I know that Barstool Sports is persona non grata here (for a lot of good reasons), but they have created a fund to help small businesses survive until the end of the COVID pandemic. As long as the small business keeps their employees on payroll, they are qualified to apply. (https://www.barstoolsports.com/the-barstool-fund)
I don't know if anyone working at Pinball Pete's reads MgoBlog, but I figured it would be worth it to mention it just in case. I don't have Facebook, so I can't share it with them there.
I get that. I just think it is weird that VT's odds of winning a game against a similarly ranked opponent on the road is way higher than ours (>10%), considering they are only two spots ahead of us on BPI. And unlike KenPom, ESPN doesn't provide an adjusted efficiency margin to go along with BPI. So its hard to tell how big the gap is between each team.
What I find interesting is that KenPom and BPI have similar rankings for both teams (6 and 8 for Michigan respectively, 14 and 13 for Wisconsin respectively), yet KenPom gives us a 51% chance to win. Also, BPI ranks Virginia Tech 6th and NC State and gives VT a 53.4% chance of winning at NC State on 2/2.
So to answer your question, I really have no idea how BPI works at all. Regardless, the 6 day layoff and the Troll Center scares me. Plus Wisconsin is so much better than their record indicates (at least according to BPI and KenPom).
What I find interesting is that KenPom and BPI have similar rankings for both teams (6 and 8 for Michigan respectively, 14 and 13 for Wisconsin respectively), yet KenPom gives us a 51% chance to win. Also, BPI ranks Virginia Tech 6th and NC State 14th and gives VT a 53.4% chance of winning at NC State on 2/2.
So to answer your question, I really have no idea how BPI works at all. Regardless, the 6 day layoff and the Troll Center scares me. Plus Wisconsin is so much better than their record indicates (at least according to BPI and KenPom).
Michigan's defense is great this year, but the 2013 team played and beat some great defenses in the NCAA tournament (in successive games none the less). I went on Kenpom and looked at how 2013 Michigan's offense did in their last 4 games of the tournament.
Sweet 16: Kansas ended the year ranked 5th in adjusted defensive efficiency (0.875 points/possession). Michigan scored 1.14 points/possession against them.
Elite 8: Florida ended the year ranked 3rd in adjusted defensive efficiency (0.86 points/possession). Michigan scored 1.10 points/possession against them.
Final 4: Syracuse ended the year ranked 6th in adjusted defensive efficiency (0.883 points/possession). Michigan scored 1.02 points/possession against them. (Syracuse held Indiana - 2nd in offensive efficiency in 2013 - to 0.77 points/possession in the sweet 16)
Finals: Premature Pitinos (I mean Louisville) ended the year ranked 1st in adjusted efficiency (0.848 points/possession). Michigan scored 1.17 points/possession against them.
Do I think the current team could beat the 2013 team? Sure. The 2013 team's defense wasn't elite and Kansas and Louisville had no problem scoring against them. However, I think it is a bit silly to assume the current team would shut down the 2013 team. I could totally see either side winning, but if I had to pick right now I would go with 2013.
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Looks like the Rockets are shipping him to the Pacers for Victor Oladipo.
I know that Barstool Sports is persona non grata here (for a lot of good reasons), but they have created a fund to help small businesses survive until the end of the COVID pandemic. As long as the small business keeps their employees on payroll, they are qualified to apply. (https://www.barstoolsports.com/the-barstool-fund)
I don't know if anyone working at Pinball Pete's reads MgoBlog, but I figured it would be worth it to mention it just in case. I don't have Facebook, so I can't share it with them there.
Thanks for pointing that out. It makes sense to me now. I didn't even see that there were raw BPI figures until you just mentioned it.
I get that. I just think it is weird that VT's odds of winning a game against a similarly ranked opponent on the road is way higher than ours (>10%), considering they are only two spots ahead of us on BPI. And unlike KenPom, ESPN doesn't provide an adjusted efficiency margin to go along with BPI. So its hard to tell how big the gap is between each team.
What I find interesting is that KenPom and BPI have similar rankings for both teams (6 and 8 for Michigan respectively, 14 and 13 for Wisconsin respectively), yet KenPom gives us a 51% chance to win. Also, BPI ranks Virginia Tech 6th and NC State and gives VT a 53.4% chance of winning at NC State on 2/2.
So to answer your question, I really have no idea how BPI works at all. Regardless, the 6 day layoff and the Troll Center scares me. Plus Wisconsin is so much better than their record indicates (at least according to BPI and KenPom).
What I find interesting is that KenPom and BPI have similar rankings for both teams (6 and 8 for Michigan respectively, 14 and 13 for Wisconsin respectively), yet KenPom gives us a 51% chance to win. Also, BPI ranks Virginia Tech 6th and NC State 14th and gives VT a 53.4% chance of winning at NC State on 2/2.
So to answer your question, I really have no idea how BPI works at all. Regardless, the 6 day layoff and the Troll Center scares me. Plus Wisconsin is so much better than their record indicates (at least according to BPI and KenPom).
Michigan's defense is great this year, but the 2013 team played and beat some great defenses in the NCAA tournament (in successive games none the less). I went on Kenpom and looked at how 2013 Michigan's offense did in their last 4 games of the tournament.
Sweet 16: Kansas ended the year ranked 5th in adjusted defensive efficiency (0.875 points/possession). Michigan scored 1.14 points/possession against them.
Elite 8: Florida ended the year ranked 3rd in adjusted defensive efficiency (0.86 points/possession). Michigan scored 1.10 points/possession against them.
Final 4: Syracuse ended the year ranked 6th in adjusted defensive efficiency (0.883 points/possession). Michigan scored 1.02 points/possession against them. (Syracuse held Indiana - 2nd in offensive efficiency in 2013 - to 0.77 points/possession in the sweet 16)
Finals: Premature Pitinos (I mean Louisville) ended the year ranked 1st in adjusted efficiency (0.848 points/possession). Michigan scored 1.17 points/possession against them.
Do I think the current team could beat the 2013 team? Sure. The 2013 team's defense wasn't elite and Kansas and Louisville had no problem scoring against them. However, I think it is a bit silly to assume the current team would shut down the 2013 team. I could totally see either side winning, but if I had to pick right now I would go with 2013.