Hot bet
For those of you that use 5 dimes, not that I would condone or suggest such a thing, there is a prop bet for Lee Corso and his headgear choice this weekend. Michigan is currently paying +475. Wisconsin is at -1000. Not often do you get nearly 5 to 1 on your money for a coin flip decision.
We can make this the betting thread for the week also.
I love this week's slate:
Penn State -13.5
Ohio State -29.5
Indiana +5
Oregon +3
Northwestern -3.5
Michigan -8.5 (although I liked this a lot more at -6.5)
LSU +7.5
October 10th, 2018 at 9:19 AM ^
Most likely because they have inside information.
They are not in the business of losing money.
October 10th, 2018 at 1:09 PM ^
I don't think it's based on inside information. Didn't Corso pick Wisconsin to win the national championship this year? He's probably not going to go against that for his headgear pick...
October 10th, 2018 at 2:26 PM ^
FWIW I'm a degen and follow this prop (and many others) weekly. Just FYI, this isn't a coin flip. The movement and price every week on this reeks of known outcome. Dimes doesn't have the inside information, but it's very likely staffers on the production show do. Word leaks, and either they or people they know/tell hammer it. Best to avoid this one.
October 10th, 2018 at 7:40 PM ^
Corso doesn’t typically go with a dog in general, let alone on the road. I would be surprised if he picked the Badgers.
October 10th, 2018 at 9:19 AM ^
It's not a coin flip decision
October 10th, 2018 at 9:20 AM ^
My guess is we're at +475 because we don't have a mascot, therefore no easily accessible headgear for the pick.
October 10th, 2018 at 9:27 AM ^
Corso is gonna dress up like Harbaugh like he does with ND with the whole Leprechaun suit. He'll go during the commercial break and come back out with khakis and a Michigan sweater and hat and headset on.
October 10th, 2018 at 9:47 AM ^
There is accessible headgear....
October 10th, 2018 at 12:24 PM ^
Did we win either of those games?
October 10th, 2018 at 2:08 PM ^
The first one looks like ND, probably 2003? So yes easily.
The second one is clearly an OSU game so no.
October 10th, 2018 at 5:21 PM ^
Those blank dead eyes.
October 10th, 2018 at 9:21 AM ^
Have Desmond hook him up with the wolvabear head.
October 10th, 2018 at 9:23 AM ^
Murderwolf head
October 10th, 2018 at 9:27 AM ^
Yeah, that thing.
October 10th, 2018 at 9:50 AM ^
Wolverbear Corso appearance and I would spit out my ham sandwich.
October 10th, 2018 at 10:03 AM ^
I’d rather Corso shave a mowhawk in honor of Bench Mason.
October 10th, 2018 at 9:55 AM ^
Murderwolf MUST make an appearance! I'll be watching the entire screen for the whole show to make sure I don't miss it. Somebody has to bring that thing...
Unfortunately, my googlizing for said hat has been unproductive. Apparently, these hats don't grow in factories. Dammit.
October 10th, 2018 at 2:24 PM ^
Have Desmond put a live wolverine on his head.
October 10th, 2018 at 9:22 AM ^
For those of us who are not degenerates, can you explain what those numbers mean and who you are supposed to pick to get 5-1?
October 10th, 2018 at 9:27 AM ^
Betting on Michigan +475 would win you $475 on a $100 bet
Betting on Wisconsin -1000 would mean that you have bet $1000 to win $100
October 10th, 2018 at 10:24 AM ^
I've heard you also get your bet back if you win, so $475 + $100, since that part is not necessarily intuitive.
October 10th, 2018 at 1:11 PM ^
This is correct.
For whatever reason, the casinos don't trust you to show up and pay them if you lose your bet, so they take your wager before the event & then give it back if you win (or tie).
October 10th, 2018 at 10:41 AM ^
I know absolutely nothing about betting but, doesn't this mean that they think Wisconsin will win?
October 10th, 2018 at 11:12 AM ^
No, this means they think that Corso will pick Wisconsin to beat Michigan and put on the Badger head.
October 10th, 2018 at 11:57 AM ^
Oh wow, complete reading failure on my part. Thank you.
October 10th, 2018 at 1:27 PM ^
I get betting on the game.
Betting on which head/helmet that Corso will put on? That's freaky. The show is entertainment; what if somebody hijacked the Bucky Badger head before the game, and so with just a Michigan helmet laying around, Corso went with that? Because what does the audience care or know about any difficulty securing an appearance by the Badger head? (Although there will be a Wisconsin and a Michigan helmet laying on a table in front of the set, right?)
Betting on Lee Corso. Lulz.
Immortal Lee Corso appearance here, as head coach of the IU Hoosiers. By all logic, Lee Corso ought to be holding a death-wish grudge against Michigan for all eternity. Thank you, Lawrence Reid. (Nice flip to Lee Corso!) Thank you, Johnny Wangler. Thank you, Anthony Carter. "Thank you Fielding Yost for that one."
October 10th, 2018 at 2:37 PM ^
You'd be surprised what you can bet on offshore markets. A couple months ago I bet on the Mexican presidential election.
October 10th, 2018 at 9:23 AM ^
I like Penn State, Michigan, and Oregon there.
PSU is going to brutalize Sparty. It's going to be murder porn, except my hate for PSU will prevent me from getting off.
We're going to win comfortably. Their secondary = ass and our offense is actually humming right not.
Oregon - home dog in Autzen in a heated rivalry game? This goes against what the numbers say, but I like Oregon to win straight up. They're probably better on the O and D lines, and they've got the crowd. I'd put more money on the first two lines, but I think Oregon gets it done.
October 10th, 2018 at 9:27 AM ^
James Franklin is 1-10 against the spread coming off of a loss. Dantonio is 9-3 against the spread coming off a loss. Line is inflated due to MSU performance last week. Fancystats have this line between 8-9. I would be VERY careful about putting $$ on Penn State. I think PSU wins, but its MUCH closer then 13.5.
October 10th, 2018 at 9:40 AM ^
I think Sparty can win this one. Lewerke could have his scrambling game some how and Mcsorely is just a bit off for MSU to pull this one out.
October 10th, 2018 at 9:48 AM ^
I think that State will play up for this game big time. While fans have largely wrote them off, my guess is the team still sees that they have one conference non-division loss and are not out of the discussion yet. (I ultimately don't think they will be a conference contender but any hope they have rides on them winning on Saturday so they will come to play). Their fan base has bailed on them to a staggering degree for a team coming off a 10-3. They have been disappointing but have been without a lot of key players and there is a lot of season yet to play. My guess is that they will give PSU all they can handle.
October 10th, 2018 at 10:01 AM ^
That's my gut feeling. MSU will probably play better than many people think. Penn State has had an extra week to soak in that loss so I'd still pick them. But Dantonio's resting bitch face often fires up his players so maybe this one could be interesting.
Whatever the case, this game will be like watching two assholes fight in a bar. One will win, but at the end of the day, they're both still assholes.
October 10th, 2018 at 10:03 AM ^
I'm all for wishing MSU sucked again, but I think people are over-reacting to the loss to NW. The last TD NW scored was after MSU turned it over on downs on their own 10 yard line giving NW a very short field. If it ends 22-19, people probably aren't reacting so strongly. That akron loss for NW is really damaging their reputation this year- somewhat fairly.
October 10th, 2018 at 10:02 AM ^
Yeah, I'm not buying what your selling. McSorely would have to break his arm in pre-game warmups to not throw 4 TD passes in this game. PSU throws very well, and MSU does not defend the pass quite as well. No running game will be had by either team, so this comes down to passing. No way MSU's basic, generic base quarters coverage keeps up with PSU in this one.
Besides, the one game left that can salvage Mack Dantinio's season will need some plays left in the garage just for that game...
October 10th, 2018 at 10:23 AM ^
I also think this will be a game where McSorley does damage with his feet. I know that MSU has a stout run D but have they faced anyone with McSorley's scrambling ability? Not saying he'll rack up 175 yards like he did against OSU but I could see him approaching 75 yards on the ground plus another 250 through the air.
October 10th, 2018 at 10:43 AM ^
Since Duntanzio took over, it is often the game in which MSU is completely dismissed in which they find a way to win to flip the narrative. I think this game will be close the entire way.
October 10th, 2018 at 11:16 AM ^
I reject this spelling of Mork's name, as my middle name is Anzio.
October 10th, 2018 at 9:43 AM ^
MSU is giving up 50 more passing yards per game than McSorley, who's having a very good season, is throwing for.
On the flip side, Penn State will be the best defense MSU has seen so far (20th in S&P, 11 spots higher than Northwestern at 31st). S&P has PSU's defense giving up about 20 points to an average offense - MSU's is average-ish (62nd in S&P), but they're beat to hell.
Penn State is still playing for a shot at the playoffs. MSU's season is virtually over - it's hanging by a thread, if that thread even still exists.
I think Penn State wins this one 34-14.
October 10th, 2018 at 10:10 AM ^
Not to mention the fact that MSU is probably - certainly? - spending a lot their practice time this week getting ready for us the next week.
October 10th, 2018 at 11:17 AM ^
Yeah, half of this blog refuses to accept it in years when MSU stinks. Dantonio has had plenty of bad seasons @ MSU. 2010, 2012, 2016 come to mind besides this year where he was 6-6 or worse in the regular season. I understand how our fans got that way but I still think it's weak as hell.
October 10th, 2018 at 12:06 PM ^
Except for the team that won the Rose Bowl, which was legitimately very good, Dantonio has basically had a 6-6 team every year that varied randomly one way or the other, most notably the crazy lucky team that made the playoff.
October 10th, 2018 at 1:55 PM ^
As long as Michigan is still on MSU's schedule, their season isn't over.
October 10th, 2018 at 12:31 PM ^
It's hard to say because Sparty has Michigan next week. Their only priority will be to get back home to watch Michigan against Wisconsin. I expect PSU to cover.
October 10th, 2018 at 7:56 PM ^
The real question is, what’s the weather going to be Sat night and how many Badger DBs will be wearing hoodies?
October 10th, 2018 at 9:36 AM ^
Won't everyone be surprised when MurderWolf peels off his Corso mask and says "I've always been here!"?
October 10th, 2018 at 9:37 AM ^
PSU is Smooth Jimmy's Lock of the Week!
October 10th, 2018 at 9:39 AM ^
I started my own rankings this year. For those games, here are my projections. I have 3 picks ATS amongst these games.
Penn State by 15.5 (take PSU at -13.5)
Ohio State by 26.5 (take Minnesota at -29.5)
Indiana losing by 8 (take Iowa at -5)
Oregon losing by 5.5 (take Washington at -3)
Northwestern by 9 (take NW at -3.5)
Michigan by 6.5 (bet on Wisconsin at -8.5 unfortunately) I don't see 8.5 though, see only 7.5.
Exact pick-em for LSU as having them losing by 7.5 (Not betting on +7.5)
October 10th, 2018 at 9:55 AM ^
I don't see Minnesota covering your -29.5
October 10th, 2018 at 10:05 AM ^
My personal opinion agrees with you, but was just posting what my rankings project.