WK 2 WR stats and Random Comments
Before we get started, I just want to say "WOOOOOOOOO!!!!!!!!" I know it's thursday, but that's how good that game made me feel! Ok, now lets get to it.
STATS
As always, small sample sizes screw around with efficiency stats. But as the numbers accumulate, these will be more telling. So please have patience.
Category 1: Yards/TA is the total receiving yardage divided by the number of times a receiver is "thrown at". The idea here is that if a receiver can't get open, or if he drops the ball, his stats should reflect that in some way. "Thrown at" can be subjective if more than one receiver is in the area. But usually the primary receiver can be deduced based on alignment, coverage, routes, and who the QB chews out after the play. In extreme cases of throw aways or intentional groundings, no receiver is assigned. But if the QB throws it at the feet of a RB who can't get open on a screen, that still counts.
Category 2: YAC/TA is the amount of yards after the catch divided by the number of times thrown at. This measure is especially important for slot receivers and running backs who can make a lot of easy catches near or behind the line of scrimmage, but then have to make something happen with their feet.
Category 3: C Eff stands for Conversion Efficiency. I've made a change to this metric to reduce the amount of negative numbers. The formula is :
This isn't really an efficiency in the strictest sense of the word (more of an average score), but positive numbers here indicate that a receiver is doing enough to continue moving the chains and collecting first downs. On first down, a receiver only needs to get 1/4 of the remaining yards to go to get a positive score. But on 4th down, if the receiver doesn't convert, there's no more chances, and he gets a big old negative for coming up one yard short. If it's 3rd and 8 and you only get 5 yards, that's negative. But if you get 7, even though you didn't convert, you made it easier to convert on 4th down, so the score is positive.
Category 4: R Eff stands for Redzone Efficiency. This is just the number of TD's scored in the redzone divided by the number of times thrown at in the redzone (I count the redzone as the 20 yardline and closer, some people like the 25). This number is important for TE, FB, and bigger WR. Every team needs at least one person who can score high on this metric. Otherwise you're doomed to lots of bad angle field goal attempts. (unless your running game is awesome)
Chart? Chart.
Player | Yards/TA | YAC/TA | C Eff | R Eff |
---|---|---|---|---|
Koger | 7.80 | 3.60 | 3.15 | 1.00 |
Savoy | 8.00 | 0.33 | 7.33 | 0.00 |
Grady (19) | 1.50 | 3.50 | -2.63 | NA |
Stonum | 10.20 | 1.80 | 5.00 | NA |
Mathews | 7.33 | 0.11 | 1.83 | 1.00 |
Carlos | 9.50 | 10.25 | 4.63 | NA |
Odoms | 5.67 | 1.33 | 0.50 | NA |
#9 rudolph | 9.50 | 8.25 | 6.75 | NA |
#3 Floyd | 10.92 | 2.00 | 6.83 | 0.50 |
#23 Tate | 7.19 | 2.06 | 3.69 | 0.50 |
#5 Allen | 8.00 | 7.67 | 2.58 | NA |
I included ND's top four for comparison's sake. The high numbers across the board for Yards/TA show what a wild game it was. Another thing that stands out is Carlos Brown's ability to get yards coming out of the backfield. Allen and Rudolph both got big chunks of yards on screens leading to their high YAC/TA . Mathews kind of had another rough day, (better than last week) but BOY DID HE COME THROUGH WHEN IT MATTERED!
Now that's a guy who looks like he's having fun on the sidelines!
It's still just week 2, but here's the Year to date stats.
Player | Yards/TA | YAC/TA | C Eff | R Eff |
---|---|---|---|---|
Koger | 9.00 | 3.13 | 4.97 | 1.00 |
Savoy | 7.00 | 2.60 | 4.65 | 0.00 |
Grady (19) | 2.83 | 3.33 | -0.63 | NA |
Stonum | 8.50 | 1.50 | 3.75 | NA |
Mathews | 5.67 | 1.00 | 0.02 | 1.00 |
Carlos | 10.20 | 9.80 | 5.20 | NA |
Odoms | 5.50 | 3.25 | 0.75 | NA |
Hemingway | 17.33 | 6.67 | 13.25 | NA |
Can't really draw conclusions from this yet, other than that Grady has not been much of a factor in the passing game (he got some good runs against western michigan). This may be due to ND's scheme cutting off our bubble screens.
Our running game has been good enough where we haven't really needed to throw much in the Redzone. But Koger is still 2 for 2 on the year.
You can see the loss of Hemingway really hurt during the ND game. Not just on catching the long ball, but also on bubble screens and just plain fighting for yards after a catch. Just like rushing stats, you want a YAC/TA above 3, and closer to 4. But it's not as important for outside receivers.
And now for the random comments:
- I'm really beginning to hate the 3 addidas stripes on the back of the coaches shirts. I keep seeing them during many different games and they remind me of nazi barcodes.
- A Duke DB had back to back pick 6's. 16 seconds apart! I've never seen that before.
- The big ten had a bunch of squeakers. Only PSU, ILL, and Iowa won by more than a TD. The margins of victory in the other games were 3, 4, 2, 3, 4, 7, 3, 2. Exciting football, but not real great for the conference's image. However, the conference is still 18-4 and basically tied with the pac 10 for the best non-conf record.
- USC won, but did not "kill" tosu as predicted here last week. I chalk this up to homefield advantage.
- But that also makes me worry about our trip to MSU as it's our first road game (some, CMU did just beat them there).
- And it makes me think ND will get some bogus calls and help from the crowd to beat MSU this week.
- THANK GOD, they didn't play that Chesney crap country music this week! At least I didn't hear it, if they played it.
- The blue block "M" looks awesome from the aerial shots! Way to go students. Now if the alumni could just figure out that there's a huge block M painted on the eastern side of the stadium...
- I thought GERG made excellent halftime adjustments!
- Clausen STILL can't handle pressure. Every ND opponent from here on out should just blitz the hell out of him.
- UCLA looks to be greatly improved too. I hope they upset USC.
- I'm loving that a 4 gigabyte torrent only takes me 20 minutes to download!
- With no bye weeks, we really need to use the next two weeks as an opportunity to get healthy. Conference play is going to be a grind. Thank god for a well placed delaware state matchup.
- It's really hard to keep my expectations down after that game. I have to remind myself that 7-5 and a bowl game would still be awesome. (even if I am dreaming of 10-2)
September 17th, 2009 at 6:47 PM ^
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September 18th, 2009 at 10:53 AM ^
Clausen STILL can't hand pressure. Every ND opponent from here on out should just blitz the hell out of him.I have seen this posted a couple times and I really don't understand it. Can you elaborate? The only time I saw him with pressure in his face was during the statue of liberty play and he took the hit to complete the play. He didn't play perfectly but he didn't look like he wasn't handling the pressure.
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