Bill Connelly's ND preview
Figured it would be good to read some opposition research.
Connelly thinks they could have their best defense since the Manti T'eo days and favors them in every game this season (including against us). Predicts a 10-2 record, and gives them a 62% chance of beating us.
Curious if anyone who follows them more closely than I do would care to comment? Based on what I know, this seems a little too bullish on the Irish. But then again, I don't follow them all that closely. But their defense sure didn't look great in the spring game.
LINK.
Their defense may be good, but that offense isn’t scaring anyone.
Not sure I would say we will shred them. I expect us to win as their offense will not scare many teams especially our defense. They will be lucky to put up 10 points in this game. If Shea plays well and our OL improves from last year, we will do enough to win this game and it will actually be comfortable.
I would say something along the lines of 24-10.
You forgot about the bomb they hit to Tarik Black...so we'll be up by 4 scores. Sheesh, let's get our facts straight people.
You're just ignoring our defensive TDs?
This is why people predicting a blowout of ND confuse me. They will have a top defense at home against an offense that still has plenty of questions to answer. Remember Rudock at Utah?
Another important distinction: Rudock didn't arrive until August. He had almost no time to get familiar with his receivers and the Michigan system.
Also, in that Utah game, two of the three interceptions (including the pick six) were because of wrong or poorly run routes by the receivers. The ball was where it was supposed to be, but the receiver was not.
http://www.mlive.com/wolverines/index.ssf/2015/09/jim_harbaugh_blaming_…
I'll never forget that Utah game. That was a damn good Utes team by the way. Anyway, just seeing how much better the team looked from the year before after Hoke was so damn cool. I wore the number one jersey to Buffalow Wild Wings that game.
Oh, yeah. When I think back on that year's receivers I tend to think about how much Chesson and Darboh improved over the season, but in that game a big problem was the inexperience of true freshman Grant Perry.
And the fact that Rudock ended up having one of the better statistical seasons in Michigan history is a minor miracle for which Harbaugh (along with Fisch) should get more credit. He had Wilton Speight looking good enough at times that people thought he was a poor man's Roethlisberger. Last year should just be forgotten. But with legit talent at QB that actually has had time to learn the offense and even marginally improved line and WR play, we should expect a Rudock year to be the floor.
On top of that, Rudock's entire Michigan career was ~6 months. Patterson will have been here 6 months before fall camp starts.
Notre Dame's defense will have little idea what to prepare for if it's Patterson. Given that, and the fact that Harbaugh has the entire off-season to prepare for this game, our guys just gotta execute and I'm fairly comfortable predicting victory.
"This is why people predicting Michigan winning or being competitive in any football game ever again confuse me."
-Probably also you
Apparently you didn't read Brian's UV yesterday.
http://www.mgoblog.com/content/unverified-voracity-bangs-nonexistent-pa…
Patterson's worst case scenario is a thousand times better than what Michigan got from the spot a year ago. It'll all go to hell if Michigan can't pass protect better, but Patterson really does solve a swath of Michigan's issues just by being a proven P5 quarteback.
Good thing Brian's optimistic predictions are always... oh, wait.
I wish I had read it before I posted.
And you have experience in what? What the f_ck are you even going off of? You don't know jackshit just like every other know it all wet behind the ears punk on this board.
arrived summer, shea since january, big difference
Its 4 months and like 15 real practices. Its a difference but not the difference some are making it out to be.
Damn, you are just a miserable human being.
That wasn't during T'eo's final year, when we shit the bed.
- National early getting line has Michigan at Notre Dame (-2). That being less than home field advantage says Michigan is the better team.
Nothing for Connelly to brag about.
must sleep...talk is cheap.
ND, Florida, Stanford, Miami, LSU, Mich State, TCU, USC, Boise State OVERHYPED EVERY YEAR
Large alumni base that hasn't won National Championship in a long time?
OVERHYPE = CLICKBAIT = $$ FOR WEBSITE
Lucky for us, there are many MIchigan haters so it tends to even out.
OVERHYPE MICHIGAN or MICHIGAN SUCKS = CLICKBAIT = $$ FOR WEBSITE
Your post reads like click bait.
I don't think it is weird at all. For the sake of argument...let's pretend Notre Dame has a 67% chance to win in each individual game...that is being favored in every single game...but you wouldn't expect them to go undefeated.
If I said you had to roll the dice...and if you roll a 3 or higher ND wins...well that is a ~67% chance of winning each game...but 12-0 is highly unlikely. 8-4 would be about expectation.
...math.
If a team only plays 2 games and has a 51% chance of winning each, its projected record would be .51 + .51 = 1.02 which would round to 1 win and thus 1 loss. If you add up the probabilities in each of ND's 12 games, it probably adds up to something like 9.8 wins and hence 10-2. Having a 51% chance to win a game is not the same degree of "favored" as having a 99% chance to win.