Who Should be MBB NPOY?

Submitted by DetroitDan on February 27th, 2021 at 12:16 AM

After seeing Garza get ouplayed by Dickinson, I am skeptical that he is the best college BB player.  Dosunmu is obviously talented, but despite having a strong supporting cast (IMO), Illinois has not been great.  So who is the best men's college basketball player this year?  I don't follow other conferences enough to have any idea.

mi93

February 27th, 2021 at 12:23 AM ^

Despite HD shutting down Garza I still think he’s the most likely NPOY candidate. He’s the most prolific and important player on the top O in the country. Perfect?  No. But still very deserving. I can’t think of another player in the same realm. (Because nobody cares about defense for these awards.)

And by my approach, I feel really bad for Markus Howard as I would have picked him for NPOY last year.

DetroitDan

February 27th, 2021 at 12:31 AM ^

I can’t think of another player in the same realm. (Because nobody cares about defense for these awards.) [mi93]

I appreciate the reality check here.  But if we were in an alternative universe where both aspects of the game count, who would be the best?  Perhaps the designation should be National Offensive Player of the Year?  How would past superstars (Jordan, James, Bryant) have rated with their defense being part of the equation?  These 3 all won NBA titles, so presumably were pretty good 2 way players, but perhaps defense is immaterial in the big picture?

drjaws

February 27th, 2021 at 12:30 AM ^

Me.  Obviously.

Do I play? No. Do I drink beer?  Yea. Do I play cards?  Yep.  Do I like whisky? Of course. What are we stalking about? I dunno.

DetroitDan

February 27th, 2021 at 12:47 AM ^

I guess I would go with Dickinson over Garza (or Dosunmu), based upon the B1G conference results to date.  Don't know much about the other conferences, so perhaps there is another contender out there.  But Dickinson has been phenomenal in leading Michigan to by far the best record in the Big Ten.

stephenrjking

February 27th, 2021 at 12:47 AM ^

15 points on 17 shot equivalents, 4 assists, 4 turnovers: That's Trey Burke's statline from a 2013 loss at Ohio State. He won NPOY and he deserved it.

One meh game does not torpedo a whole season, and you undercut your whole argument by admitting that you don't watch other conferences enough to know who is good. 

Garza is NPOY. He's really good. It's not even very close. One game where he was well-defended and the shots didn't fall as much as he would like does not dismiss that. 

DetroitDan

February 27th, 2021 at 12:52 AM ^

Hmmm.  So Garza should win the NPOY because Trey Burke had a so-so game when he won it in 2013?  I get your argument that one game should not make all the difference, but Iowa has a middling record when all games are considered.  And "it's not even close" is weird since obviously you're only considering offensive performance which is easier to capture in statistics.  And as far as undercutting my whole argument by not considering other conferences, what say you about players in in other conferences?

oriental andrew

February 27th, 2021 at 10:59 AM ^

Terrible take. Burke had a bad game, just like Garza did. One game does not make a season. 

We've also seen the impact Garza can have. Without him, Iowa isn't even ranked, much less in the top 15. 

Your take that iowa and illinois have been middling or not great is also silly. They've been ranked in the top 10 most of the season. 

And Dickinson isn't even the best player on the team, much less the country. There was a recent 5 game stretch in January and February where he averaged 8 points per game. He is absolutely important to this team, but he's no NPOTY candidate at this stage. One great game against Garza doesn't suddenly make him a contender. 

DetroitDan

February 27th, 2021 at 1:02 AM ^

If Garza is the best in college BB, yet slated to be drafted 50th, what does that say?  That many players will improve much more than Garza once they mature?  I suppose that's possible, but the simpler explanation is that Garza is overrated.  He wins the college statistics game (offense only), but the pros know that he is not that good.  College basketball is not that different from the NBA.  If Garza were the best, he would most likely continue to be the best in the NBA.  If Wagner is the better NBA prospect, who's to say that Garza is currently the better player?

You can go by the win-loss record, or you can go by the NBA scouts.  Either way, Garza is not the best.  But he is the best by offensive statistics.

I have nothing against Garza who seems like a good person and a fantastic basketball player.  But I argue for a bigger role in win-loss results and NBA scout assessment, which is perhaps more perceptive than offensive stats alone.  Having said that, I detest the NBA assessments.  But sadly I think they perhaps have a better track record than do I.