even an incompletion there changes the tenor of the game significantly.
September 24th, 2023 at 1:27 PM ^
The pick-six happened on 4th down, so we would have had the ball at midfield in the event of an incompletion. Given how we moved the ball all day, I'm fairly confident we'd have done something with that possession.
September 24th, 2023 at 1:59 PM ^
Yeah everyone acted like he kept the culture great and was the glue, but with the stories about Cade coming out and Eric All’s actions everything clearly wasn’t all that great in the locker room.
September 24th, 2023 at 3:34 PM ^
I recall them getting well past midfield, but your point still stands.
September 24th, 2023 at 2:31 PM ^
First 4 games 1997 - Considered one of the top collegiate defenses of all time. They had Charles Woodson!
- Colorado, Baylor, Notre Dame, Indiana
- Passing: 583 (175, 62, 205, 141)
- Rushing: 306 (49, 92, 149, 16)
- Total Yards: 889
- Turnovers: 9 (4, 1, 1, 3)
- Remaining Games: Team (823 Rushing , 1023 Passing, 20 Turnovers)
- Northwestern (35, 135, 2)
- Iowa (101, 86, 4)
- Michigan State (95, 177, 6)
- Minnesota (90, 12, 0)
- Penn State (101, 68, 1)
- Wisconsin (154, 81, 1)
- Ohio State (119, 133, 3)
- Washington State (128, 331, 3)
First 4 games 2006 - All time great run defense that got exposed at the end of the year through the air.
- Vanderbilt, CMU, Notre Dame, Wisconsin
- Passing: 794 (129, 188, 241, 236)
- Rushing: 64 (42, 16, 4, 2)
- Total Yards: 858
- Turnovers: 11 (2, 3, 5, 1)
- Remaining Games: Team (544 Rushing , 2130 Passing, 15 Turnovers)
- Minnesota (108, 215, 0)
- Michigan State (60, 252, 2)
- Penn State (14, 200, 1)
- Iowa (41, 197, 1)
- Northwestern (13, 204, 5)
- Ball State (47, 250, 1) - The memories came back :(
- Indiana (26, 105, 1)
- Ohio State (187, 316, 3)
- USC (48, 391, 1)
First 4 Games 2022
- Colorado State, Hawaii, UConn, Maryland
- Passing: 441 (137, 113, 24, 269)
- Rushing: 436 (82, 140, 86, 128)
- Total Yards: 877
- Turnovers: 6 (2, 0, 1, 3)
First 4 Games 2023
- East Carolina, UNLV, Bowling Green State, Rutgers
- Passing: 604 (132, 168, 124, 180)
- Rushing: 322 (103, 61, 81, 77)
- Total Yards: 926
- Turnovers: 5 (1, 0, 3, 1)
Note: Was bored so wanted to see a comparison, maybe useful to someone.
September 24th, 2023 at 10:59 PM ^
Good God, the 1997 defense could not be touched, until they ran into the Wazzu one back offense, which gave M fits for the entire first half. Dennis Erickson baked the one back offense into WSU's DNA and Mike Price kept it essentially fully intact. It was lethal, and you can use Erickson's coaching resume as proof.
September 24th, 2023 at 10:31 PM ^
Iowa.
#108 offense
#2 defense
Srsly has that even been approached before? How is that even conceivably possible?
September 25th, 2023 at 12:23 PM ^
Meanwhile FPI has us at 12th, with a 30% chance to beat Penn State and a 32% chance to beat Ohio State. Super weird that ESPN has two metrics that are vastly different