Unverified Voracity Feels The Feels Again Comment Count

Brian

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the world is a vampire [Bryan Fuller]

Exit Spike. This is not fair, to dredge up the sadness that I already went through once when Spike retired:

Bleah. Michigan has Xavier Simpson coming in and is already one over on scholarships after the Tyus Battle recruitment caused Beilein to break bad, so that was more or less inevitable. I would hope that Spike at least avoids Big Ten schools even if Michigan doesn't restrict that. (If they can restrict a grad transfer. It is not clear to me they can.) It'll be interesting to see if he lands at a major program or ends up at a mid-major because of the hips. It'll be fun to root for Spike if he's got 30% usage on a 14-seed. If he's at Indiana not so much.

I'm not hearing any of the many complaints about Beilein's roster management here. Michigan had a plan, and that plan is a good plan. Spike's injury is an event you cannot anticipate, and once it happens you've got a choice between carrying a third point guard for a year and shoving some other dude off the roster. No offense intended to Spike but this was the way to go.

The upcoming Deal. The Big Ten's media rights are coming up for bid in the near future, probably for the last time ever in a cable bundle world. Andy Staples surveys the scene:

If this were 2013, when the cable bundle felt as if it would stay intact for much longer, ESPN could throw money at the Big Ten for two reasons: The rights are valuable, and an exclusive deal for the league's first-tier rights would essentially choke out Fox and ensure that all of the best college games aired on ESPN networks. Under that scenario, the amount of money would extend into the ludicrous, as Fox would counter with a huge amount because it needs those games to attract viewers. …

This mega-bidding war likely won't happen for two reasons. First, networks will be constrained by the economic factors described above. Second, Big Ten commissioner Jim Delany may want to split up the rights. He has fought his battles with ESPN, but he also knows the Worldwide Leader can stop talking about a conference that doesn't appear on its air. Meanwhile, Fox owns 51% of the Big Ten Network, so it is a valuable partner. … The Big Ten will still probably double or even triple the previous deal and cement itself as the highest-grossing conference in college sports.

And thus the amateurism model will become even more untenable.

Staples wonders about how long this deal will be; the answer will probably depend on the channels. The Big Ten should take the longest possible deal since by the end of it there's a strong possibility it's a boat anchor for the broadcasters no longer being propped up by little old ladies who just want to watch NCIS.

Please remember this if they go in a submarine again. Baumgardner:

I've seen Michigan's football team practice for a total of 16 hours this spring. Five practices. I haven't been around for 50 years, but it's probably safe to say this month has featured more on-field practice access than those previous 50 years combined. This sort of stuff doesn't happen around here. It really never has.

I only got to see four of those and even so they are quite an antidote to the antics that surround the program. I mean, it's not like it's a surprise that Jim Harbaugh is a football coach who runs football practices, but there are folks who lose the forest for the twitter blasts. In reality those take up about a hundredth of one percent of Harbaugh's time and the football takes up the rest of it, with occasional forays to Peru or Paris mixed in.

Anyway, this period of media openness is likely to end abruptly on Friday; Harbaugh will fill in the rest of the offseason with fluff* and then maybe evaporate for a month. Even so this period of détente with the outside world has been pretty cool.

*[Fluff like 140 characters fired off at Gene Smith that this dude in Cleveland managed to spin into a novella.]

Seth Davis is making easily rebutted points again. Scam-hawking, stat-hating Seth Davis is one of the most unlikeable college basketball media members around so of course he's going to write a long thing about how the NCAA is terrific and amateurism is too:

Yes, the “system” (whatever that means these days) needs to be constantly upgraded to deliver more and more benefits to the student-athletes. But many people are unaware of the extent to which the NCAA has reformed itself over the last two years to do a better job taking care of the players. Thanks to a new governance structure that allows the Power Five conference schools to take the reins, players are now permitted to receive several thousand dollars in stipends in addition to their scholarships to allow them to cover the costs of attending school. There are basically no restrictions on how much food the schools can serve. For the second straight year, schools are permitted (but not required) to pay the travel expenses of players’ families so they can attend NCAA tournament games.

That all sounds great, but Get The Picture points something out:

…all those improvements he cites in his first paragraph there came not voluntarily from the NCAA, but in response to pressure the student-athletes brought in the courts and with the NLRB.  And those kids aren’t so stupid as to avoid noticing that pressure gets results, even with a bunch as stubborn as the schools are.  After all, learning lessons is what students do.

Power 5 autonomy is more or less a panicked response to the lawsuits and NLRB unionization threats designed to hand out an incremental improvement in situations so that revenue athletes don't realize Jim Delany makes how much? and try to get some of that lucre for themselves. Davis says athletes are "feted like kings" like that's a point in the NCAA's favor rather than clear evidence that there's too much money sloshing around in the system because the workers aren't paid.

Hockey exits. No surprises yet. Werenski is out the door already; Downing is likely to be so in the near future. I guess it's good that we haven't heard about Kyle Connor yet—come on expansion draft caution—but I'm not getting the ol' hopes up there.

Hockey changes. Brad Traviolia talked to CHN in the aftermath of the Notre Dame move. One item of note is that this championship tournament model is dead-dead-dead:

Traviolia: The only thing off the table, I think, is the status quo. ... An all-comers, neutral-site format is not the best option for us. We can do better. We're not really leaning one way. We're open to the whole gamut. Whether we do everything on campus, whether we do a hybrid of campus and neutral site, whether we want to stand alone, and whether we want to work with other conferences. I think we want to explore all options.

Well, at least that makes sense as long as they don't go for that goofy super-tournament thing in St. Paul. "Campus sites," he said over and over again until he died.

Traviolia also pointed out that the Big Ten was an 11-team league for 20 years, so folks shouldn't assume they're going to add an eighth team just to add an eighth team. TBH I'd rather have the enforced byes a 7 team league brings than the scheduling compromises an eight-team league imposes… unless the eighth team is a compelling one.

Maybe that hockey eligibility rule isn't so ridiculous. College hockey has always been open to older players, and for the most part that's been a good thing. A higher average age has improved the overall level of play to the point where the NCAA is 30% of the NHL* and kept smaller schools in the hunt for championships in a way they aren't in any other sport.

That said, things are getting kind of ridiculous:

…more than two-thirds of the 2015-16 freshman class reached its 20th birthday before playing a college game.

That is two years after high school. You get one year in all other sports. The Big Ten wants to make that the cap, not three, and while the way they've gone about it is offputting I don't think the move itself is particularly drastic or uncalled for. (A lot of these guys who pan out in a big way will sign "early" with NHL teams… at 22 or 23.)

*[It's not that the old guys are getting to the league, although some do. It's more that the NCAA is more attractive as a developmental route because it's tougher than it would otherwise be.]

Etc.: More RPO is coming, specifically at Penn State. No night game this year. People are way more upset about this than I thought they'd be. Exit Steve Racine, puck magnet. Drew Sharp heal thyself. Exiting hockey seniors advise patience for underclassmen making decisions. Defensive practice takes from Touch The Banner.

The Dodgers have a TV deal that is costing Time Warner nine digits a year because nobody wants to pay the exorbitant fees TW is trying to extract from other providers. An interesting article from a couple years ago about John Beilein and how his players perform in the NBA.

Comments

aiglick

March 29th, 2016 at 1:43 PM ^

To be fair, if we lose multiple returning players and are stuck with 12 (or less) scholarship players next year people will rightfully freak out. Bielfeldt could have helped out this year. No he's not the best player ever but he is better than air.

It looks like Ricky Doyle is already transferring so we're already no longer in a scholarship crunch and if another player leaves it means we could have kept Spike.

I will agree it's probably early to commence freakout but it will stink if it turns out that we had the room  to bring back Spike and that didn't happen.

Just a bad situation but I don't fault Spike or Beilein for it. There just seems to be some sort of bad juju around the basketball program right now but who knows maybe the staff can turn it around.

ijohnb

March 29th, 2016 at 1:48 PM ^

likely committed with the complete belief that he could and would contribute as a freshman.  I get it, he doesn't get to make that call, but a roster with Spike, Walton, and MAAR could even open the possibility of a redshirt for Simpson.  This may be Beilein "upholding his end of the bargain" with a recruit.

funkywolve

March 29th, 2016 at 1:48 PM ^

Not sure what the status of Spike is academicly, but if he still needs to graduate in May/June, he's not gone for a few more months.  If another player were to transfer, it'd be up to JB to determine how the scholarship would get used:  additional recruit, transfer coming in, Spike, leave it open.

MH20

March 29th, 2016 at 2:08 PM ^

Just because Spike has been granted his release doesn't mean he can't come back to the team if another player decided to transfer.

Also remember that this is a guy coming off of two hip surgeries.  While I truly hope he can make a full recovery you have to think the odds of that happening aren't sky high.

Lanknows

March 29th, 2016 at 2:29 PM ^

Playing Max would have had a marginal short-term benefit (he was better than Donnal last year) but it would have been very bad to leave Doyle and Donnal to rot on the bench all year.  While it looks like Doyle is gone, Donnal (along with Mo Wagner - who wouldnot have played with Max around) are critical to how well the team plays next year.

Anyway, Spike would have been a 3rd string PG on next years team.  He was displaced by (a younger) Walton from Day 1 and was always his backup.  He might be better than Simpson is as a freshman but then you're holding back the future of your program for the sake of a 5th year guy.

Beilein is pretty dang good at his job people.  His weaknesses are defense and consistently recruiting high end talent but his good traits dramatically override the bad stuff.

Lanknows

March 29th, 2016 at 11:33 PM ^

With Bielfeldt around he would have played zero. It wasn't just the total either, it was the learning along the way.  Does he make the same strides from fall to spring if he doesn't take some lumps during the season? I bet not.

Donnals minutes is no small issue either.

Either way, our presumed starter for '16-17 is significantly less prepared than if Bielfeldt returns.

HollywoodHokeHogan

March 29th, 2016 at 2:18 PM ^

According to some posters Spike's injury was absolutely devastating to the team this year and we were lucky to recover at all from it.  Now Spike's a jabroni because JB doesn't want to make room for him.  Ricky Doyle was a promising young big who was going to vastly improve once he got a CPAP machine, until he transferred.  Now he's a big who just can't hack it at a P5 school.  It's all or nothing around here.

Rabbit21

March 29th, 2016 at 1:51 PM ^

If for no other reason than basically practice time was set on fire in order to maintain an entirely unnecessary "Fort Schembechler" vibe.  If going to have practice then practice, whether it is open or not.  Hell, there a re a lot of schools out there(UCLA being one) in which every practice is open.

stephenrjking

March 29th, 2016 at 1:35 PM ^

If you look at the B1G hockey proposal as a starting point in a negotiation, it doesn't seem like a bad idea. After all, there are lots of issues the B1G might have a beef about (NCAA tournament sites, for example) and getting stuff on the table is good. But I generally don't like the idea of tweaking one rule to bend the rules to one area of competition that will help the conference. Maybe a cap is necessary, but not too much of one. Frankly, it's been nice to see teams like Union succeed. Opens up other paths to success for smaller schools.

funkywolve

March 29th, 2016 at 1:52 PM ^

it seems a bit odd, I'm guessing those players eat way better than 90% of students.  Not to mention, I'm guessing the amount of food those guys put away is enormous.  I know what our grocery bill is each week for our 11 yr old son and 13 yr old daughter.  I can't imagine would the grocery bill would be if we were trying to feed a 6'5" 300lb lineman.

m1jjb00

March 29th, 2016 at 1:52 PM ^

Only an enforced monopoly would yield a situation where players "are feted like kings" through strange things like steak buffet tables and locker-room waterfalls without actually getting paid.  Would I like a waterfall at my office?  If the choice is simply with one or without one, sure.  Would I rather have a waterfall than a few extra bucks in my check, that's a dumb question.

Ask Seth Davis the same dumb question.

pescadero

March 29th, 2016 at 2:45 PM ^

Every single one of these players could become a professional without going to college - yet, thay almost ALL seem to choose college.

 

I guess the great majority of athletes see the compensation from universities as greater than the compensation of being a professional.

Blue Durham

March 29th, 2016 at 2:09 PM ^

Anyway, this period of media openness is likely to end abruptly on Friday; Harbaugh will fill in the rest of the offseason with fluff* and then maybe evaporate for a month. Even so this period of détente with the outside world has been pretty cool.
Did you mean détente or glasnost?

KC Wolve

March 29th, 2016 at 2:10 PM ^

People should really be paying attention to the Dodger/TW issue. No one is happy in this deal save for maybe the Dodgers, but even they are probably tired of being blamed. I agree that the BIG should get the longest deal possible. I have 2 young kids and they have no idea what commercials are and why they appear on TV sometimes. "Regular" TV is almost dead and even sports won't be able to save it like some used to think.



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Lanknows

March 29th, 2016 at 2:22 PM ^

Should be required reading for any Michigan basketball fan, and a great big picture persepctive to keep in mind for all the Beilein-bashers out there right now.  Tjarks is one of the best basketball writers around and has keen insights even though he's mostly focused on NBA and Texas teams. I found this comment interesting:

  "If history is any indication, Zak Irvin and Derrick Walton are going to have big seasons next year." 

That didn't really pan out and a big segment of the fanbase is ready to toss our rising seniors to the scrap heap. However, I would however submit that they have two very good reasons for not producing as well as we've come to expect from Beilein guards.

1. Injuries

2. Deficient Supporting Cast

They can both certainly play better too (they are not without their warts) but Irvin, in particular, is being asked to do far more than Stauaskas, Irvin, or Hardaway ever had to.  As the supporting cast improves next year (experience mostly but also added freshman guard depth) I predict you'll see Walton and Irvin look more like vintage Beilein players.

But back to Tjarks main point - translating college/system production to NBA talent.  Burke and Stauskas look even less impressive than they did a season ago. GR3 and McGary are arguably in better position for a long-term NBA career, but they aren't playing much (on playoff teams, granted). It's interesting that THJ is perhaps the best Beilein player at this moment - actually pushing towards being a legitimate rotation player on a top 4-seed playoff team.

This is absolutely on point in every way:

"Caris Levert has a better combination of length and athleticism than either Burke or Stauskas and he plays way more under control than Hardaway, so there's definitely a chance he has the best pro career of any of Michigan's pro players. I don't think he will be drafted as high as his two predecessors at Michigan, but that may be more because of the lack of talent around him than teams wising up on how to judge statistics from a Beilein offense."

Important consideration, not only for Levert, but for Walton/Irvin as well.

Richard75

March 29th, 2016 at 6:04 PM ^

It is indeed an interesting piece, although like many others, it makes an assumption about Beilein's approach that just isn't true.

There is this belief that U-M's system creates matchup problems that neutralize physicality. On the contrary, Wisconsin has beaten U-M like a drum throughout Beilein's tenure, and games against MSU and OSU generally have either been fairly decisive in the opposition's favor or a tossup.

What Michigan's approach has done is generate consistent results against teams that aren't rugged defensively. Last season was an anomaly in that regard, but overall Michigan has sustained itself by winning a ton of games against Northwestern, Minnesota, Illinois, Penn State and the like and then mixing in the occasional nail biter against quality competition.



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Lanknows

March 29th, 2016 at 6:45 PM ^

http://www.sports-reference.com/cbb/boxscores/2014-01-18-wisconsin.html

Good defenses are SUPPOSED to be hard to play against. I appreciate the argument that Michigan has trouble against good physical teams, but you don't win a big 10 title or make consecutive Great 8s unless you are able to play well against tough teams.  Wisoconsin's been pretty good against EVERYONE.

Beilein's system doesn't always work against better talent, but it is indisputable that it creates uncomfortable matchups. Robinson and Novak and Irvin have pretty consistently exploited favorable matchups on offense.  Even this year's team managed to beat Purdue's behemoth frontline when Irvin got off on Swanigen.

Yes, sometimes they're going to get beaten up, especially when they play with undersized Cs that are ALSO inexperienced, but the tradeoff of skill over size should be evident from Beilein's success.  Attributing that to an 'occassional nail-biter' is ridiculous.

They did bomb Florida into oblivian 3 years ago.  That same year they beat Pitt (who had Stephen Adams - one of the most physical Cs in the NBA) and Bob Huggin's WVU team (one of the most physically-oriented defensive coaches in the NCAA) while also stomping MSU at Breslin. I could go on.  Their record is pretty dang good. 

 

 

MadMatt

March 29th, 2016 at 2:59 PM ^

I wish Spike all the best, and I pray to God (for Coach Beilein's sake) that our point guard play is above average next season.

It hurt watching us struggle at center this season, while the guy who wasn't good enough to get playing time here won the B1G Sixth Man Award at Indiana.  Yeah, yeah, yeah, different scheme, promising younger players getting playing time, etc.

If we let a fan favorite walk away and play well for another school, and we continue to have problems at his position, that does not make for happiness and good feelings.

Lanknows

March 29th, 2016 at 11:30 PM ^

At PG we'll have a Top 50 recruit 4th year starter backed by a top 50 recruit freshman whereas at Center we had a true sophomore that can't rebound or catch passes, an undersized RS sophomore, and skinny true freshman from Germay.

Setting aside that the Bielfeldt decision is defensible and ignoring the difference in scholarships available,and JUST focusing on who is coming back -- the situations aren't very similar.