Michigan's Defensive Stats
It's only two games and these stats should improve after Saturday. The Defense is looking stout.
September 17th, 2015 at 11:16 PM ^
September 17th, 2015 at 11:22 PM ^
Thats pretty good but lets not get carried away. Its just 2 games against ok oponents. Lets see the numbers after we play NW and MSU
September 17th, 2015 at 11:32 PM ^
Calling Oregon State an "Ok opponent" is a stretch. I would put them on the level of Vandy or Virginia... a bottom-feeder P5 team. I believe I saw them ranked 86th of DI teams.
September 18th, 2015 at 12:43 AM ^
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September 18th, 2015 at 8:00 AM ^
September 18th, 2015 at 11:33 AM ^
Of course Oregon State is only 86th . . . one of its two games was against MICHIGAN.
/Virtual fist-bump
September 18th, 2015 at 6:29 AM ^
September 18th, 2015 at 8:55 AM ^
Just for some perspective, Michingan's average opposing S&P+ rating is 2.05 (32d nationally). Average opposing S&P+ for FBS is -.45. Ohio St opposing S&P+ is -.2 (37th) and MSU is 9.50 (12th).
September 17th, 2015 at 11:30 PM ^
September 18th, 2015 at 12:14 AM ^
While I agree it's a small sample size, this is a good thing with two not Delaware State opponents.
September 18th, 2015 at 6:18 AM ^
at least we played P5 competition while most played an FCS game and a directional school. I'll take it.
September 18th, 2015 at 12:29 AM ^
I compiled a lot of 2014 stats after the season wrapped up (can't find the post currently) and Michigan was actually a top-10 defense in terms of yardage, which shocked me. Of course there are ways to dissect that but the bottom line is that we had a very good defense last year and this year's might be even better.
September 18th, 2015 at 12:37 AM ^
They were ranked in high 30s to low 40s last year in FEI and S&P rankings
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September 18th, 2015 at 6:32 AM ^
Our extremely slow-paced offense aided our defensive numbers last year. By FEI (which accounts for game pace) we were 41st.
September 18th, 2015 at 7:11 AM ^
You're right, of course - adjusted for game pace, last year we were actually on the high end of the second quartile of teams when it comes to total defense, which isn't bad really, but it isn't sniffing elite from that position. That being said, the raw numbers had some highlights - per Team Rankings, we were, for example, 6th in average yards allowed (311.3), 14th in plays allowed (67) and 10th in yards per play (4.6). Of course, when you have an offense that was - as in many instances last year - plodding and ineffective and that's all your opposition needs to win, then yeah....
September 18th, 2015 at 7:31 AM ^
September 18th, 2015 at 9:12 AM ^
Look at the quality of QBs we played last year. The bottom 8 were horrid. The 4th best was Gary Nova who we made look like a Heisman candidate while PSU dismantled him to the tune of 4 INTs.
About 8 weeks into the season, 8 of the top 25 defenses as measured by yards given up were in the Big 10. You reverse engineer pretty easily why that might be.
September 18th, 2015 at 12:32 AM ^
Yay? small sample data not controlled for opponent or possesions!
September 18th, 2015 at 8:57 AM ^
Controlling for opponent would only strengthen them I think. Consider we're probably one of a few schools that have played two P5 opponents whereas most others have played an FCS team or a directional school.
I do agree on a per possession basis would be far more useful though.
September 18th, 2015 at 11:50 AM ^
He wasn't arguing Michigan was improperly rated, just that the supporting data is inherently garbage from multiple angles.
Total yards per game over a season is barely meaningful. After two non-conference weeks it's worthless.
September 18th, 2015 at 12:40 AM ^
September 18th, 2015 at 12:43 AM ^
September 18th, 2015 at 1:04 AM ^
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September 18th, 2015 at 3:21 AM ^
September 18th, 2015 at 10:10 AM ^
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September 18th, 2015 at 1:22 PM ^
You don't need to take away a pick six when discussing defense.
September 18th, 2015 at 7:15 AM ^
September 18th, 2015 at 7:55 AM ^
September 18th, 2015 at 7:15 AM ^
September 18th, 2015 at 7:51 AM ^
September 18th, 2015 at 7:54 AM ^
September 18th, 2015 at 10:13 AM ^
UM's next four games are: UNLV, BYU, Maryland and Northwestern. Outside of BYU I don't think any of those teams are going to do much damage against the defense.
When you look at the schedule, at this point there's only 3 teams that will probably give the defense problems: BYU, MSU and OSU.
September 18th, 2015 at 8:06 AM ^
until BYU or Michigan State. I'm encouraged but yeah, lots still to wonder about.
Oregon State probably won't win a Pac 12 game, maybe Wazzu or Colorado, that just wasn't a very good football team.
September 18th, 2015 at 9:11 AM ^
September 18th, 2015 at 11:19 AM ^
September 18th, 2015 at 11:34 AM ^
tell you where your strengths and weaknesses are, not how good you are compared to everyone else. I mean because scheduling.....
Boston College is your unheralded national defensive leader after two games against Maine and Howard. Among the rest of the nation's finest Kent State and Houston. Don't think we'll see these schools in the top 10 by mid-season.
FWIW, Michigan is ranked ahead of Ohio State in rushing defense along with Utah. MSU is listed at No. 15 against the rush, but has allowed 41 fewer yards than Michigan on six more attempts than Michigan has faced.
But at 189 yards given up after two games against P5 opponents, that is pretty good. And when your offense is able to squeeze time in a bottle, you're pouring out less sweat to defend with your efficiency rating improving as well. I think that trend continues this week against a very weak opponent.
The only takeway from early numbers are team trends even if you skew for opposition strength, your ability to defend is a reflection of how you played up to that point, and whether expectations are being met. So, far, I'd say my expectations for Michigan's defense are more than being met.
Now, I'd like to see dominance in areas where Michigan has been weak including turnover margin and passing defensive efficiency.
September 18th, 2015 at 12:27 PM ^
It's all relative. Everyone plays crappy teams. Whoever ends up with the #1 D at the end of the season will probably have clunkers on their schedule that aid in their stats.
September 18th, 2015 at 2:32 PM ^