Realistic Game Predictions
November 29th, 2013 at 10:28 AM ^
Ohio49
Michigan-17
November 29th, 2013 at 11:07 AM ^
November 29th, 2013 at 10:28 AM ^
OSU 35
UM 13
Realistic prediction:
OSU 49
UM 10
November 29th, 2013 at 10:29 AM ^
I'll take 49-10 also.
November 29th, 2013 at 10:28 AM ^
................................wait
November 29th, 2013 at 2:02 PM ^
Was it really "phantom" though??
November 29th, 2013 at 8:16 PM ^
November 29th, 2013 at 10:32 AM ^
Not sure why, but I think we break all tendencies in this game and we see an offensive performance similar to ND. We win, dare I say, convincingly.
Michigan 31 OSU 20
*I really hope such a victory would not save the job of Borges...Even if a victory comes to pass...1 game does not a trend make, and rivalry games where you try to break tendency are not a holistic view of a coordinators performance or potential for entire seasons.
November 29th, 2013 at 10:29 AM ^
November 29th, 2013 at 11:01 AM ^
+1 Funny
November 29th, 2013 at 11:09 AM ^
November 29th, 2013 at 10:32 AM ^
November 29th, 2013 at 10:32 AM ^
November 29th, 2013 at 10:34 AM ^
November 29th, 2013 at 10:40 AM ^
November 29th, 2013 at 11:14 AM ^
November 29th, 2013 at 11:16 AM ^
November 29th, 2013 at 11:58 AM ^
November 29th, 2013 at 1:56 PM ^
November 29th, 2013 at 4:00 PM ^
November 29th, 2013 at 4:03 PM ^
November 29th, 2013 at 10:54 AM ^
Given Al's salary I'd say that's more like a $650,000 question...
November 29th, 2013 at 10:36 AM ^
Mattison's defense gives up a ton of points unless it's at the end. I'm hoping for Brady Hoke's distaste for Ohio forces the coaches to play all out. What else do we have to lose?
Ohio State - 24
Michigan - 13
Hoping like hell that I'm wrong. . .
November 29th, 2013 at 4:58 PM ^
That was right before Rocky smoked Clubber in three rounds.
You're on fire (see what I did there?) with the analogies today.
November 29th, 2013 at 8:03 PM ^
Perhaps Hoke has Rocky 3 on repeat in the film room? And very good with the post linking. /clap
November 29th, 2013 at 10:38 AM ^
60-3
We aren't good enough to score a TD.
November 29th, 2013 at 11:09 AM ^
November 29th, 2013 at 11:27 AM ^
November 29th, 2013 at 11:59 AM ^
Yes, compared to our offense, the defense is the strength of our team - which isn't saying much, because we are no where near having a good defense.
Ohio State's offense is much better than IU and runs a similar up tempo style of offense. 60 may not happen, but it is realistic looking at what our team has done to this point, and yes it pains me to say that.
November 29th, 2013 at 12:42 PM ^
Look at the FEI advanced stats for OSU's offense and Michigan's defense. OSU has the eighth ranked offense and Michigan the seventeenth ranked defense.
Does that equal 60 points?
November 29th, 2013 at 1:59 PM ^
OSU's offense is statistically better than Indiana's in literally every meaningful offensive category with the single exception of passing yardage per game. OSU is averaging 12 pts per game more than IU.
So yes, OSU's offense is better than Indiana's.
http://www.bigten.org/sports/m-footbl/stats/2013-2014/confldrs.html
November 29th, 2013 at 5:02 PM ^
Why Ohio will score a lot is that they'll have the ball all damn game.
Michigan's FEI offense is #61 (skewed by outliers like CMU, ND, and IU), while Ohio is #20 defensively, and their bad defensive performances were back in September.
Does anyone have November-only FEI stats? Those would be a better comparison.
November 29th, 2013 at 10:38 AM ^
November 29th, 2013 at 10:39 AM ^
November 29th, 2013 at 11:56 AM ^
November 29th, 2013 at 8:27 PM ^
November 29th, 2013 at 10:40 AM ^
31-6, we wont score a TD.
November 29th, 2013 at 10:40 AM ^
November 29th, 2013 at 11:12 AM ^
November 29th, 2013 at 10:41 AM ^
Our defense has been playing pretty good, but we have yet to be able to come up with the big stop when we need it. Combine all this and I just don't see it happening.
Bad guys 49
Us 21
November 29th, 2013 at 10:41 AM ^
November 29th, 2013 at 10:42 AM ^
If it helps at all, the matchup stats over at TeamRankings:
Offense
|
Ohio St. | Michigan |
Yards/Play | 7.1 | 5.1 |
Points/Play | 0.621 | 0.463 |
Rush Play % | 61.27% | 56.54% |
Pass Play % | 38.73% | 43.46% |
Completion % | 67.65% | 58.39% |
3D Conv % | 53.17% | 37.82% |
RZ Scoring % | 95.24% | 84.44% |
Defense
|
Ohio St. | Michigan |
Opp Yards/Play | 4.7 | 4.8 |
Opp Points/Play | 0.265 | 0.342 |
Opp Completion % | 59.59% | 55.24% |
Opp 3D Conv % | 34.21% | 38.37% |
Opp RZ Scoring % | 77.42% |
82.50% |
Interestingly, Massey is going with Michigan having an 18% predicted win probabilty, so not great at all, but they have a median score predicted at 42-31. TeamRankings has a prediction more in line with something I could see happening (if we can get a couple good drives going), which is 36-20 Ohio State. That being said, nothing is impossible (merely improbable) in football, and I would love to see my alma mater win.
November 29th, 2013 at 10:43 AM ^
OSU-63
MICH-13
Meyer will go for style points late in the game when it gets out of hand and our defense becomes demoralized again for the offense putting them in bad spots.
November 29th, 2013 at 10:56 AM ^
November 29th, 2013 at 8:21 PM ^
November 29th, 2013 at 10:46 AM ^
Michigan - 34
OSU - 31
November 29th, 2013 at 10:47 AM ^
This game is going to be a disaster of epic proportions.
OHIO STATE 71
Michigan 3
November 29th, 2013 at 10:47 AM ^