Wednesday Night NCAA Football Open Thread

Submitted by LSAClassOf2000 on

Tonight, for those of you who do not care for MACtion, there is MACtion.

First, there is Ball State at Northern Illinois over on ESPN2, and second, ESPNU will be carrying Miami (NTM) at Kent State. Both are 8 PM starts.

For the Ball State / NIU game, your matchup stats, courtesy of TeamRankings:

Offense 
 Ball St. N. Illinois
Yards/Play 6.5   6.9
Points/Play 0.522   0.571
Rush Play % 47.08%   60.13%
Pass Play % 52.92%   39.87%
Completion % 62.10%   62.66%
3D Conv % 41.07%   41.28%
RZ Scoring % 84.21%   88.89%
Defense
 Ball St. N. Illinois
Opp Yards/Play 5.5   5.0
Opp Points/Play 0.297   0.293
Opp Completion % 59.75%   46.67%
Opp 3D Conv % 39.13%   34.31%
Opp RZ Scoring % 69.57%   88.89%

 

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MJ14

November 13th, 2013 at 10:08 PM ^

Ball State has two really good wide receivers and a good QB. If I was going to compare them to anyone in the Big Ten, it would probably be PSU except BSU has a more experienced QB.

I saw LSA's simulation, so I decided to simulate PSU vs. BSU just because I think they're so similar with BSU having a slight offense advantage. Here is the results:

Ball St Penn St
Actual Score 0 0
Most Likely 31 28
Median 31 28
Mean 31.44 28.96
Win Probability 57% 43%

Seven Game series simulation:

Simulation Results

Ball St 39 Penn St 27 (1-0-0)
Ball St 34 Penn St 28 (2-0-0)
Ball St 32 Penn St 7 (3-0-0)
Ball St 49 Penn St 36 (4-0-0)
Ball St 31 Penn St 41 (4-1-0)
Ball St 22 Penn St 35 (4-2-0)
Ball St 31 Penn St 20 (5-2-0)

My sister attends BSU and I've seen most of their home games this year. Sadly, I think BSU could actually beat Michigan though it would be insanely close.

Joined: 01/09/2011

MGoPoints: 16412

Indiana Blue

November 13th, 2013 at 8:59 PM ^

we can trade Borges for either of these OC's ?  He could convert either of these offenses into "Pro Style" pathetic ones.   OK, BSU just went 68 yards in 9 plays for the go ahead TD .... oh yeah ...BORGES you SUCK!

 

Joined: 09/19/2010

MGoPoints: 5677

LSAClassOf2000

November 13th, 2013 at 9:00 PM ^

A crafty exchange of rushing TDs by Ball State and Northern Illinois, putting the Cardinals up 14-10 with about 10 minutes left in the half. Ball State is impressing the MAC version of "three yards and a cloud of dust" on NIU with their 3.65 yards per offensive snap too. 

Joined: 01/07/2011

MGoPoints: 130636

ckersh74

November 13th, 2013 at 9:59 PM ^

Tough call for me. Flip a coin. But given the absence of a meteor hitting the stadium right before kickoff, I'd actually rather see Ohio get stoned out of the BCS Title game again, just for the entertainment value. 

Joined: 06/30/2008

MGoPoints: 41634

LSAClassOf2000

November 13th, 2013 at 9:49 PM ^

 
 
 
BALL ST.
 
 
NIU
1st Downs 17 13
3rd down efficiency
 66.67% 50.00%
4th down efficiency
 0-0 0-0
Total Yards 280 266
Passing 198 184
Comp. Pct.
 76.92% 83.33%
Yards per pass
 7.6 10.2
Rushing 82 82
Rushing Attempts
 16 18
Yards per rush
 5.1 4.6
Yards Per Play 6.67 7.39
Turnovers 0 0
Fumbles lost
 0 0
Interceptions thrown
 0 0
Possession 15:20 14:40

 

Joined: 01/07/2011

MGoPoints: 130636