The person who began our descent into mediocrity, but gets none of the blame: Lloyd Carr

Submitted by ImRightYouKnow on December 2nd, 2019 at 8:58 AM

For the past 12 years, we've been passing the buck on why we can't beat OSU. It's RichRod, it's Hoke, it's JH, etc.

However, the more and more we struggle, it becomes clear that Carr was responsible for cratering the program in the first place, and no one has been able to clean up his mess since. He wasted his last five years in the program by becoming complacent and too loyal to his assistants, and clearly fell behind the curve on things like the spread. He also wasted insane amounts of NFL-caliber talent, such as (but not limited to) Mike Hart, LaMarr Woodley, Steve Breaston, Mario Manningham, Chris Perry, Jake Long, Leon Hall, etc. He quickly fell behind Tressel in coaching and recruiting, and the end was near.

But his crime wasn't struggling against OSU, but rather what he did when it was finally his time to step down. From interfering with the coaching search, to encouraging players to transfer when RR was incoming, to promoting his buddy Hoke when the job came open again, to many other transgressions, he's clearly set the program up to fail in his image.

I know a lot of people love to praise Carr as a "class act", and in many ways his upstanding work for things like Mott and helping his proteges and players indicate that he's a decent human. But his meddling in the program set us up for a decade of failure, and to remove us from the elite of college football. He deserves a ton of the blame that we've only won once since he's left, and it might be too much for any coach, even JH to resurrect. 

UMFanatic96

December 2nd, 2019 at 9:18 AM ^

Anthony Wright had an interesting take. He said if Lloyd Carr retired after the 2003 season "like he wanted to," then Michigan could have hired Les Miles or another coach to avoid the whole Rich Rod/Hoke era and kept up with OSU.

The Mad Hatter

December 2nd, 2019 at 9:38 AM ^

Miles should have been his successor regardless of when he retired.  While he may not have been that much better than Lloyd, we would still have our bowl streak intact and at least a few more wins against Ohio.

People forget that preseason predictions for 2008 was a rebuilding year with 3 or 4 losses, tops.  Hiring RR was a fucking disaster.  Compounded by hiring Hoke.

Boner Stabone

December 2nd, 2019 at 9:19 AM ^

Harbaugh has a better winning percentage than Lloyd and so far and has not lost to App. State or been upset by lesser opponents like Lloyd had on his resume' (other than MSU in 2017.)

Like I said to my friends this weekend it may take longer to beat OSU given the current landscape of college football.  The dynamics and recruiting are totally different than they were 20 years ago.  This is not going to be a quick 5 year fix.  Harbaugh has the train going in the right direction just be patient.

Monday Morning…

December 2nd, 2019 at 10:27 AM ^

That's exactly it.  In 2016 we lost in that dump in Columbus in double OT.  In 2017 we had a chance to win it with a couple minutes to go with John O'Korn playing QB.  The last 2 years, the game has been over early in the 3rd quarter.  And at the risk of being met with the usual "Who are we going to get that's better?"  I don't know the answer to that.  It's not my job to know the answer to that.  What I do know is what is plainly obvious to anyone who has watched.  The gap is growing, as you stated.  

Harbaugh showed he can adapt offensively this year, which was a huge step in the right direction.  Now can he do the same defensively?  

panthers5

December 2nd, 2019 at 10:45 AM ^

What a loser take.

 

Harbaugh almost lost at home to a 3 win Army team, savior!

 

Carr is, and will forever be, better than Harbaugh. Sh*t, the dude can't win a single game against OSU, One. We want to talk about Carr in the same light as Harbaugh? The dude who has never finished better than 2nd in his division, 1-3 in bowls, 2-11 v top 10, 0-5 v OSU. 

LC his first two years knocked off #1 and undefeated OSU. Dude sucks! Before I get the, well they weren't as good. STFU. Eddie George, Oralnado Pace, Winfleid, Springs, Glenn, Boston, Vrabel, Katzenmoyer to name a few. 

 

Harbaugh is a fraud. Who cares what he did at Stanford or SF? It doesn't magically give us wins. Credit to him, we are a much better program than we were, now get out of the way and give a stronger program to someone who can take it next level. 

Phaedrus

December 2nd, 2019 at 9:20 AM ^

Carr’s team was ranked #2 going into the OSU game in 2006. Maybe he should have retired at the end of that year, but we have no idea who would have been brought on to replace him then (Les Miles would have taken the job but would Martin have made the hire considering internal resistance?).

We should have had the guts to hire Harbaugh rather than RR. Mallett and others would have stayed and we wouldn’t have gone 3-9. 

The Mad Hatter

December 2nd, 2019 at 9:56 AM ^

Yep.  I know people here love him, and I did too for a time, but giving up 110 points to OSU over two games is a firing offense in my opinion.  He's been here 4 years.  He was responsible for defensive recruiting.

I can handle losing to OSU.  They're a great team.  What I can't handle is getting blown the fuck out, especially at home.  Two years in a row.

RoxyMtnHiM

December 2nd, 2019 at 9:22 AM ^

This is all Bo's fault. He brought Harbaugh here. He brought Lloyd here. He made us good again and gave us these expectations. He wouldn't cheat. Effin bastard ruined our program.

blueinbeantown

December 2nd, 2019 at 9:24 AM ^

LLLLoyd at the end was the problem.  He took the pedal off the last couple years from a recruiting standpoint, Tressel built a machine, handed it off the most corrupt coach in college football, no matter what a cheating pig, took the recruiting-talent to another level and now Day has a window to keep it going.  Talent will always trump (euchure, not President) coaching.  Bottom line, how many of our starters would be ahead of their counterpart on the OSU depth chart?  Maybe Bredeson on O? Hill as 2nd or nickel DB?  

panthers5

December 2nd, 2019 at 10:55 AM ^

Wait, what?

 

Last couple years of LC brought us Mike Hart, Jake Long, TT, Manningham, Adrian Arrington, Henne, Mallett, Jamison, Crable, Branch, Morgan Trent, Bass, Slocum, Graham, Schilling, Mouton, Stevie Brown, Warren, Hemmingway, Van Bergan, Molk

 

His last four years

2003 #1 BIG, #3 nationally

2004 #1 BIG, #6 Nationally

2005 #1 BIG, # 5 Nationally

2006 #2 BIG, #10 Nationally

2007 #1 BIG, #10 Nationally

 

WTF?

blueinbeantown

December 2nd, 2019 at 11:36 AM ^

Exactly, those were veteran guys on those last couple of teams that had been recruited earlier.  It's a math problem!  The "talent arc" since then has clearly favored the other team.  You could've had Bill Belichick coaching M on Saturday, result would've been the same.  Since the 2006 game, the amount of talent on the field has clearly favored OSU by a wide margin.  

M_Born M_Believer

December 2nd, 2019 at 1:13 PM ^

You are correct, Lloyd had recruited very well (hence my frustration with the repeated 3-4 losses every year).....

Looking at the past 7 years (plus the projected 2020 class) it does not take a genius to see what transpired on the field Saturday (very high level and I do not want this to turn into a "Stars only matters" topic)

OSU recruiting rankings

Year  National  Big Ten

2020 -   4              1

2019 -   13             2

2018 -    2              1

2017 -    2              1

2016 -    4              1

2015 -    7              1

2014 -    3              1

2013 -    2              1

 

Michigan recruiting rankings

2020 -    13              2

2019 -    8                1

2018 -    22              3

2017 -    5                2

2016 -    8                2

2015 -    37              4

2014 -    20              2

2013 -    4                2

Lloyd had the talent edge over Cooper.  Yes, you can list several star players that Cooper had, but what the rankings showed that Lloyd had the overall talent edge.

What Meyer has done (legal or not, I could care less) was raised OSU's talent level to a height even they had not experienced.  Combine that with the total farce that OSU does not even bother to pretend their players do not even have to be actual college students makes their program very hard to compete against.

So is it the Jimmys' and Joes' or the X's and O's?  All I'll say is that it is MUCH easier to coach / game plan when you have more talent then your opponent.  

When you do not have the same level of talent as your opponent, then execution becomes paramount.  For 20-25 minutes, it was a game.  Michigan needed to do everything correct to give themselves a chance.  It started to fall apart with Shea's fumble (not saying it is all Shea's fault) and rolled into the STUPID offside penalty (WHY are we trying to jump the snap on 4th and 4), then the lack on concentration to hold onto the DAMN ball (how many drops were there?  .......far too many).  This all leads to the result that happened this Saturday.

I am not as wound up as some about the FGs.  Should have they tried on every 4th down?  Maybe...

So here is where we are at.  What can be done?  There are 3 alternatives:

1) Maintain the "Michigan image"...... get very good recruiting classes and face a daunting task of trying to beat a semi pro football team that can (and does concentrate) 24/7 about playing football (and in particular...... us).

2) Change the way we recruit, get consistent Top 5 NATIONAL classes and become the semi pro football team

3) Wait for lightening to strike (aka D. Watson) to raise and will the program to new heights and then go to #2 to sustain such success.

There really is not much mixing here, option 1 is where the University wants to stay in.  If that is the case, then the challenge for the everyone is to be perfect in every manner.  And everyone means the players, coaches, analysts, equipment staff.....  No margin of error allowed because the powerhouse opponent will capitalize on any weakness.

evenyoubrutus

December 2nd, 2019 at 9:27 AM ^

There's a reason the finger gets pointed at so many different people (might as well throw Bill Martin in there too). Because the biggest problem with Michigan is Michigan. We are an arrogant, incestuous program that systematically rejects new ideas. That is why we are always behind the curve. 

Bacon's books are incredibly enlightening to this fact. Did you know that the reason Rich Rod hired Shafer as his DC is because he was on such a limited budget for assistants that he couldn't afford the guy that had coached for him for years and was the reigning coordinator of the year?

We need to stop thinking we are above everyone else and just play the game the rest of them are playing. We have the resources to be a top 5 program. There's no reason it can't happen.

Phaedrus

December 2nd, 2019 at 11:27 PM ^

Having a large, wealthy alumni base is a defining B1G characteristic. If that is what it takes then Penn State should be #1 in the B1G, Indiana would be #2, we would be #3, MSU #4, and OSU #5.

Also, UCLA, Stanford, and Cal would all dominate USC. Meanwhile, Rutger would be a top 10 team.

Those teams—Texas, PSU, Florida, A&M, etc.—do in fact have alumni bases comparable to ours in both numbers and wealthy. You also have to consider that there are a large number of wealthy UM grads who don't give a damn about sports.

maize-blue

December 2nd, 2019 at 9:29 AM ^

Carr meddled for sure but JH has had enough time to turn around the program. I think he has, but OSU is better than they ever have been and playing a different game. UM isn't getting past them anytime soon.

JFW

December 2nd, 2019 at 9:36 AM ^

" I think he has, but OSU is better than they ever have been and playing a different game"

unfortunately I think these are both true. Harbaugh has us back to historical levels; but for OSU. OSU unfortunately is much better than the OSU we played when I was in school. 

It really seems like we have about 5 schools, OSU among them, that out-recruit the rest of the nation; and the distance between the 5 or 6th ranked recruiting class and the 8th is farther than a couple three spots would suggest. 

Credit to OSU, as much as I hate to say it. They saw what they wanted and pulled the trigger. They did get lucky (urban falling into their laps was huge). But it worked out for them. 

M-Dog

December 2nd, 2019 at 9:33 AM ^

No, you are wrong.

It was that fucking Fielding Yost, who set an impossible standard to live up to in 1901, outscoring opponents 550-0.

It's his fault.

If there was no Yost, Justin Fields would not have made that scramble and TD pass with a brace on his knee.

Admit the truth.

 

JFW

December 2nd, 2019 at 9:33 AM ^

I'll agree in part. 

Carr the last 3 years or so was, I think, tired and weary of the HC job.I think this really helped to start our decline. I'm not sure about the 'cupboard bare' argument, other than that he may have been positionally weak. Just because the

'02 class was 14th overall with 1 5 star and 7 four stars

'03 class was 5th overall with 2 5 star and 9 4 stars

'04 class was 6th overall with 1 5 star and 12 4 stars

'05 class was 5th overall with 2 5 stars and 8 4 stars

'06 class was 10th overall with 1 5 star and 8 4 stars. 

(all information from 247 sports. https://247sports.com/Season/2006-Football/CompositeTeamRankings/)

Those are decent classes. But as I said I didn't get into them positionally. 

I don't know about what he did with RR; but it sounds like it was decently documented; and yes, that helped in our cratering. 

All that said, RR was a $hit Show and likely would have been without Carr meddling. It's been stated before that Mallet was going to leave as soon as he came in because he didn't want to be in the read option (I've also heard he may have been leaving had Carr stayed anyway).  The man had a decent offense that wasn't great against good defenses but could shred alot of other teams; and seemed to think of good defenses the way I thought of proper nutrition in college 'Yeah, that'd be a great idea!. Finally I've read the basically abandoned recruiting in the State to MSU; and went in search of Florida talent. More than one HS coach I've read about disliked the guy. Carr may have hurt him but he would have failed regardless. 

Hoke meant well, and recruited well, and was a mess on the field. I never want to see a mess like concussion gate again. 

The only positives out of those eras that I can think of is that none of those folks were so focused on winning that they allowed a Nassar, MSU, or PSU type scandal come in; and for that I am profoundly grateful. 

Double-D

December 2nd, 2019 at 9:35 AM ^

Lloyd did less with more.  Those teams had outrageously good talent.  He could have buried Tressel his 1st year but gave him life   

Then he walked with no transition plan and left a shit show. 

Urban did the real damage with his recruiting.  Harbaugh has righted the ship and needs to keep fighting for it.  

ijohnb

December 2nd, 2019 at 9:36 AM ^

Our biggest problem as a fan base is treating everything that is occurring as though it is the continuation of a bygone program.  That somehow Bo, Mo, and Lloyd and the Michigan program of the 70s, 80s, and 90s is but another chapter in a grand legacy of Michigan football.

The year is 2019.  Michigan has not been nationally relevant since roughly 2000 with a blip here and there, and even before that, 1997 was a snapshot in time, not sustained excellence on a national level.  Harbaugh is attempting to make Michigan something it has never been.  My guess is that it is considerably harder than he expected, and considerably harder than we expected.  It may not happen.

It isn't Lloyd Carr's fault.  Carr coached the only two teams that I have watched in Michigan during my lifetime that I would call truly excellent teams.   The game is not even the same as it was when he was coaching.  Recruiting has changed, transfer rules have changed, divisions have been created and reorganized and the conference landscape has been flipped on its head.  Carr may not have handed the program off gracefully but nobody forced Rodriguez to play a style of play, immediately, that we simply could not play and go 3-9.  With the personnel on that team, if he would have been remotely adaptable, that team could have gone 7-5 easily and the "rebuild" mantra wouldn't have even been necessary.

The primary issue with the perception of the Michigan fan base is that all we are seeking is the "continuation" of something already achieved.  Michigan never was that Michigan.  We badly want it to be, but we have not lost something, we simply can't find something we have been looking for for a long long time. 

 

FreddieMercuryHayes

December 2nd, 2019 at 9:37 AM ^

Yeah, no shit.  I think everyone here knows that UM's decent to a program behind OSU started with Carr basically mailing it in, hanging on too long, and living in the previous decade.  OSU started to modernize under Tressell too and that's when things really went downhill in the rivalry.  This was a Tressell vs Carr thing that persists to this day.  Not to mention the Carr era players and staff trying to destroy the program when Rich Rod was hired.