Penn state's KJ Hamler going pro

Submitted by PaulWall on January 1st, 2020 at 8:57 AM

https://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/28401866/penn-state-wr-kj-hamler-declares-nfl-draft

 

Hadn't seen this posted yet. 

FlexUM

January 1st, 2020 at 9:12 AM ^

Is this going to be the best wr class of all time?

Edit: meaning as of what we know coming out of college; obviously they could all be busts in the nfl. 

PaulWall

January 1st, 2020 at 9:19 AM ^

By the time jeudy,  Smith,  and ruggs declare for bama,  then add in Ohio state's seniors mack and victor (i know,  not the elitist,  but still good;  see mclaurin) chenault, e.t.c yes.  And that's not including Collins or dpj. Thus will be the best class of wr ever. 

FlexUM

January 1st, 2020 at 9:32 AM ^

For me it was simply looking at the sheer number of round 1 talent. I didn’t dissect the play of each one so my take is pretty visceral but I just think the amount of talent that is 1st round quality is crazy at wr this year. 
 

it frankly is exactly why I think there is zero chance Nico or DPJ go. Even with very good combines (for them), you’ve got many others bigger, stronger and faster with stats behind them. They could go from being borderline undrafted this year to round 1-2 guys next  year and some of that is just because of how deep this wr class is. 

PaulWall

January 1st, 2020 at 10:28 AM ^

Man,  what a great question.  Id say most of my thoughts on this year's class have been feelings,  so i went back and looked. 

 

http://www.nfl.com/draft/history/fulldraft?type=position&position=WR

 

Here's a link to history of draft class by position.  Last year's class was pretty productive this year as rookies.  But,  17 has been good:  Corey Davis,  Mike Williams,  John Ross,  Godwin, kupp, golliday, David Moore.  15 had cooper davonte parker, funchess, Lockett, crowder,  Diggs. 14 was loaded.  11 was kind of top heavy with aj green,  Julio,  and randall Cobb.  I won't keep listing off the years,  but it's really cool to see who hit and who missed. 

 

Of recent memory,  i think the potential of this year's class will be the best.  Also,  add tee Higgins to the list of potential early entrants. 

Coldwater

January 1st, 2020 at 11:07 AM ^

It seemed Harbaugh wasn’t too high on him because he’s short.    Back in 2016 Harbaugh was going after the tall receivers.  Nothing wrong with that.   But now with the #speed in space offense, Hamler would have been ideal.    He the best route running technician to come out of a Michigan high school possibly ever.  

blueheron

January 1st, 2020 at 12:30 PM ^

A miss? If so, a bunch more schools missed.

Look at his 2017 profile:

https://247sports.com/Recruitment/KJ-Hamler-45827/RecruitInterests/

Michigan got four guys (DPJ, Black, Collins, and Martin) who were thought to be better recruits. Where does Hamler fit in there?

In hindsight? Sure. I'm not counting this one against Harbaugh, though.

Catchafire

January 1st, 2020 at 10:41 AM ^

He is a good college player, but I just don't see him thriving at the next level. I don't think he is better than DPJ, Nico or Tarik tbh. The only reason why we hear about him is because of the scheme psu plays.

lilpenny1316

January 1st, 2020 at 10:43 AM ^

If Jonathan Taylor goes pro, that will mean that our four most difficult opponents will lose their best player to the draft (UWash - Eason, UW - Taylor, PSU - Hamler, OSU - Dobbins).  We play three of those schools in the first five games of the season.  Hopefully they will still be figuring out how to move the ball with those weapons gone.

If Uche is our only early entrant on defense, this really helps our chances to start 5-0 and go into Columbus at no worse than 10-1.

PinballPete

January 1st, 2020 at 12:46 PM ^

tl;dr probably Hamler early but maybe DPJ


Development and scheme matter greatly for your answer. DPJ has the tools to be good at the same things that Collins excels at (jump ball/body positioning, great hands) as well as Hamler (open field speed and cutting ability) so how he develops matters. We don’t know if he’s gonna put it all together but it’s possible he goes to a team with a plan for him, for a specific role, or one which could use his various different abilities.

Collins would be best served to be put in a position like Mike Evans in Tampa. Arians loves to throw downfield and Winston has the arm. Nico would do very well in a downfield offense on the outside. 

Hamler would be better served going to an offense that’s good at putting skill players in space, like the chiefs, but has the kind of tape that teams fall in love with so anyone could take him. 

NFL drafting is weird in the sense that some GM could use Hamler to run fly routes on the outside to stretch a defense or get enamored with Nico as a tall slot/flex TE with great hands. All things being equal, I would expect Hamler to be better early but if DPJ puts it together then he’s the one who could make a ton of pro bowls. Collins I just don’t know if he has enough to go along with his hands and size to distinguish himself 

 

M-Dog

January 1st, 2020 at 11:50 AM ^

If you look back at all of our guys that left early recently, most of them could have used an extra year in college.

You only get one shot, and a lot of them have plateaued already.  You don't usually make that up in the pros, as new shiny-object guys keep coming in.

You can view the pros as paid on the job training, but as you are learning, you run the risk of getting passed.  You are better off taking a long term view and coming in as polished as possible the moment you enter the door.

 

MGoFoam

January 1st, 2020 at 11:56 AM ^

Can Hamler make it in the NFL? Is there a role for small, fast receivers there? Everyone in the NFL is fast. He's not going to blow by guys there like he has in college. And NFL LBs and DBs are going to "ask" him to hold up for a moment on the way by.