FanDuel early odds for 8 big mathc ups thisFall, M favored over Oho St
Oh yes, very early. But Michigan favored. The part of the image that shows Michigan vs Ohio St may not be completely visible on your device. You'll have to click on the tweet to see the full image.
For some odd, very odd reason, they have Florida St favored by 1 over LSU.
Iowa is favored by 3 over Iowa St AT Iowa St.
Washington favored by 8 AT Michigan St.
USC by 3 AT Notre Dame.
Michigan by 15 AT Michigan St.
Michigan by 1.5 AT Penn St.
At the link below they have Michigan by 1 over Ohio St. I don't know why that is different than the 2.
https://sportsbook.fanduel.com/football?tab=ncaaf
I know these are very early numbers that will change up and down as real game times approach. But this is some nice eye candy on a late February football-less Wednesday.
February 22nd, 2023 at 8:27 PM ^
Mad thc ups is my thing too dawg
February 22nd, 2023 at 8:29 PM ^
Well, i double checked for typos in the body, but DOH, not the title.
February 22nd, 2023 at 9:41 PM ^
FanDuel early odds for 8 big mathc ups thisFall, M favored over Oho St
Woof! I’m a big fan of math cups, but not thisFall and certainly not against Oho St!
February 23rd, 2023 at 9:35 AM ^
Hmmm. Oho St sounds a lot like Hoho St which might be perfect. HoHos appear crispy and tough on the outside, but very soft once you penetrate the shell.
February 22nd, 2023 at 8:31 PM ^
FSU is an interesting one. They finished 2022 ranked 27th in S&P+, but they were ranked 9th per FEI. That's a big spread between those two advanced metrics, you usually don't see that much divergence.
They do return a considerable amount of their roster this year.
The LSU game is in Orlando, FWIW - a "neutral site" that is comparable to last year's game between the 2 teams being in NOLA.
February 22nd, 2023 at 8:39 PM ^
Michigan math cups - color me intrigued…
February 22nd, 2023 at 9:26 PM ^
The ultimate prize for mathletes.
February 23rd, 2023 at 8:17 AM ^
Where do the fig things go into the equation?
February 22nd, 2023 at 8:41 PM ^
I find it funny that UM vs OSU is basically a toss-up early, because the average OSU fan has already penciled that game in as a 3 score loss for them.
We may think we have BPONE here but OSU fans are the worst. When things are going good you can't shut'em up, when they're not, they start jumping off bridges into the Olentangy.
BTW, thanks for the info OP. I still have free play.
February 22nd, 2023 at 9:22 PM ^
Underdog OSU is a rare, dangerous thing.
February 22nd, 2023 at 10:11 PM ^
Fuck that. They gon’ die.
February 22nd, 2023 at 8:42 PM ^
I should have added this to the post too:
February 22nd, 2023 at 9:19 PM ^
90+% of the time, I think my team's odds are a bad bet. 10-1 odds seems about right in February. We're worth money at 10-1.
February 22nd, 2023 at 10:37 PM ^
Ah yes add your pond time Twitter handle. Thanks. We needed that
February 22nd, 2023 at 8:57 PM ^
I honestly think the PSU game may turn out to be tougher than OSU because PSU is "due" to win one of these games at some point and it's a road game. We'll see how OSU looks throwing the ball but I think that Georgia game left a vision in people's mind of an OSU team that was better against good defenses than they actually performed all year. Obviously OSU is going to be a bear but if Drew Allar can be competent they have talent around him.
MSU is going to be so awful to play and I really wish they'd be off the schedule. They're going to be bad on both sides of the ball but will also be assholes about it. And Washington is going to absolutely truck them.
I do wonder if this year we find out if Texas is really "back"; the times I saw them this year they didn't look that well coached and were mostly trying to get by on talent. It'll be interesting to see how their offense looks without Robinson, who covered up for a lot of offensive line sins.
FSU feels like a team that is both overrated and underrated. They're absolutely out of the malaise they were toward the end of the Jimbo era on, when they recruited okay and got swamped by anyone with a pulse. But they also lost 3 straight games this year to the 3 ranked teams on their schedule and though they looked somewhat competitive in said games these weren't world-beaters. 10 wins are 10 wins but they've been framed as a darkhorse playoff team in some circles and that feels like a huge stretch. And LSU is weird because they are a really talented team and Kelly and coach...but we'll see if Kelly can make it work long-term at a school that is chaotic in general and who may tire of Kelly's fake accent if he borks a couple of games.
I'm not particularly surprised Iowa is favored at ISU; the Cyclones were 110th in offense and 6th in defense while Iowa was 118th and 1st, respectively. And Iowa added a proven Big 10 starter in Cade plus some other weapons; they aren't going to be world-beaters but even a top-75 offense with that defense is a really good football team. And at this point it's a given ISU will play in a ton of close games (they went 1-6 in 1-score games) but there's no reason to think they'll be better, on average, than .500 in said games and when you play a ton of close ones you're just a mediocre team.
February 22nd, 2023 at 9:29 PM ^
As far as your first sentence Bronx, that's a good bet, and first thing I though of as well. Not that we've taken PSU for granted but it's been comfortably too easy.
Now that 35 year old Cliffy is gone it'll be interesting how Jimmy & co. handle Allar as the starting QB.
February 22nd, 2023 at 9:47 PM ^
Yeah, it's not that I think PSU is going to be great next year (a lot of the talk seems to focus on their plethora of RBs but their offensive line remains mediocre and Clifford bailed them out a decent amount last year) but they're absolutely good enough to beat Michigan at home.
February 22nd, 2023 at 10:24 PM ^
It’ll probably be a night game/whiteout too.
February 22nd, 2023 at 9:01 PM ^
I don't find the Florida State spread odd. Florida State started putting everything together towards the end of last season after losing three very close games in a row. If they improve, which seems reasonable, they will be a very tough team to beat on a "neutral" field in Orlando. They also beat LSU last year on a "neutral" field in New Orleans.
February 22nd, 2023 at 9:17 PM ^
The Fox Sports so-called experts had Ohio beating us last year until the Don broke free. I think I'd rather be the underdog.
February 22nd, 2023 at 9:23 PM ^
Michigan by 1.5 at Penn State sounds right. A lot depends on their QB situation and if Allar really is “the guy,” but you can pencil that game in right here, right now as their white out night game. I’d take Michigan on a neutral field, but Happy Valley is like it’s own opponent, on top of the football team you have to play. Penn State could win that game and it wouldn’t shock me.
Michigan has got a bear of an away schedule next year. At MSU, which might be a garbage team but you know how MSU will always be out for blood, at Penn State, at Minnesota, and Fleck is good for trotting out a really good team there every few years, at Nebraska, who could be decent under Rhule, and at Maryland, which still has plenty of athletes that can give the defense problems.
February 22nd, 2023 at 9:46 PM ^
No offense to you, but this is the lucky 13th thread I've posted this exact same point in since the CFP -
Michigan at Penn State cannot be a night game unless both teams agree (which Michigan will veto), TV networks be damned, as it occurs Nov 11, AFTER daylight savings time (Nov 4 - which would be eligible, a la @rutger and B1G 2022), per clearly delineated and mutually agreed upon contracts.
This is why there are no non-dome night games the 2nd-4th weekend of November.
February 22nd, 2023 at 10:42 PM ^
I'm not so sure on this. Last August the B1G signed a new TV deal with NBC that starts in 2023. And per the press release, it indicates there will be a weekly primetime game:
---------
STAMFORD, Conn. – August 18, 2022 – NBCUniversal and the Big Ten Conference today announced a landmark 7-year agreement for NBC and Peacock to become the exclusive home of Big Ten Saturday Night football, beginning in 2023. Peacock will also serve as the exclusive home for eight additional Big Ten Football games each season.
Big Ten Saturday Night will mark the first time ever that Big Ten Football will have a dedicated weekly primetime game on a national broadcast network. NBC Sports will present the 2026 Big Ten Football Championship Game on NBC and Peacock.
----------
https://sports.nbcsports.com/2022/08/18/nbcuniversal-and-big-ten-confer…
February 23rd, 2023 at 9:28 AM ^
This is a great counterpoint that I had considered re: the new TV contracts incorporating season-long B1G primetime NBC matchups, but deferred to the longstanding safety aspect of '5pm sunsets and 10 degree icing over weather with 110k fans leaving a smallish college town after 10pm' - I suppose nothing would surprise me anymore.
Further digging into the new contract, it is not guaranteed that a B1G primetime game will air every week on NBC, but most certainly will involve B1G matchups. That provides the wiggle room necessary to punt on outdoor B1G games 2nd-4th Saturday in November, but it may very well happen anyway. Once USC/UCLA join in 2024 a disproportionate # primetime NBC B1G games late-season will invariably occur there, but a big '?' for 2023 for sure. Michigan State @ Ohio State, Maryland @ Nebraska, and Minnesota @ Purdue also play on Nov 11...I guess we'll have to wait to see how the schedulemakers circumnavigate the transition year of 2023 post-new TV contract, pre-USC/UCLA
February 22nd, 2023 at 9:34 PM ^
2023: National Championship or bust.
February 22nd, 2023 at 9:46 PM ^
I smell burnt toast
February 22nd, 2023 at 10:58 PM ^
You don't thay!!!
February 22nd, 2023 at 11:05 PM ^
The math cups of the fig things intrigues me.
February 22nd, 2023 at 11:20 PM ^
Can't wait for Gerdeman's chart of how much to fear UM this year. Smarm meeting humility may give birth to reality.
February 23rd, 2023 at 8:21 AM ^
Big Math Cups is the new Fig Thing
February 23rd, 2023 at 8:46 AM ^
Florida State is getting back a lot of production. Their fans are saying they are BACK.
February 23rd, 2023 at 9:09 AM ^
I'm sad to read about this. Although expected.
I loved having back to back years of +250 on the moneyline.
February 23rd, 2023 at 9:59 AM ^
Michigan -2 is the line S&P+ would have on The Game right now, assuming a 3-point swing for home field. Most of those early lines track closely with S&P+ except for LSU/FSU (SP has it LSU -2.5) and UGA/Tenn (SP has it UGA -4.5).
February 23rd, 2023 at 8:55 PM ^
It seems LSU would be favored over Florida St.
February 23rd, 2023 at 12:14 PM ^
How in the world did you push send with several misspellings? Your put so much effort into the post, spend an extra few seconds checking your work.