Early line: UM -24 over Sparty
https://x.com/Brett_McMurphy/status/1713620650647011396
That line feels a bit high to me. Considering how wacky UM/MSU games often are, and it's a night game in East Lansing. UM -19 or UM -20 feels correct to me.
October 15th, 2023 at 3:18 PM ^
Enough with the PTSD with Sparty.
Our margin of victory in Big Ten play is roughly 37 points.
We just covered a 30+ spread against Indiana.
Michigan State is probably worse than every other Big Ten team we've played. I guess they were controlling the game against Rutgers, until they weren't.
The number is probably going to go up this week. So if you want to bet on Michigan, do it now.
October 15th, 2023 at 3:26 PM ^
This all day!!! Night game in EL that will have a ton of maize and blue in the seats. Tickets are just going down in price.
October 15th, 2023 at 3:20 PM ^
Another sports book opened at Michigan -23. That seems like too many points given a night game at MSU. This is their SuperBowl/Bowl game.
Michigan wins but not sure if they cover -23
I will gladly take a 1 point victory with NO injuries. Sparty is gonna go for every cheap shot they can.
Im putting the over/under on MSU personal fouls at 3.5.
October 15th, 2023 at 3:24 PM ^
We are in the ass kicking business, and business is booming. 45-17 Michigan
October 15th, 2023 at 3:25 PM ^
Feels high. It’s a rivalry game on the road against a team with nothing to lose and knows it’s now entirely a one game season. I expect to get the kitchen sink.
Hard to see MSU winning minus a ton of Michigan mistakes, but I wouldn’t be surprised if Michigan didn’t cover.
October 15th, 2023 at 3:39 PM ^
That’s too high x 2.
October 15th, 2023 at 3:43 PM ^
I'm seeing Michigan -19.5 on numerous boards
October 15th, 2023 at 7:38 PM ^
SP+ would have the game right around 19.5.
One or the other of these lines is going to have to disappear very quickly or the books are going to risk getting middled hard. (Bet Michigan -19.5, MSU +24.5, and win both bets if Michigan wins by 20-24).
October 15th, 2023 at 3:49 PM ^
I don't see the line as easily predicted with this one, other than feeling (reasonably) confident of a win. Best scenario, in my book, is we beat the freaking tar out of them for three quarters and then play the third and fourth string. In such a scenario, as we've already seen, Michigan might not maximize points on the scoreboard, or give a damn about the betting, but do more important stuff like give guys PT and protect player's health, limit exhaustion for the home stretch.
State will not be worth worries about the final score, I don't think. Just win and get hell out of that cesspit. I'd be happy if we never played them again. Too much bad blood, so foul you can smell them 64 miles away. Those noodles can't even hire a president, and are in the grip of a troglodyte board that continues to drag the poor students and faculty through hell several years, now, after Nassar. It would be fun, some year, to be so far out in front of the pack that we could just forfeit that game, refuse to play it and still win the conference.
October 15th, 2023 at 3:55 PM ^
Michigan State won't be able to run the ball and our pash rush will get home.
Michigan wins 42-6.
EDIT: 44-6 (I forgot the safety)
October 15th, 2023 at 3:55 PM ^
-30
Keep the streak alive!
October 15th, 2023 at 4:01 PM ^
Not coincidentally, 24 is also the over/under for Sparty personal fouls.
October 16th, 2023 at 2:35 PM ^
^^^Deserves More Upvotes^^^
October 15th, 2023 at 4:24 PM ^
Put your money where your mouth is
October 15th, 2023 at 4:38 PM ^
All I want is a comfortable, boring win with no injuries.
October 15th, 2023 at 4:47 PM ^
Historically, in this series we've mostly won big and lost close. We should win, so...
October 15th, 2023 at 4:58 PM ^
I'm predicting an early score by MSU, then boa constrictor rest of the game with salty score as time runs out. Good guys 57-7
October 15th, 2023 at 5:03 PM ^
I'd love to see something to the effect of 45-9
October 15th, 2023 at 5:05 PM ^
I want a shut out
October 15th, 2023 at 5:06 PM ^
Sounds good to me!
October 16th, 2023 at 2:36 PM ^
Remembering the tunnel I would like to go full Rutger and hang 72 on them.
October 15th, 2023 at 5:30 PM ^
I am mostly concerned about cheap shots and extracurricular activities by the Spartans. I don't think MSU has the skill/heart to score in the 4th quarter if the game isn't on the line and I don't think it will be on the line. Michigan covers.
October 15th, 2023 at 5:37 PM ^
Is there a player on the MSU roster that would start on the Wolverines?
I like their running backs but neither would start over Blake.
October 15th, 2023 at 6:38 PM ^
They have some guys that would be rotating in like Maliq Carr, but nobody who would completely supplant any Michigan starters
October 15th, 2023 at 6:18 PM ^
-30 feels about right
October 15th, 2023 at 7:19 PM ^
I would normally think the spread is a little high for a state game, but I think we cover comfortably this year—like 52-6. The tunnel incident last year as motivation and the relative disparity in the two programs this year lead me to believe they’re in for an epic beatdown.
October 16th, 2023 at 9:24 AM ^
You have to remember this isnt a Mork coached team from the 2010s playing an average Michigan team. Their coach screwed them over and whatever talent they had transferred out last spring.
They'll hang in the game for so long until they crack in the 2nd quarter.
October 16th, 2023 at 10:49 AM ^
That seems high. MSU has made a lot of back breaking mistakes, but their defensive line could cause some problems for Michigan and they've shored up that unit as a whole. JJ will have to continue to be efficient and avoid mistakes.
Less worried about the MSU offense, I don't think Houser is the guy that can really take advantage of Michigan's second DB but they'll manufacture a TD or two from some tricky shit. I think this game will be similar to last year.