Rooting Guide: Week 11

Submitted by SugarShane on November 5th, 2018 at 8:19 PM

Things are looking pretty good for Michigan now.  But the playoff committee has shown they can be a fickle beast.  

 

Week 11 looks pretty "meh" on paper, but who knows when chaos will rear its head?

 

Essential:

 

Michigan beats Rutgers, in non-embarrassing fashion (style points matter, at least 21+ margin of victory should take care of it).

 

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Big Ten Games:

 

Wisconsin @ Penn State

 

We beat both teams, but Penn State is likely to remain ranked tomorrow, and has near guaranteed wins in their final two games (Wisconsin has a tough upcoming matchup @ Purdue).  Penn State winning out is puts them in the top 15ish range for a nice resume win

 

Root For: Penn State

 

Northwestern @ Iowa

 

Northwestern has the division all but locked up.  Even with a loss at Iowa, they would also need to drop one of @ Minnesota or Illinois to blow their lead.  We want them to win out from here so they can at least be a fringe top 25 team for championship week. 

 

Root For: Northwestern

 

Ohio State @ Michigan State

 

You could argue either way here.  MSU win almost certainly locks the division up for Michigan, and makes MSU another ranked win for Michigans resume (assuming they don't blow it the following week @ Nebraska).

 

OSU win essentially guarantees the game to be a top 10 matchup, putting Michigan on the biggest stage Thanksgiving weekend.  A win here probably has the biggest impact at the most crucial time.

 

Root For:  Meteor

 

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Big 12 Games:

 

Oklahoma State @ Oklahoma

 

Oklahoma is one of two of Michigan's biggest threats.  Rooting interest is pretty simple, even if the outcome we want is unlikely.

 

Root For: Oklahoma State

 

TCU @ West Virginia

 

Assuming OU wins out, which looks likely, the next best hope is to diminish their resume.  As of now, WVU and Oklahoma are headed for a collision course of playing each other in consecutive weeks on Thanksgiving weekend and the Big 12 championship game.  A lower ranked WVU probably gives OU that much less of a chance at a quality win

 

Root For:  TCU

 

Texas @ Texas Tech

 

Texas beat OU, which is looking like a worse and worse loss with every Texas loss.  OUs only loss being to an unranked Texas would be huge.

 

Root For:  Texas Tech

 

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SEC Games:

 

Auburn @ Georgia

 

After Oklahoma, Georgia is Michigan's next biggest threat.  If UGA runs the table and knocks off an undefeated Alabama team in a close game, then the debate comes up about 2 SEC teams in the playoffs.  Georgia losing eliminates this possibility

 

Root For: Auburn

 

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Florida State @ Notre Dame

 

This one not all of you may agree with.   But Notre Dame's schedule has worked out terribly from them outside of Michigan. A loss in any of these last 4 game probably puts them behind Michigan, even with the head to head result.  A loss to abysmal FSU would all but guarantee this.  

 

Root For:  Florida State

 

(I'm not even gonna waste time discussing Washington State because they are on the outside looking in).

 

 

saveferris

November 6th, 2018 at 7:20 AM ^

Root for the meteor in the MSU / OSU game?  C'mon.  None of us want anything good for either of these programs, but there is a clear decision here.  MSU winning virtually assures us the B1G East.  We want to be in Indianapolis.  We want a banner.  The CFP will take care of itself regardless of OSU's record if Michigan wins out.

Look at it this way, MSU is working for us this weekend, like many Spartans grads so often do in the workforce.  Just hold your nose and say, "Go Green".

ak47

November 6th, 2018 at 7:21 AM ^

I’m not sure we want both Nd and osu to lose. I think one or the other is fine but both starts to get a little sketchy if ou and wvu win out and then ou wins twice. At that point we’d have no top 10 wins and our loss wouldn’t be top 10 anymore either. 

Id say a close Nd win, like 17-14 would be great. Nd looks mediocre allowing Michigan to jump them in the rankings but still remain a top 4 undefeated loss. Hopefully harbaugh is helping out his pal taggart with some scouting tips this week 

Arb lover

November 6th, 2018 at 8:54 AM ^

Florida State @ ND:

If (saying its not going to happen doesn't answer the question) the CFP puts us #3 and keeps ND at #4 tonight (possible given how dominant we have been against ranked teams especially last weekend, how they have struggled against average teams, we have 5 quality wins to their 3, and our strength of record (record of the teams we've played) is markedly better, and obviously a 1 loss does not preclude someone from being in front of ND), does this change your rooting interest to ND?

(Saying it won't happen because they have the head to head matchup is saying that indicator is the by all and end all, which it isn't. It happens all the time in rankings. Auburn is not ranked ahead of Washington, Michigan State is not ranked ahead of Penn State, and NC State is not ranked ahead of BC, even though those teams have the same number of losses and won the head to head).