No, Don't Turn Shea Loose
There is a new Michigan Man podcast post with Baumgardner as the guest (http://themichiganmanpodcast.com/the-michigan-man-podcast-episode-457-m…).
Nick is arguing that it is time for Harbaugh to let Shea loose and go pass heavy.
I cannot disagree more.
All I want out of this year is for healthy Shea going into the game. If you have a better QB, you always have a chance and I believe that we have a better QB than OSU this year. I have no doubt that we would have won the game in 2015 with healthy Rudock (or any of the last three games with a healthy starting QB).
With the current OL, PTSD every time Shea drops back for a pass. Exposing Shea to 20 passes a game is probably plenty, I see no reason why we want to bump that up to 30 or more when that also increases the chance that we will end up with Shea on the bench later in the season. I also disagree with Brian about Shea needing to keep the ball more on option. Screw that, just keep handing off to RB even if it means we have no gains on 3 or 4 plays.
I think Harbaugh is handling this exactly right and I hope he keeps course. If that means we drop a game or two we might have won otherwise, so be it. I just want Shea to be healthy for THE GAME.
Seriously, is the gain of having more Shea passes worth the increase in injury possibilities?
September 18th, 2018 at 12:37 PM ^
I don't remember any rain at ND. I remember it sucking, very distinctly, but I don't remember any rain.
September 18th, 2018 at 12:28 PM ^
I'd prefer they try to win every game than just trying to win one.
September 18th, 2018 at 12:30 PM ^
I agree with sticking to the ground game against lesser opponents, but if the game is on the line or we are playing osu, psu, msu, wisconsin, then I want to see whatever is necessary to get the job done.
September 18th, 2018 at 12:32 PM ^
We should do what the Lions should be doing, throw to set up the run. If you dont have the line to run and gain yards when everyone knows you are going to run, throw the ball. They stack the box, throw the ball! If your quarterback and wide receivers are better than your line and running backs, throw the ball. Hit some throws for damage, watch the running game open.
September 18th, 2018 at 12:36 PM ^
This is dumb
September 18th, 2018 at 12:36 PM ^
Harbaugh=Power Football.
enough said
September 18th, 2018 at 12:57 PM ^
When's the last time Harbaugh's power football put up 150 yards + on a team with a pulse?m
Seems our rivals have no issue putting 200+ up on us.
September 18th, 2018 at 12:57 PM ^
Do you believe Harbaugh's version of power football been successful (against OSU/PSU/WISC/MSU)?
The passing concepts have looked decent under Fisch and now Pep/McElwain. Its the run game that has looked consistently and woefully outdated.
September 18th, 2018 at 2:54 PM ^
That is just flat out false.
September 18th, 2018 at 12:41 PM ^
I think we will go more pass heavy as the opponents get better, but I don't see Shea going over 25 pass attempts that often
September 18th, 2018 at 1:03 PM ^
That would be a gross under-utilization of Shea, considering Speight and JOK regularly threw for over 25 pass attempts.
September 18th, 2018 at 2:09 PM ^
Now you short sighted twits are upvoting a known troll who is casually cherry picking stats to fit his bullshit argument, which he's only making to stir people up.
Good job, MGoBlog denizens.
September 18th, 2018 at 3:47 PM ^
He might be a troll but he makes an interesting point here, and I don't think it qualifies as cherry picking.
September 18th, 2018 at 3:06 PM ^
Still pissed at throwing 35 times against MSU in a monsoon during a one-score game.
September 18th, 2018 at 3:41 PM ^
Well, when your QB hits 70%+ of his passes and can actually hit the open receivers in mid- to long-range, he doesn't need to throw the ball nearly as much....
I mean, if you'll notice, JOK had a 45.7% completion against MSU. But yay he threw the ball 35 times I guess? ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
I think Shea will need to be relied upon for the bigger games. I don't think 25 attempts is some magic number though.
September 18th, 2018 at 12:45 PM ^
I'd worry about winning the games before OSU before worrying about beating OSU
September 18th, 2018 at 12:46 PM ^
I think you run the offense you need in the situation at hand. There will be games when Patterson will need to throw the ball a ton, and that's when you call it. But Michigan is at their best when they have a nice balance between running and throwing the ball, and artificially attempting to alter that dynamic for no other reason than "he's the man" isn't important.
September 18th, 2018 at 12:48 PM ^
I think there is more value in in-game reps than there is in hiding things from the game tapes. There's this assumption that if you can do it in practice, you can do it in a game "when the time comes." But I think that's dangerous. Putting our biggest games on the line based on plays we've never tried outside of practice but had ample opportunity to.
There's a balance in keeping things off of game tape vs. building confidence with in-game reps. I tilt toward a little more of the in-game reps.
So therefore I'd like to "turn Shea loose" a bit more. Had a good game saturday, something to build on.
But doesn't mean we just let Shea call the offense. Just means I'd like to see the pass/run play ratio go up a bit.
September 18th, 2018 at 1:08 PM ^
We were clearly run heavy against the last 2 cupcakes. Only Jim can answer to that.
Against ND, Shea actually threw the ball 30 times. They just happened to be mostly cowardly line-of-scrimmage type throws. Passing opened up when we got way behind but the damage had already been done.
September 18th, 2018 at 3:11 PM ^
What the shit are you going on about douche canoe?
September 18th, 2018 at 5:59 PM ^
Cowardly?
What the fuck are you talking about?
September 18th, 2018 at 12:49 PM ^
You must eat a lot of CHICKEN
September 18th, 2018 at 2:10 PM ^
Who upvoted this twat? Show yourselves.
September 18th, 2018 at 3:52 PM ^
Timmaay, I can't keep track of who's a supposed troll and who isn't. I imagine many others are the same.
September 18th, 2018 at 7:51 PM ^
I'm frustrated with the current state of the board, my apologies Sir Jack.
September 19th, 2018 at 10:26 AM ^
I understand man, thanks
September 18th, 2018 at 12:50 PM ^
I am sick to death of having either a bad QB or good injured QB against OSU. It has become a trend.
September 18th, 2018 at 12:51 PM ^
Just read this from the Ozone's Michigan Monday, haha:
"Speaking of athleticism, Donovan Peoples-Jones caught four passes for 90 yards and three touchdowns. In a shocking development, he was actually used down the field. For most of the season, it has felt like they were worried they’d get an ineligible receiver downfield if they sent DPJ too far out into a pass pattern."
September 18th, 2018 at 12:51 PM ^
Turn. Him. Loose.
He has the wheels - let him use them. He has an ability to hit receivers on the scramble, play into that. Going run-run-pass-punt is entirely unacceptable. Unlike when Jake was at the helm or Wilton/Brandon/JOK, this time we have a 'real deal' in Dylan backing up Shea. I am SO not concerned if Shea goes down, we'll not skip a beat like we did in the past.
September 18th, 2018 at 12:51 PM ^
This post is bad and you should feel bad.
September 18th, 2018 at 12:52 PM ^
I think Harbaugh is handling this exactly right and I hope he keeps course. If that means we drop a game or two we might have won otherwise, so be it. I just want Shea to be healthy for THE GAME.
Well, I'd like to win as many games as possible leading into the game, so if that means we lean on Shea's arm then so be it. Until we find a way to get the ground game going consistently, we'll need his arm anyway. Playing an overly conservative offense out of fear of injury is not the answer, IMHO.
September 18th, 2018 at 12:55 PM ^
We had 50 yards rushing against Wisconsin last year.
Its been YEARS since Michigan has imposed their will by running the ball on a team with a pulse. If Michigan is going to beat PSU, MSU, WIS and maybe even NW, we are going to have to throw the ball.
September 18th, 2018 at 12:56 PM ^
I don't see a reason as to why we cant throw more to open up the run. More play action on first downs would keep the defense guessing as opposed to only gaining a couple yards.
September 18th, 2018 at 12:57 PM ^
I trust Harbaugh. It’s amazing how many people don’t.
September 18th, 2018 at 1:30 PM ^
Unless you slept through last season I don't know why you would find this amazing.
September 18th, 2018 at 1:04 PM ^
So I guess by 'turn him loose', he means abandon the run game and just start flinging the ball all over? I don't get why? The run game got largely stuffed by SMU stacking the box, yet the offense hit for 38 points. WMU didn't stuff the box and got pasted with 300 yards rushing and 49 points. If some team wants to stack 8 or 9 into the box to keep UM from running, then the pass will go over them. Drop back to slow down the passing game, and the RB's will get chunks.
Everyone keeps reverting to the 2017 offense as the thing for this year. But that offense simply could not throw the ball whatsoever. It couldn't pass protect, it couldn't throw, it couldn't run routes, it couldn't get open, and it couldn't catch. Even when a WR got hand-waving open and screamed 'THROW ME THE DAMN BALL', the ball was not closer than 7 yards away.
Just run the offense and see where it takes us. It's already light years ahead of anything we saw from it last year.
Did I mention that last years offense couldn't throw the ball?
September 18th, 2018 at 1:05 PM ^
UM should play not to lose. Wait, what?!
September 18th, 2018 at 1:10 PM ^
We can't waste our first two drives every game. He does need to open it up more early in the game.
September 18th, 2018 at 1:13 PM ^
Playing scared is no way to play football!
September 18th, 2018 at 1:14 PM ^
I don't think you and I watched the same OSU game in 2015. Rudock had nothing to do with the fact that the defense couldn't stop Elliott. The 2015 OSU game was a thorough ass-kicking. A healthy Rudock wouldn't have changed that. And for the record, Rudock seemed plenty healthy to me when he was torching IU and PSU in the two games before that. By the time he got injured against OSU, the game was already over.
Either way, I want Harbaugh to do whatever is necessary to give Michigan the best chance to win football games. If that means Shea hands the ball off 35-40 times a game, so be it. If that means we go air raid, then I'm good with that too. Can't be afraid of getting injuries.
September 18th, 2018 at 1:16 PM ^
I am all for boring games where we pound away against crappy opponents, then opening things up against teams like Wisconsin, PSU, MSU, and OSU. If we don't need to expose Shea to unnecessary hits, we shouldn't.
September 18th, 2018 at 1:23 PM ^
I am going to say this and it will sound mean. I don't mean it near as mean as it will sound.
This is the dumbest, most uninformed take I have ever heard. You don't risk 2 or whatever losses by playing scared just so you might better your chances in 1 game (which is STILL not a guarantee to win) later in the season.
September 18th, 2018 at 1:24 PM ^
Uhhhhh.... Haskins has looked scary good this year my dude. I don't think you can say we have a better QB than OSU
September 18th, 2018 at 2:00 PM ^
I don't think any team can claim to have a better QB than Haskins at this point. Shea is a really good one but haskins is (passing) is on an elite level.
September 18th, 2018 at 1:33 PM ^
With as much as OSU has Haskins dropping back , or even in the game deep into 4th qtr, I'd be surprised if he's even playing in November. Somebodys gonna hit the guy in conference play
September 18th, 2018 at 1:58 PM ^
Its time to play to win vs playing not to lose. If Shea gets hurt, oh well.
September 18th, 2018 at 2:03 PM ^
Depends on the game and the opponent.
Do I want Shea running multiple times a la Denard? No
But I also don’t want him sitting back there when he can convert a first down by running either.
September 18th, 2018 at 2:17 PM ^
I believe that we have a better QB than OSU this year
IDK man, Haskins has looked really good so far.
But I agree with your overall philosophy. Keep the rains on and maintain balance until you have to throw. But, I do find the team tends to want to start games with manball. I'd prefer we start games more pass heavy to open up the running game.
September 18th, 2018 at 2:20 PM ^
In 2015, we lost The Game 42-13. That had less to do with QB play and more to do with our DC having mentally checked out, and with simply not having the horses to compete with OSU. In 2016, we DEFINITELY would have won The Game with better QB play, seeing as how we spotted OSU ten points with a pick-six and and another pick that set up an OSU field goal. In 2017, we likely would have won The Game with better QB play, seeing as how we jumped out to a 14-0 lead but could only manage six points the rest of the way after OSU shut down the run game because they knew we couldn't pass to save our lives.
This year, I'm reserving judgment until we get into the thick of the B1G schedule. It could be that Harbaugh is purposely limiting Shea's exposure as you say and is planning on unleashing him when we get to the meat to the schedule after the O-line has (hopefully, for the love of God) had a chance to gel. Or, it could be that we're simply not that good. We really won't know until Wisconsin at the earliest.