Hot bet
For those of you that use 5 dimes, not that I would condone or suggest such a thing, there is a prop bet for Lee Corso and his headgear choice this weekend. Michigan is currently paying +475. Wisconsin is at -1000. Not often do you get nearly 5 to 1 on your money for a coin flip decision.
We can make this the betting thread for the week also.
I love this week's slate:
Penn State -13.5
Ohio State -29.5
Indiana +5
Oregon +3
Northwestern -3.5
Michigan -8.5 (although I liked this a lot more at -6.5)
LSU +7.5
October 10th, 2018 at 10:21 AM ^
I was just poking fun at you inadvertantly suggesting that Minnesota is a 29.5 point favorite, and that you like them to cover.
October 10th, 2018 at 10:22 AM ^
Eh I could see it. Indiana is 55th in S&P+ and lost by 23, Minnesota is 57th. It took OSU some late, garbage time scores to even get to 23. Peyton Ramsey had one of the best games of his career against OSU's secondary. Minnesota has 3 receivers with 220+ yards and 2 averaging 14+ yards per catch, so big play threats against OSU's defense which is worst in the country at preventing big plays. Minnesota has the 16th best defense according to S&P+ nationally. They just held Iowa to 2.7 YPC rushing and have held every opponent except Maryland to 3.6 YPC or less. OSU's rushing attack has had 3.2 YPC the past 2 games so shutting down the running game is possible.
Obviously though it's Minnesota playing at OSU. They just gave up 300+ yards passing to Iowa and have an injured secondary. The only game they didn't hold an opponent to under 3.6 YPC they gave up 8+ to Maryland. They have the S&P+ #111 offense.
I think Minnesota's going to lose by a lot. But whenever the spread is that high all it takes is one garbage time score either way to cover or not cover so I'd stay away from it.
October 10th, 2018 at 10:36 AM ^
Ol' PJ is finding out that the Big Ten is a wee bit more difficult than the MAC.
October 10th, 2018 at 12:51 PM ^
And why should I trust YOU, random internet message board guy?
October 10th, 2018 at 9:52 AM ^
Northwestern at home vs Nebraska looks like a good bet
October 10th, 2018 at 9:57 AM ^
I like these the most this week:
- Texas/Baylor over
- UCF cover v Memphis
- USF cover v Tulsa
- Florida ML v Vanderbilt
October 10th, 2018 at 10:55 AM ^
YOu from Florida ?
October 10th, 2018 at 12:02 PM ^
Nope, just that UCF and USF are solid teams and not being given many points. Also, I think Mullen is starting to turn Florida around.
October 10th, 2018 at 10:59 AM ^
Isn't it Murderwolve, as in wolverine? Or has the joke passed over me
October 10th, 2018 at 12:27 PM ^
I'm kind of expecting the PSU-MSU game to be similar to most of PSU's games this season. It may be close for 2-3 quarters but PSU will pull away and pad the score. I also wouldn't be suprised if they blew the doors off of MSU from the get go.
October 10th, 2018 at 1:07 PM ^
The last time Wisconsin lost a regular season road game in the conference by more than 7 points was 2010 at MSU. I'd take Wisconsin and the 8.5.
October 10th, 2018 at 1:14 PM ^
This year’s Michigan team can put points up, especially if Wisconsin sells out the run like most teams have, and all the of injuries to the UW secondary, Michigan’s passing attack will put up points that I don’t think the UW offense can match. And if we are to believe the players, apparently there is more in the playbook that could open it up even more. Even if there isn’t, I’m comfortable with Michigan covering.
October 10th, 2018 at 1:50 PM ^
"Michigan’s passing attack will put up points that I don’t think the UW offense can match."
Hornibrook has been notably more accurate and effective on the road than he has been at home, so it doesn't appear as though he's bothered by playing in a hostile stadium. Since our DL will be at less-than-full strength, getting consistent pressure on him might be a problem.
October 10th, 2018 at 4:02 PM ^
The last time Wisconsin lost a regular season road game in the conference by more than 7 points was 2010 at MSU.
Should've happened in 2016 had Kenny Allen/Ryan Tice made just one of their three combined FG attempts!
October 10th, 2018 at 1:09 PM ^
I just hope Corso picks Wisky.......we haven't fared well when he has picked us
October 10th, 2018 at 1:10 PM ^
If Michigan wins, which I think they will, it should be two scores at least. I’m fine with 8.5
October 10th, 2018 at 1:14 PM ^
No real easy way to put this, but Corso should retire after this seaosn. For his own sake. He looks like he's having trouble out there sometimes. I wish him well.
October 10th, 2018 at 1:27 PM ^
NW opened -9. That is quite the line dive.
October 10th, 2018 at 1:43 PM ^
Michigan has the ability to take Wisconsin behind the woodshed.
It all depends if Harbaugh will open up the O.
October 10th, 2018 at 2:10 PM ^
The Browns last week were 12-1 to win their division.. I thought this was way out of whack, and at worst be 5-1... and they are proving it... They have as good a chance as any in that division.
October 10th, 2018 at 10:37 PM ^
I have $75 to win $400 on 5dimes on Corso picking Michigan -
$25 @ +500
$25 @ +550
$25 @ +550
The last 3 mins of GameDay is gonna be intense for me haha