OT: MI is one of 2 states on track to contain COVID
A comparison of total deaths state by state would suggest that NY, NJ and MI did a MUCH worse job than Florida.
Numbers started to come down towards the rest of the country when those states stopped actively infecting nursing homes.
https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/covid19/excess_deaths.htm
Look at Florida's case count charts. They're higher than ever and over 2k per day.
They're going to be fucked, soon.
Um, I have to wonder how is it that Detroit and New York city exploded in 3 weeks and now Florida which has had cases for 3 months and only now will have an explosion of cases. I don't have a model for that so I look forward to learning something new.
I suspect they are just getting better at identifying cases but time will tell.
Hatter, you've been predicting Florida's imminent demise to Covid for two solid months. Florida is not perfect, and it's possible the state reopened too early. But is also has a 5.5% positive test rate and very few excess deaths according to the CDC. Considering the devastation elsewhere, it might be time to recalibrate your very strongly held opinion.
Interesting how a majority of the at-risk and active/imminent outbreak states are in Trump country.....
I don’t know how accurate this study is, and I wouldn’t be surprised if they had a bias against our current leadership. But it also wouldn’t remotely surprise me if the South would lead the country in a second wave of outbreaks.
I, too, am on track to quit drinking before my friend Dave.
Ive been drinking 12 beers a night, but after months Im down to 2.
Dave's drinking has reached all time highs. He used to drink 1 beer a night. His drinking has increased 100%!! to 2 beers a night.
Would you rather be in town a: 400 people have a contagious disease and on average, it will take two infected people to infect another person; town b where 100 people. Town b where 100 people are infected and on average one person will infect another person or town c, where 25 people are infected and each infected person infects two people.
In two cycles, town a is seeing 100 new infections, town b is still seeing 100 new infections people and so is town c. In 4 cycles, town a is down to 25 new infected people and still decreasing, town b still at 100 and town c is at 400 and still growing. That is what they are measuring.
Deaths.