Big Ten Recruiting Rankings 3-8-12

Submitted by Ace on

With three of the recruiting services releasing their initial rankings and over half the Big Ten now possessing at least one commit, it's time to debut to Big Ten Recruiting Rankings for the class of 2013. I give you zero guesses about who is number one. Congratulations. You somehow won anyway.

ESPN is not included for now since they haven't released anything beyond their Watch List and an unsorted top 100 that they don't link or acknowledge anywhere else on the site, including individual player pages.

Chart? Chart:

Big Ten+ Recruiting Class Rankings
Rank School # Commits Rivals Avg Scout Avg 24/7 Avg Avg Avg^
1 Michigan 14 3.57 3.86 3.86 3.76
2 Ohio State 5 4.20 4.20 4.20 4.20
3 Penn State 3 4.00 3.33 3.67 3.67
4 Michigan State 4 1.75 3.25 3.35 2.75
5 Notre Dame 2 2.50 3.50 4.00 3.33
6 Nebraska 2 4.00 2.50 3.00 3.17
7 Wisconsin 1 1.00 3.00 3.00 2.33
8 Minnesota 1 1.00 1.00 3.00 1.67
9 Illinois 1 1.00 1.00 2.00 1.33
10 Indiana 0 - - - -
11 Iowa 0 - - - -
12 Northwestern 0 - - - -
13 Purdue 0 - - - -

^The average of the average rankings of the three recruiting services (aka the previous four columns). The figure is calculated based on the raw numbers and then rounded, so the numbers above may not average out exactly.

NOTE: Unranked recruits are counted as one-star players. This may be a bit unfair this early in the process, considering there are many unevaluated recruits out there at this stage, but that's life.

On to the full data, after the jump.

 

#1 Michigan - 14 Commits
Name Position State Rivals Scout 24/7
Patrick Kugler OL PA 4 5 4
Shane Morris QB MI 4 5 4
Dymonte Thomas S OH 4 5 4
Kyle Bosch OL IL 4 4 4
Jake Butt TE OH 4 4 4
Chris Fox OL CO 4 4 4
Mike McCray LB OH 4 4 4
Wyatt Shallman ATH MI 4 4 4
Logan Tuley-Tillman OL IL 4 4 4
Taco Charlton DE OH 4 3 4
David Dawson OL MI 4 3 4
Jourdan Lewis CB MI 4 3 4
Jaron Dukes WR OH NR 3 3
Khalid Hill TE MI NR 3 3

All but two of Michigan's 14 commits earn four stars on at least two recruiting sites, with three recently earning five-star ratings from Scout. Every player save Colorado's Chris Fox is from the Midwest (or at least a Big Ten state, depending on how you view Pennsylvania). I don't need to tell you this, but things are going rather well in Ann Arbor.

#2 Ohio State - 5 Commits
Name Position State Rivals Scout 24/7
Cameron Burrows CB OH 5 4 4
Jalin Marshall ATH OH 4 5 5
Evan Lisle OL OH 4 4 4
Billy Price DT OH 4 4 4
Eli Woodard CB NJ 4 4 4

Urban Meyer's class doesn't have the same quantity as Brady Hoke's, but the quality is certainly there; all five commits are at least universal four-stars, and Jalin Marshall is the only player committed to a Big Ten school with five-star ratings from multiple sites.

#3 Penn State - 3 Commits
Name Position State Rivals Scout 24/7
Christian Hackenberg QB VA 4 4 4
Garrett Sickels DE NJ 4 3 4
Ross Douglas CB OH 4 3 3

Bill O'Brien's first full class at Penn State is off to a strong start, and it could get a major boost if top-ranked TE Adam Breneman chooses the Nittany Lions tomorrow, as expected. At this stage, they're the only school even remotely posing a threat to the "Big 2, Little 10" recruiting situation in the conference.

#4 Michigan State - 4 Commits
Name Position State Rivals Scout 24/7
Jon Reschke LB MI 4 4 4
Gerald Holmes RB MI NR 3 3
Jalyn Powell S OH NR 3 3
R.J. Shelton RB WI NR 3 3

State has an argument for the three-spot just based on having an extra commit compared to PSU, but I like the overall quality of PSU's class more.

#5 Notre Dame - 2 Commits
Name Position State Rivals Scout 24/7
Steven Elmer OL MI 4 4 4
Jacob Matuska DE OH NR 3 4

Notre Dame picked up Matuska—who's listed as a tight end, but says he'll come to South Bend as a DE—this week. Michigan was recruiting Matuska as a TE.

#6 Nebraska - 2 Commits
Name Position State Rivals Scout 24/7
Marcus McWilson S OH 4 4 3
Tre'vell Dixon ATH LA 4 NR 3

The Huskers are just a hair behind the Irish at this stage.

#7 Wisconsin - 1 Commit
Name Position State Rivals Scout 24/7
Garret Dooley LB IL NR 3 3

The Badgers are on the board with Illinois LB Garret Dooley.

#8 Minnesota - 1 Commit
Name Position State Rivals Scout 24/7
Keelon Brookins CB MN NR NR 3

The Gophers aren't in last. Rejoice, Minnesotans!

#9 Illinois - 1 Commit
Name Position State Rivals Scout 24/7
Dillan Cazley CB IL NR NR 2

Illinois, at least, can say they're better off than the four schools—Indiana, Iowa, Northwestern, and Purdue—that have yet to pick up a commit. Slackers.

Comments

elaydin

March 8th, 2012 at 9:12 PM ^

That helps put some of these starts in perspective and makes PSU's start even more impressive.  It's difficult to have a coaching staff start in January and make a big early impact in recruiting.  There's not enough time to figure out who's who and who to offer.

There's no reason for Dantonio to get worked, but it does help explain the relatively slower start of a place like Illinois, or even some of the slow in state offers coming from OSU.

WolverSwede

March 9th, 2012 at 1:02 AM ^

dear god i hope our recruits aren't going to a house party in farmington hills that's basically going to be national news 12 hours before it begins.  there'll be cops at every entrance to the subdivision asking people what they are doing there.  

Starko

March 10th, 2012 at 1:47 AM ^

I'm sorry, this just makes no sense.  You admit it yourself ("this may seem unfair...").  "That's life" is not an answer when you are the one doing it.  The point is, your system is just not as accurate as it could be, and I don't know why you would prefer a less accurate estimate.

Every one of the people committed to these schools will be at least a 2 star, and 97 percent will be 3 stars.  Why don't you default to that?

The other option would be to take them out of the calculation, because they haven't been evaluated.  Giving someone a very bad score because they haven't been given a score is the worst possible solution. 

Think about it this way: why not default everyone to -10?  Because that would make no sense and it would skew the results against people with unevaulated recruits.  Well, using 1 as a default does the same thing, to a lesser degree.  Why not make that error as small as possible?

Yes, I know I care about this way too much, but if you're going to do it...