Let Chaos Reign CF Watching Guide

Submitted by ijohnb on

To this point, the eye test tells me that Michigan may just be one of the four best college football teams in the country this season.  Unfortunately, a certain punt didn't go quite as planned and it may result in this team being on the outside looking in even if this season closes in spectacular fashion.  We need some help, and alas, this weekend looks like one where some damage could be done at or near the top of the rankings.  In case you have not mapped things out this Saturday, all games below could have a significant on our slim, but real, chances at the BIG championship and College Football Playoff this year:

Florida at South Carolina (ESPN-Noon) - After running it up on the Commodores last week to the tune of 9-6, the Gators take to the road for the Used to Involve Spurrier Bowl.  The Cocks come home after narrow losses at Tennessee and A&M, and could give the Gators a game.  I think there is some real potential here.

Maryland at Michigan State (Pam Ward-Noon) - There will literally be hundreds in attendance to watch this one go down.  State should get back to things comfortably here, but Maryland has not been that bad the last couple of weeks and MSU has reason to look ahead.

OSU at Illinois (ABC - Noon) - lol

Wake Forest at Notre Dame (Fighting Irish Television Network - 3:30) - This could get ugly.  ND looking to quiet the masses of non-believers, Wake being Wake.  Look for Kelly to run this one up.

Michigan at Indiana (ABC-3:30) - Hope our secondary gets some rest tonight.  I like Michigan here but Indiana is due to close one of these deals out.  Lets see ALL the Peppers.

Oklahoma State at Iowa State (ESPN - 3:30) - Iowa State did beat Texas, sooooo, nevermind, nothing to see here.

Arkansas at LSU (ESPN - 7:00) - Arkansas has some talent and this, at least used to be, a "throw the records out" type of affair but LSU is solid.  Not a lot of potential here but worth a watch.

Oregon at Stanford (Gus Johnson Network - 7:30) - I'm going to watching this game.  Oregon has cleaned some things up and I think could put up a fight here.  This one in particular could be big for Michigan as I see Stanford as a major potential roadblock to our slim playoff hopes.

Oklahoma at Baylor (ABC-8:00) - I think this may be "can't lose" for us.  TCU dropped below us with one loss last week to a ranked team and I think we move ahead of the loser of this game regardless of who it is, assuming of course we take care of business.

Utah at Arizona (FS1 -After I pass out) - Yes, those pesky Utes are still in the picture.  Arizona is still dangerous, and, at home, a loss for the Utes would be big for us as well.

Now that is some good watching.  May want to push back the first beer until AT LEAST 7:30 AM to ensure you can see some of the late action.  Could be a big weekend. 

ijohnb

November 13th, 2015 at 10:16 AM ^

are not that many dominant teams in college football this year.  I don't think we can play with Alabama and Clemson may be a stretch, but right now Ohio State and ND close out the top 4.  You think it is out of the realm of possibility that we can compete with them?  Additionally, our defense is one of few in the country that I think could put up a really good fight against the TCU and Okie States of the world.  Yes, Michigan has shown some real flashes this year.  Yes, if Michigan wins out I have no doubt saying they should at least be right in the coversation.

New Kid

November 13th, 2015 at 10:25 AM ^

A team with an elite D always has a chance. But Utah, Baylor, TCU, Oklahoma, OSU, FSU, Clemson, Bama, LSU, Florida, and maybe Iowa are all better.

In reply to by ijohnb

1464

November 13th, 2015 at 10:46 AM ^

Eh.  Maybe with Jake Rudock at QB.  But there's always a solid chance that Ruddock lines up back there, and then we're one dimensional or even none dimensional on offense.

carlos spicywiener

November 13th, 2015 at 11:32 AM ^

Utah already beat us, and whipped our OL doing it. I'll just leave your comment alone there.

Florida, we've got a shot at. Their QB isn't great. But they just whipped Georgia with him, which is a more impressive win than we have.

Baker Mayfield is even better than Connor Cook; Oklahoma's up-tempo Air Raid would expose us (Indiana is a legit threat). They've already won in hostile environments before, and looked good doing it.

Your perecption of our team is inflated baed upon us stomping garbage cans like Maryland. When we face a team with a competent offense and defense, things will be different. We aren't winning big games with Rudock. What you saw against MSU, Utah - that's who he is. He's not cut out for the big stage.

Also: New Kid may be obnoxious, but its not smart to label people with differing opinions trolls.

ijohnb

November 13th, 2015 at 11:46 AM ^

perception of teams like Florida is inflated due to stomping on teams like Georgia who gets stomped by anybody with a pulse.  Oklahoma's best win is against a really inconsistent Tennessee outfit where they had to come from significantly behind and they lost to Texas.

And you evidently think that we are the same team now that played Utah two months ago so I will leave your comment alone there.

ijohnb

November 13th, 2015 at 12:00 PM ^

I am not changing the conversation.  But I think it is fair to ask yourself why you are arguing so fiecely against them in terms of perception about the team.  Would you not want public perception in their favor to any degree possible?  Just seems like odd fandom.

michmaiku

November 13th, 2015 at 3:19 PM ^

... they would not again get.  I'll just leave that part of your comment there.

I've got an Athens fan base that might even disagree with you on Georgia.

But on your general point at bottom on inflated perceptions, I don't disagree.  Only on the exact 6-10 (or so) teams that are likely better on a neutral field.

 

UM Fan from Sydney

November 13th, 2015 at 11:03 AM ^

OK, I up voted your other post, but have to disagree with this one. We're better than Utah right now. They benefited from the home atmosphere and the fact that it was Michigan's first game under the current regime. I'd LOVE to play Utah again.

wolverine1987

November 13th, 2015 at 10:40 AM ^

a better team than us, flat out. That's just one example. Of course we have a punchers chance to beat them, but that doesn't make us worthy of being a top four team. We could potentially beat any team on that list--except Bama which IMO would roll over us by at least a couple of touchdowns, but that's not the same thing as deserving to be a top four team. 

ak47

November 13th, 2015 at 10:26 AM ^

We have played two top 30 teams this year and lost both times.  I'm not entirely sure where the confidence is coming from in regards to us being a top 4 team.  You could make an argument that we deserve to be in a group behind the elite teams that includes 10 teams but to claim the eye test suggestt Michigan is a better team than Baylor or Oklahoma or LSU or Florida is pretty absured.  We are a little over 2 weeks removed from getting lucky to beat minnesota at home, a team TCU handled pretty effectivley.

ijohnb

November 13th, 2015 at 10:30 AM ^

beat Minnesota like 13-7 man.  We played Utah the first game of the season on the road at night and could have won it and, you watched the State game, right?  We got completely hosed systematically in every facet of the game by the officials and still should have won the game.  You seem to have a lot of love for other Top 15 teams that have looked every bit as vulnerable as we have.

In reply to by ijohnb

ak47

November 13th, 2015 at 10:37 AM ^

Our offense started on msu's half of the field like 6 times that game and we scored two offensive td's.  Sure we were also screwed by some shitty calls by the refs but those only mattered because our offense played like shit.  If you get to ignore losses because of ref fuck ups than msu is still undefeated.  If you let teams hang around by playing like crap you open yourself up to bad things happening.  If MSU had a competent punter we probably lose that game by 10 points, their offense did a better job against our defense than vice versa.  I was at the game.  And congrats on the close loss, thats cool but if we are throwing out the first game of the year then Stanford looks like a clearly better team.

TCU also won 23-17 and were up 20-3 at one point before letting minnesota score to make it look closer at the end.  I'm not arguing Michigan couldn't beat Florida in a nuetral site game but I would put it at 60-40 Florida to win, same with Stanford, Lsu would be higher, we already lost to utah when we played them but somehow you have decided we are actually the better team because since then we have beaten northwestern.  If we move the ball on osu and psu you will be right, but until the offense shows a pulse against any team with a good defensive line we aren't an elite team.