Per SI: Nebraska candidates Matt Campbell, Lance Leipold, Bill O'Brien

Submitted by Brhino on September 21st, 2022 at 8:47 AM

https://www.si.com/college/2022/09/20/nebraska-has-three-leading-candidates-for-next-coach-per-report

Sports Illustrated is reporting that Nebraska's leading candidates for the head coaching job are Iowa State's Matt Campbell, Kansas's Lance Leipold, and Alabama Offensive Coordinator / former Penn State head coach Bill O'Brien.

Personally, my vote is for Matt Campbell, purely for scientific reasons.  During the low point of the Harbaugh era, we had almost daily threads debating whether Matt Campbell has the tools to restore a struggling college blue-blood to dominance.  I'm glad we don't have to find out here, but I'm in favor of running a controlled study in a remote facility.

I don't really know anything about Lance Leipold, but I guess he was utterly dominant in Division III, turned Buffalo from a Middling MAC team to an Upper Middling MAC team, and is currently attempting to convert Kansas from the biggest joke in the Power 5 to something better than that.  So he'd be another "can this small time coach do well at the highest level" candidate.

Bill O'Brien would probably start churning out 7-8 wins per year, make Nebraska vaguely competitive in the Big Ten West, and then get fired after five years for not being the return of Tom Osborne.

 

 

1VaBlue1

September 21st, 2022 at 10:26 AM ^

I don't think Leipold would be a realistic candidate at Michigan - or OSU, or Bama, etc...  But for Nebraska?  Hell yeah!  They're a 'blue blood' in name only at this point, and nobody expects anything from them.  He'd have time to get sorted out in a big stadium before the national spotlight came to town.  I mean the big, hot national spotlight that illuminates the playoffs, not the little garden spot that Gameday shines on a feel-good story.

MIMark

September 21st, 2022 at 9:30 AM ^

I've always thought Leipold should be the next coach at Iowa whenever Ferentz retires. Since that's not the case right now, if I'm a Nebraska fan I want Leipold.

N. Campus Tech

September 21st, 2022 at 9:42 AM ^

Bo Pelini won 9 or 10 games a year, but that was not enough to keep him from getting fired.

Bo was 67-27 (.713) in 7 seasons (2008-2014). Nebraska has been 35-50 (.412) since then. They get what they deserve.

Amazinblu

September 21st, 2022 at 9:51 AM ^

N Campus,

Realistic expectations is the challenge.  I think the Nebraska community expected the Huskers to “walk-through” the B1G West, and win the conference about 50% of the time.  The B1G is tougher and deeper than the Big12 and Big 8 - that preceded it.

Recruiting is very different today - much longer recruiting cycles - earlier “Top Ten” or “ Top Five”  lists from prospects.  It could be four years from today before Nebraska has a roster of OL who can actually play - and compete - at a B1G level.

This is almost a restart of their program.  A lot of work.

M Vader

September 21st, 2022 at 9:43 AM ^

Leipold has had a pretty amazing career.  He went 109-6 over eight years in D3, then 5-7 at Buffalo in his first year.  Imagine having more losses in one year than you did at eight in your previous job.  Must have been a culture shock.

He was an assistant at Nebraska, FWIW.  He's from Wisconsin, and I think his name will continue to appear in Big Ten coaching searches.  And it should.

energyblue1

September 21st, 2022 at 9:45 AM ^

Bill O'Brien is the best candidate for many reasons.  Working for Saban for two seasons and going through a couple off seasons in Saban's program definitely puts him in the range of what the top programs are doing including recruiting.  What he did at PSU was miraculous considering the fact that the scholarship limitations and other penalties were a near death penalty and he kept them not only bowl eligible but competitive.  

His run in houston he had some awesome talent but he also had some blunders by himself and the franchise ownership and gm.  

Matt Campbell the yearly he's leaving isu for .... job has arrived.  Why move from Ames Iowa to Lincoln Nebraska other than greater pay, greater resources and much more.  Not to mention he is a cultural fit to the university. 

 

Nebraska has a downside since they fired Solich nobody can live up to the legend of Tom Osbourne there and that shadow still looms.  Nebraska still believes they are entitled to 10 win seasons and should be a top 10 program every year in CF without much effort.  They messed up a ton of recruiting relationships, messed up the in state walk on program which was the best in the country and it wasn't close.  Frost tried to revive some of what happened but not sure it will ever work to what it once was.  

Blue Vet

September 21st, 2022 at 11:12 AM ^

The legend of Osborne AND the legend of Bob Devaney, who created Nebraska's great legacy.

And came from the state of Michigan.

Wikipedia: "Devaney graduated from Alma College in 1939, ... coached high school football in Michigan at Big Beaver, Keego Harbor, Saginaw, and Alpena," before he was assistant at another school in East Lansing, next the head coach at Wyoming where he won championships, then (as AD's 4th choice) at Nebraska and more championships.

bronxblue

September 21st, 2022 at 10:06 AM ^

Leipold would be the best choice for Nebraska but I have my doubts they'll get him.  But what he's doing at Kansas even going back into the second half of last year - win over Texas and close loses to TCU and WVU - points to a guy who can take over an absolute bottom-feeder and turn it around.  He's not going to get Nebraska back to national title contender status but he'd likely get them back to competing in the West.

I remain unsold on Campbell as anything more than a pretty good coach who wins about 50% of his close games.  Some years you get 2020 where he goes 4-2 and looks gangbusters, other times he goes 2-5 in close games and winds up 7-6.  He also didn't cover himself in glory last year when asked about his team underperforming preseason expectations and he said that his goal was never to win a Big 12 title, which is a super-weird answer to a softball question.  If Nebraska fans are tired of losing close games then by all means get Campbell but I feel like his ceiling is lower than whatever people thought 2020 told them.

Bill O'Brien would be the ultimate surrender choice, admitting you just don't want to be punched in the face as much anymore but have no designs on being good.

rc15

September 21st, 2022 at 10:22 AM ^

If LSU can pry Brian Kelly away from ND, Nebraska can get the Lane Train from Ole Miss.

Think about how great of a fit that would be (for the memes)

1VaBlue1

September 21st, 2022 at 10:31 AM ^

I'd take a close, hard look at Lane if Harbaugh called it quits, honestly.  He's not the same hot-headed jackass he was 10 years ago, and he's running a really good program at Ole Miss right now.  Nebraska would do well to get him.

But they won't.  Kiffen won't settle for Nebraska when he leaves Ole Miss, he'll get a priority playoff contender somewhere.

SpaceDad

September 21st, 2022 at 10:24 AM ^

Nebraska can and will return to being a national title contender, and Lance Leipold is the current coaching candidate to target if it wishes to get back in the game. Don't sleep on the Huskers. Once they get the right coaching fit, they will be back. This is just my opinion.

BlueinOK

September 21st, 2022 at 10:34 AM ^

Leipold seems like the hot name right now after only 3 weeks in the season. If he wins 3 more games I bet he’ll have options. And he should just at them because he’s already getting up there at 58. 

BlueMk1690

September 21st, 2022 at 11:14 AM ^

I feel like some people got so off on talking down on Campbell to defend Harbaugh when that was 'up in the air' that they're totally sleeping on a coach who's done a great job everywhere he's been.

I think if Nebraska hired him, they'd probably be contending for the B1G West within a couple of years and do that pretty reliably.

Amazinblu

September 21st, 2022 at 11:30 AM ^

I don't want to go on a tangent - but, one thought going through my mind is - "how exactly did Nebraska get here?"

Yes - there are expectations to be managed - and, some of those might not be realistic.  

When Frost was named as Head Coach, my initial thought was - this could be a good hire - for several reasons.   First - favorite son.  Second - experience and results as a creative OC.  Third - aware of the history and tradition of Nebraska football.  Fourth - his prior position was as a head coach in a talent rich state and should have been able to leverage that time - relationships with high school coaches / prospects / etc.- to bring some of that Florida talent to Lincoln.

Where - and how - did Frost / Nebraska get so far off track?   

"Once in a Lifetime" from Talking Heads goes through my mind.

And you may ask yourself, "How do I work this?"
And you may ask yourself, "Where is that large automobile?"
And you may tell yourself, "This is not my beautiful house"
And you may tell yourself, "This is not my beautiful wife"

FrankMurphy

September 21st, 2022 at 12:41 PM ^

There are rumors on Nebraska message boards that Frost had been mailing it in for a while now, to the extent that his assistant coaches went to the AD and expressed concerns about Frost's level of commitment to the job. Supposedly he would regularly show up late to practice, was seen hanging out at local bars late into the night during the season, canceled recruiting visits because he was hung over, etc. I don't know how credible those rumors are, but they would explain why Nebraska paid an extra $7.5 million to get rid of him immediately instead of waiting three weeks.

Frost always had a bit of a conflicted relationship with Nebraska. He was a decorated QB in high school, but he raised eyebrows when he spurned the Huskers and chose Stanford instead. He did transfer to Nebraska after his sophomore season, but was often aloof towards the fans and made some comments in the media indicating that he didn't exactly have warm and fuzzy feelings towards his school or its fans. He also didn't particularly get along with his teammates (see, e.g., the Lawrence Phillips incident).

Dude is definitely an enigma. Even in the way he carries himself, it seems like he lives in some sort of psychological bubble. I wouldn't be suprised if he's devastated over how he failed so spectacularly, but I also wouldn't be surprised if he doesn't give a shit and is simply content to walk away with millions of dollars for doing nothing.

Amazinblu

September 21st, 2022 at 1:29 PM ^

Frank,

Certain points you raised about his behavior are things I had heard, or read.

Candidly, if I was the AD, my view would have been.. “Why give him an extra $7.5 M.”

I would have contacted whatever search firms make sense, and kept it under the radar until October 1st, and dropped the hammer then - putting that $7,5 M to use for the next staff.

Lincoln will be interesting to watch for the next few years, for sure.

FrankMurphy

September 21st, 2022 at 12:01 PM ^

Lance Leipold is unproven. He's also unlikely to leave Kansas after only two seasons to take over a massive, high-pressure rebuilding project.

Matt Campbell is probably about ready to leave Iowa State, especially with the impending downgrade of the Big XII. Whether or not he finds the Nebraska job appealing is another question.

I don't think Bill O'Brien wants to be a college coach. He hated every second of his brief stint at Penn State, and not just because of the Paterno cult. I think he wants another NFL job.

jhayes1189

September 21st, 2022 at 12:02 PM ^

I think Matt Campbell will turn Nebraska into another Minnesota/Wisconsin/Iowa….they will be another slog in the undertalented BiG10 west that will win between 6 and 11 games any given season. He posssssibly becomes a Fleck type who adjusts and flexes to the talent on the team (Fleck had a great passing offense in 2019 with great receivers, rebuilt in 2020, and has had a power run game a la Wisconsin the last 2 years because of how good Ibrahim is). I do think Campbell had good passing offenses at Toledo if I’m not mistaken. But I have a hard time seeing him get them to the dominance the fan base craves so much, and recruiting probably won’t be much better given the disadvantages Nebraska has, but they should be good. I however don’t see him passing Pelini level good.  
 

Not familiar with Leipold except that he has made Kansas very competitive in the Big12, and I’m guessing with a high flying offense, this sounds like the biggest High Risk/High Reward factor. They could be an outlier team kind of like Purdue with a high flying offense, and that could go very well or very poorly. 
 

Bill O’Brien would also have a good passing offense, but like the OP said probably 6-9 wins a year kind of coach in that recruiting area, and a continually frustrated fan base with relatively competitive teams. 
 

Basically, I just don’t think any of the top guys with great proven track records want to try and resurrect Nebraska, the recruiting base is just too sparse, and the BiG10 won’t get easier when divisions are dropped and USC/UCLA step in. 
 

It seems Nebraska either needs to roll the dice on a promising up and comer (Campbell, Leipold) or on a sort of has been trying to resurrect his own image (Bill O Brien). I honestly don’t feel that sorry for Nebraska fans, they ran a couple solid guys out of town the last 20 years 

NeverPunt

September 21st, 2022 at 12:48 PM ^

I think part of the problem is that a 9 or 10 win Nebraska is probably the ceiling for any coach there. They aren't going to put together a national title contender there in the era of NIL and transfer portal, IMO.  The golden days aren't coming back. I'd say there's probably 4 schools who dominate and another 6 who can realistically build regular title-contenders. Then there's another 10 who can build to the "make the playoffs" level regularly, and Nebraska ain't one. Their ceiling is Iowa without Brian Ferentz screwing things up or Wisconsin. Those Bo Pelini days were the best they were going to get in the modern era and they are done.

jmblue

September 21st, 2022 at 12:19 PM ^

Leipold is intriguing, but while he was a huge winner at lower levels of football, he's not proven at this level (he went 2-10 last year) and is 58.  How long does he plan to coach?  

SF Wolverine

September 21st, 2022 at 1:31 PM ^

Solich and Pelini were both .700+ coaches over their time in Lincoln.  No reason someone can't some in and replicate that (or a bit better), but Cornhusker fans should realize that the Osborne years likely ain't going to repeat.

UMinCincy

September 21st, 2022 at 1:54 PM ^

The idea of Bill O'Brien coaching Nebraska and Scott Frost being the OC at Alabama is pretty funny to think about, but I am not sold at all on BOB. He just seems to underachieve relative to talent nearly everywhere outside one or two mediocre years at Penn State

Michfan777

September 21st, 2022 at 2:20 PM ^

All solid coaches.

However, I think they need someone with established recruiting ties to a talent-rich state. Because of that, I think going after Tom Herman would be the best choice. He had success everywhere (even if his Texas tenure was underwhelming though he got a fairly raw deal at the end), has worked with great coaching minds, and can recruit at a high level at even lower-level schools like Houston.

Hiring him would be a smart choice.

Mpfnfu Ford

September 21st, 2022 at 3:15 PM ^

Real wild coach search candidate list there. "Great coach who maybe can't recruit, great coach who maybe can't recruit and dumbshit who sucks but we have to include in these lists because Nick Saban's agent has us by the balls and Nick wants this dumb fuck out of his coaching room."

CaliforniaNobody

September 21st, 2022 at 9:05 PM ^

BoB had ONE decent stint in college, where he simply sucked less than anticipated. He's so overrated by college fans. He's a grade A moron. And Leipold has already turned Kansas from the biggest joke in the P5.