More Social Experiment: What are our chances of beating Penn St?
Since the Del St thread has such a low std dev, I figured I'd throw one more game up tonight. So I am compelled to ask:
What are Michigan's chances, in your opinion, of getting a win in three weeks vs. Penn St?
As before I will only count answers between 1-99%
And again, +1 from me for all serious answers.
I figure we own Penn St but Clark running loose like a giant, fast Cousins me agusta mucho.
It is also in the Big House and therefore I say 45%.
October 4th, 2009 at 9:49 PM ^
This is way too far away to even comment on. Way too much can happen in 2 weeks time.
October 4th, 2009 at 10:04 PM ^
I commented on the other two threads, but two weeks is too far away in football. Either team could lose players too injury. We also wont know the status of Molk's injury until then, which could change the odds/outcome.
October 4th, 2009 at 9:50 PM ^
Is your social experiment to make a bunch of posters pissed off by having to read these?
October 4th, 2009 at 9:53 PM ^
Again, subject to change in the next couple of weeks, but since it's at home, I'd put our chances at about 67%. Watching Iowa just kill their O-line made me think that Brandon Graham would be able to get to Clark. If not Graham, perhaps even Roh. They don't have the manpower to double team someone and not be pressured.
October 4th, 2009 at 9:53 PM ^
Can we have the cake and ice cream now? 35%
October 4th, 2009 at 9:53 PM ^
Sorry dude. Like Bouje said, I cannot worry about Penn State. I just want to beat Iowa. Iowa, Iowa, Iowa!
October 4th, 2009 at 9:53 PM ^
assuming that the game would be played next week, in terms of injuries, I would have to say its about 40%. If Clark is on his game like he was against Illinois, it may be a long day.
October 4th, 2009 at 9:57 PM ^
As of right now, 15%, if it's a shootout I think our odds go up to 65%. Close games benefit us, I think.
October 4th, 2009 at 9:57 PM ^
ahead a bit - but as of right now I'd say 55% (we own Penn State, but they have a mobile qb and we know how that has gone in the past) - subject to change based upon the Iowa game.
October 4th, 2009 at 9:59 PM ^
This is like a bad dream
October 4th, 2009 at 10:01 PM ^
I'd say 50%. I don't think Penn State is that good, and while they do have a good defense, they haven't faced anyone like us.
October 4th, 2009 at 10:03 PM ^
Sorry about the three posts in one night. I aim to get data for each game remaining eventually to see where the "average" MGoBlogger really sees us getting to, record-wise. Please don't answer (or on the other hand, please feel free to make snide comments) if you don't feel comfortable thinking this far into the future.
October 4th, 2009 at 11:00 PM ^
Fun idea--should probably make it a weekly exercise.
October 4th, 2009 at 11:28 PM ^
Really weird. Every time you post I hear Tom speaking to me! And he sounds all wise and shit. Spooky!
October 4th, 2009 at 10:08 PM ^
40%, if Molk is back 50%
October 4th, 2009 at 10:15 PM ^
Yeah, Molk is freakin' key to the offensive line not causing me to rip my hair out of my head.
October 4th, 2009 at 10:23 PM ^
I gotta believe that the chance of Molk being back is 99%. I'd say 100%, but, you know, rules and such.
October 4th, 2009 at 10:17 PM ^
umm around 40% if molk 42%... although the 1 non cupcake team psu has played is iowa (and lost)
if minnesota gives them a good game we can catch them on a hangover and beat them... like usc-washington.... if so then 50%
October 4th, 2009 at 10:19 PM ^
I haven't been impressed with Clark at all - does anyone else think he has been regressing?
They have some solid athletes though, and even though I haven't been impressed with Clark thus far, I think he's better than Stanzi.
October 4th, 2009 at 10:30 PM ^
I think there is a 0% chance of you not making anymore of these threads
October 4th, 2009 at 10:56 PM ^
at this point I can't go beyond 50%. Molk and Tate healthy and no other major injuries will raise that figure.
October 4th, 2009 at 11:12 PM ^
calls for big time Forcier moments- 55%
October 5th, 2009 at 12:25 AM ^
47.93141592654%
As the weeks get closer, I'll get more precise
October 5th, 2009 at 1:15 AM ^
With young Forcier healthy and an energetic home crowd I think we can beat PSU