Best Bet Picks of the week.
Since sports gambling has become legalized in many parts of the country. I thought this would be a good opportunity to look at the board for some good opportunities on some easy picks and potentially some parlay options.
Some interesting plays that stuck out to me (Bets are in Bold):
Ohio State -14 @ Minnesota
UNC -5.5 @ Va Tech
Rutgers ML vs Temple (Rutgers -14)
Alabama -18.5 vs Miami (FL) Neutral Site
Cincy ML vs Miami (OH) (Cincy -23)
Mizzou ML vs Central Michigan (Mizzou -14.5)
Mississippi State ML vs LA Tech (Miss St -23.5)
Texas ML vs Louisiana-Monroe (Texas -8)
Baylor ML @ Texas State (Baylor -13.5)
Florida ML vs Florida Atlantic (Florida -23.5)
USC ML vs San Jose St (USC -16)
I stayed away from a lot of the spread bets because of the uncertainty of week 1.
August 30th, 2021 at 1:45 PM ^
I hate betting on week one games, although all of your picks look pretty solid.
August 30th, 2021 at 1:50 PM ^
is anyone setting up the yahoo pickem again this year. It was not available last season and was always fun to join. just wondering
August 30th, 2021 at 1:51 PM ^
I had a risk free bet on FD that I threw on Bama -18.5, KState -2.5 and Fresno St +20.5
appreciate this post, going to circle back at the end of the week and make a few picks for actual money.
EDIT: ALSO: Texas is playing ULL not ULM and I might be on ULL +8.5
August 30th, 2021 at 2:16 PM ^
I'll correct that. My bad on the typo.
August 30th, 2021 at 1:51 PM ^
Texas ML vs Louisiana-Monroe (Texas -8) -Louisiana has a shot here
August 30th, 2021 at 2:56 PM ^
See above.
August 30th, 2021 at 1:51 PM ^
You added ML to 8 of your 11 picks. What does it indicate?
August 30th, 2021 at 1:53 PM ^
my lips, more luck, many letters, mock lion, mustard lunch, money line
August 30th, 2021 at 1:57 PM ^
money line - just picking a team straight up - no spread involved.
August 30th, 2021 at 1:58 PM ^
ML stands for moneyline. Which means that if the team you bet wins the game, regardless of score, your bet wins. For example, Michigan is about a 17 point favorite against Western. If you bet Michigan ML and Michigan only wins by 14 your bet would still be a winner.
Downside to those bets is the payback is often terrible. Their ML pick of Mississippi state over LA Tech is likely -2000 or worse. Which would mean to win $100 they would have to risk $2,000.
August 30th, 2021 at 2:13 PM ^
Still confused.
USC ML vs San Jose St (USC -16)
Isn't the "(USC-16)" part a spread?
August 30th, 2021 at 2:18 PM ^
Yes, the OP however bet the money line which means the spread doesn't factor into the bet. Pretty sure the spreads were included as a reference.
August 30th, 2021 at 2:22 PM ^
Correct. I love parlay plays. But, I included the spreads for reference.
August 30th, 2021 at 11:14 PM ^
So you get to choose if you want to bet the spread or straight up?
Interesting.
August 30th, 2021 at 2:19 PM ^
I'm thinking using that pick as part of a parlay. Only 16 points in week one seems like a trap to me.
August 30th, 2021 at 2:27 PM ^
For what it's worth, on draftkings that spread is down to -14 so you'll at least get better odds!
August 30th, 2021 at 2:28 PM ^
Thx for the heads up.
August 30th, 2021 at 1:57 PM ^
I got Rutgers for -12.5. I think they cover. Temple was 1-6 last year and had a ton of attrition to the portal.
I was gonna lay a big bet on OSU but read through MN’s 2-deep. WR is a question, but their oline looks great, I think Ibrahim is a really good back and a 5th year QB can really smooth things out.
OSU wins, but with a first-time starting QB, I decided to hold off on that one.
UNC -5.5 seems too good to be true.
I actually took SJSU with points, though. I think USC wins but doesn’t cover.
August 30th, 2021 at 2:27 PM ^
When was the last time Rutgers covered as a favorite, let alone by double digits?
August 30th, 2021 at 2:48 PM ^
They were around a 14-point favorite when they beat Massachusetts 48-21 in 2019. Even Rutgers get cupcake games.
(And even then Massachusetts had a 21-7 lead in the first quarter.)
August 30th, 2021 at 3:29 PM ^
I hear ya. This is more of a “I think Temple is *that* bad” kinda bet. This next line is where I’d say something super snarky and denigrating about Rutgers but I’m still experiencing PTSD from last years game.
August 30th, 2021 at 2:38 PM ^
Weird stuff happens in Blacksburg. VA Tech usually goes down big then comes roaring back. I'm going to avoid that one.
August 30th, 2021 at 4:27 PM ^
I placed a big bet (for me) on San Jose State about a month ago when it was +16. I bought points up to +17.5. This could actually be an upset win for SJS.
I will admit my confidence has waned a bit after seeing how good UCLA looked, albeit against a weak Hawaii team.
August 30th, 2021 at 2:00 PM ^
Alabama -18.5 vs Miami (FL) Neutral Site
If I was a betting man this would be tempting. Miami returning a lot of their starters and almost all their production and Alabama replacing a lot.
August 30th, 2021 at 2:10 PM ^
Saban is 12-2 ATS in season openers at Bama. Last year they went 9-4 ATS. I wouldn't touch anything but Bama so long as its south of 19.
August 30th, 2021 at 2:47 PM ^
Not just season openers in general. Saban's Bama teams are typically excellent against ranked season opening opponents.
2017 - W 24-7 #3 FSU
2016 - W 52-6 #20 USC
2015 - W 35-17 #20 Wisc.
2012 - W 41-14 #8 Mich.
2009 - W 34-24 #7 VT
2008 - W 34-10 #9 Clem.
As much as I'll be pulling for the U, this has the feeling of a 2016 vs USC (or 2012 vs us :( ) game. Plus Miami has really struggled in big games lately.
August 30th, 2021 at 2:47 PM ^
Not just season openers in general. Saban's Bama teams are typically excellent against ranked season opening opponents.
2017 - W 24-7 #3 FSU
2016 - W 52-6 #20 USC
2015 - W 35-17 #20 Wisc.
2012 - W 41-14 #8 Mich.
2009 - W 34-24 #7 VT
2008 - W 34-10 #9 Clem.
As much as I'll be pulling for the U, this has the feeling of a 2016 vs USC (or 2012 vs us :( ) game. Plus Miami has really struggled in big games lately.
August 30th, 2021 at 2:31 PM ^
Pain ML vs Michigan Football Fandom (Pain -10000)
Lock of the week every week.
August 30th, 2021 at 3:33 PM ^
I have:
OSU -14 (v Minny)
Alabama -19 (v U-Miami)
Baylor -14 (v Texas St)
Temple +14 (v Buttgers)
Wisconsin -5 (v Pedo St)
I REALLY want to take our guys at -17, but am too afraid of the disappointment...
BTW, Texas plays UL-Lafayette who is much better than ULM (in OP post), which is why it's -8
August 30th, 2021 at 3:39 PM ^
Really like Michigan -16.5 vs Western and Wisconsin -4.5 vs Penn State
August 30th, 2021 at 4:16 PM ^
Minnesota has to play a perfect game to cover the spread against OSU. I can see a close game at halftime. But OSU has way too much Sunday talent for the Gophers.
August 30th, 2021 at 4:23 PM ^
I think SJS could actually pull off that upset, -630ML is a terrible idea from a risk/reward standpoint. Instead of moneylines with such awful odds for favorites maybe think about teasers. For example I could get behind teasing a few games like OSU, UNC, and Alabama to get those odds to -7, +1.5, and -11.5 respectively.
August 30th, 2021 at 4:46 PM ^
Not trying to bash you here.... But what's the point of saying your best bets are mostly heavy ML favs? Get wild a little bit! take some dogs and points.
August 30th, 2021 at 4:51 PM ^
yep, your typical 14 point favorite only pays around -620 on the moneyline. So if you go 6-1 on 7 of those games you still haven't broken even. Not sure that's a very wise strategy.
August 30th, 2021 at 8:09 PM ^
Add up the easy money lines and it’s a great pay day on any cash you put down that’s within your means.
August 30th, 2021 at 8:24 PM ^
As I stated I didn’t want to mess with spreads on week 1. I took 3 games with spreads because they seemed like no brainers. Maybe more next week.
August 31st, 2021 at 12:15 PM ^
I am aware. Hence my Chalk statement.
August 30th, 2021 at 5:04 PM ^
llinois last weekend was some of the easiest money I've ever made.
I'd bet against all Louisiana teams this weekend. They're not likely to get a great week of prep in.
August 30th, 2021 at 8:27 PM ^
For me it was the second easiest. First half UCLA was my big bet last week. Still trying to decide on my big bet this week. Put a bit on the buckeyes already but there will be something better I think.
August 30th, 2021 at 5:33 PM ^
Seems like the place to post this- can you combine a bunch of heavy favorite ML picks into a parlay, and how much does that help? Like if I wanted to take ML on M, OSU and Bama, does that become a reasonable payout or not really since they are all heavy favorites?
August 30th, 2021 at 6:02 PM ^
You can do that, but I think you will quickly learn that a team being a “lock” to win a game straight up, doesn’t exist.
August 30th, 2021 at 6:04 PM ^
Yeah. A100 dollar parlay on Bama, Michigan, OSU like this dude is asking above would pay out $38.29.... Nothing fun or safe about heavy ML favs.
August 30th, 2021 at 7:59 PM ^
If the Minnesota Giant Inflatable Boobs stay within 14 points of OSU it'll be a moral victory.
Same if LA Monroe stays within 8 of Texas.
August 30th, 2021 at 8:27 PM ^
I'm taking the under vs WMU at 62.5 or whatever it is.
August 31st, 2021 at 12:50 AM ^
Most of your picks are on the public favorite side. You are asking for a rough day.