Michigan's OL and DL in 2013 by advanced statistics
Football Study Hall has posted two rankings of offensive and defensive lines for all 2013 teams according to their advanced statistics.
First, the bad news: offensive line:
| Offense | Adj LY | Rk |
SD LY/ Carry |
Rk |
PD LY/ Carry |
Rk | Opp. Rate | Rk |
Power Succ. Rt. |
Rk | Stuff Rate | Rk |
| Ohio State | 146.6 | 1 | 3.86 | 1 | 4.06 | 10 | 55.7% | 1 | 78.2% | 10 | 11.9% | 2 |
| Auburn | 131.0 | 2 | 3.84 | 2 | 3.80 | 18 | 48.4% | 6 | 84.5% | 3 | 12.1% | 3 |
| Texas A&M | 124.9 | 3 | 3.64 | 6 | 4.03 | 12 | 51.4% | 2 | 71.4% | 45 | 16.0% | 18 |
| Oregon | 122.9 | 4 | 3.65 | 5 | 3.65 | 32 | 49.0% | 4 | 64.7% | 83 | 15.1% | 12 |
| Alabama | 120.6 | 5 | 3.53 | 7 | 3.93 | 16 | 48.0% | 7 | 78.4% | 9 | 14.0% | 9 |
| Michigan | 83.2 | 118 | 2.19 | 126 | 2.80 | 107 | 34.5% | 111 | 52.0% | 120 | 29.9% | 126 |
What this means:
- Our offensive line generated 83.2 yards per game (adjusted for opponent). That was not good.
- On standard downs, the OL generated 2.19 yards per carry. Worse than not good.
- On passing downs, the OL generated 2.80 yards per carry. Slightly less not good.
- 34.5% of the time, the OL"did its job" and produced at least five yards for the runner.
- 52% of the time, the OL got a 1st down or touchdown on 3rd and 2 or less or 4th and 2 or less (or 1st or 2nd and goal from the 2 or less). Not good.
- 29.9% of the time, the runner was tackled behind the line of scrimmage. God awful.
Silver lining: Doug Nussmeier's Alabama offense was awesome at running the ball.
The defensive line was better:
| Defense | Adj LY | Rk |
SD LY/ Carry |
Rk |
PD LY/ Carry |
Rk | Opp. Rate | Rk |
Power Succ. Rt. |
Rk | Stuff Rate | Rk |
| Utah State | 135.6 | 1 | 2.25 | 2 | 2.76 | 17 | 30.4% | 3 | 65.5% | 56 | 24.4% | 11 |
| Michigan State | 132.2 | 2 | 2.27 | 3 | 2.13 | 3 | 30.1% | 2 | 44.4% | 2 | 25.2% | 7 |
| Virginia Tech | 130.2 | 3 | 2.30 | 6 | 2.56 | 12 | 29.6% | 1 | 58.1% | 17 | 24.1% | 15 |
| Stanford | 127.6 | 4 | 2.28 | 4 | 2.77 | 20 | 34.6% | 22 | 57.1% | 13 | 26.6% | 4 |
| Alabama | 125.8 | 5 | 2.91 | 58 | 1.95 | 1 | 33.2% | 13 | 69.0% | 77 | 19.3% | 60 |
| Michigan | 104.6 | 45 | 3.02 | 73 | 2.92 | 26 | 36.8% | 41 | 69.8% | 82 | 18.5% | 76 |
What this means:
- We were a decent DL (45th) overall, bad on standard downs (73rd), short yardage downs (82nd), and getting negative plays (76th) but good on passing downs (26th).
Silver lining: Jake Ryan is back next year.
Nothing we didn't know, I suppose, but interesting to see nonetheless.
February 18th, 2014 at 12:19 PM ^
February 18th, 2014 at 3:10 PM ^
I saw a team that continues to rebuild the roster with solid young talent while maintaining a winning record. A team that was within 15 points of 11-1. It was frustrating and disappointing, but not a shit show.
February 18th, 2014 at 12:31 PM ^
2013 6
2012 12
2011 14
2010 17
2009 20
2008 21
2007 28
2006 31
2005 34
2004 45
Saw this in a thread of comments following a Jason Whitlock article about whether Hoke can fix Michigan football. Various caveats, but yeah. . . if this is a conversation about have we declined and can we climb. . .
February 18th, 2014 at 12:39 PM ^
February 18th, 2014 at 12:45 PM ^
its almost like having the same coaches for the last 7 years has helped state improve....
this is why some people think coaches should get at least 5 years to allow the players they have recruited for their schemes fully grow and develop in the program. When the Seniors have been running the same thing for 5 years they know their assignments front to back and can help all the underclassmen learn and grow and add to the coaching.
But nobody in charge can take the pressure of the rebuilding anymore and thus turn over happens way too quick. And then you have new coaches who win right away with the old players and raise expectations too fast and then get fired when they cant keep up aaaaand you become Notre Dame, rebuilding since forever until it finally clicks
February 18th, 2014 at 12:46 PM ^
February 18th, 2014 at 1:03 PM ^
February 18th, 2014 at 12:47 PM ^
makes me throw up in my mouth. I suppose that it can't really get worse, but if we'd said that in each of the past 5 years, we would have been wrong. Ugh.
February 18th, 2014 at 4:17 PM ^
What's worse than dead last?
February 18th, 2014 at 12:54 PM ^
Must beat MSU this year. In terms of importance, that game should be #1 & #2.
February 18th, 2014 at 3:03 PM ^
Hey Valenti, better get to the studio, show starts pretty soon.
February 18th, 2014 at 1:10 PM ^
Welp, if the trend continues, then we're due for a nice fat goose-egg in 2014.
February 18th, 2014 at 3:57 PM ^
how many points do we score in 2015?
February 18th, 2014 at 12:25 PM ^
Well if the players would have just executed /s
February 18th, 2014 at 12:31 PM ^
so you're saying it can't get worse...
February 18th, 2014 at 12:45 PM ^
GERG has taught me it can always get worse.
February 18th, 2014 at 12:50 PM ^
Ha! My first thought when I saw that 118th rank was, "ugh, that smacks of the 2010 defense."
February 18th, 2014 at 12:39 PM ^
Thanks for that
February 18th, 2014 at 1:01 PM ^
I narrowed the offensive line table on Football Study Hall to the Big Ten, and it is pretty much what you would expect in comparison to our conference compatriots:
Adjusted line yards - 12th
SD / Line Yards Per Carry - 12th
PD / Line Yards Per Carry - 10th
Opportunity Rate - 11th (we beat Purdue!)
Power Success Rate - 11th (only Boilerquest was lower)
Stuff Rate - 12th (Purdue's was better by nearly 6%)
February 18th, 2014 at 1:52 PM ^
February 18th, 2014 at 6:11 PM ^
center and guard experience = 12th
February 18th, 2014 at 1:58 PM ^
February 18th, 2014 at 2:37 PM ^
I do not and have never had a girlfriend while I've been married.
February 18th, 2014 at 3:59 PM ^
February 18th, 2014 at 2:05 PM ^
February 18th, 2014 at 3:06 PM ^
Well, if Borges was truly at fault we should see some pretty dramatic improvement under Nuss.
February 18th, 2014 at 5:33 PM ^
So, the major question becomes can Nuss make a significant difference in our o-line play? Or was he just effective at Bama because he had great talent? Do we have enough talent and/or experience to improve significantly in one year? We have a great coordinator on the other side of the ball that I beleive will take care of itself as our talent matures. Hopefully the same is true on the other side of the ball now too. The question, which I feel like we have been asking for roughly the past 5 seasons, is...when will it actually happen that we are no longer waiting until this recruit gets older, or this new coach's system is implemented, or that guy from another finally team graduates? When is that "in another few years" going to be RIGHT EFFIN NOW?!? FWIW it's 2015 IMHO which continues the perinnial "few more years" dialogue but oh well.
February 18th, 2014 at 11:26 PM ^
The talent is there. If i remember correctly, the general consensus was that we had incredible OL hauls in 2012 and 2013, but it would be 2014 and 2015 before the team would reflect that talent in terms of wins and losses. Well, it's Feb 2014 and i still grow numb when trying to generate a logical, positive buzz (internally) about this group developing into an average to slightly above-average OL. Call me the "kicked dog" but i smiply dread the thought of another year of missed blocks, TFL of our running backs, and 0 confidence in a 3rd and short conversion. I am hanging on--by a thin shred--to the prior optimism of this group's potential. But i tell you this---there is NO OTHER GROUP i'm paying closer attention to during Spring ball than this OL group. We need a leader. We need competition and barely caged aggression. Frankly, i don't want any tears...i want some ass kickin'. At least i still have that hope.