BIG teams ranked based on football traditions/ prowess

Submitted by WesternWolverine96 on August 5th, 2023 at 12:32 PM

 

I am fascinated by this news, so I’ve been thinking about it a lot.

 

Here is how I would rank the tiers of BIG football:

  1.  Michigan/ OSU/ USC/ PSU
  2. Washington/ Nebraska/ Iowa / Oregon
  3. MSU/ MInny/ UCLA/ Wisky
  4. Rutgers, Indiana, NW, Maryland, Illinois, Purdue

 

Notes

  • You could debate switching Iowa and Wisconsin, but I put Iowa in second tier based upon historic success. 
  • Oregon gets the nod for tier 2 based upon trajectory and recent past.  I see them staying strong into the future thanks to the Nike money cannon and the growing population in Oregon.
  • Nebraska would be tier one 20 years ago, they are clearly moving towards tier 3
  • Tier 3 and up are all really solid teams
  • Trying to be honest, I think OSU and Michigan are tied for the best two teams.  I have to give them credit.

 

What did I mess up here?

MIMark

August 5th, 2023 at 12:39 PM ^

Just my take but if I'm going to consider historical success and "brand" impact:

1. Michigan, OSU, USC, Nebraska

2. Penn State, Iowa, Wisconsin, Minnesota, Oregon

3. Washington, MSU, UCLA, Purdue

4. Indiana, Rutgers, Northwestern, Maryland, Illinois

 

 

Buy Bushwood

August 5th, 2023 at 1:39 PM ^

Sorry, but what world has Iowa and Wisc in a tier above UCLA?  That is midwestern homerism or recency bias.  They all have basically the same win percent (0.55-0.59).  UCLA has more conference titles than either Iowa or Wisconsin.  UCLA has the famous baby-blues.  UCLA has won as many Rose Bowls as Iowa and Wisc combined (5).  

azul in NC

August 5th, 2023 at 12:46 PM ^

A little off topic but would my UConn huskies be invited to the ACC now? Great for Basketball league and football comparable to duke and GT. Big10 after dark is going to be weird when night games pop up on the schedule. 

jmblue

August 5th, 2023 at 12:54 PM ^

I see them staying strong into the future thanks to the Nike money cannon 

Is it the Nike money cannon, or is it Phil Knight's?   He's 85 years old.  What happens after he passes on?  

WesternWolverine96

August 5th, 2023 at 1:01 PM ^

They stay strong....  he has funded amazing facilities for football and track that will remain a draw.

 

Oregon is still an up and coming state, it's clean and beautiful from a nature standpoint.  Great quality of life with some of the best beaches and Cascade Mountains.

 

Also, since I've moved here, the climate has actually improved.  It's slowed down a bit, but people like me are still moving here from California

jmblue

August 5th, 2023 at 1:07 PM ^

The facilities arms race never stops.  What's state-of-the-art now won't be in a few years.  

UO has unquestionably raised its profile and sees itself as a football school now, but if they don't find a replacement megadonor (Knight has literally given them a billion dollars) they may not have the resources to duke it out with the big boys in this conference.  Even with Knight's largesse, they've had trouble keeping their coaches around.

ST3

August 5th, 2023 at 1:34 PM ^

He gave them $1B in the form of two $500M endowments for their academic programs. The nice thing about endowments is that they continue on long after the original donation is made. Perhaps he’ll donate more in his will, perhaps not. But the funding mechanism is in place to continually support OU’s academic programs. 

snarling wolverine

August 5th, 2023 at 1:53 PM ^

Oregon's population has grown over the years but is still pretty small compared to most Big Ten states.  In fact, the only B1G state that it is bigger than is Iowa.  It's also not real diverse: Black people make up 2% of the state's population.

The main advantage it has, recruiting-wise, is being close to California.  That and being willing to wear whatever experimental stuff Nike has.

bronxblue

August 5th, 2023 at 1:13 PM ^

Yeah, I've read a number of stories where the general consensus is that Oregon gets a sweetheart deal from Phil Knight in how they're treated by Nike but once he's gone they'll fall back to the usual pack of Nike schools, largely indistinguishable from anyone else.  It'll be interesting to see how the Ducks adjust, then, without that preferred status.

bronxblue

August 5th, 2023 at 1:01 PM ^

I'd flip Oregon and PSU; Penn State has chugged along a tier below the big boys for a while now and I'm not sold that really changes under Franklin.  There's a hard ceiling when you have a coach who consistently gets out-coached by teams with comparable talent.

Nebraska is running on fumes to be in the 2nd tier; they haven't made a bowl game since 2016 and I have no reason to believe they'll be demonstrably better in years to come.

I'd also argue that Purdue, Illinois, and Maryland inhabit a tier between 3 and 4; they've got a ceiling but it's historically higher than IU, NW, and Rutgers.

bronxblue

August 5th, 2023 at 1:21 PM ^

Yeah, MSU is unique because the Dantonio era was clearly a high-water mark and I'm not sure if it's reproducible, but they do have some money and it's a school that does care about football.  But they absolutely look a step behind where they once were.  Honestly, Iowa once Ferentz leaves will probably look like them as well.  But in terms of trajectory 3rd feels fine.

PSU is weird because they recruit and act like a top-10 team but they are also clearly behind the top 2 teams in their division.  Like, they've won 10+ games a number of times under Franklin but outside of that one Rose Bowl year have they ever looked like an elite club?  Not really, or at least not consistently.  This year feels like a real make-or-break for them in terms of ceiling; if they still can't beat UM and OSU and make a playoff run then it feels like Franklin has basically signaled how high he can take them.

NittanyFan

August 5th, 2023 at 1:16 PM ^

Oregon hasn't exactly been "running with the big boys" of late either --- Chip Kelly was a decade ago now.  They've made 2 NYD6 bowls in the 10 years since Kelly (say what you will on PSU, but they have 4): Helfrich, Taggert and Cristobol all either got fired, left town after a disappointing season and/or got poached.

I give credit to Oregon for their build under Mike Bellotti, Kelly (he did a great job there) and with Phil Knight's $$$ --- but the former 2 are long gone and the latter is 85 years old.

Combine all that with UO getting substantially less $$$ than their B1G peers for quite a while coming up --- and IMO it's a future down arrow on UO for the latter 2020s.

bronxblue

August 5th, 2023 at 4:30 PM ^

But the thing to me is that PSU has had Franklin for going on a decade now and they probably hit their peak in 2016 and really haven't built on it.  Also, NY6 bowls don't really mean a ton in terms of overall seasons; PSU got the Cotton in 2019 by going 10-2 (with no conference championship game appearance) while Oregon went 10-2 (with a loss to Utah in the Pac-12 conference title game) and got shifted off to the Alamo Bowl. 

And let's be honest; Oregon has been getting less than PSU for years now and it doesn't seem to really matter.  Schools like PSU and Oregon aren't like IU or Illinois, who need big TV contracts because they don't have a ton of fan interest/support and financial backing.  Oregon isn't unable to recruit or develop kids because of lower TV money, and even when Knight leaves it's not like Oregon will be cast out.  They'll go back to being one of many big brands but they absolutely are still a big brand and seemingly kids want to play for them.  Recruiting isn't the be-all, end-all but over the past 5 recruiting cycles Oregon has had 3 top-10 classes to PSU's 1, and again that's with coaching turnover.  

I think PSU is a good program but I think people talk about them like they're the team that just beat OSU in 2016 when that trajectory seems to have plateaued.  Oregon still feels like a program that has a bit more room to grow with the new staff. 

BJNavarre

August 5th, 2023 at 1:39 PM ^

Wisconsin has probably been more consistently strong than any Pac-12 team over the past 30 years, except maybe USC (obvs, their highs have been higher), so your reasons for putting Oregon ahead of them are kind of contradictory. Obviously USC's historical success.

I always thought of Washington as being the more "prestigious" program out of the 2 pacific northwest schools. But honestly, I think all the west coast programs are trending downward, and joining the Big 10 might not help that.

Harball sized HAIL

August 5th, 2023 at 1:46 PM ^

Not sure what the criteria is.  Guessing it's a combo of factors.

If you are a TV exec these are the teams - that when things are going well - move the needle the most:

In order:

Notre Dame (yeah sucks but true)

Michigan

Texas

Bama

USC

tOSU

Oregon

Oklahoma

FSU

UF

LSU

PSU

 

ST3

August 5th, 2023 at 3:13 PM ^

It’s not true that Notre Dame moves the needle the most. The Michigan-Ohio State game regularly is the most watched game during the regular season. Last season, 17M people watched. Only 6.7M watched ND’s biggest game against USC. 
Notre Dame has a national following because of the tie to Catholicism, but their alumni base is relatively small.

UMxWolverines

August 6th, 2023 at 9:20 AM ^

Notre Dame had a huge following because they won AND people who were catholic used that as an excuse to justify jumping on their bandwagon. That's how they got their own TV deal.

That was over 30 years ago now, and as much as they try to stay independent they would have been better accepting the Big Ten's offer in the early 2000s. 

Kewaga.

August 5th, 2023 at 3:32 PM ^

1) Michigan, OSU, USC, Penn State, Nebraska (down)

2) Washington, Oregon (up), UCLA, MSU, Wisconsin (up), Minnesota (down)

3) Iowa

4) Maryland, Purdue, Illinois

5) Northwestern, Indiana, Rutgers

Killer Khakis

August 5th, 2023 at 4:47 PM ^

Football Ranking:

Tier 1: OSU, USC, Michigan, PSU

Tier 2: UCLA, Iowa, Wisconsin, Oregon, Washington, Nebraska 

Tier 3: MSU, Minnesota, Maryland, Purdue

Tier 4: Northwestern, Illinois, Indiana, Rutger

 

Hoek

August 5th, 2023 at 9:21 PM ^

Minnesota was a powerhouse for a long time! I believe they rank third in the Big Ten as far as National championships in football.

mgoblue78

August 6th, 2023 at 8:48 PM ^

I confess to bafflement at what is meant by "traditions/prowess". The entire focus is in "recent record'. Every school has its own traditions, many of which are iconic. All should should be acknowledged, even celebrated. I mean, even the most tradition bereft teams like MSU has the smoke from burning couches wafting over Cedar Village and OSU has cooler pooping while shotgunning a lukewarm PBR.