One Inch Woody…

June 3rd, 2013 at 9:12 AM ^

Phil Steele's algorithim, I believe, has been pointed out to include the previous 3 years in its prognostication. This would explain the extremely irrational rankings for both Michigan State and us. For Derrick Green to be "4th team" before even hitting campus and for Gardner to only be "3rd team", there is no way any of his predictions relevant to Michigan can be correct.

Everyone Murders

June 3rd, 2013 at 9:14 AM ^

Interesting that Steele puts Derrick Green at 4th team before Green has even seen a snap.  I'm very excited to see how Green's season plays out - fourth best in the B1G would be a great start. 

 

PhillipFulmersPants

June 3rd, 2013 at 2:21 PM ^

Marcus Lattimore 1st or 2nd team all SEC a couple of years ago before Lattimore stepped on campus. Pretty ballsy pick but turned out to be a pretty good one. But yeah, like most of the comments in this thread, predictions are virtually worthless 3 months before kickoff. There will inevitably be guys on the final coaches and media All B10 teams who are not even listed in Steele's.

Monocle Smile

June 3rd, 2013 at 9:32 AM ^

Taylor Martinez is one of those players who puts up all sorts of numbers without ever really being that good. Those kinds of players, exist, right? Or am I just talking nonsense?

Mr. Yost

June 3rd, 2013 at 10:00 AM ^

Scheelhaase from Illinois would've been a better comparison.

Was Denard the greatest QB? No. But if he would've played in Rich Rod's system with actual talent around him, he would've been awesome. Put him on some of those WVU or Oregon teams and he would've been great. Put him in some of those Florida or (hate to say it Ohio) systems and he would've been great.

And when I said great, I mean in terms of wins, losses and INTs.

Martinez and Scheelhaase would be a detriment or a weak link to any of those teams I referenced above.

Denard was also, decent in the pro style. But again, there wasn't a TON of talent at Michigan. How many play makers did we really have? Even guys like an Ace Sanders... a home run hitter.

ZERO.

Finally we're starting to get some guys who can make plays, finally our OLine is coming together, finally our defense is getting impact players.

 

If you didn't read any of this and it'll prove my point about Denard. Look at the NFL Draft for the past 2 years. THAT is what Denard had to work with...aka nothing. Nebraska and Illinois have both had better/higher draft picks over the same period.

Mr. Yost

June 3rd, 2013 at 10:16 AM ^

...which proves how bad the QB (among other things) is/was...

But no disrespect to Roundtree, Michigan hasn't had a AJ Jenkins. Hemingway was a beast, and underrated...but Jenkins would've been a starter as well.

On defense they've had guys as well.

But honest question...in the last 2 years, who is the highest offensive player to be drafted from Michigan. Hell, who ARE the offensive players who've been drafted from Michigan? And Will Campbell doesn't count.

Denard was just as good as Pat White, Brad Smith, those Oregon QBs, etc. He would've been just fine with the talent of Urban Meyer's UF and Ohio teams, Rich Rod's WVU teams, Oregon's teams since Dennis Dixon.

In his sophomore year where he was truly a "stat stuffer" our defense was what...109 out of 117? It was horrendous.

It had nothing to do with Denard.

Monocle Smile

June 3rd, 2013 at 10:26 AM ^

I'm shocked RVB didn't get drafted.

Offensively...just Hemingway and Molk, I think. No one went very high. As an aside, David Molk was far more impactful than most of us gave him credit for despite winning the Rimington. It's one thing to be the nation's best center, but it's something else to have the interior line turn into barely more than a tire fire upon your departure.

The defense carried us sometimes in 2011, but I think Denard was excellent most of the year and perhaps even underrated. Nebraska and OSU were supposed to be his toughest tests, and he blew up Alderaan in both. The guy could take over a game, which is something none of the other QBs mentioned thus far can do.

Mr. Yost

June 3rd, 2013 at 10:43 AM ^

That list is sad for a school like Michigan. I know we're going to have years where we don't have 1st rounders, but Martin, Hemingway and Molk? Jeez.

Now obviously you have to add in guys like Lewan because he played with them. But we're not talking about many playmakers. No Braylon, no Perry or Hart, no A-Train or even Streets. Certainly not much on the defensive said of the ball.

WVU and Geno Smith just had like 3 WRs get drafted. So did RG3's Baylor team. DeAnthony Thomas, Johnathan Stewart, etc. from Oregon were all impact players that we didn't have in the Denard era at Michigan.

Everyone Murders

June 3rd, 2013 at 9:39 AM ^

The answer to your question is an emphatic yes.  Absolutely.  No question about it. 

The new question is:  which one of your questions am I answering?

(Kidding aside, I too wonder from whence comes the hype when I see Martinez play.  A "serviceable to good "player, but seems over-hyped.)

 

Perkis-Size Me

June 3rd, 2013 at 12:23 PM ^

You're saying exactly what I'm thinking. In no world could you convince me that Taylor Martinez is actually a good QB. There are really only a few players on Nebraska's roster that I think are any good, but that's beside the point.

Martinez can put up numbers, except he, as well as the whole team, completely falls apart when he's in a big road game. Or even just a big game in general. He's never won anything of substance, and whenever he needs to pull through in a big game, he falls apart and throws 3-4 picks. 2011 Michigan, 2011 Wisconsin, 2012 OSU, 2012 BTCG. I genuinely believe that if we stay healthy this Fall, we could give Nebraska a serious beat down. Like 2011 style.

Arguably, you could put Denard in this category, to which I'd say, "We'll, at least he won a Sugar Bowl."

Mr. Yost

June 3rd, 2013 at 10:04 AM ^

For good reason *sad panda* - Jake Ryan

No excuse - Michael Schofield, Blake Countess, Thomas Gordon

Just wait, because "I told you so." - Kyle Kalis, James Ross, Matt Wile

For the sake of our season...PLEASE - Amara Darboh or Jehu Chesson, Ben Braden

Don't count me out - Fitz Toussaint

MGoStrength

June 3rd, 2013 at 9:49 AM ^

I'm definately thinking Countess ends up 1st or 2nd, Washington, Schofield, Gardner, and Funchess, probably 2nd team and Ross with an honorable mention.

BiSB

June 3rd, 2013 at 9:58 AM ^

He's got like 3 career tackles. He was a fullback last year.

It's possible he's going to have a monster year... but based on previous performance that's a tough sell.

kehnonymous

June 3rd, 2013 at 10:07 AM ^

Pretty much all the other Ohio all-conference selections are legit but... didn't their safeties lead the conference in 40+ yard touchdowns surrendered?  If they didn't it sure as hell felt like they did.

Logan88

June 3rd, 2013 at 10:42 AM ^

Are OSU's offensive linemen really all that good (4 of 5 in the first three teams)? I don't think so. And what is up with Curtis Grant at 2nd team LB? He didn't even play last year did he? I know they turned to Zach Boren to fill in at MLB when their starter got hurt rather than use Grant.

This is not an isolated incident. Steele is an unabashed OSU homer and it usually shows up the most in his All Big 10 selections where it is almost completely an opinion piece. In his opinion OSU is super-duper AWESOME!!!!

 

denardogasm

June 3rd, 2013 at 10:11 AM ^

Gallon will be first team if the end of last year was any indication. Plus there aren't any world beaters at wr in the Big10. Gardner will definitely be at least 2nd team. Ross will definitely be somewhere in there.

Sione's Flow

June 3rd, 2013 at 10:23 AM ^

I think Ross ends up at least second team with increased playing time this season. Clark, Countess, Funchess, and Gardner will probably all end up higher than he predicts too.

Don

June 3rd, 2013 at 10:36 AM ^

I've bought one every year for about 10 years now, but NOT for his predictions. He touts his predictive prowess on every other page, but if you look at his bowl predictions and preseason rankings, they're no better than most other prognosticators.

What he does do an awesome job at is cramming huge amounts of stats and records into his mag, and that's why I buy it. I ignore his predictions like I ignore CFN's predictions.

superstringer

June 3rd, 2013 at 10:36 AM ^

All according to the master plan.  No one expects anything significant in 2013, hehehe /evillaugh

[And I'm all ears on whether my next post, for Point 1000, should be something dramatic and worthy, and if so, any recommendation?]

Bodogblog

June 3rd, 2013 at 11:43 AM ^

Michigan
Off: 6
Def: 4 (none on 1st team)

Ohio
Off: 8
Def: 6

Sparty
Off: 4
Def: 5 (four on 1st team)

Nebrasker
Off: 6
Def: 3

PSU
Off: 4
Def: 7 (!)

Northwestern
Off: 3
Def: 4