Jerry Palm Bowl Predictons - UM Not In but it's Possible
I can't post to the main board since Saturday so I'll throw this here.
Yes it is difficult to believe but there are SO many bowls that a 6-6 Michigan should get into a bowl. Currently the team is not in Jerry Palm's predictions but based on some head to head matchups a few teams that are currently in the lower tier Big 10 bowls will drop and UM with a 2-1 finish could move up. I would think both San Francisco and NYC would love to get UM in their bowl because (hopefully) it will be a rare case in the future. Heck we might even go to the Outback Bowl (no seriously) - see below*.
Palm has TCU and Oregon in the playoffs rather than MSU but 2 teams in the "Selection Committe Bowls" MSU and Nebraska. I think Nebraska - who has played no one aside from Miami FL but has Iowa and Wisconsin on the road to end the year could be pushed out by Wisconsin for that slot.
*Look at PSU ... 4-4 and 1-4 in the Big 10. Yet Palm has them all the way in the Outback. We're 2-3 in the conference. A 2-1 finish gets us to 4-4 / 6-6. PSU with a 2-2 finish would be 6-6 and 3-5.
Here are the slots and Big 10 standings:
- Cotton - MSU v MSU (4-0)
- Fiesta - ASU v Nebraska (4-1)
- TaxSlayer - LSU v Minnesota (lol) (3-1)
- Outback - Texas A&M v PSU (1-4)
- Capital One - Georgia v Maryland (3-2)
- SF Bowl - USC v Wisconsin (3-1)
- Holiday - UCLA v OSU (4-0)
- Pinstripe - GA Tech v Iowa (3-1)
- Heart of Dallas - Rice v Rutgers (1-4)
- Quicklane Bowl - NC State v Temple* [this is supposed to be a Big 10 opponent for NC State but Palm is not projecting any other Big 10 team to be eligible it appears]
That is 10 bowls for 9 teams. Northwestern is 3-5/2-3 and Illinois (YTI) is 4-5/1-4 so that is it for competition with any chance to go bowling.
SCHEDULE
In terms of road forward - yes Northwestern is a road game and yes they somehow beat Wisconsin but they also lost a close one last week to Iowa (48-7) and their advanced metrics (FEI, S&P+) are incredibly mediocre. That Wisconsin win is looking a lot like Indiana's over Missouri.
Maryland's metrics are as poor as UM's. And Maryland has MSU the week before they face UM so should be in a state of smashed pudding. So 2-1 is feasible to close out this year.
November 2nd, 2014 at 9:16 PM ^
Interesting... we have a good shot at making a bowl, with money and fan base we have we will always be in a bowl game lol. Good read and I love the info.
November 2nd, 2014 at 9:27 PM ^
No way Maryland makes the Cap one bowl.
November 2nd, 2014 at 10:04 PM ^
Some of the projections don't make much sense to me but I dont know where something like the Holiday Bowl is in the new bowl setup. There are so many new bowls, and we don't have the old hierarchy anymore. But yes Maryland is basically Michigan but with a 6-3 record. They should finish 7-5 if UM can do their job (MSU loss and Rutgers win)
November 2nd, 2014 at 9:43 PM ^
Which bowl is closest to Michigan? I might go. Would've gone to the IU game if I wasn't sick.
November 2nd, 2014 at 9:47 PM ^
I am wondering what Hoke is going to say tomorrow. Looking at his face and body language when he said "Monday," I am thinking there is a 50/50 chance that Hoke will say he's going to leave at the end of the season.
That may put the team into a "let's send Coach Hoke out on a positive note" mode. I have seen stranger things happen in sports.
November 3rd, 2014 at 8:37 AM ^
November 3rd, 2014 at 5:31 PM ^
A bit surprising to see OSU slide all the way down to the Holiday Bowl. I'd almost think that even at 10-2 they'd make a pretty high-profile bowl, and probably be Nebraska's replacement in the Fiesta Bowl. Nebraska beating Wisconsin is not a foregone conclusion, and even if they get to the Big Ten Title game, they still have to play MSU again, which they'll likely lose.
I'm not in all the know-how of the new bowl pecking order, but it seems a little odd that PSU, with 4 losses and still having to play Michigan State, is slated to play in the Outback Bowl. Maryland in the Capital One Bowl doesn't make a whole lot of sense, either.
Minnesota would get absolutely crushed by LSU.
November 4th, 2014 at 3:17 AM ^
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November 8th, 2014 at 7:44 AM ^
With two wins, could Michigan possibly make the Garden State Bowl? If not, perhaps the Motor City Bowl?
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