The line is already moving
Michigan is now underdogs by 5.5 points. I see this to continue to move as more people start paying attention to the line, better get in now while you can. I see this bowl season as very favorable for the big ten, but the lines don't agree with me. My lock so far looks to me like Wisconsin, but that line is also moving (now 2.5 point underdogs). Where are you putting your money (if you are in Vegas of course)?
December 9th, 2010 at 6:35 PM ^
where do you make your bets what website
December 9th, 2010 at 6:35 PM ^
Which is the first place anyone who posts or reads this blog should be putting their cash!
December 9th, 2010 at 7:29 PM ^
1) Double up by betting on Michigan
2) Donate twice as much
December 9th, 2010 at 8:08 PM ^
I make my Victors Club donation this time of the year for tax reasons. I'm not making any donations until I know RR will be back. I guess I'll donate to the Bschool or hopefully to the Athletic Dept if RR is back in January
December 9th, 2010 at 8:14 PM ^
I think they were talking about donating to this website.
December 9th, 2010 at 6:39 PM ^
it's at 4.5 at some places right now already. I wouldn't be surprised if it ended up real close to 3 by Jan 1.
I REALLY like Oklahoma -17 over Uconn -- that line could not be high enough as far as I'm concerned.
I also love Stanford -3 over Va Tech -- even though VT has been playing real well lately, Stanford is still somehow underrated and I expect them to win by at least a TD.
Agree with you on Wisco.. but I'd be more apt to just wager on the money line at + odds. IF I were to do that, I WOULD HAVE done it a few days ago... or now.... if you're in Vegas...
this all should be prefaced with "If I were a gambling man..." obviously ;)
December 9th, 2010 at 6:48 PM ^
I said the same thing about Oklahoma but they usually let me down in BCS games. UCONN is a well coached team and will be the playing the "nobody is giving us a chance" card for a month. By no means am I saying it is a lock that UCONN will cover, but it wouldnt shock me if they did.
I think the Michigan line will be at +3 when its all said and done, especially if Dan Mullen leaves for Florida or the U.
December 10th, 2010 at 12:07 AM ^
I would take the 17 points. Oklahoma has been very disappointing in BCS games. I think UCONN keeps it close.
December 9th, 2010 at 7:11 PM ^
I also like the Orange Bowl line.
Andrew Luck
+An average, compared to past Hokie seasons, Va Tech defense
+ Virginia Tech without one of their starting linebackers
= WIN
December 9th, 2010 at 8:54 PM ^
on FSU. And--not that the ACC was any great shakes--but the PAC 10 is suspect top to bottom. Thrilling as Oregon looked, they beat--what--four teams with winning records?
December 10th, 2010 at 3:37 AM ^
With any line less than Stanford -10. The Hokies are notorious for poor preparation in bowl games and have gone 8-9 in bowl games since 1993. That record is only that good because of wins in the last two (against Tennessee and Cincinnati). In addition, Virginia Tech's record against top-10 teams is abysmal. You'd have to look it up for me, but I believe that under Beamer, Tech is 6-29 against teams ranked in the top 10.
I tend to discount the loss of the starting LB because his backup played more as the year went on. He played in several games even before the ACCCG, where he performed well for the entire second half.
On the Stanford side of things, remember that Stanford is participating in its first BCS bowl game. This is a major motivation for that team, whereas Tech has already met its goal of turning its season around after an 0-2 start and winning the ACC. All these things considered, I'd advise betting on Stanford.
December 9th, 2010 at 10:57 PM ^
be glad you ain't,because Oklahoma never shows up against teams they supposed to beat in BCS BOWLS.Stanford is going to get hammerd 3 points should be more.MICHIGAN IS GOING TO WIN,GO BLUE!!!
December 9th, 2010 at 6:39 PM ^
December 9th, 2010 at 6:43 PM ^
did you win?
December 9th, 2010 at 6:49 PM ^
December 9th, 2010 at 6:59 PM ^
December 9th, 2010 at 7:21 PM ^
Lines (usually) won't move more than a half point at a time, and usually there's a 10% fee tacked on for the house. If you win, you get the 10% back (+ your winnings)
December 9th, 2010 at 9:10 PM ^
December 9th, 2010 at 9:31 PM ^
true true, arena football wouldn't get much action, a 6k bet would make a lot of people take a second look at the line. i guess my comment was meant more towards big betting events.
December 19th, 2010 at 12:09 PM ^
this is probably why you can't find lines for HS Volleyball games.
December 9th, 2010 at 6:39 PM ^
The smart money is riding with Cecil Newton. (Sorry, I'm a little pissy today.) But to answer your post I like the line on our gm. I'll probably make the call sometime today. Thanks for the info/update.
December 9th, 2010 at 6:48 PM ^
then you think that Papa Newt collected MSU money and then doubled down with some tiger cash....but what is MSU going to say?
December 9th, 2010 at 8:56 PM ^
would be amazing. You have even a shred of evidence for that, or is it just cynical speculation?
December 9th, 2010 at 6:56 PM ^
I think the line will settle around 3.5 - 4.0 for one simple reason. Our crazy fanbase has better jobs and makes more money than their crazy fanbase and can therefore afford to bet more money than they can.
In the academics always win.
December 9th, 2010 at 7:02 PM ^
They sure do pilgrim.
December 9th, 2010 at 7:24 PM ^
lol, insiders will eventually figure out where they see value and will bet accordingly. They're the ones that can drop a grand on this without sweating. I'm guessing the majority comes in on UM while mullens future is in doubt. Whenever he makes a decision there will likely be more even action.
December 10th, 2010 at 2:16 AM ^
Losing money is much easier to take when it's not really your money...or even real money at all!
December 9th, 2010 at 7:37 PM ^
How is TCU favored?...this is crazy. I guess it's just the all around lack of respect of the Big 10 on a national scale...I live in Florida so you can imagine what I have to listen to.
December 9th, 2010 at 8:09 PM ^
I spend summers in Georgia where there's a decent population of Floridians, but I've learned there are three words that will serve you well against leering Florida fans:
Capital.
One.
Bowl.
December 9th, 2010 at 7:57 PM ^
#9 Michigan State is a 10 point unerdog to #16 Alabama. Can anyone recall when a higher ranked team was a two score underdog in a neutral site bowl game. (ps - not that I give a shit ! nor would I bet it)
Go Blue !
December 9th, 2010 at 11:05 PM ^
I thought I saw a line like this years ago when Nebraska played Miami for the MNC, or something similar. Everyone knew Miami was going to run them off the field.
But I think the reason the line is so lopsided is because we've seen the best MSU can play - it was a last-second win over ND, a solid win over Wisconsin followed by a nice win at UM. That was also about 2 months ago. Bama was banged up and wilted a bit under the pressure, but given a month to heal up and recuperate, they are heads-and-tails better than an MSU team that had everything break for them. That game is going to be a bloodbath unless MSU plays the game of their lives and they get some breaks.
December 9th, 2010 at 7:57 PM ^
... but how can anyone bet on Michigan with any confidence after watching our season? Don't get me wrong - it wouldn't shock me if we won the game, but jeeze. Would it surprise anyone if Miss State ran all over our defense and our offense had 5 turnovers?
December 9th, 2010 at 8:34 PM ^
I have been pretty good about holding off on betting on the games we ended up losing (or not covering). I have a good feeling about this game for the first time since ND. My gut on our boys is usually right so I am going with it. Stop making me second guess the money I have already pledged to the E-bookie!!!
December 9th, 2010 at 8:56 PM ^
I agree that nobody should be extremely confident while betting on Michigan in this game, but the month off should do wonders for a banged up team. Having Denard and Mike Martin at 100% should really make us quite a bit better.
December 9th, 2010 at 9:27 PM ^
for anyone within a 3 hour radius of Ann Arbor (because you have to pick up the prize within 3 hours), annarbor.com is running a bowl game drawing this week. You have to answer a question every day for a week and they put you into a drawing for a package including airfare, bowl tickets, hotel stay and some transportation for the Gator Bowl, as well as access to the official alumni tailgate. The package is through the alumni association I guess.
A chance to win a $4,000 package for answering a few Michigan football questions this week. Since we're already all doing that while at work anyhow, it seems like an okay deal. Here's a link if you're interested:
http://www.annarbor.com/sports/the-last-time-michigan-played-in-the-gat…
December 9th, 2010 at 10:12 PM ^
I dont bet sports very often but I have had a great deal of success using sportsinteraction.com I regularly play poker in their card room and have had no issues redeeming my winnings. The plus side i see to them is that they are a Canadian company which means licensed and regulated in North America. FYI Michigan +5.5 right now.
December 9th, 2010 at 11:11 PM ^
Wait until the Bulldog's coach is being announced as the new coach at Florida - that line will skew way back to the middle. Probably settle around 3.5, maybe even 3.
December 10th, 2010 at 1:53 AM ^
i don't understand sports betting at all, which is probably a good thing.
on the subject of UM being underdogs... I think that's great. I fully expect our guys to come out fired up and having fun in Florida. I'll predict that Denard has his finest performance yet, surpassing Touchdown Tim in the UM record books.
December 10th, 2010 at 4:18 AM ^
Going to bet michigan money line. Go blue