Bowl projections very mixed

Submitted by Wolverine Devotee on November 19th, 2019 at 10:01 AM

Updated bowl projections: 

 

ESPN: Holiday vs Washington

 

247: Gator vs Tennessee

 

BR: Gator vs Tennessee

 

CFN: Holiday vs USC

 

CBS: Gator vs Missouri

 

Sporting News: Outback vs Auburn

 

Stadium: Citrus vs Auburn

UMFanatic96

November 19th, 2019 at 10:04 AM ^

Of all the projections, the matchup I would want the most is against Auburn. I'll keep my eye out to see if MSU can get 2 more wins to make it to Ford Field to play FSU.

b618

November 19th, 2019 at 2:25 PM ^

Best ranking systems are The Times Higher Education and QS.  Compared to those, all other college-ranking services are like MSU is to Michigan.  According to THE, Florida is #175 in the world.  Michigan is #21 in the world.

https://www.timeshighereducation.com/world-university-rankings/2020/world-ranking#!/page/0/length/25/sort_by/rank/sort_order/asc/cols/stats

UM Fan from Sydney

November 19th, 2019 at 11:25 AM ^

I'm with you on your last statement. We're not going to the playoff or Big Ten title game. If we cannot defeat OSU, then at least give us a bowl game we can have a good chance to win. I'm so sick of ending seasons with two losses.

NeverPunt

November 19th, 2019 at 10:17 AM ^

best case scenario for them is that they end up 7-5 pre-bowl with their best win being over.....well that's hard to say exactly as it looks dicey if they'll end up beating any legitimate teams with a winning record. 5-5 Kentucky is probably their best win right now, followed by 4-7 South Carolina who upset Georgia? UAB is 7-3 and they beat them but not sure if we consider CUSA wins as "best wins"

Not A. Toomer

November 19th, 2019 at 10:06 AM ^

Not really thrilled with any of those bowls but I feel confident that Michigan could beat all of those teams. 

saveferris

November 19th, 2019 at 10:07 AM ^

I'll pass on Washington in the Holiday Bowl since we've already got a date with the Huskies in about 10 months.  Auburn looks like a pretty unfavorable match-up, pass.

I'd like the chance to deliver a little payback against Tennessee or USC

UofM Die Hard …

November 19th, 2019 at 6:36 PM ^

Speaking of the Huskey game in 10 months...anyone here planning on making that trip?  I hate their stinking guts but their stadium is legit and the sailgating is one of a kind..and in September the weather is very nice.

Ill be there, tossing out beers to every Michigan fan i see.  Would love to see the boys come in here and whoop their ass. 

Alton

November 19th, 2019 at 10:35 AM ^

Well, there certainly is a way they get left out.  Since the NY6 have to pick by rankings, there is a chance that Michigan ends up ranked #10 and is left out of the NY6 selection.

Let's say the final top 12 is something like this:

1. LSU (13-0)
2. Clemson (13-0)
3. Ohio State (12-1)
4. Oregon/Utah winner (12-1)
5. Alabama (11-1)
6. Baylor/Oklahoma winner (12-1)
7. Georgia (11-2)
8. Penn State (10-2)
9. Florida (10-2)
10. Michigan (10-2)
11. Oregon/Utah loser (11-2)
12. Baylor/Oklahoma loser (11-2)

So the Rose would be Penn State v Oregon/Utah.  The Sugar would be Alabama v Baylor/Oklahoma.  The Orange would be ACC #2 (NC State?) v Georgia.  And the Cotton would be Florida v G5 (Cincy? Memphis? Boise? SMU? App St?)

So the key to Michigan getting into the NY6 is either (a) pass Penn State and get into the Rose or (b) pass Florida, Georgia or Alabama to get a Cotton Bowl bid against a G5 team (that could possibly be Appalachian State or SMU).


 

Alton

November 19th, 2019 at 10:45 AM ^

Two teams with the same record against essentially the same schedule, and one has a head-to-head win against the other.

I agree it's more likely Michigan is ahead of PSU than the other way around, but never say "zero chance" when you have a committee of 13 people sitting around trying to over-think every little thing.

ijohnb

November 19th, 2019 at 11:28 AM ^

Michigan is only 4 spot behind PSU right now.  If OSU beats Penn State soundly and Michigan beats them, there is literally zero chance that Penn State would be ranked ahead of them.  I think it is possible that Michigan will be ahead of Penn State if Penn State loses to OSU handily this weekend, particularly if Wisconsin beats Minnesota.

Rafiki

November 19th, 2019 at 12:04 PM ^

I agree with this. The committee at the end of the season values late wins and looks at the season as a whole. The narrative right now is UM is trending up since losing at psu. If they win out I think narrative/national sense would be that UM after 11/30 is better than it was at psu and the committee would put us ahead. They’ve done that before when a team has lost early to a team. Psu wasn’t necessarily early but it was probably long enough ago in people’s minds. 
 

But all of that assumes they beat osu. Which I'm reserving judgement on until I see osu/psu this weekend. UM is trending up and this will be osu first (or 2nd depending on how you feel about UW) real game all season but they’ve looked like a top 4 team so far.
 

Thing is UM was supposed to be too and would prolly be just outside if they’d beaten psu. And they’re at home where they’ve always had good offensive game plans but lacked talent. They’re aren’t lacking talent anywhere on O except at maybe RT. The QB has been good enough at home he should not be a liability. The rest of the line will be drafted as will the receivers. The backs are young but haven’t been a problem all year. Win and keep trending up particularly on O this weekend and the Game becomes a very interesting matchup.