the otters are: curious [Patrick Barron]

Upon Further Review 2020: Offense vs Rutgers Comment Count

Brian November 26th, 2020 at 10:57 AM

FORMATION NOTES: I've started some Serious Abbreviations about 10 years too late. How many times have I uselessly typed "shot" before "gun"? I don't know. No more. Shotgun is now Gun. "Trips Twin TE"…

two WR to one side, two TEs on the same side

gun TTE

is now TTE. "Trips Tight Bunch"…

three WR/TEs lined up in a bunch attached to the LOS

pistol TTB

…is now TTB.

Anyway. M moved from their 1 RB, 1 TE stuff to a lot more 2TE or TE+Mason stuff in the second half, which radically improved the run game as the DTs shooting into the backfield were no longer that relevant.

SUBSTITUTION NOTES: McNamara replaced Milton after five drives and went the rest of the way. OL saw Vastardis replaced by Carpenter at C, reputedly because of injury. With the starting OTs still out this went Barnhart/Filiaga/Carpenter/Zinter/Stueber. At TE Eubanks got much of the early action but severe blocking issues saw All and Schoonmaker more prominent later.

WR and RB were the same mix they've been, with a lot of guys getting snaps. The main exception was Haskins getting 25 carries and seemingly establishing himself as RB1.

[After THE JUMP: gonna be a lot of yelling at me about QB stuff, probably

Ln Dn Ds O Form RB TE WR D Form Box Type Play Player Yards
M35 1 10 Pistol 3-wide 1 1 3 Nickel even 6.5 Run Power O Haskins -1
Eubanks(-1) motions in and blocks down on a standup end; he gets rocked back. Zinter(-2) runs into this like he’s surprised the DE is diving inside, which is their whole D as Seth detailed.
M34 2 11 Gun trips TE 1 1 3 Dime Even 5.5 Run Pin and pull Haskins 6
Blocked up as M has six blockers against five in the box and an overhang CB. Barnhart(+0.5) fires in a DT, sort of a freebie; Eubanks(-0.5) initially gets the standup end but that guy yanks Eubanks inside and is able to extend to the sideline some. He can’t tackle but does narrow Haskins options. Filiaga(+0.5) and Zinter(+1) pull, with Filiaga getting a sort of free kickout and Zinter getting a good block on a LB. Safety comes down hard and tackles; Haskins cuts past him for a yard or two of YAC. Spot is a full yard short, Refs -1.
M40 3 5 Gun empty 1 1 3 Dime Okie 5 Pass TE out Eubanks 16
This is stealing as Rutgers LB wanders out to the wrong side of the field and is still recovering on the snap. Obvious read is obvious and made. Eubanks gets to grab some YAC. I’m not RPSing this. Maybe I need a DORF metric. (CA, 3, protection 1/1, Milton +0.5)
O44 1 10 Pistol trips 1 1 3 Nickel over 6.5 Run Belly? Evans 4
This is weird. It’s another no-read run that looks like belly, with Eubanks(-2) doubling the end and crushing him inside. But there’s no option on the LB, so he’s just sitting there when Evans(+1) bounces outside. Since no read and OT is not firing DL inside, missed assignment assumed. Evans breaks a tackle, Jackson(-1) spent the play looking back at the QB like he’s viable read(?!?) instead of blocking the slot guy. Another bounce; Bell’s guy comes through a little later and forces him OOB.
O40 2 6 Gun trips TE 1 1 3 4-3 over 7 Pass Dumpoff Evans 2
Rutgers blitzes two guys from the LB level and drops their standup end, but either standup end momentarily biffs or does a great job selling his rush because he gets a couple yards in the backfield before bailing and grabbing Evans a little before covering him. Milton throws it anyway, completion for minimal gain. Had Jackson on a crossing route for near first down yardage. (BR, 3, protection 1/1, Milton -0.5)
O38 3 4 Gun empty TE 1 1 3 Dime Even 5 Pass Slant Johnson 13
RU blitzes off the corner and then probably busts as no one fills, wide open Johnson. Milton stands in and hits him. Johnson(-3) fumbles. (CA, 3, protection 0/1, TEAM -1, Milton +1) RPS +1.
Drive Notes: Fumble, 0-0, 11 min 1st Q.  
Ln Dn Ds O Form RB TE WR D Form Box Type Play Player Yards
M26 1 10 Pistol 3-wide 1 1 3 ??? ? Pass PA Corner Johnson 22
PA, RU has a trap corner who gets into the backfield before backing out. Pocket clean, easy read for Milton, who throws a 20-yard rocket. (DO, 3, protection 2/2, RPS +1, Milton +1.5)
M48 1 10 Pistol TTE 1 2 2 4-3 over 7 Run Power O Haskins 3
Honigford(+1) in at a wing TE; he is surprised when the standup end bounces outside to force but adjusts and kicks him. Filiaga(-1 pulls deeper than usual, probably expecting to kick but ends up having to go inside; he does find a LB and start driving him back but in the backfield. RU blitzes off the backside and since this is no read guy can just tear at the RB. RPS -1. Stueber(+0.5) blew out a DT.
O49 2 7 Pistol 2TE 1 2 2 4-3 over 7 Run Arc read give Haskins 1
This looks like a blown read but honestly this looks like no read at all. Is Milton even looking up the DE? It doesn’t look like it but they’re arcing a tight end. I guess Milton(-2) because I can’t imagine this could be a no read arc play. DE diving down on RB tackles RB because TE who would block him is arcing.
O48 3 6 Gun 4-wide tight 1 1 3 Okie 6 Pass Out Jackson Inc
Heavy pressure as C sets left and Zinter(-2) gets flown by. Charbonnet goes right for this guy and clocks him but now there’s a guy looping around with nobody. Milton has to throw at a well-covered Jackson; he gets hit on the throw and it sails. (PR, 0, protection 0/2, Zinter -2). M sets up for a punt, RU runs into kicker, setting up fourth and one.
O43 4 1 Gun twin TE 1 2 2 4-3 under 7 Run QB lead zone? Milton 0
Filiaga(-2) airballs on the NT; that guy hops a gap outside and Filiaga lunges and whiffs. Honigford(+1) has his guy hop outside; able to redirect and kick. Charbonnet(+1) aborts the mesh immediately and bashes the DT. Barnhart(-2) releases free to second level, watches LB near him go away from the play, does not redirect to the other LB, and then falls without touching anyone. And with all that Milton still clearly gets the first down and is marked short, refs –2. Eubanks(+0.5) did get a kickout block.
Drive Notes: Turnover on downs, 0-0, 6 min 1st Q.  
Ln Dn Ds O Form RB TE WR D Form Box Type Play Player Yards
M28 1 10 Pistol offset twins 2 1 2 4-3 even 7 Run Pin and pull Haskins 5
Evans flare motion with Haskins next to Milton. Carpenter(-1) fired back by the NT and Zinter gets bumped off his pull. Barnhart(+0.5) controls his DT on a downblock. Schoonmaker(+0.5) doesn’t really win against the DE but stays attached and pushes downfield when he tries to hop to the other side; good kickout from Fililaga(+0.5). Haskins(+0.5) able to cut past the unblocked guy Zinter can’t get to.
M33 2 5 Gun 4-wide 1 1 3 Nickel over 5.5 Pass Sack N/A -7
Slot LB to Milton’s blindside comes and Barnhart(-2) never looks him up. Milton doesn’t quite get across his progression fast enough and tries to orbit out but goes down. (PR, N/A, protection 0/2) You could ding Milton for not standing in and finding Sainristil but that seems harsh.
M26 3 12 Gun empty 1 1 3 Dime okie 5 Pass Corner Sainristil Inc
Rutgers sends five against five blockers; M picks it up. Clean pocket. Milton misses Sainristil by miles. Well covered, but I don’t see a better option. (IN, 0, protection 3/3, Milton -1)
Drive Notes: Punt, 0-7, 3 min 1st Q.  
Ln Dn Ds O Form RB TE WR D Form Box Type Play Player Yards
M13 1 10 Gun 4-wide tight 1 1 3 4-3 even 7 Run End around Wilson 9
All(+0.5) gets a sealing bock on the playside LB; Sainristil(+1) chops out the CB’s legs. Eubanks is leading this out like arc and hesitates a bit and is generally in the way; Wilson(-0.5) tries to jump the fallen CB instead of cutting inside of him and maybe running up Eubanks’s back; that costs M a few yards. RPS +2.
M22 2 1 Gun trips TE 1 1 3 Nickel over 6.5 Run Pin and pull Corum 0
Milton flips the play and M eats a gap-shooting LB. Gap largely exists because Eubanks(-1) loses against the standup end; if this goes a yard the other direction this angle to the back does not exist. Filiaga(-0.5) is a bit slow out of the gate here and gets beat to the spot; Corum miiiight be able to read this and cut behind it but that’s a bonus if he does.
M22 3 1 Gun 3-wide 1 2 2 4-3 even SAM 7 Run Duo? Haskins 1
I think this is an attempt to duo but Carpenter(-2) is swum past immediately and NT surges up the middle, Filiaga pops out to the second level; RU DE shoots down and LB stunts outside. Haskins barely makes this yard, if he actually does. Refs +1. RPS -1.
M23 1 10 Gun 3-wide 1 2 2 4-3 even 6.5 Pass Post Bell Inc
Clean pocket; Milton finds a spot in the zone but you wonder if he found it a hair late. LB is able to get a hand out and to my eye he does get a fingernail on this, causing it to drop faster than it otherwise would; Bell cannot make the adjustment. (MA, 0, protection 2/2, Milton push)
M23 2 10 Gun TTE 1 2 2 4-3 even 6.5 Pass Improv Sainristil Inc
Milton looks up the 2TE side, which is covered, and then bails before finding Bell’s open slant in the middle of the field. He orbits out of the pocket as Filiaga finds a delayed blitzer outside of the T. He’s able to square up and finds Sainristil but forces him to lay out. (IN, 1, protection 2/2, Milton -1)
M23 3 10 Gun 4-wide 1 0 4 Okie 6 Pass Seam Jackson 32
Redemption for Milton for the previous two throws as he stands in and throws an inch-perfect seam to Jackson. (DO, 2, protection 2/2, Milton +2).
O45 1 10 Pistol TTE 1 2 2 4-3 under 7 Pass PA post Bell Inc (Pen +10)
Milton sees that the FS isn’t over the top of this post and takes his shot; ball ends up about 3 yards long but Bell got yanked back, drawing a flag. Might have been on point otherwise.( Not charted, 0, protection 2/2)
O35 1 10 Gun TTE 1 2 2 Nickel over 6.5 Run QB pin and pull Milton 2
Flare motion pulls a guy out of the box so this is six v seven in box and it still doesn’t come off. RU stunts a DT back around a DE; Honingford(+0.5) seals his guy away and Barnhart has no realistic shot at keeping his guy from looping around. Zinter(-2) is pulling around and and is in a look for work situation since there’s a free blocker in the box. He runs right by the DT and hits a guy Eubanks is handling. Brutal. RPS +1.
O33 2 8 Pistol trips tight bunch 1 1 3 4-3 under 7 Run Pitch sweep Charbonnet 2
Not a crack sweep since there’s no crack; you can see why the crack is real nice. All(+1) flanks the standup end and then tries to release to the LB flowing behind; end yanks him back to prevent that, refs -2. Eubanks(-2) should be combing through this and pick up for All but runs inside of All to go for the LB on a play that is attacking the edge. Charbonnet meets many people.
O31 3 6 Gun empty TE 1 1 3 Okie 6 Pass Slot fade Jackson Inc
Mentioned the mesh imprecision in the game column but another thing is Corum running his drag at a depth where he has to bend around the ump instead of the defender. Nothing looks promising; even Jackson is well covered; Milton puts it on his back shoulder and gives his guy a chance, but Jackson can’t bring in the difficult twisting catch. (CA, 2, protection 2/2, RPS -1, Milton +1)
Drive Notes: Missed FG(48), 0-7, 12 min 2nd Q.  
Ln Dn Ds O Form RB TE WR D Form Box Type Play Player Yards
M22 1 10 Gun twins 1 2 2 Nickel over 6.5 Pass Dumpoff Corum Inc
Reasonable decision since this is probably 5 yards but Milton wings it wide. (IN, 0, protection 1/1, Milton -1)
M22 2 10 Gun 3-wide 1 1 3 Nickel under 6 Pass Fly Bell Inc
Bell is wide open about 35 yards downfield and if Milton hits the cover 2 hole this is going to be a big gain; he throws it maybe five yards short so Bell has to come to a dead stop and a dropping CB can PBU. (IN, 0, protection 2/2, Milton -2)
M22 3 10 Gun empty 1 1 3 Okie 6 Pass Sack N/A -11
Milton can do nothing about this as a stunt blitz gets a guy directly up the gut at him before anyone can get to the sticks. (PR, 0, protection 0/3, TEAM -3)
Drive Notes: Punt, 0-14, 8 min 2nd Q. McNamara enters.  
Ln Dn Ds O Form RB TE WR D Form Box Type Play Player Yards
M37 1 10 Pistol 3-wide 1 1 3 4-3 under 6.5 Run Power O Charbonnet 3
M able to carve out a gap here as Zinter(+1) expects the dive from the end and gets around to seal and Eubanks(+1) finds a kickout and moves him; this is a crease. Barnhart(+0.5) gets an ok block on the second level and Charbonnet downshifts to let the gap develop and then stumbles through it. This looks like five yards but his knee must have brushed at 3.
M40 2 7 Pistol 3-wide 1 1 3 4-3 under 6.5 Pass RPO hitch Sainristil 14
M RPOs a trap corner; dude fires at the run before the mesh point, McNamara reads it (RPO+) and loops a ball over the CB to a wide open Sainristil. (CA, 3, RPO, RPS +1, McNamara +1)
O46 1 10 Gun 3-wide 1 1 3 4-3 under 6 Pass PA post Johnson 46
CB blitz leaves S one on one with Johnson immediately after an RPO, Johnson bends to standard RPO slant, S jumps it, Johnson gone over the top, easy touchdown. (CA, 3, protection 3/3, McNamara +1, RPS +3)
Drive Notes: Touchdown, 7-17, 5 min 2nd Q. Next drive starts with 1:58.  
Ln Dn Ds O Form RB TE WR D Form Box Type Play Player Yards
M17 1 10 Pistol TTB 1 1 3 4-3 under 7 Pass Dumpoff Evans 4
No idea on downfield issues as zoom cam; McNamara checks down and Evans gets tackled in bounds. (MA, 3, protection 2/2)
M21 2 6 Gun 3-wide 1 1 3 Nickel under 6 Pass Hitch Eubanks 6
RU playing deep, quick hitch moves the chains, 1:24 on tackle. (CA, 3, protection 1/1, McNamara +0.5)
M27 1 10 Gun 3-wide 1 1 3 4-3 over 6.5 Pass Screen Evans 4
Snap at 1:14. Screen could work but Sainristil(-2) is standing by himself doing nothing as a CB tackles Evans. FFS. Barnhart(+0.5) got out on a guy. (CA, 3, screen, dot)
M30 2 7 Gun 3-wide 1 1 3 Nickel under 6 Pass Hitch All 5
Tackled at 1:07, snap at :42. FFS. Another TE hitch, this one short, and M waits 9 seconds before TO. FFFFFFFS. (CA, 3, protection 1/1, dot)
M36 3 1 Gun empty TE 1 1 3 Dime even 5 Pass Hitch Bell 3
Quick hitch as RU plays way off; ball takes Bell off his feet so he can’t get OOB. (MA, 2, protection 1/1, McNamara -0.5)
M39 1 10 Gun empty 1 1 3 Okie 5 Pass Throwaway N/A Inc
Zinter(-2) goes after a guy Carpenter has already engaged and lets a stunter through more or less clean; Stueber has to try to clean this up and a looper around him is free McN dumps it. (PR, 0, protection 0/2)
M39 2 10 Gun 4-wide 1 1 3 Nickel even 6 Pass Fade Sainristil Inc
Fade is a couple yards OOB. Caught, but for naught. (IN, 0, protection 1/1, McN -1)
M39 3 10 Gun 3-wide 1 1 3 Nickel over 6 Pass Screen Corum 11
Four DL gone; Barnhart(+0.5) gets out on a LB, Corum gets the first down and OOB. If there were more than 15 seconds left this would be RPS but Rutgers is fine with this more or less. (CA, 3, screen, dot)
50 1 10 Gun trips TE 1 1 3 Okie 6 Pass Out Jackson 4
9 seconds left so just a quick out mutually agreed upon. (CA, 3, dot)
O46 2 6 Gun trips TE 1 1 3 Okie 6 Penalty False start Sainristil -5
Sainristil -1, but also Johnson jumps.
M49 2 11 Gun trips TE 1 1 3 Exotic 6 Pass Corner Sainristil 17
Flood concept is nice; Johnson takes CB deep on fade and intermediate is open. McN slings and ball is a tad high but caught and OOB. (CA, 2, protection 2.2, McN +1)
Drive Notes: Missed FG(53), 7-17, EOH  
Ln Dn Ds O Form RB TE WR D Form Box Type Play Player Yards
M42 1 10 Gun TTE 1 2 2 4-3 even 6.5 Run Pin and pull Haskins 9
Barnhart(-1) gets slanted inside and gives up enough depth that Zinter gets knocked off his pull. Eubanks(-3) gets knocked on his ass by a linebacker. Hole is not there. DT who blew through Barnhart is gone though so there’s a big gap inside. S is there because it takes Haskins(+3) a while to get there; Haskins dusts him and takes off.
O49 2 1 Pistol 2TE 1 2 2 Nickel over 6.5 Run Belly Haskins 3
No-read belly on second and one gets two yards. No RU thought to QB; not enough guys in box to seriously contest. Push, I guess. Honigford(+0.5) provided the oomph.
O46 1 10 Gun trips 1 1 3 Nickel under 6 Pass Bubble screen Eubanks -3
This is a terrible look for bubble with two DBs at two yards and an overhang LB just inside the hash to the field. Eubanks(-2) runs straight upfield on a bubble and gets flanked immediately; dude TFLs. (CA, 3, screen, dot, RPS -1)
O49 2 13 Gun TTB 1 1 3 Okie 6 Pass Fade Johnson Inc
Looked at this a bunch and finally thought this is too flat and long with Johnson inside the number and there’s a big window that McN misses. (IN, 0, protection 1/1, McN -1)
O49 3 13 Gun trips 1 1 3 Okie 6 Pass TE dig All 14
RU sends six; M mostly picks it up with Stueber(-1) letting his guy around but harassing him. This is thus man free and McN stands in and fires a dart to All to convert. (DO+, 3, protection 2/3, McN+2)
O35 1 10 Gun 2TE 1 2 2 4-3 under 7 Run Counter trap Haskins 25
Counter step from RB; QB then motions out as if waggle is on. This baits a LB. DT is ignored and Eubanks(+0.5) gets a free trap. Stueber(+0.5) gets enough of a kick on a DE; Fliaga(0.5) turns out a DT; Zinter and Carpenter(+0.5) both find guys on the second level. Haskins gets to run straight at a big gap. RPS +3.
O10 1 G Pistol twin TE 1 3 1 4-3 under 8 Run Pitch sweep Haskins 2
Motion from Bell threatens jet, brings S, Bell kicks a linebacker but a safety activating on the jet rips up and tackles. RPS -1. FWIW, Eubanks(+0.5) and All(+0.5) did an okay job comboing through this time.
O8 2 G Gun 3-wide 1 1 3 Base 3-4 7 Pass PA TE seam Eubanks 8
Looks a butt-ton like the trap they just run and it has a bubble attached as a potential ope play. It’s really Eubanks running a seam and the RU LB sucks up enough that he’s only panic recovering the whole play. McN should probably throw this higher to keep it away from arms but good enough. (CA, 3, protection 1/1, RPS +1, McN +0.5)
Drive Notes: Touchdown, 21-24, 10 min 3rd Q.  
Ln Dn Ds O Form RB TE WR D Form Box Type Play Player Yards
M26 1 10 Gun empty twin TE 1 2 2 Nickel over 5.5 Pass TE out All 1
High snap that McN deflects up, catches, and then chucks. Not charted.
M27 2 9 Pistol TTB 1 2 2 4-3 under 7 Run Inside zone Corum 9
Front widens RU gaps. Zinter(+0.5) escorts DT upfield and out as he does it himself, mostly. Filiaga(+2) blasts the NT and pops off on a blitzball LB, putting him to one side and moving him; Carpenter(+1) finishes the NT, putting him on the ground. Barnhart(+2) puts and end on the ground himself. Corum gets what’s blocked.
M36 1 10 Pistol TTB 1 2 2 4-3 under 7 Run Inside zone Corum 2
NT gets skinny this time and Filiaga doesn’t get a ton of push but it’s Carpenter(-1) who isn’t using his feet to get around this guy and push; he loses the NT to the playside as Fliaga(-0.5) goes for an LB he has to go get. He could get better initial contact. Barnhart(+0.5) and Honigford(+0.5) combo through another DL; close.
M38 2 8 Pistol TTB 1 2 2 4-3 under 7 Penalty False start Eubanks -5
Eubanks -1.
M33 2 13 Gun twin TE 1 2 2 4-3 under 7 Pass TE cross All Inc
Max pro against a four man rush and no bite on PA because of D&D so gonna be rough. Maaaybe Bell is a better option but McN fits this in and has a completion until the S crushes All, legally, and forces an incompletion. (CA, 1, protection 1/1, RPS -1, McN+1)
M33 3 13 Gun trips TE 1 1 3 Okie 6 Penalty Delay N/A -5
Grr
M28 3 18 Gun 4-wide tight 1 1 3 Dime even 4 Pass Cross Sainristil 8
RU in parking lot, checkdown. (Not charted)
Drive Notes: Punt, 21-27, 3 min 3rd Q.  
Ln Dn Ds O Form RB TE WR D Form Box Type Play Player Yards
M29 1 10 Gun TTB 1 2 2 4-3 even SAM 7 Run Jet sweep Bell 9
All(+0.5) has no shot at getting outside a LB running hell for leather for sideline. He does what he can to widen him out. Bell(+2) cuts inside this. He’s able to run through a safety tackle and make Charbonnet(+1) relevant again. RPS -1.
M38 2 1 Pistol offset twins 2 1 2 4-3 over 7 Run Power O Charbonnet 5 + 15 pen
Filiaga(-0.5) has a bad kick that lets his guy inside; Mason(+1) finds a charging LB and turns him out with some motion. Stueber(+0.5) gets movement on a DT with Zinter but he gets skinny and neither guy can pop off on a LB. Facemask is free 15.
O42 1 10 Gun TTE 1 2 2 4-3 over 7 Run Speed option McNamara 1
Borked. Eubanks(+0.5) walls a guy inside; All(-1) turns around as a CB drops out and LB switches into flat; he’s got no shot at the LB. McN(-1) cuts inside the Eubanks block after seeing the outside issues and gets tackled by the Eubanks blockee. RPS -1.
O41 2 9 Pistol 3-wide 1 1 3 4-3 over 6.5 Pass PA waggle flat Eubanks 6
Reasonably successful TE flat off PA but Eubanks(-0.5) takes contact and goes down with 0.0 YAC; better and this is a first down. (CA, 3, protection N/A, McN +0.5)
O35 3 3 Gun trips TE 1 1 3 Okie 7 Run Down G Corum -2
Henning motions into the backfield and then reverses course to a flare. RU in pure zero; mesh point, LB hauling ass after RB, massively missed pull read (ZR-, -2) from McN. Zinter(-1)pulls and gets beat around the corner by a blitzer, no kick. Late moves from RU DL mean Carpenter is doomed, more or less; he tries his best but DL to playside shooting upfield is doom.
O37 4 5 Gun empty 1 1 3 Okie 5 Pass Slant Evans 21
M expects man free and gets it; Sainristil(route-1) fails to do anything against a LB with inside leverage on Evans but it just does not matter because Evans vs LB. McN puts it on him. (CA, 3, protection 0/2, TEAM -2, RPS +1, McN+0.5)
O16 1 10 Gun twins 1 2 2 4-3 under 7 Pass PA Corner Bell Inc (Pen offset)
Zinter(-2) airballs a downblock and DT in immediately on PA that usually sees no pressure. McN punts up a super dangerous throw that gets PBUed by a guy not even looking and then RU gets a terrible PI flag (refs +3). (BR, 0, protection 0/2, McN-1). Filiaga(-1) wandered downfield to make these penalties offsetting.
O16 1 10 Gun 4-wide 1 1 3 4-3 over 6 Pass In Bell 10
Zinter(-1) and Carpenter(-1) conspire to let a DT through clean with no stunt. McN stands in and fires a perfect ball to Bell that allows him to catch and run. This is a weird arm angle throw. Excellent. (DO+, 3, protection 0/2, McN +1.5)
O6 1 G Pistol offset 2 1 2 4-3 under 8 Pass PA FB flat Mason Inc
McN gets quick pressure but does have a window to get it to Mason for a couple yards; he holds it and turfs it at his feet. (IN, 0, protection N/A, McN -0.5)
O6 2 G Gun trips TE 1 1 3 4-3 under 7 Pass Slant Sainristil 6
Look Ma I’m Running A Hitch OPI play here as Bell(route+) picks off the guy on Sainristil in man and that’s all she wrote. (CA, ,3 protection 1/1, McN +0.5, RPS +1)
Drive Notes: Touchdown, 28-27, 13 min 4th Q.  
Ln Dn Ds O Form RB TE WR D Form Box Type Play Player Yards
M15 1 10 Gun 3-wide 1 1 3 Nickel over 6 Pass PA Fade Bell Inc
McN misses Eubanks popping open as the LBs step to the LOS; weird that this wouldn’t be the first read. Instead he tries to hit Bell on the sideline; good coverage puts him right on it as he barely gets over the top of the CB; ball is out front and Bell can only stab at it with one hand. (BR, 0, protection 2/2, McN-1)
M15 2 10 Gun TTE 1 2 2 4-3 over 7 Pass Hitch Bell 14
Hongiford comes in and RU puts seven in the box and blitzes off the corner. M runs an RPO hitch that blasts this call. Bell stops at two yards and has acres of space to run in. (CA, 3, RPO, RPS +2, McN+0.5).
M29 1 10 Pistol TTB 1 2 2 4-3 even SAM 7 Run Insert iso Haskins 6
M solution to RU defense: more gaps. This goes off the TE side. Hongiford(+1) fires in the standup DE; Eubanks(+0.5) gets a solid kick. Bell(-1) inserts as the fb-type substance and runs by the LB level; MLB gets Barnhart to him but Barnhart takes a hit coming through the line and can’t get over the top. Filiaga(+1) has to leave the NT to pick up a LB and does; NT comes through but too late.
M35 2 4 Gun TTE 1 2 2 4-3 under 6.5 Pass PA TE flat screen Eubanks 7
CB blitz gets in McN’s face immediately. He has to get it around this guy and uses a pump fake and a weird arm angle throw (WAAT) to make this happen. Eubanks(+1) slips a tackle to convert. (CA, 3, screen, McN+1)
M42 1 10 Pistol 2TE tight 1 2 2 4-3 under 7 Pass PA TE flat screen All 6
Virtually identical from a different formation. McN has to sail this a bit to make it work but All is able to go get it. Sainristil(-1) misses a cut block but that’s in part because Rutgers guy is going upfield of the block and All is mostly able to outrun the guy to the sideline. (CA, 3, screen, RPS +1, McN dot)
M48 2 4 Pistol 2TE tight 1 2 2 4-3 over 7 Run Trap Haskins 6
All(+0.5) comes across the formation to trap the end. Filiaga(+1) hits NT and moves on, getting second level block on guy hauling ass. Barnhart gets to the other LB but kind of handfights instead of moving the guy. Haskins(+1) runs into this gap and ends up stalling out, so Carpenter(+0.5) almost losing the NT and then putting him on the ground in a spot that’s not great but okay and Zinter(+1) controlling and shoving over the other DT are relevant. Schoon(+0.5) got a long kickout as well.
O46 1 10 Pistol 2TE tight 1 2 2 4-3 over 7 Run Trap Haskins 5
Same play. All(-0.5) is oddly deep and doesn’t clearly kick out the DE so Haskins goes outside of him, which is probably the wrong move. Schoon(+0.5) kickout; no angle for Barnhart to get the LB shooting into the gap Haskins is in. Haskins runs through that tackle for a good gain; Filiaga(+1) and Carpenter(+1) really moved guys out so there’s a big gap even with the goofy trap, especially since the DT ran himself way out of the play.
O41 2 5 Gun twins 1 2 2 4-3 over 7 Pass RPO Flash screen Johnson 10
Corner gives a press look but this is obviously zone and dude bails on the snap; flash screen appears to be an RPO(+) as McN looks up initial action for either LB or CB and aborts mesh into the screen. (CA, 3, RPO, McN+, RPS +1). Bell(+1) got a good block.
O31 1 10 Gun TTE 1 2 2 Nickel over 6.5 Run Trap Charbonnet 2
Probably same RPO as All is pointing out the slot LB backed off pre-snap instead of coming like he did on the previous play. Handoff made. All(+1) comes across and kicks out a DT. Filiaga(-2) gets a blitzer and reacts late; that guy is able to run through the attempted block and tackle at the LOS.
O29 2 8 Gun TTE 1 2 2 4-3 over 6.5 Run Power O Charbonnet 8
Barnhart(+0.5) and Filiaga(+1) put the DT on the ground; Barnhart kind of falls on him and can’t redirect to a LB fully. Other LB goes full blitzball, running past all the blockers… and the ball. Zinter(-1) misses his kickout; All(+1) runs past the LB and hits the guy Barnhart is not really dealing with. Charbonnet(+1) pounds out some YAC.
O21 1 10 Pistol offset twins 2 1 2 4-3 over 6.5 Run Power O Haskins 12
Opens up late; Barnhart(+1) and Filiaga(+1) double DT and remove him, sealed and gone; Barnhart moves on to a linebacker. RU swaps DE and LB as per usual. M picks it up but it takes a minute. Mason(+1) does better on the LB, locking him up and then driving him. Zinter(+1) reads the DE dive slightly late but does and eventually puts this LB sort of DE on the ground. Haskins(+1) waits a second and then zips through a meaty gap.
O9 1 G Pistol offset twins 2 1 2 4-3 even 7 Pass Flash screen Johnson 9
I don’t know why this presnap look gets a screen; two DBs in reasonable position. Bell(+1) locks one up and seals him inside; the other guy tries to shoot inside of this and nearly does. I think Bell tries to throw his blocker upfield at the last minute to hit this guy and may actually do it? Guy misses the tackle, Johnson(+1) breaks it and scores. (CA, 3, screen, dot)
Drive Notes: Touchdown, 35-27, 5 min 4th Q. 27 secs in tie game on next drive.  
Ln Dn Ds O Form RB TE WR D Form Box Type Play Player Yards
M25 1 10 Gun TTB 1 1 3 Okie 6 Pass PA comeback Sainristil Inc
Protection good but a stunt gets a guy through a little in the middle of the pocket before Charbonnet chips in and finishes him off. McNamara starts drifting back and left, then fires a little short and upfield of Sainristil, who can’t lay out and make a catch. This requires a dive but ends up hitting Sainristil in the facemask. (CA, 2, protection 2/2, McN push)
M25 2 10 Gun trips TE 1 1 3 Nickel even 6 Pass Dumpoff Charbonnet 3
Filiaga(-2) gets knocked over by a DE and McNamara dumps it out; he’s got a second to find something deeper, FWIW. (PR, 3, protection 0/2, push)
M28 3 7 Gun trips 1 1 3 Nickel even 6 Run Split zone Charbonnet 6
Give up and OT.
Drive Notes: EORegulation, 35-35  
Ln Dn Ds O Form RB TE WR D Form Box Type Play Player Yards
O25 1 10 Gun TTE 1 2 2 4-3 even 6.5 Pass Throwaway N/A Inc
Jailbreak; Barnhart(-2) and Zinter(-2) both beat clean. McN does well just to dump it sort of at his RB. (PR, 0, protection 0/4, McN+0.5)
O25 2 10 Gun twins 1 2 2 4-3 even 6.5 Run Trap Haskins 7
DT anticipates trap and gets under All(+0.5); All adjusts and Haskins can cut behind. Zinter(+0.5) gets a middling second level block that occupies but does not move a LB. Stueber(+1) kicks a guy out for a while and then passes him up to kick out a CB. Haskins(+1) finds the cut and then stands up enough on a hit for a scrum to develop and push him for some more YAC.
O18 3 3 Gun TTE 1 2 2 4-3 even 7.5 Run Arc read keep McNamara 1
This is screwed either way as Eubanks(-2) pops outside to kick and never reads the stunt on the outside so there’s a DB totally free o n Haskins. Pull not based on that and is probably wrong (ZR-) since All dodges the end and that end is way upfield. McN has to go straight upfield into another unblocked LB. RPS -1, McN -1 on ground.
Drive Notes: Missed FG(34), EO1OT  
Ln Dn Ds O Form RB TE WR D Form Box Type Play Player Yards
O25 1 10 Gun trips TE 1 1 3 4-3 under 7.5 Run Power O Haskins 0
Covered slot. M could throw a bubble at this since it’s open but this is a no read power play -1 in the box. Filiaga(-1) unprepared for DE dive when this is their whole gameplan and it’s OT; guy gets under, and then Eubanks(-1) hits him and unblocked guys swarm. RPS -1.
O25 2 10 Pistol 3-wide 1 1 3 4-3 over 6 Pass PA waggle Y cross   17
PA, rollout, flat covered, McN moves on deeper and finds an open Jackson. Puts it on his facemask. (DO, 3, protection N/A, McN+1.5, RPS +1)
O8 1 G Pistol offset 2 1 2 4-3 under 7.5 Run Power O Haskins -1 (Pen +5)
Carpenter(-2) pulls and DE blows through him by diving inside; Mason gets knocked back by DE and then TFLs. M gets hugely lucky with a facemask call.
O4 1 G Gun twin TE 1 2 2 4-3 under 7 Run Pin and pull Haskins 2
Haskins has to bend as he goes outside as Schoonmaker(-1) lets his guy go vertical inside of him; backside puller gone. Mason(+0.5) goes too vertical but moves his guy and ends up getting an uncalled hold in (refs +1) of the variety that usually goes uncalled; edge kind of open and Haskins hits it.
O2 2 G Gun trips TE 1 1 3 4-3 under 8 Run Zone read keeper McNamara 2
McNamara(ZR+) reads the end plunging in and keeps for the TD. McN+0.5.
Drive Notes: Touchdown, 42-42, EO2OT  
Ln Dn Ds O Form RB TE WR D Form Box Type Play Player Yards
O25 1 10 Pistol TTB 1 2 2 4-3 even 7 Run Insert iso Haskins 9
Bell(+1) again used as an insert guy; this time he finds and stalls a LB. Eubanks(+0.5) gets enough of a kickout. Honigford gets push-pulled to the ground but that guy can’t get to the gap because Bell’s guy is in the way. Stueber(+0.5) blocks down and then gets half a LB; Haskins(+1) runs through a forest of arms for ~6 YAC.
O16 2 1 Pistol TTB 1 2 2 4-3 even 7.5 Run Inside zone Haskins 2
Cluster in the middle of the line; no gaps, no push, Haskins headed backside vertically from pistol. Honigford(+1) moves his guy significantly and Eubanks(+1) gets a good kick. M has been doubling up plays so I wonder if Sainristil(-2) failed to insert here? Instead he goes for a CB and there’s a linebacker free in the hole. Haskins has to dodge him and gets a minimal gain.
O14 1 10 Pistol TTB 1 2 2 4-3 even 7.5 Run Insert iso Haskins 2
Bell back in the bunch and inserts. M needs a swap for this DE as he is driving hard inside and MLB scrapes across to fill the gap. Here he gets skinny and Barnhart has no shot at a second level block. RPS -1. Eubanks(+0.5) another solid kick; Bell got tossed away but after slowing his guy up, push; Hongiford’s block here is beside the point.
O12 2 8 Pistol offset twins 2 1 2 4-3 over 6.5 Run Pin and pull Corum -1 (Pen -10)
Evans deep, Corum next to McN, flare motion from Evans. PNP the other way. Corum(-2) bounces when there is a set edge and the other puller can’t get outside. Big cutback lane as DT goes straight upfield, this is the cut Haskins has been making. Barnhart(+1) able to push the DT past so the other puller doesn’t get picked off. Corum’s bounce also induces a holding call from Filiaga that does not get thrown if there’s a cutback.
O22 2 18 Gun 3-wide tight 1 1 3 Nickel over 6 Pass Post Johnson Inc
This ball is late but stops Johnson and is up high so he’s got a shot to bring it in. Johnson catches it momentarily before the RU DB rips it out forcibly. If on time this PBU doesn’t happen, OTOH this is often a completion. (MA, 1, protection 2/2, McN push)
O22 3 18 Gun empty 1 1 3 Dime even 5.5 Pass Slot fade Jackson Inc (Pen +15)
Excellent ability to run with this from the RU DB but he never gets his head around and runs over Jackson for a flag, which is a gift since I don’t think this pass is accurate enough to be complete. (not charted, 0, protection 2/2)
O7 1 G Gun twins 1 2 2 4-3 even 7 Run Insert iso? Haskins 2
Carpenter(-1) gets fired into the backfield initially as Mason(+1) comes across looking for some sort of trap or split zone block, and then Mason decides to shove Carpenter the other way; Haskins smartly follows this. Zinter(+0.5) got some push.
O5 2 G Gun twins 1 2 2 4-3 even 8 Run Trap Haskins 4
Filiaga(+1) and Carpenter(+1) double and blow out the NT; Mason(+1) comes over to kick the DE; Zinter(+0.5) mostly watches the other DT swim upfield but stays attached.
O1 3 G Gun 3-wide 1 1 3 Goal line 7 Run QB iso McNamara 0
M blocks this okay enough to deliver McN to a linebacker at the LOS and if this is Haskins or Milton it’s a TD but he gets blown up. I’m not going to minus this for McN, but this might as well be Haskat from the one. Stueber(+0.5), Honigford(+0.5) get enough contact.
O1 4 G Pistol 2TE 2 1 2 Goal line 10 Run Split zone Haskins 1
DT collapses, M sits on him, Mason(+0.5) comes across to stall an end, and Haskins leaps over the pile.
O3 2PT 2PT Gun trips TE 1 1 3 4-3 even 9 Pass Circle Bell Inc
Good coverage but Bell has inside position and this can be a catch if it’s in front and hopefully low; ball is behind as McNamara doesn’t step in with late pressure coming from a stunt. (IN, 0, protection 1/1, McN -1)
Drive Notes: Touchdown(missed 2pt), 48-42, end of game for O.  

I'm thankful I didn't have to chart this game.

Anyway bye.

come back!

All right, tell me about things.

Michigan has major problems and McNamara probably isn't going to fix them all.

LIES?! Besides you thought Milton was Cam Newton?

I mean… I specifically warned not to get too carried away about the Minnesota game and that he'd have to expand his abilities, and then he didn't really.

And he wasn't nearly as bad in this game as he was against Wisconsin. I had him a hair over zero in my grading, which is new and unproven; while zero is going to be a bad score it's not the –7.2 he put up against the Badgers.

JOE MILTON

  Good   Neutral   Bad   Ovr   Reads
Game DO CA SCR   PR MA   BA TA IN BR   DSR GRADE!   RPOs ZRs
Minnesota   17(6) 1     1     1 2 1   75% +4   2/2 2/2
MSU (Pending)                            
Indiana 7 19(2)++++     3 4       6** 4   71% +10.7
Wisconsin 1 8(1)+       1   1 1* 4* 3*   47% -7.2
Rutgers 2 3     3 1       3 1   56% +0.5
Penn State                            
Maryland                            
OSU                            
Bonus                            

I mean you can see why you'd fall in love with Milton. When it's right it's absurd.

Absurd!

Up until the later portion of his participation the throws that didn't connect were pretty understandable. Here he gets hit on the throw and there's no one open:

An attempted dig to Bell that looked inaccurate probably suffered because a linebacker got a literal fingernail on it and deflected it just enough for an incompletion but not enough to notice if you didn't watch it 10 times. And it's hard to put anything on the QB when he gets a totally unblocked blindside blitz:

But two things jumped out, especially after later events. #1 was that Milton's accuracy went out the window on his final couple drives. Things went from understandable in the circumstances to worthy of a benching on drive four, when Milton found Bell for what would have been a huge play and then left his throw 5+ yards short:

If he doesn't completely stop Bell this is 40 yards. And this is Joe Milton, the guy with the hose, throwing it on a line. If that's not connecting we have some issues. He missed guys on the ensuing three and out.

And then McNamara came in and the offense looked like the offense again.

I saw this take on twitter. It was a bad take! –twitter

Warn't. Milton got filed for zero RPOs, zero zone reads, and zero screens in this game. McNamara had six screens, four RPOs, and three zone reads. I may have missed something here or there but I mean… one of these had speed in space elements and the other absolutely did not.

At this point I have to assume that Joe Milton is terrible at executing reads. Perhaps unfathomably so. I've complained about the near-total absence of them in the offense for a month now, and this was no exception. M continually handed off with Milton while there was no conceivable read:

watch the QB's head

Evans dodges three tackles and gets four yards. Okay, that's just a run where you're hoping the QB draws a guy. Whatever. This run a drive later features an arc—a tight end ignoring everything so he can get out and block for the RB—and I defy you to tell me this is an actual read:

QB's head

If there is a moment there where Milton is perceiving anything the defense is doing it is an infinitesimal one. And this is a blindingly clear one with the DE hopping inside such that a keep is money.

I just don't know man. This doesn't look like Michigan trying to run an arc read and Milton screwing it up, it looks like Michigan running the semblance of an arc read and designating a handoff. But even if you're doing that having the QB actually look at the defensive end you're nominally optioning seems like it has a chance to induce some indecision. So why isn't Joe Milton looking at the defense?

So then McNamara comes in. Michigan runs power on the first snap. The second is an RPO on which McNamara victimizes the trap CB coming off the corner:

QB's head! LOOKING AT PERSON

RPO! The veritable basis of the Gattis offense! For approximately the fourth time this year!

Michigan would detonate another blitz off the slot with WR screen action; this one might be more of a presnap read since McNamara does not appear to check the LB post-snap.

A lot of QB is picking up subtle cues about what the defense is going to because of small changes in position or stance, and maybe Milton's just not doing that in practice.

After Michigan hit a third one of these—this one a flash screen on which the LB sucked in—Rutgers stopped getting so aggressive off the slot, and the ground game improved.

And let's go back to the first RPO. And the aftermath: Gattis, who just put the RPO in their head, hits them with the long-coveted, never-yet-seen RPO-and-go. To be clear: this is not an RPO, but Rutgers sends the corner again and the safety puts his eyes on the WR he's got one on one. That guy bends to a standard RPO slant, S jumps, and it's game over man:

It is probably not a coincidence this came out immediately after the insertion of McNamara but how you gonna run off Dylan McCaffrey when he's displayed the ability to make the reads very well?

Further baffling your author is that McNamara was given zone read opportunities despite the fact that he didn't seem especially good at them. This third and three gets clobbered and ye gods the pull read:

Rutgers LB to top blitzing off corner

That's no worse than a lot of the crap Michigan's been running this year but maybe your QB gets it right. McNamara would get it right later, scoring a touchdown. The worst case scenario if you put in a read is that you get a run stuffed. I have news about Michigan's ground game.

Also Milton is vastly inaccurate and McNamara was incredible!

Well… I continue to pump all available brakes about Michigan football. He did have a solid outing.

CADE MCNAMARA

  Good   Neutral   Bad   Ovr   Reads
Game DO CA SCR   PR MA   BA TA IN BR   DSR GRADE!   RPOs ZRs
Wisconsin 3 1               3     57% +2
Rutgers 2++ 20(6)     3 3       5 2   70% +8.2   4/4 1/3
Penn State                            
Maryland                            
OSU                            
Bonus                            

Much of this came on throws that weren't much different than the ones we've seen Milton make. His chunks were often dink slants, including the throw I've been waiting five years for:

Chris Evans against a linebacker. Guy doesn't even get picked and woop no tackle bye. The slant TD with the jump-up-and-down pick from Bell is another pass that's demonstrably in Milton's wheelhouse. Michigan schemed him some things between those and the RPOs above.

And the were able to offload stuff onto the ground game later, particularly in OT. McNamara was swarmed on the first play in OT and threw it away, and then Michigan threw once on a plausible run down the rest of the OT session. That was a nice rollout throw for a chunk…

…that works because Michigan is so run-heavy at this point. Milton would look a lot better if he was operating with a functional ground game. Some of that is on him, some is not.

McNamara also benefited from getting the Cool Stuff. This counter trap is the best run play Michigan's put out there, schematically, all year:

Two plays later M runs a virtually identical action that sucks up two critical Rutgers players and Eubanks gets a touchdown:

The most encouraging thing about his game—aside from the ability to look at a linebacker and make a decision based on that—was the ability to throw Off Balance Garbage. The touchdown in question is a quick conversion from selling a run outside to a no-step back-foot lob that's not perfect but certainly good enough, especially since it came out quick just as the RU DB was thinking "oh shit."

That was not an isolated incident. Michigan had a couple of plays come off because McNamara was able to perform a Weird Arm Angle Throw (or WAAT). He's got no time here and is able to zing it to a wide open Bell from an odd angle:

And later he'd sidearm a screen that was otherwise in trouble. It's a trend.

McNamara did stand in the pocket and deliver a couple of eye-popping throws. This zing to All converts a third and long:

Hello. He did well against a very bad pass defense and will get another shot this weekend. We'll see where it goes.

A functional ground game! What does that look like?

Well, you've got a 17-yard half in here so the numbers still come out a little grim.

Offensive Line

Player + - Total Notes
Barnhart 7.5 3 +4.5 One bad –2 and otherwise very consistent.
Filiaga 9 8.5 +0.5 Surged late.
Carpenter 3.5 7 -3.5 Blown through a few times, bad pull.
Zinter 6 6 0 Had issues IDing blocks on pulls.
Stueber 3   3 Weirdly quiet.
All 5.5 1.5 +4  
Eubanks 6 16 -10 Got blasted on butt by a linebacker, emblematic
Schoonmaker 1.5 1 0.5  
Mason 5   5 FWD: I am back
Honigford 6   6 Did work as bonus OL.
TOTAL 53 43 55% Not good but a major improvement from last week.
Backs
Player + - T Notes
Milton   2 -2 le sigh
McNamara 0.5 4 -3.5 Missed two reads and made one IMO
Charbonnet 3   3  
Haskins 7.5   7.5  
Corum   2 -2 Missed cut induced hold
Evans 1   1  
Turner       DNP
TOTAL 12 8 4 RB unit did work
Receivers
Player + - T Notes
Bell 5 1 4 Quasi TE on some snaps.
Sainristil 1 6 -5 Inexplicably watched a couple plays.
Wilson   0.5 -0.5  
Johnson 1 3 -2  
Jackson   1 -1  
Henning        
McCurry        
TOTAL 7 11.5 3 Not much here per usual.
Metrics
Player + - T Notes
Protection 43 23 65% Zinter –9, TEAM –6, Barnhart –4, Filiaga –2, Stueber –1, Carpenter –1
RPS 17 11 +6 Offense!

Yeah, those are some huge negative numbers for Zinter in pass protection and Eubanks on the ground. Zinter is a giant true freshman going up against Mike Dwumfour and another very quick DT so his struggles are not particularly surprising. Michigan got to a middling protection number despite that.

Eubanks… woof. All has had the yips, Eubanks is back, let's play the redshirt senior who's probably improved as a blocker…

wing TE #82 top

That was the least consequential blocking error of the day but there were many more. I have occasionally given out –3s for guys zipping by DL they absolutely have to down block on pin and pulls but I don't know if I've ever handed out one for a legitimately attempted block. That warrants it. Eubanks almost immediately followed that up by running straight upfield on a bubble and getting that play crushed:

TE #82 on LOS to top

He missed a couple other assignments and got shoved back with some frequency. He did recover a bit late with a series of kickouts that gathered him +0.5s repeatedly.

I'd say that performance might designate him for some more time on the bench but since we've seen Mason excel and then implode and all the other chaos going on it's hard to predict anything. Strong blocking performances from All, Mason, and Honigford in this game to point the way forward, IMO.

Speaking of Mike Dwumfour, those seem like real bad run blocking numbers against him and his friends.

Speaking of chaos and lack of preparation: Michigan started this game off running power, and it was extremely frustrating to see a thing Seth went into great detail on—Rutgers loves to shoot their ends inside and make up for it with LBs stunting outside—repeatedly trip up Michigan blockers. This was apparent on the first snap, where Eubanks gets fired back by an end and Zinter just runs into the dude:

TE #82 to top, G #65 pulling

It was deep into the fourth quarter before Michigan ran a power play on which they carved out a gap between the DE and LB, and even that made Haskins stop for a second before he could find a lane:

TE #82 to top, G #65 pulling

Then in OT they'd run a no-read power on which both pullers got hung up on the DE shooting down. In the second OT they did it again, with Carpenter pulling this time and the end shuffling down blowing through him:

C #58

At this point I wanted to throw a shoe.

M did have some success early on pin and pull where the DE diving inside is completely fine unless he blows upfield and picks off one of your pullers. And Michigan did diagnosis this from time to time. Here Zinter gets the DE and Eubanks kicks so the gap is there:

G #62 pulling, TE #82 to top

But as always, back to the salt mines. It has been cruelly spectacular to watch Michigan run QB pin and pull +1 in the box the past couple weeks and get almost no successful runs. On this one Zinter runs by a linebacker to go hit a guy who is already being blocked:

LG #65

The overall theme here is no one is suspicious enough. When things are too good to be true, look around.

You could cut some slack since Michigan is running out 2-3 backup linemen. YMMV on that. It is a major issue. Michigan had two problems on the failed(-ish) Milton fourth and short. Charbonnet made up for one of them, but the second was decisive. Watch Barnhart:

LT #52

This happens a lot. M OL are unable to read what an unexpected move implies for them and take false steps, and that's all she wrote. If Barnhart is able to make even glancing contact on a LB he has a clear angle on this conversion is not in doubt, let alone a turnover on downs.

But they did get to grips somewhat. McNamara?

Yes and no. Rutgers cut out the corner/slot blitzing after McNamara hit them with the RPOs. That did help a lot. Then  Michigan fixed the run game by adding extra gaps. Usually, but not always, this meant running away from the defensive tackles zipping into the backfield. Michigan lined up in that tight bunch a lot, and more than once they sent a wide receiver through the hole as a makeshift fullback:

WR #8 to bottom

On this one Bell actually whacks a guy:

WR #8 to top

This allowed them to avoid interior penetration. They also started trapping guys, which is always an option against DTs who get way upfield.

But also Haskins was making a lot of chicken salad:

This kind of thing, where two Rutgers defenders end up pancaked, was the exception rather than the rule:

C #68, LT #52

There was a lot of patient running and YAC from Haskins and to a lesser extent Charbonnet.

Got any other depressing state of the program clips?

All the appropriate ink/blood has been spilled about the two minute drill but I just want to point out that Michigan's false start was 1) a wide receiver false start and 2) two different guys moving:

Any attempt to speed this offense up results in the machine seizing up and dying.

Wide receivers?

[0 = uncatchable, 1 = circus catch, 2 = moderate difficulty, 3 = routine]

  THIS WEEK   SEASON
Player 0 1 2 3   0 1 2 3
Bell 5   1/1 2/2   8 0/1 1/2 15/15
Johnson 1 0/1   4/4   4 0/2 2/3 6/6
Sainristil 1 0/1 1/2 2/2   2 0/4 2/3 2/2
Jackson 2   1/2 1/1   4 1/2 2/4 5/5
Wilson           2 0/1 1/3 2/2
Henning           1   0/1 2/2
McCurry                  
Eubanks       5/5     0/2 2/2 7/7
All   0/1   3/3   1 1/2 0/1 5/7
Schoonmaker                  
Charbonnet       1/1         4/4
Haskins                  
Corum 1     1/1   1     4/4
Evans       3/3         6/6
Mason 1         1     2/2

Routes: Sainristil –, Bell +

A game with no drops but not a ton of help. Michigan's got just two circus catchs on the year and has been eh on 2s. Also some of these throws are suffering because unless it's going at a tight end or  Cornelius Johnson the catch radii of these gents is not large. Jackson made a stab at a back shoulder fade on which it's hard not to imagine Nico Collins in the same spot:

That's a minor sin when Jackson brings the other things he does to the table, but Michigan seems hell-bent on ignoring those.

Also: Poor Damn Ronnie Bell.

Heroes?

Tight ends other than Eubanks were excellent on the ground. Haskins and Charbonnet did work. McNamara is worth exploring more.

Maybe not so heroic?

Milton did deserve to get pulled especially if the limitations in the offense are traceable back to him. Eubanks was disastrous as a blocker, and various pulling guards/centers were not ready for Rutgers's approach.

What does it mean for Penn State and the future?

Sure roll with McNamara. Even sprinkling in post-snap reads here and there is a massive lift. He was pretty accurate and he makes up for his stature with the ability to throw from Mahomes arm angles. NOTE: THIS DOES NOT MEAN I SAID HE WAS PATRICK MAHOMES.

Haskins: RB1. Most consistent at finding the holes and getting the most out of them.

The OL is still pretty messy. If the rumored return of Michigan's tackles actually transpires that would be a big boost. Center is likely going to be an issue. IDing blocks is still a problem even with a relatively minimized Mason. I wonder why Hongiford is restricted to bonus OL stuff, because he's doing that very well and you'd think he'd be ahead of Zinter.

My kingdom for an all-around tight end. Honigford and Mason are not downfield threats. Eubanks had a shocking blocking performance. All has had the dropsies. Schoonmaker isn't quite there.

Comments

evenyoubrutus

November 26th, 2020 at 1:13 PM ^

I'm trying to imagine Schrodinger's Cade. That moment right before Minnesota when neither of them was a starter. If none of us looked, it's possible another universe existed where Cade started all the games, Michigan's record is 3-2 or 4-1 with a likely win this weekend. We are getting hopeful because our performance against IU is likely similar to that of OSU's. We face OSU with expectations that it could be A Game. Nobody thinks that Harbaugh will be fired at the end of the year. We get blown out by OSU. The cycle continues.

dragonchild

November 26th, 2020 at 11:34 AM ^

The team is badly coached and the coaches should feel bad. If I had NFL ambitions I would’ve opted out of the season as well. In hindsight, can’t blame anyone who did.

SC Wolverine

November 26th, 2020 at 11:41 AM ^

Look, I know we're all depressed and everything.  But you could be a little more positive about Cade after 5 tds in 34 min of regulation.  Not a hero?  He was absolutely the hero of this game.  And there is no mystery -- it is clearly about his ability to do pre-snap reads and reads during the play.  He also checked down on more than one occasion.  And he made some excellent throws.  I understand why we don't want to anoint him as the new Brady, but that was a terrific performance by Cade.  And it's not like the coaches are running plays to torpedo Milton -- he clearly cannot make the reads.  Usually, he is not even looking at the read.  And a further reason to cheer up -- we've got Penn State this week!

bronxblue

November 27th, 2020 at 10:23 AM ^

I think a lot of people conflate Brian with MGoBlog, because there absolutely were other writers for this site who anointed Milton as the next great QB and were dismissive of anyone who disagreed with that. 

I think Milton has potential to be a starter, but there was little evidence of that performance heading into the season (2,000 words spent on 8 plays against Wisconsin a couple years ago aside) and already McNamara looks immensely more comfortable at QB than Milton did even against Minnesota. 

SC Wolverine

November 27th, 2020 at 12:09 PM ^

Over at 247, Al Borges gave a good explanation for the Milton hype train, confessing it as a common phenomenon.  I.e. he looks the part straight out of central casting, but you just  can't know until you see the game action.  Likewise, Cade does not really look the part and may not have been spectacular in practice, but some guys elevate their play under pressure.  

https://247sports.com/college/michigan/Article/Michigan-Football-Film-Study-Chalk-talk-xs-and-os-Al-Borges-Sam-Webb-Rutgers-155428468/

I know that the name Al Borges brings back bad memories, but he is a pretty great guy who has really been around and I love all these film analyses.

Fezzik

November 27th, 2020 at 6:12 PM ^

I am likely guilty of your first sentence. But, how is Brian not listing Cade as the sole hero of this game with emphasis? 5 TDs after coming into the game halfway through the 2nd quarter and with a 17-0 deficit. How is Brian not saying Cade played good enough to earn the next start? 'Sure lets roll with McNamara' is a backhanded compliment. Don't anoint Cade as a future all-american but give respect where it is due. We won because of him. Milton is not ready, maybe someday but not yet.

Rutgers is a better football team than us with Milton starting for us.   

Fezzik

November 27th, 2020 at 6:21 PM ^

I probably mistakenly took some other writers here words as Brian's but Cade has earned more praise for this performance than what was given. As for your 2nd sentence...if there is an implication that the coaches/play calling are great when Cade is in but are shit when Milton is in that is straight up asinine. If this is somehow accurate than why would the coaches hand the starting job to a guy they don't know how to call plays for while letting the easier coached player ride the pine? Because he can throw a football 80 yards?

Gulogulo37

November 27th, 2020 at 1:33 AM ^

"Usually, he is not even looking at the read"

This is nonsense. Cade may be good, but people are already doing the same thing with him they did with Milton before the season despite some red flags. The idea that Milton isn't even capable of looking at a DE is ridiculous. My mom could ID a DE.

Ghost of North Hall

November 26th, 2020 at 11:54 AM ^

I wish every player had the same attitude that Ronnie Bell does on every play. Rarely do you see a wide out have that level of team first mentality. 

Hopefully he can overcome the touchdown curse that plagues his existence. 

imafreak1

November 26th, 2020 at 12:06 PM ^

Two things that this offense does that I would like to see less of.

Straight QB runs out of the gun on 3rd or 4th and short. It appears to be the go-to play and yet does not work. I can think of 4 instances when it didn't work and zero when it did work. Short yardage seems to be an issue. It might be time to be less stubborn and have plays that aren't in the gun like maybe a QB sneak. 

Less focus on the TEs and multiple TE sets. I get why they are doing it but the TE position group does not seem to be a strength. Don't emphasize weak position groups.

 

lhglrkwg

November 26th, 2020 at 12:22 PM ^

I think I'm going to pull my hair out if I see us run QB power out of the gun again on 4th & 1. Not working. I think we're like 0/3 at this point. Maybe if you have a stronger OL and a more decisive QB it'll work, but I still hate starting with the ball back 4 yards when you need to pick up less than 1

Catchafire

November 26th, 2020 at 12:14 PM ^

"...but how you gonna run off Dylan McCaffrey when he's displayed the ability to make the reads very well?"

This staff has a problem of running talent out the door.  I hate it.  Can't stand it because in year 6, those players would be contributing either with experience or leadership.

What does this mean for 2021?  I see that having a QB and experience makes a big difference.  McNamara could end up being Gattis' Trace McSorely.  I can also see the TEs and WRs becoming very effective.

Thanks for the thorough analysis as usual.

matty blue

November 26th, 2020 at 5:58 PM ^

harbaugh et al "running talent out the door" is such is nothingburger.  again - if you start with the premise that the staff sucks, then everything that happens is just further evidence of that suckiness.

i have no idea what happened (and neither does anyone else) - what i will say is that, if mccaffrey turns out to be some star, i'd wonder why he didn't actually grab this qb job by the balls and FORCE the staff to start him.

Gulogulo37

November 27th, 2020 at 1:37 AM ^

It's not a nothingburger (how did this term get popular?) when the team sucks, lacks depth at a lot of positions, and has much more attrition than almost any other program.

Also, the premise isn't that the staff sucks. The premise is the team sucks, which is demonstrably true, and by implication the staff sucks.

You also seem to be starting with the premise that McCaffrey sucks. Because even if he becomes a star elsewhere, it's his fault he didn't start here. That's insane.

bronxblue

November 27th, 2020 at 10:30 AM ^

The only area where they have major depth issues are at DT; cornerback has a lot of bodies but its young.  Virtually every college football team is in trouble if they lose 9-10 starters across their roster.

Also, if rumors are to be believed McCaffrey was fighting with McNamara for snaps.  Now, that's likely a bit of a rumor mill, but it may also be that McCaffrey really did show some inconsistencies and maybe even some regression as a QB and the team moved on from him to younger guys.  It wouldn't be crazy.  I think he'll be fine somewhere else but he is a guy who hasn't been able to wrest away significant snaps from what I've been told are some of the worst QBs to play at Michigan these past couple of years.

lhglrkwg

November 26th, 2020 at 12:15 PM ^

Sucks that Milton isn't panning out. I can sorta see why the coaches wanted to make him QB1 because every maybe 1 in 5-10 passes is an NFL QB lookin throw. Like this back shoulder throw is an undefendable pass if it's Nico or DPJ or anyone else tall out there

Maybe coaches hoped the light would come on in actual gametime and he would continue to improve? I dunno. I'm probably giving this staff too much credit. Either way, you have to roll with McNamara at this point. It was night and day on Saturday.

This means the staff will almost certainly start Milton again Saturday

BlueInGreenville

November 26th, 2020 at 12:22 PM ^

Most depressing thing about this UFR:  it took our coaching staff a half a game to figure out Rutgers run defense, which Seth had diagnosed before the game.

Most encouraging thing about this UFR:  Cade McNamara can make reads!

RockinLoud

November 26th, 2020 at 12:29 PM ^

It's not as bad as the Hoke regime, but the amount of times Michigan will do the exact thing even amateur levels of opponent scouting would indicate not to do is staggering. The stubborness is still there, seemingly stemming from some sort of Bo complex; it's ridiculous and needs to die in a fire of a thousand suns. "This is Michigan god dammit and we're going to just power over you and run the same stuff even though it plays into the defenses hand and they stuff it for no gain over and over because we're Michigan by gawd." Stop. Just fucking stop. Quit slamming your god damn head into the same god damn brick wall over and over and over while the rest of CFB passes you by.

Teeba

November 26th, 2020 at 12:37 PM ^

So the fellow claiming in the postgame snowflakes that we went west coast offense with power running when Cade came in was just trolling. Good to know.

Mgoczar

November 26th, 2020 at 12:42 PM ^

Lol 

Muted case for Cade. Just compare the "pump" the brakes on Milton in the aftermath of Minnesota game vs the same re: Cade in this game. 

Whatever. Cade simply played better than Milton did even in Minnesota game. He was in a pressure situation down 17 and bombed Rutgers on his third throw. Does milton make that throw ? No. No he wouldn't. I'm not sure Shea would either last year. 

 

Yea..."sure roll with Cade". 

 

Terrible. 

GBBlue

November 26th, 2020 at 2:37 PM ^

To be fair, we have more information now than we had after Minny. It turns out Minnesota was terrible, but we didn't know that at the time. Thus, the irrational exuberance, and Brian wasn't the only guilty one. Pumping the brakes is probably the proper response to any one game performance. Let's see how things go this week.

antonio_sass

November 26th, 2020 at 9:24 PM ^

This blog had a similar tone regarding Shea after the MSU and Indiana games last year, where he played insanely well and the entire offense started clicking. 

Were we good enough to beat OSU and Alabama last year? No. This year? Definitely no. 

But a Michigan backup coming in, performing almost flawlessly, and leading a 17 point comeback is pretty damn fun -- and I think the reason that's not reflected above is because it would mean Brian admitting that his pre-game take of "changing the quarterbacks won't change the offense" was incorrect.

 

Mgoczar

November 27th, 2020 at 12:47 AM ^

And that Shea was:

1. Playing a worse Rutgers than this one

2. Had Nico, veteran O line, and defense of last year.

What did Cade have? 

1. Burden of a 17 point hole? 

2. A 3 game losing streak, and a listless offense before he entered. 

3. Make shift O line of new starters. 

Its not just pure stats, there is something to be said about momentum or general demeanor of the team. The team had NO energy or hope. This wasn't just doing his job. His accuracy and throws instilled belief in WRs, and the whole team. 

Mgoczar

November 27th, 2020 at 2:42 AM ^

1. Lombardi started the whole game. In third quarter MSU was down only 7 I believe. Cade came in end of 2nd quarter down 17. Cade had more TDs and no interceptions. NOT the same.  

2. And yes, actually Lombardi did pretty well in that game; not a bad performance by him. 

3. I am talking about THIS performance, not claiming Cade will be a star or anything. No need to downplay what cade did. 

AlbanyBlue

November 26th, 2020 at 12:42 PM ^

Thoughts:

Thanks for the work you put it doing this. I guess this had to be better than for Wisconsin?

**McNamara and Haskins are heroes. We need to roll with them going forward. I hope he continues to improve in the "read" parts of the game, since that's what the O needs to evolve into.

**Where is the film work / game prep? RU ran a defense that was totally on film (I thought?) and M, at least in the first half, ran a lot of plays that played to the strength of that D. At least that's how it seemed with the charting.

**Eubanks? Having no clue as a senior? Not good Bob....

Glad for the win, but good Lord.....in year 6.