Maizenbrew's inside the numbers: halftime adjustments
OOF:
Date | Michigan | U-M 3Q Points | Opponent | Opp. 3Q Points |
Nov. 16, 2013 | Michigan | 0 | Northwestern | 3 |
Nov. 23, 2013 | Michigan | 0 | Iowa | 7 |
Nov. 30, 2013 | Michigan | 0 | Ohio State | 14 |
Dec. 28, 2013 | Michigan | 0 | Kansas State | 0 |
Sept. 6, 2014 | Michigan | 0 | Notre Dame | 7 |
Sept. 20, 2014 | Michigan | 0 | Utah | 7 |
Sept. 27, 2014 | Michigan | 0 | Minnesota | 17 |
Oct. 4, 2014 | Michigan | 0 | Rutgers | 0 |
Total | Michigan | 0 | Opponent | 55 |
and
Team | 1Q | 2Q | 3Q | 4Q/OT | Total |
Michigan | 33 | 52 | 0 | 66 | 151 |
Opponent | 54 | 64 | 55 | 56 | 229 |
Margin | -21 | -12 | -55 | +10 | -78 |
October 9th, 2014 at 4:11 PM ^
Our coaching staff is terrible.
October 9th, 2014 at 4:11 PM ^
October 9th, 2014 at 4:16 PM ^
when it counts ....
October 9th, 2014 at 4:24 PM ^
I assume you are being sarcastic? Since 4th Quarter means garbage time in a blowout.
October 9th, 2014 at 4:34 PM ^
To be fair, half of those games are very competitive in the fourth quarter: NU, Iowa, OSU in 2013, and Rutgers in 2014.
We still suck.
October 9th, 2014 at 4:38 PM ^
True. Criticism withdrawn. Please carry on.
October 9th, 2014 at 6:57 PM ^
so, yeah, it is not a sterling effort
October 9th, 2014 at 6:27 PM ^
And don't forget the OT.
October 9th, 2014 at 4:13 PM ^
Do we really need more articles / more posts about our coaching staff being incompetant. Its a given, our coaches are really really bad. They maybee were good a long time ago (GMAT) or never very good ever (Hoke, Funk, Borgie (RIP)).
October 9th, 2014 at 6:48 PM ^
Al Borges died?!?
October 9th, 2014 at 11:08 PM ^
Yes, Arizona Blue: IMO, we DO need more posts like this. It was a great post that looked at stats from a new angle. The OP spent time and effort on a well-conceived post.
October 9th, 2014 at 4:15 PM ^
And i may get negged for this but you know what, our players arent very good either. I watch a lot of college football and our players look like little boys (even JMFR). I am amazed when i watch football how old some of the players look at SEC and PAc-12 schools. Like really, you are 19? you look like a 35 year old ex-con.
October 9th, 2014 at 4:19 PM ^
Talent is there to be developed, coaching is absent. That's why pther teams can plug in redshirt freshmen and win, and out 5th-year seniors continue to look lost despite tremendous athletic capacity.
October 9th, 2014 at 4:26 PM ^
Brother, the notion that we have talent stock piled to win immediatley and just need the right coach to put the pieces together to turn the team around keeps me alive. The skeptic in me however does not fully accept that notion. We certaintly dont pass the look test.
October 9th, 2014 at 4:27 PM ^
October 9th, 2014 at 4:33 PM ^
Freshman are winning heismans and national championships these days.. you dont need to be an upper classmen to be a game changing football player. You definitley dont need to be a senior to look like an elite player.
October 9th, 2014 at 4:19 PM ^
October 9th, 2014 at 5:04 PM ^
Aside from the racist undertones, I wholeheartedly agree.
October 9th, 2014 at 6:29 PM ^
What "racist overtones?"
October 9th, 2014 at 6:54 PM ^
He said undertones.
October 9th, 2014 at 7:29 PM ^
Sorry. What "racist undertones?"
October 9th, 2014 at 5:36 PM ^
We don't talk about player's ages here! /s
October 9th, 2014 at 10:47 PM ^
You should post more often.
October 9th, 2014 at 5:42 PM ^
Take JMFR. Per knee, he looks like the second coming of Clay Matthews. Now he is well past his knee surgery, and he really doesn't look all that special -- is that scheme? Is that coaching? Is he still affected by injury?
October 9th, 2014 at 7:34 PM ^
Thats because most of them are 35 year old excons. Well maybe 27 year old.
October 9th, 2014 at 4:15 PM ^
At least we won the 4th quarter and OT...
/shoots self in face
October 9th, 2014 at 5:32 PM ^
You just shot yourself in the face?
Shit.
October 9th, 2014 at 7:35 PM ^
Its just a flesh wound.
October 9th, 2014 at 4:15 PM ^
Sent from MGoBlog HD for iPhone & iPad
October 9th, 2014 at 4:20 PM ^
No matter how damning the facts presented there is always somebody who posts in the threads like these the "explanation" for the failure and why it really isn't the team/coaches fault.
This one will be more challenging to rationalize & explain away than most. But I have zero doubl someone will try. Even as I type this I am sure they are working on the rebuttal to let us know why this really isn't as bad as it might seem.
October 9th, 2014 at 4:23 PM ^
October 9th, 2014 at 4:57 PM ^
the game winning FG. No one else should try to out-do this.
October 9th, 2014 at 6:56 PM ^
You mean like you did for Rich Rod? BAZINGA!
October 9th, 2014 at 7:46 PM ^
October 9th, 2014 at 7:03 PM ^
It's due to irregularities in the spatio-temporal continuum.
October 10th, 2014 at 4:08 AM ^
in game after game after game against our better opponents. It's a stark measure of how bad we are.
October 9th, 2014 at 4:21 PM ^
October 9th, 2014 at 4:29 PM ^
I believe this calls for a reference to Hutchinson's tweet from the Miami game after that terrible series to end the first half: 0 points in the third quarter in the last 8 games "SHOOT MY FACE WITH A BAZOOKA"
October 10th, 2014 at 4:09 AM ^
Carol or Steve? And did he/she actually tweet that?
October 9th, 2014 at 4:30 PM ^
I was conditioned as a kid never to give up at halftime because Bo, (and later Mo and Lloyd) could be counted on to make the half-time adjustments and get us back in the game.
ZERO to 55?!? Wow, just wow.
/shakes head in disbelief/disgust
October 9th, 2014 at 4:30 PM ^
I can't say I'm surprised but this is awfully depressing, regardless.
October 9th, 2014 at 4:31 PM ^
It would be interesting to compare this to RichRod.
October 9th, 2014 at 4:45 PM ^
I don't seem to remember Rich Rod being very good at halftime adjustments either.
October 9th, 2014 at 8:01 PM ^
I'd say RR has proven ability to make half time adjustments. RR's teams generally score more in the second half. Even when he was here, he managed to score a lot in the second half. (Don't know if anybody can drum up some stats about this or not.) This also holds true now at Arizona. Yeah, they beat Cal with a Hail Mary, but only after scoring 35 points in the second half. Against Oregon, they scored much more in the second half as well.
October 9th, 2014 at 10:51 PM ^
Defensively, hell no. His offensive adjustments were well documented. I miss RR. For reals. I still wonder what could have been had he let Schafer do what he wanted to do with the defense.
October 10th, 2014 at 8:21 AM ^
Team | Year | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th/OT | Diff | 3rd Q O/Avg Q | |
Utah | 2008 | 4 | -16 | -3 | 13 | -2 | -5.75 | |
ND | 2008 | -14 | 3 | 0 | -7 | -18 | -4.25 | |
Wisc | 2008 | -6 | -13 | 7 | 14 | 2 | 0.25 | |
Ill | 2008 | 11 | -14 | -7 | -15 | -25 | -5 | |
PSU | 2008 | 3 | 0 | -12 | -20 | -29 | -4.25 | |
MSU | 2008 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -14 | -14 | 1.75 | |
Purdue | 2008 | 0 | 7 | -14 | 1 | -6 | -10.5 | |
Minn | 2008 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 23 | -7.25 | |
NU | 2008 | 0 | 7 | -14 | 0 | -7 | -3.5 | |
OSU | 2008 | -7 | 0 | -14 | -14 | -35 | -1.75 | |
2008 Season | -3 | -16 | -54 | -38 | -111 | -4.025 | 10 SO | |
ND | 2009 | 11 | -14 | 7 | 0 | 4 | -2.5 | |
Indiana | 2009 | 0 | -2 | -3 | 8 | 3 | -9 | |
MSU | 2009 | -4 | 0 | -3 | 1 | -6 | 6.5 | |
Iowa | 2009 | 4 | -10 | 4 | 0 | -2 | 0 | |
PSU | 2009 | -3 | -6 | -13 | -3 | -25 | -2.5 | |
Illinois | 2009 | 0 | 6 | -21 | -10 | -25 | -3.25 | |
Purdue | 2009 | 0 | 14 | -15 | -1 | -2 | -3 | |
Wisc | 2009 | 0 | -4 | -7 | -10 | -21 | 1 | |
OSU | 2009 | -7 | -4 | 0 | 0 | -11 | 4.5 | |
2009 Season | 1 | -20 | -51 | -15 | -85 | -0.916666667 | 6 SO | |
Uconn | 2010 | 14 | -3 | 3 | 6 | 20 | -4.5 | |
ND | 2010 | 7 | 7 | -10 | 0 | 4 | -7 | |
Indiana | 2010 | 7 | -7 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 3.5 | |
MSU | 2010 | 3 | -10 | -14 | 4 | -17 | -4.25 | |
Iowa | 2010 | 0 | -14 | -7 | 11 | -10 | -7 | |
PSU | 2010 | -7 | -11 | 4 | 4 | -10 | 6.25 | |
Ill | 2010 | 1 | -1 | 7 | -5 | 2 | -4.25 | |
Purdue | 2010 | 11 | -10 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -0.75 | |
Wisc | 2010 | 7 | -17 | 14 | -10 | -6 | 14 | |
OSU | 2010 | 0 | -17 | -13 | 0 | -30 | -1.75 | |
Miss St | 2011 | 4 | -21 | -14 | -7 | -38 | -3.5 | |
2010 Season | 47 | -104 | -20 | 10 | -67 | -0.840909091 | 5 SO | |
Total | 45 | -140 | -125 | -43 | -263 | -1.927525253 |
Rich Rod's worst quarter was the 3rd quarter two of his three years, and his 2nd worst quarter the other year (he only "won" the 1st quarter). On average, his 3rd quarter scoring was nearly two points worse than his average scoring, so it wasn't just defense. In his three seasons at Michigan, his offense was shut out 21 times in 37 games in the 3rd quarter.
Is this because Rich Rod doesn't know how to make half-time adjustments? Absolutely not. It means his teams weren't that good, and therefore he couldn't make as many half time adjustments. But we don't need to rewrite history, it wasn't good and it wasn't well documented in his time in Ann Arbor.
October 10th, 2014 at 8:36 AM ^
Fair enough. I remembered it differently, but facts are facts I suppose.
October 9th, 2014 at 4:45 PM ^
October 9th, 2014 at 11:22 PM ^
I ran the numbers and in 2010 Michigan actually outscored its opponents in every quarter except the 2nd. However, they were outscored by 100+ in the 2nd.
Interestingly enough, Michigan scored more points than its opponents in 2009, though some of that may have been due to the 63-6 drubbing of Delaware St.
October 9th, 2014 at 4:41 PM ^
MOAR MANBALL TIRD KORTER NEED