No, Don't Turn Shea Loose

Submitted by Gameboy on

There is a new Michigan Man podcast post with Baumgardner as the guest (http://themichiganmanpodcast.com/the-michigan-man-podcast-episode-457-m…).

Nick is arguing that it is time for Harbaugh to let Shea loose and go pass heavy.

I cannot disagree more.

All I want out of this year is for healthy Shea going into the game. If you have a better QB, you always have a chance and I believe that we have a better QB than OSU this year. I have no doubt that we would have won the game in 2015 with healthy Rudock (or any of the last three games with a healthy starting QB).

With the current OL, PTSD every time Shea drops back for a pass. Exposing Shea to 20 passes a game is probably plenty, I see no reason why we want to bump that up to 30 or more when that also increases the chance that we will end up with Shea on the bench later in the season. I also disagree with Brian about Shea needing to keep the ball more on option. Screw that, just keep handing off to RB even if it means we have no gains on 3 or 4 plays.

I think Harbaugh is handling this exactly right and I hope he keeps course. If that means we drop a game or two we might have won otherwise, so be it. I just want Shea to be healthy for THE GAME.

Seriously, is the gain of having more Shea passes worth the increase in injury possibilities?

Sauce Castillo

September 18th, 2018 at 12:30 PM ^

I agree with sticking to the ground game against lesser opponents, but if the game is on the line or we are playing osu, psu, msu, wisconsin, then I want to see whatever is necessary to get the job done.

Detwolverine2009

September 18th, 2018 at 12:32 PM ^

We should do what the Lions should be doing, throw to set up the run. If you dont have the line to run and gain yards when everyone knows you are going to run, throw the ball. They stack the box, throw the ball! If your quarterback and wide receivers are better than your line and running backs, throw the ball. Hit some throws for damage, watch the running game open.

mgojohnny

September 18th, 2018 at 12:57 PM ^

Do you believe Harbaugh's version of power football been successful (against OSU/PSU/WISC/MSU)?

The passing concepts have looked decent under Fisch and now Pep/McElwain.  Its the run game that has looked consistently and woefully outdated.

 

 

CompleteLunacy

September 18th, 2018 at 3:41 PM ^

Well, when your QB hits 70%+ of his passes and can actually hit the open receivers in mid- to long-range, he doesn't need to throw the ball nearly as much....

I mean, if you'll notice, JOK had a 45.7% completion against MSU. But yay he threw the ball 35 times I guess? ¯\_(ツ)_/¯

I think Shea will need to be relied upon for the bigger games. I don't think 25 attempts is some magic number though.

 

bronxblue

September 18th, 2018 at 12:46 PM ^

I think you run the offense you need in the situation at hand.  There will be games when Patterson will need to throw the ball a ton, and that's when you call it.  But Michigan is at their best when they have a nice balance between running and throwing the ball, and artificially attempting to alter that dynamic for no other reason than "he's the man" isn't important.

jimmyjoeharbaugh

September 18th, 2018 at 12:48 PM ^

I think there is more value in in-game reps than there is in hiding things from the game tapes. There's this assumption that if you can do it in practice, you can do it in a game "when the time comes." But I think that's dangerous.  Putting our biggest games on the line based on plays we've never tried outside of practice but had ample opportunity to. 

There's a balance in keeping things off of game tape vs. building confidence with in-game reps.  I tilt toward a little more of the in-game reps.  

So therefore I'd like to "turn Shea loose" a bit more.  Had a good game saturday, something to build on. 

But doesn't mean we just let Shea call the offense.  Just means I'd like to see the pass/run play ratio go up a bit. 

SirJack II

September 18th, 2018 at 12:51 PM ^

Just read this from the Ozone's Michigan Monday, haha:

 

"Speaking of athleticism, Donovan Peoples-Jones caught four passes for 90 yards and three touchdowns. In a shocking development, he was actually used down the field. For most of the season, it has felt like they were worried they’d get an ineligible receiver downfield if they sent DPJ too far out into a pass pattern."

Synful

September 18th, 2018 at 12:51 PM ^

Turn.  Him.  Loose.

He has the wheels - let him use them.  He has an ability to hit receivers on the scramble, play into that.  Going run-run-pass-punt is entirely unacceptable.  Unlike when Jake was at the helm or Wilton/Brandon/JOK, this time we have a 'real deal' in Dylan backing up Shea.  I am SO not concerned if Shea goes down, we'll not skip a beat like we did in the past.

LSAClassOf2000

September 18th, 2018 at 12:52 PM ^

I think Harbaugh is handling this exactly right and I hope he keeps course. If that means we drop a game or two we might have won otherwise, so be it. I just want Shea to be healthy for THE GAME.

Well, I'd like to win as many games as possible leading into the game, so if that means we lean on Shea's arm then so be it. Until we find a way to get the ground game going consistently, we'll need his arm anyway. Playing an overly conservative offense out of fear of injury is not the answer, IMHO. 

B1G Winning

September 18th, 2018 at 12:55 PM ^

We had 50 yards rushing against Wisconsin last year.

Its been YEARS since Michigan has imposed their will by running the ball on a team with a pulse.  If Michigan is going to beat PSU, MSU, WIS and maybe even NW, we are going to have to throw the ball.

Hail2UM83

September 18th, 2018 at 12:56 PM ^

I don't see a reason as to why we cant throw more to open up the run. More play action on first downs would keep the defense guessing as opposed to only gaining a couple yards.

1VaBlue1

September 18th, 2018 at 1:04 PM ^

So I guess by 'turn him loose', he means abandon the run game and just start flinging the ball all over?  I don't get why?  The run game got largely stuffed by SMU stacking the box, yet the offense hit for 38 points.  WMU didn't stuff the box and got pasted with 300 yards rushing and 49 points.  If some team wants to stack 8 or 9 into the box to keep UM from running, then the pass will go over them.  Drop back to slow down the passing game, and the RB's will get chunks.

Everyone keeps reverting to the 2017 offense as the thing for this year.  But that offense simply could not throw the ball whatsoever.  It couldn't pass protect, it couldn't throw, it couldn't run routes, it couldn't get open, and it couldn't catch.  Even when a WR got hand-waving open and screamed 'THROW ME THE DAMN BALL', the ball was not closer than 7 yards away.

Just run the offense and see where it takes us.  It's already light years ahead of anything we saw from it last year.

Did I mention that last years offense couldn't throw the ball?

Perkis-Size Me

September 18th, 2018 at 1:14 PM ^

I don't think you and I watched the same OSU game in 2015. Rudock had nothing to do with the fact that the defense couldn't stop Elliott. The 2015 OSU game was a thorough ass-kicking. A healthy Rudock wouldn't have changed that. And for the record, Rudock seemed plenty healthy to me when he was torching IU and PSU in the two games before that. By the time he got injured against OSU, the game was already over. 

Either way, I want Harbaugh to do whatever is necessary to give Michigan the best chance to win football games. If that means Shea hands the ball off 35-40 times a game, so be it. If that means we go air raid, then I'm good with that too. Can't be afraid of getting injuries. 

chunkums

September 18th, 2018 at 1:16 PM ^

I am all for boring games where we pound away against crappy opponents, then opening things up against teams like Wisconsin, PSU, MSU, and OSU. If we don't need to expose Shea to unnecessary hits, we shouldn't. 

lbpeley

September 18th, 2018 at 1:23 PM ^

I am going to say this and it will sound mean. I don't mean it near as mean as it will sound.

This is the dumbest, most uninformed take I have ever heard. You don't risk 2 or whatever losses by playing scared just so you might better your chances in 1 game (which is STILL not a guarantee to win) later in the season. 

trueblue262

September 18th, 2018 at 1:33 PM ^

With as much as OSU has Haskins dropping back , or even in the game deep into 4th qtr, I'd be surprised if he's even playing in November. Somebodys gonna hit the guy in conference play

JDeanAuthor

September 18th, 2018 at 2:03 PM ^

Depends on the game and the opponent.

Do I want Shea running multiple times a la Denard? No

But I also don’t want him sitting back there when he can convert a first down by running either.

MGoStrength

September 18th, 2018 at 2:17 PM ^

I believe that we have a better QB than OSU this year

IDK man, Haskins has looked really good so far.

 

But I agree with your overall philosophy.  Keep the rains on and maintain balance until you have to throw.  But, I do find the team tends to want to start games with manball.  I'd prefer we start games more pass heavy to open up the running game.

FrankMurphy

September 18th, 2018 at 2:20 PM ^

In 2015, we lost The Game 42-13. That had less to do with QB play and more to do with our DC having mentally checked out, and with simply not having the horses to compete with OSU. In 2016, we DEFINITELY would have won The Game with better QB play, seeing as how we spotted OSU ten points with a pick-six and and another pick that set up an OSU field goal. In 2017, we likely would have won The Game with better QB play, seeing as how we jumped out to a 14-0 lead but could only manage six points the rest of the way after OSU shut down the run game because they knew we couldn't pass to save our lives.

This year, I'm reserving judgment until we get into the thick of the B1G schedule. It could be that Harbaugh is purposely limiting Shea's exposure as you say and is planning on unleashing him when we get to the meat to the schedule after the O-line has (hopefully, for the love of God) had a chance to gel. Or, it could be that we're simply not that good. We really won't know until Wisconsin at the earliest.