CC: Hafley, Campbell, Fickell

Submitted by TheCube on November 29th, 2020 at 2:18 AM

IDC WHICH ONE 

Hafley might be the dark horse given Warde’s northeast connects.  
 

All 3 are young. Campbell and Fickell got the experience factor over Hafley. 

A Lot of Milk

November 29th, 2020 at 2:50 AM ^

Is Tom Allen not an option? Success in the division and proven player development. The issue is I think his ceiling might be even lower than Harbaugh's due to lack of recruiting and scheme

Highest ceiling:

1. Hafley

2. Campbell

3. Fickell

4. Allen

Highest Floor:

1. Allen

2. Campbell

3. Fickell

4. Halfey

I guess Campbell is the winner by those metrics? 

NJWolverine

November 29th, 2020 at 4:07 AM ^

I'm on board with Tom Allen.  The problem with Campbell is the same problem with RichRod.  He's winning in probably the weakest P5 conference, so you have no way of knowing if that will translate in the Big Ten East.  Tom Allen knows the Big Ten East, he will bring Mike Hart with him, which will create stability, and he has strong connections to FL for recruiting. 

People want a homerun, but we need to be realistic.  This program hasn't been elite for 20 years.  It needs stability and gradual improvement, kind of like what Kelly has done at ND on the field (except for the academic integrity / character issues).

A Lot of Milk

November 29th, 2020 at 4:15 AM ^

Seems like the options are to have Allen take over, provide some stability, and then have an heir take the program over the top with a stable program and good recruiting, or hope that Campbell is a home run that won't bolt to the NFL

I guess I like Allen's scenario better, but that is legitimately a 5+ year plan and I doubt the fanbase will have the patience for that

NJWolverine

November 29th, 2020 at 4:26 AM ^

Reading Tom Allen's bio and am liking what I see.  He has links with Hugh Freeze (Lambuth, Ark. State, Ole Miss) and Chris Creighton (Wabash and Drake).  Setting aside the ethical issues with Freeze, you can't deny what he did at Ole Miss and the upsets against Bama, nor can you deny what he's doing now at Liberty.  Creighton has made three bowl games at E. Michigan, arguably the hardest job in D1.  Although he has a defensive background, I like what his offenses are doing because they can score points.  UM would not need a Harbaugh budget to get him, and coupled with a good recruiting coordinator (like bringing Partridge back), could have the makings for much needed stability.

Leonhall

November 29th, 2020 at 9:19 AM ^

Why would he want this headache? He can stay at IU and win 8-9 games and be a legend there. They can and will up his pay. If you don’t think coaches aren’t paying attention to our program and the way coaches come here and die, I think we are overrating Michigan’s ability to attract big coaches at this point. Tom Allen would be nice, I admit, I just don’t there is a dollar amount that would convince him to come here. No interest from him imo. 

Ghost of Fritz…

November 29th, 2020 at 10:23 AM ^

Totally wrong.  Much harder for Allen at IU (or Campbell at ISU) to keep performing two standard deviations above the mean at IU (or ISU) than you are imagining. 

Any HC that significantly over-performs at a place where it is among the hardest to win/recruit in their conference (IU or ISU) MUST accept a blue blood offer when they are a hot name and the offer comes.  They cannot wait around for a few years.

If they don't, the difficulty of recruiting at IU and ISU type places will bring them back down to earth and they will not be on short lists for the better jobs anymore. 

Way too hard to keep over-performing by two standard deviations above the mean every year at places like IU and ISU.  Coaches that get that kind of over-performance have to move to better jobs immediately.  No matter how good the coach, that kind of over-performance is impossible to maintain over longer periods.  

AMazinBlue

November 29th, 2020 at 8:05 AM ^

What stability does Mike Hart bring??? If anything, he would be a continuance of the Michigan Arrogance.   We need to break away from Michigan ties and go in another direction.   

Tom Allen is solid choice because of his passion,  player development and how his players respond to him.   NOT because he has  a former Michigan player or two on his staff.

Golden section

November 29th, 2020 at 4:28 AM ^

Every year or so there is the coach du jour - it's a guy that turns around a smaller schools program, has a pretty good year or 2 and then parleys that into a lucrative power 5 gig. 

  • PJ Fleck
  • James Franklin
  • Brian Kelly
  • Chad Morris
  • Mike Norvell

Are all Coach du Jours. Sometimes they workout like Brian Kelly did eventually,  Sometimes, like Norvell and Morris they are disasters.

Each time you go up a rung the competitions gets tougher. There is just no guarantees that a guy  can migrate his success from a small school to a big school.

Ghost of Fritz…

November 29th, 2020 at 11:02 AM ^

True.  The hottest name in any given year almost always fails to live up to expectations at the next place.  You could add Tom Herman, RRod, Kevin Sumlin, etc., etc., to that list.   

Why? 

1.  They are pretty good coaches, but not as elite as their huge over-performance at [fill in the blank terrible program] suggests.  Example:  James Franklin hired by PSU from Vanderbilt.  Warning:  Is this Matt Campbell????

2.  They are pretty good coaches, but expectations at the hiring school are exceedingly high, so 9-3 seasons leave fans grumbling, and don't even mention the 7-5 years!  Example: Brian Kelly at ND and Jim Harbaugh at Michigan (judged on results pre-2020 disaster season). 

3.  They were OCs or DCs that looked elite, but a lot of that greatness came from the HC, other staff, recruiting, rival programs being down, etc., not the coordinator alone.  Example:  Will Muschamp.   Warning:  Is this Hafley ???? 

The guys that really end up being the +++ elite HCs are guys that few (except maybe those who are active CFB coaches) would have predicted to be among the truly elite.

Two exceptions:  Urban Meyer hired by Florida from of Utah was the hot pick that year and it did work out for Florida.  When the 49ers hired Harbaugh from Stanford, JH was a very hot name.  It did work out very well for the 49ers. 

So Harbaugh ends up being both the rule (Michigan) and the exception (49ers).  

Michfan777

November 29th, 2020 at 3:01 AM ^

Can someone explain the Hafley love? Looking at his resume and he doesn’t seem that great, though he’s having a solid first season at BC this year.

Not knocking him, but really just wanting to know what I’m missing that everyone else is getting. 

WeimyWoodson

November 29th, 2020 at 10:28 AM ^

Exactly. I had an OSU friend talk to me right after the MSU game saying Michigan should go hire Hafley. Talked about how insane of a recruiter he is, the energy, young, and knows modern football. My friend then went on to say "actually I hope Michigan doesn't hire him because he'd fix it.

I think he's the one you take the gamble on. He has the record of high level recruiting and knows how an elite program is run.

Aspyr

November 29th, 2020 at 11:49 AM ^

Insane a recruiter? He was at OSU for 11 months. He was in the NFL before that for 6 years and before that a secondary coach at Rutgers and Pitt. Here are his recruits:

https://247sports.com/Coach/Jeff-Hafley-563/Recruits/?Recruitment.Year=2020

I just don't get this - I think these OSU guys are blowing smoke - every year one of their recruiters are ranked as one of the best recruiters in the country. Not hard convincing 4 stars to come to OSU.

Don

November 29th, 2020 at 12:34 PM ^

"Kansas St can charitably be called a lifetime football backwater."

KSU was a legit dumpster fire up until Bill Snyder started coaching there in 1989. He coached a total of 27 seasons in two separate stints, with a total record of 215-117-1.

That includes 14 seasons of 9 victories or more, 8 seasons of double-digit wins, three division titles and two conference titles, and 9 bowl victories, including the one over Michigan.

It's not enough to put KSU among the top echelon of college football programs, but neither was it a backwater during his tenure.