DraftKings BIG10 football 2023 wins total odds
Looks like they're believers in Luke Fickell, or at least they think the public is. They seem harsh on Illinois. It seems after last season Illinois should have more wins than they're giving here. Here's Illinois schedule. I can see 8 wins there.
Ohio St. travels to Notre Dame, Purdue, Wisconsin, and Michigan. Born on third may have 2 losses this year. The Wisconsin game on October 28 might be very interesting.
Is it a safe bet to say Michigan will get over 10.5? I think it is. But then I'm a Michigan fan. At Penn St is probably going to be the White Out game. Which just makes the win more fun.
Michigan's schedule:
Despite all the projections that Michigan is going to go more to the pass with JJ McCarthy this season, I think it's still going to be a very run heavy team. And why not, with Blake Corum potentially headed to 2000, and Donovan Edwards to 1000, why change horses in the middle of the stream? It doesn't seem Jim Harbaugh is that kind of a guy. There could be 12 wins again this season for Michigan.
Illinois lost some solid players plus their DC to Purdue HC. I could see a step back.
Devon Witherspoon, DB, Seattle (1st, 5)
Jartavius Martin, DB, Washington (2nd, 47)
Sydney Brown, DB, Philadelphia (3rd, 66)
Chase Brown, RB, Cincinnati (5th, 163)
Fickell might run over that division for a decade, I think he's that good.
I predict Nebraska will outperform Illinois.
MSU's continued mediocrity will be delicious.
I’m not sold on Fickell. I think Cade and All will help Iowa win the west. There is no one on Michigan’s schedule that I think will beat them. At PSU will be tough but also, Franklin. And OSU coming to AA with a new qb does not scare me. Just need to get that elusive playoff win this year.
Is the rule still in place regarding night games in November, where the opposing team has to agree to it being a night game. Would much rather play Penn St for Big Noon than Primetime. It’ll be a White Out, but would much rather an early kick. Jim is 2-2 at Penn St and both wins were Noon kicks and both losses were White Outs. Aside from Covid year, we have embarrassed them every time at home under JH.
I don’t see OSU beating us this year. I see a 47-20 type game in the making and Ryan Day being afraid to sit down after due to the temperature of the seat.
I spelled out my rationale in a thread yesterday ("As it's never-too-early" .....), but I expect Michigan @ Penn State to be a Noon game in 2023.
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As regards the WhiteOut, 90% of PSU fans have been trained to wear white to all games regardless (see Rose Bowl crowd vs Utah, for instance).
PSU will brand a game annually as "the WhiteOut", because that provides the school the opportunity to sell "officially trademarked WhiteOut" t-shirts at an absurdly marked-up $50 price point.
But from a game atmosphere POV, being "the official WhiteOut" is really irrelevant.
We all know you will be the guy wearing maize.
A white T-shirt for 50 bucks? Really?
”We are!! Stu-pid!!”
You can’t spell “stupid” without “PSU.”
Let's not flatter yourself --- there are plenty of rubes in all fanbases, willing to overpay for anything and everything with a trademarked logo on it.
Duh..duh.. dubya dee?
Cade is a huge upgrade for Iowa and what they do. He will keep a couple of drives alive every game with his short game accuracy where Petras would turf a wide open 3rd and 6 with remarkable consistency for a QB at any level.
Iowa’s defense will be Iowa’s defense and Cade will give them a few more points and a few more first downs to rest.
Iowa vs Wisconsin is going to be an interesting game to watch this year.
Those poor throws by Petras were killers. You could never expect they were going to be good throws. Something was in his head. Some of those receivers were WIDE open.
Did you actually watch cade in game action last year? Because he was Petras in those situations.
looks pretty good to me:
Yeah, but he said last year. 2022 Cade did not remotely resemble 2021 Cade...
Rutgers must have a secret weapon that we know nothing about.
I suspect... aliens.
EDIT: That or Alabama's baseball coach is somehow involved.
Sparty at 5.5 made my day. Let's hope they don't reach this lofty number!
So 6.5 losses is the o/u? I'm gonna trust in MeLLLLLLL.
Rutgers Scarlet Knights -- No Odds
This is the most Rutgers thing ever.
You can place a bet, but only through Freddy Fat Fingers.
I would not be surprised at all if Rutgers won more games than MSU. Sparty gonna S.T.I.N.K. this year.
What's scary is that their defense will need to carry them. Unless they pick up a good portal QB, it's gonna be a long fall in EL.
It'll be a long autumn, but a short fall.
over for Michigan
should be 9-0 before the tough 3 game end of the season
This is interesting. I never bet on Michigan or OSU, so If I had to place wagers today my four here would be:
Penn St. 9.5-over
Wisconsin 9-under
Iowa 7.5-over
Sparty 5.5-under
With me placing bets early something fluky usually happens though, and I would lose my ass.
Penn St has new QB and Clifford was good for 3 more wins, I'd take the under. MSU lol.
MSU paying, via Ishbia, almost $1m per loss is so delicious. You'd think this would be some sort of outside bribe from a hated rival, but no, they self-inflicted this result.
Iowa had the #130 offense last year. If it would have been #90 they would have probably been 10-2. Their two toughest games this year will be @ Penn St and @ Wisconsin. I'm expecting a far better offense this year. They could go 10-2.
Free money alert MSU 5.5 under.
I know they play in the West, but 9 wins for Wisconsin? I get that people are in love with Fickell, but he made his nut playing in a lesser league and is taking over a team that's been playing the back nine of their glory years recently. The whole Western division is going to suck like an Electrolux this year.
UM and OSU both at 10.5, huh?
DraftKings = COWARDS!!!
When I have pleasant dreams about the 2023 football season, Michigan runs the table and OSU brings two losses to The Game in Ann Arbor. They have no hope of winning the Big Ten or going to the playoff. Their mercenaries are even less motivated than usual. You can imagine the rest.
I would add this one specific part of my dream. The QB - whoever it is - is dramatically worse than what they have had. I’m talking, I want to see their QB(s) play like fucking Steve Bellasari or Stanley Jackson. Is it too much to ask for highly rated QB(s) to just suck? That would make this season so enjoyable. An all world WR in Harrison not getting the ball because the QB (and throw in the O line) can’t perform.
I would certainly bet on the oddless Rutgers to have more wins than MSU.
I never know if these include post season games, but assuming only regular season games I would bet the following (I have not looked at the schedules for most of these teams, so this is mostly pulled out of my tukus/gut feelings):
I include a confidence rating from low confidence (1) to high confidence (10) about my pick...
Michigan - OVER 10.5 (8)
OSU - OVER 10.5 (7)
PSU - OVER 9.5 (5)
Wisconsin - UNDER 9 (8)
Iowa - OVER 7.5 (9)
Maryland - PUSH 7 (5)
Illinois - OVER 6.5 (7)
Minnesota - OVER 6.5 (8)
Nebraska - UNDER 6 (6)
MSU - UNDER 5.5 (8)
Purdue - UNDER 5.5 (5)
Indiana - UNDER 3.5 (5)
Northwestern - UNDER 3.5 (7)
Rutgers - No odds (What is that about?)
The math on all 3 of OSU, PSU, and UM going over while being in the same division is pretty tough. Plausible but pretty unlikely. One of them almost has to go under in order for the other 2 to make the over.
I'm bearish on PSU. I don't think Allard will solve their problems, and I don't think Clifford ever WAS their problem.
I agree that it could be difficult. I did put my confidence level at 5 for my prediction for PSU meaning I considered it a toss up whether they will go over or not.
I had not looked at their schedule before making my predictions but I actually feel better about their chances of going 10-2 after looking at their schedule for 2023 as it looks very soft.
PSU 2023 schedule:
HOME: West Virginia, Delaware, Iowa, UMass, Indiana, Michigan and Rutgers.
AWAY: Illinois, Northwestern, Ohio St., Maryland, Michigan St.
They will almost certainly lose to OSU in Columbus, but other than UM in Happy Valley (which I consider to be a toss up game) I am hard pressed to see another likely loss in that schedule.
I think OSU and UM will both go 11-1. I am certainly hoping that OSU loses a few more...not holding my breath on that though.
This is obviously reg season only.
I've got nothing more than my gut telling me this - and maybe a lot of hope - but I can see Ohio having a melt down year. 8-4 or worse. They are so fucking overdue. The law of averages wills it.
No identified QB. I can see them losing to ND, Wisky, PSU. There's no way they win in AA. And I wouldn't sleep on the opener vs. Indy.
If that were to happen, and please let it be, they would shit can everyone.
IU will be terrible. And I get very nervous when statements like “There’s no way they win in AA” get thrown around.
How soon they forget.
I think 9-3 is absolute worst case scenario for OSU in 2023. If I squint really hard, I could see them losing at UM, at ND and, mayyyyybe, at Wisconsin.
I think Fickell will have that game circled as he will want to "stick it" to OSU for passing him over for Day. I still don't think Wisconsin will have the horses to run with OSU but maybe they can pull off a miracle.
What I think will happen, is that OSU will win a thriller at South Bend, beat Wisconsin comfortably and lose a close game to UM.
Maybe I'm nuts, but I just do not get the Fickell love. He had the only crap. Or crap adjacent season at OSU since the 1930s.
He is going to Wisconsin with a Big 12 ass offense, run by a one trick Air raid pony from NC, who can never exceed expectations.
His grade A DC is gone.
I have rhule at Nebraska as the one who survives 3 years, and by a mile.
The over-unders as shown (mostly) aren't at equal odds for over versus under. When you actually go to bet on these, the over and the under are each at their own specific odds. In the case of M and Ohio State, the over is at -105 and the under is at -115 - to translate that for you non-degenerates, bettors as a group currently think the under is slightly more likely to hit, hence the "shorter" odds. For other teams it's more pronounced; Iowa is at -145 to go over 7.5 (under at +125) - bettors believe the over is significantly more likely to hit. MSU is at -130 to go under 5.5 (over at +110). So if you're like me and think Sparty is in for a real pants-shitting kinda season, you'd have to wager $13 for every 10 you want to win on the under 5.5. Or you could be a Sparty-loving asshole and win $11 for every 10 you put on the over.
And as most of you know, if a lot of action comes in on the MSU under, the line will move and at some point you might see o4.5 get closer to the -130/-140 range (if you could find it now I'm guessing it'd be at -200 or so). If you think that's likely to happen, then you could plunk down money on the under now at 5.5, hope for the aforementioned line movement, then bet the same amount of money on the over 4.5, and celebrate like hell when they get exactly five wins and you win both bets. That's called a straddle. You can also deploy that strategy by shopping odds between the many online books out there, but for something like season win totals there won't be a lot of variation on any given day. It's easier to do for individual games where there's more variation from site to site, and where you're further minimizing risk by getting both sides of the straddle at something closer to -110. Regular betting wins are great; double wins that you had to work a little bit to set up are the extra most specialest wonderful wins.
“why change horses in the middle of the stream?”
Because you want to win a playoff game?